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Central Petroleum Limited (AU:CTP)
ASX:CTP

Central Petroleum Limited (CTP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Central Petroleum Limited

(Sydney:CTP)

50Neutral
Central Petroleum Limited shows a moderate overall performance. Strengths include improving income and cash flow, but significant risks are posed by high leverage and a high P/E ratio. Technical indicators are mixed, with short-term caution warranted despite longer-term positive signals.

Central Petroleum Limited (CTP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Central Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentral Petroleum Limited (CTP) is an Australian oil and gas exploration and production company. It operates primarily in the Northern Territory and Queensland, focusing on the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbon resources. The company holds significant acreage positions in key petroleum basins and is involved in both conventional and unconventional oil and gas projects.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentral Petroleum Limited generates revenue through the extraction and sale of oil and gas resources. Its primary revenue streams come from the production and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and associated petroleum products. The company enters into sales agreements with domestic and international customers, including energy utilities and industrial users, to supply these products. Additionally, Central Petroleum may also earn income through joint ventures, partnerships, or farm-out agreements, where they collaborate with other firms to jointly develop and produce resources from its acreage holdings. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as global oil and gas prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies.

Central Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Central Petroleum Limited has shown mixed performance across financial statements. Income and cash flow have improved, with significant revenue recovery and positive cash flow trends, but the balance sheet reflects high leverage, posing potential risks.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company has experienced fluctuating revenue patterns, with a revenue decrease from 2020 to 2021, followed by a small increase in 2022. Net income has also varied significantly, with a notable recovery in the latest period. Gross profit margin increased significantly from 2023 to 2024, indicating improved cost management or pricing strategy. However, consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins are needed to indicate steady operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high degree of leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, although recent improvements in stockholders' equity are positive. The company has managed to maintain a reasonable equity ratio, but the overall financial structure relies heavily on debt, posing potential risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow statements indicate positive trends in operating cash flows and a significant turnaround in free cash flow, leading to a healthier cash position. The company has demonstrated an ability to generate cash from operations after years of negative free cash flow, which is a promising sign of financial stability.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
37.15M39.26M42.15M59.83M65.05M
Gross Profit
16.54M12.85M-12.48M6.17M4.34M
EBIT
2.41M12.85M-13.52M3.38M2.14M
EBITDA
24.06M3.65M32.39M18.43M28.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
12.42M-7.96M21.32M251.00K5.41M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
24.98M13.83M21.65M37.16M25.92M
Total Assets
103.64M98.13M122.29M174.17M159.77M
Total Debt
24.21M28.15M31.81M68.32M72.00M
Net Debt
-772.00K14.33M10.16M31.16M46.08M
Total Liabilities
71.08M78.74M95.76M170.48M158.19M
Stockholders Equity
32.55M19.39M26.53M3.69M1.58M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.92M-4.91M-7.15M17.65M12.50M
Operating Cash Flow
6.86M-2.06M3.64M24.14M15.73M
Investing Cash Flow
9.45M-1.50M17.41M-8.04M4.68M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.15M-4.27M-36.56M-4.85M-12.29M

Central Petroleum Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.06
Negative
100DMA
0.06
Negative
200DMA
0.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.70
Neutral
STOCH
8.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CTP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.06, and above the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CTP.

Central Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUSTO
63
Neutral
$19.05B10.207.94%5.98%-7.99%-12.27%
AUORG
62
Neutral
$18.40B12.8914.75%5.55%8.09%-13.99%
56
Neutral
$6.99B3.67-4.87%5.88%0.18%-49.70%
AUBPT
56
Neutral
$2.69B28.592.70%4.27%6.43%
AUCTP
50
Neutral
AU$46.95M630.000.25%-15.16%-99.57%
AUCVN
47
Neutral
$187.85M17.543.89%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CTP
Central Petroleum Limited
0.06
-0.01
-14.29%
AU:BPT
Beach Energy
1.22
-0.41
-25.37%
AU:ORG
Origin Energy Limited
11.03
1.64
17.50%
AU:STO
Santos Limited
6.06
-1.41
-18.88%
AU:CVN
Carnarvon Energy Limited
0.10
-0.10
-48.72%

