Central Petroleum Limited (CTP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$51.19M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 390.30K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.52
• Revenue Growth: 17.42%
• EPS Growth: -38.46%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 81
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 752,749,630
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 305,518
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 390,296
• PEG Ratio: -0.14
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.03
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.97
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.28
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.00 ▼(-100.00% Downside)

Central Petroleum Limited's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a favorable valuation, despite challenges in financial performance. The company's strategic initiatives and operational successes, as highlighted in the earnings call, further support a positive outlook.

Central Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Central Petroleum Limited engages in the development, production, processing, and marketing of hydrocarbons in Australia. It holds interests in various oil and gas properties comprising 181,743 square kilometers of exploration area located in the Amadeus, Southern Georgina, Wiso, and Surat Basins. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Central Petroleum Limited makes money through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company's revenue model is centered around the sale of produced hydrocarbons, including crude oil, natural gas, and associated products. Key revenue streams include the supply of natural gas to domestic markets under long-term contracts, as well as spot market sales of crude oil and other hydrocarbon products. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global oil and gas prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Additionally, Central Petroleum Limited may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its exploration and production capabilities, thereby potentially increasing its revenue opportunities.

Central Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Central Petroleum Limited shows revenue growth and improved leverage management, but declining net profit margins and free cash flow growth pose challenges. The company needs to enhance profitability and cash flow generation.

Income Statement

Central Petroleum Limited has shown a significant improvement in revenue growth with a 20.9% increase in the latest year, reversing the previous declining trend. The gross profit margin has improved to 33.3%, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin decreased to 17.7% from 33.4% the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory, but profitability remains a concern.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.64, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly to 18.9% from 38.2%, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. While leverage is under control, the decline in ROE is a potential risk.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow has improved, covering net income adequately with a ratio of 1.02. However, free cash flow has decreased by 30.7%, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.40, reflecting challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow. While operational cash flow is stable, the decline in free cash flow growth is concerning.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	43.63M	43.63M	37.15M	39.26M	42.15M	59.83M
Gross Profit	14.54M	14.54M	4.43M	19.14M	14.80M	30.98M
EBITDA	15.65M	15.65M	24.06M	3.70M	32.39M	18.43M
Net Income	7.73M	7.73M	12.42M	-7.96M	21.32M	251.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	114.01M	114.01M	103.64M	98.13M	122.29M	174.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	27.47M	27.47M	24.98M	13.83M	21.65M	37.16M
Total Debt	26.05M	26.05M	24.21M	28.15M	31.81M	68.32M
Total Liabilities	73.11M	73.11M	71.08M	78.74M	95.76M	170.48M
Stockholders Equity	40.91M	40.91M	32.55M	19.39M	26.53M	3.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.78M	5.78M	3.92M	-4.91M	-7.15M	17.65M
Operating Cash Flow	14.30M	14.30M	6.86M	-2.06M	3.64M	24.14M
Investing Cash Flow	-10.11M	-10.11M	9.45M	-1.50M	17.41M	-8.04M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.70M	-1.70M	-5.15M	-4.27M	-36.56M	-4.85M

Central Petroleum Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.07
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CTP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.06, and above the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 98.60 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CTP.

Central Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CTP	66 Neutral	AU$51.19M	6.44	21.06%	―	17.42%	-38.46%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
BRK	62 Neutral	$37.05M	7.80	4.81%	―	53.56%	-67.96%
EXR	44 Neutral	$62.98M	―	-96.62%	―	-100.00%	-2093.33%
TDO	41 Neutral	AU$46.07M	―	-14.52%	―	―	40.00%
NGY	27 Underperform	€55.20M	―	-3.35%	―	―	-20.00%

Central Petroleum Limited Corporate Events

Central Petroleum to Host Investor Presentation on June Quarter Results

Central Petroleum Limited will hold an online investor presentation on August 8, 2025, led by Managing Director Leon Devaney and CFO Damian Galvin. The presentation will cover the company’s June quarter results, recent activities, and a proposed share buy-back, offering stakeholders insights into Central’s operational strategies and market positioning.

Central Petroleum Limited Announces On-Market Share Buy-Back

Central Petroleum Limited has announced an on-market buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares, as indicated by the ASX security code CTP. This move is likely aimed at optimizing the company’s capital structure and potentially enhancing shareholder value, reflecting a strategic decision to manage its equity base effectively.

Central Petroleum Announces Share Buy-Back Amid Strong Financial Performance

Central Petroleum Limited announced an on-market share buy-back program, leveraging its strong financial performance and cash reserves. The company reported a 28% increase in revenue for the second half of FY2025, driven by new production wells and long-term gas sale agreements, resulting in a record net operating cash flow of $6.3 million in the June quarter. The buy-back, marking Central’s first return of capital to shareholders, aims to purchase up to 10% of its issued capital over a 12-month period starting 15 September 2025. This move reflects Central’s confidence in its financial position and future cash flows, with additional plans for capital allocation, including growth initiatives and a sustainable dividend program.

Central Petroleum Reports Strong Revenue Growth in June 2025 Quarter

Central Petroleum Limited reported a significant increase in sales revenue for the quarter ending June 2025, driven by new gas sale contracts and strong sales volumes. The company’s sales revenue rose by 22% for the full year and 28% for the second half of FY25 compared to the first half. The average delivered unit sales price also increased by 6% in the June quarter. Operating cash inflows improved by 70% from the previous quarter, and the cash balance at the end of the quarter was $27.5 million. These developments reflect the successful implementation of new contracts and drilling activities, positioning Central Petroleum favorably in the energy market.

Central Petroleum Reports Stable Operations and Strategic Growth Initiatives

Central Petroleum Limited reported stable operations with a slight increase in sales revenue for April and May, driven by strong portfolio pricing and consistent sales volumes. The company has managed to mitigate the impact of Northern Gas Pipeline outages by redirecting gas sales, and is addressing temporary oil production constraints at Mereenie. Additionally, Central completed the sale of a non-core asset, enhancing its financial position, and continues to focus on strategic growth through exploration and appraisal activities.