Central Petroleum Limited (CTP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$46.21M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 751.80K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 590.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.36
• Revenue Growth: -15.16%
• EPS Growth: -99.57%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 81
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 44
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 745,258,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 623,671
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 751,799
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 53 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.00 ▼(-100.00% Downside)

Central Petroleum Limited's stock score is impacted most significantly by its mixed financial performance, with improvements in income and cash flow offset by high leverage. Technical analysis shows positive short-term momentum, but the high P/E ratio raises concerns about overvaluation.

Central Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Central Petroleum Limited engages in the development, production, processing, and marketing of hydrocarbons in Australia. It holds interests in various oil and gas properties comprising 181,743 square kilometers of exploration area located in the Amadeus, Southern Georgina, Wiso, and Surat Basins. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Central Petroleum Limited makes money through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company's revenue model is centered around the sale of produced hydrocarbons, including crude oil, natural gas, and associated products. Key revenue streams include the supply of natural gas to domestic markets under long-term contracts, as well as spot market sales of crude oil and other hydrocarbon products. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global oil and gas prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Additionally, Central Petroleum Limited may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its exploration and production capabilities, thereby potentially increasing its revenue opportunities.

Central Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Central Petroleum Limited has shown mixed performance across financial statements. Improvements in income and cash flow are encouraging, but the balance sheet reflects high leverage. The company's ability to manage costs and improve profitability is positive, yet managing debt levels remains crucial.

Income Statement

The company has experienced fluctuating revenue patterns, with a revenue decrease from 2020 to 2021, followed by a small increase in 2022. Net income has also varied significantly, with a notable recovery in the latest period. Gross profit margin increased significantly from 2023 to 2024, indicating improved cost management or pricing strategy. However, consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins are needed to indicate steady operational efficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a high degree of leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, although recent improvements in stockholders' equity are positive. The company has managed to maintain a reasonable equity ratio, but the overall financial structure relies heavily on debt, posing potential risks in volatile markets.

Cash Flow

Cash flow statements indicate positive trends in operating cash flows and a significant turnaround in free cash flow, leading to a healthier cash position. The company has demonstrated an ability to generate cash from operations after years of negative free cash flow, which is a promising sign of financial stability.

Breakdown	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	37.15M	39.26M	42.15M	59.83M	65.05M
Gross Profit	16.54M	19.14M	14.80M	6.17M	4.34M
EBITDA	24.06M	3.65M	32.39M	18.43M	28.10M
Net Income	12.42M	-7.96M	21.32M	251.00K	5.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	103.64M	98.13M	122.29M	174.17M	159.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	24.98M	13.83M	21.65M	37.16M	25.92M
Total Debt	24.21M	28.15M	31.81M	68.32M	72.00M
Total Liabilities	71.08M	78.74M	95.76M	170.48M	158.19M
Stockholders Equity	32.55M	19.39M	26.53M	3.69M	1.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	3.92M	-4.91M	-7.15M	17.65M	12.50M
Operating Cash Flow	6.86M	-2.06M	3.64M	24.14M	15.73M
Investing Cash Flow	9.45M	-1.50M	17.41M	-8.04M	4.68M
Financing Cash Flow	-5.15M	-4.27M	-36.56M	-4.85M	-12.29M

Central Petroleum Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.06
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CTP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.06, and above the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CTP.

Central Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	65 Neutral	$14.84B	8.54	3.10%	5.45%	4.51%	-62.52%
CTP	53 Neutral	AU$46.21M	590.00	0.25%	―	-15.16%	-99.57%
ELXPF	―	$29.40M	―	-5.28%	―	―	―
RDFEF	―	$25.24M	13.51	3.21%	―	―	―
NUB	―	€33.93M	―	-3.50%	―	―	―
JGH	―	AU$70.85M	―	-26.63%	―	―	―
TDO	41 Neutral	AU$36.68M	―	-22.66%	―	―	-167.31%

Central Petroleum Limited Corporate Events

Central Petroleum to Host Investor Presentation on June Quarter Results

Central Petroleum Limited will hold an online investor presentation on August 8, 2025, led by Managing Director Leon Devaney and CFO Damian Galvin. The presentation will cover the company’s June quarter results, recent activities, and a proposed share buy-back, offering stakeholders insights into Central’s operational strategies and market positioning.

Central Petroleum Limited Announces On-Market Share Buy-Back

Central Petroleum Limited has announced an on-market buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares, as indicated by the ASX security code CTP. This move is likely aimed at optimizing the company’s capital structure and potentially enhancing shareholder value, reflecting a strategic decision to manage its equity base effectively.

Central Petroleum Announces Share Buy-Back Amid Strong Financial Performance

Central Petroleum Limited announced an on-market share buy-back program, leveraging its strong financial performance and cash reserves. The company reported a 28% increase in revenue for the second half of FY2025, driven by new production wells and long-term gas sale agreements, resulting in a record net operating cash flow of $6.3 million in the June quarter. The buy-back, marking Central’s first return of capital to shareholders, aims to purchase up to 10% of its issued capital over a 12-month period starting 15 September 2025. This move reflects Central’s confidence in its financial position and future cash flows, with additional plans for capital allocation, including growth initiatives and a sustainable dividend program.

Central Petroleum Reports Strong Revenue Growth in June 2025 Quarter

Central Petroleum Limited reported a significant increase in sales revenue for the quarter ending June 2025, driven by new gas sale contracts and strong sales volumes. The company’s sales revenue rose by 22% for the full year and 28% for the second half of FY25 compared to the first half. The average delivered unit sales price also increased by 6% in the June quarter. Operating cash inflows improved by 70% from the previous quarter, and the cash balance at the end of the quarter was $27.5 million. These developments reflect the successful implementation of new contracts and drilling activities, positioning Central Petroleum favorably in the energy market.

Central Petroleum Reports Stable Operations and Strategic Growth Initiatives

Central Petroleum Limited reported stable operations with a slight increase in sales revenue for April and May, driven by strong portfolio pricing and consistent sales volumes. The company has managed to mitigate the impact of Northern Gas Pipeline outages by redirecting gas sales, and is addressing temporary oil production constraints at Mereenie. Additionally, Central completed the sale of a non-core asset, enhancing its financial position, and continues to focus on strategic growth through exploration and appraisal activities.