Central Petroleum Limited Corporate Events

Central Petroleum Exceeds Production Targets and Increases Revenue in Q1 2025
Apr 29, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited reported a successful quarter ending March 31, 2025, with the commissioning of two new gas wells at Mereenie exceeding production expectations and coming in under budget. Despite steady sales volumes, the company saw a 22% increase in sales revenue to $11.4 million due to higher average unit sales prices driven by new gas contracts. The lapse of a conditional gas sale agreement with Arafura has led Central and its joint venture to seek new customers for future gas production, which may impact future market positioning.

Echelon Resources Ends Gas Sales Agreement with Arafura
Apr 16, 2025

Echelon Resources Limited announced that its conditional Gas Sales Agreement with Arafura Rare Earths has lapsed due to unmet conditions related to Arafura’s final investment decision. As a result, Echelon, along with its Mereenie Joint Venture partners, has decided to re-market the gas, maintaining a positive relationship with Arafura and expressing continued support for the Nolans Project. This decision reflects Echelon’s focus on production and development certainty and may impact its operational strategy and market positioning.

Horizon Oil to Re-market Gas After Nolans Project Agreement Lapses
Apr 16, 2025

Horizon Oil Limited, a company involved in the oil and gas industry, has announced that the gas supply agreement for Arafura’s Nolans rare earths project has lapsed due to unmet conditions. As a result, Horizon and its Mereenie joint venture partners will re-market the gas originally intended for the Nolans project to other customers in the Northern Territory and the East Coast, starting in 2028.

Central Petroleum to Re-market Gas Supply After Agreement Lapse
Apr 15, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited announced that the gas supply agreement for Arafura’s Nolan’s rare earth project has lapsed due to unmet conditions, prompting the company and its Mereenie joint venture partners to re-market the gas for sale to other customers in the NT and east coast. This decision underscores Central’s commitment to providing reliable long-term gas supplies, crucial for funding and developing major capital projects, thereby enhancing its positioning in the NT and broader east coast gas markets.

Central Petroleum Strengthens Financial Position with Strategic Loan Refinance
Mar 14, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has announced a significant improvement in its financial position, highlighted by a strong balance sheet and reduced debt. The company has successfully refinanced its loan, extending it for five years until the end of 2029, which provides financial security and flexibility for future investments. This strategic move is expected to smooth out cash flow, reduce debt servicing costs by 65% by 2025, and allow for potential early debt retirement, enhancing the company’s operational capabilities and shareholder returns.

Central Petroleum to Present Half-Year Results and Updates
Mar 12, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited will host an online presentation on March 14, 2025, to discuss its half-year results and recent activities. The session, led by Managing Director Leon Devaney and CFO Damian Galvin, will include a Q&A segment, allowing attendees to engage directly with the company’s leadership.

Central Petroleum Reports Strong Half-Year Results and Strategic Advancements
Mar 10, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited reported a 7% increase in Underlying EBITDAX to $8.6 million for the half year ending December 2024, with a statutory net profit after tax of $1.5 million. The company secured new long-term gas sales agreements with the Northern Territory Government, increasing cash flow reliability and lifting average portfolio prices. Additionally, the restructuring of its loan facility and successful drilling at Mereenie have enhanced production capacity, positioning the company for a stronger second half of FY2025.

Central Petroleum Releases Interim Report for Half-Year Ending December 2024
Mar 10, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has released its interim report for the half-year ending December 31, 2024. The report provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational activities during this period. While specific financial details are not disclosed in the summary, the release highlights the company’s continued focus on optimizing its energy assets and exploring growth opportunities within the industry. This report is crucial for stakeholders as it outlines the company’s strategic direction and potential impact on its market positioning.

Central Petroleum Completes Successful Mereenie Drilling Campaign
Feb 19, 2025

Central Petroleum Ltd has completed the drilling of the West Mereenie 30 well in the Mereenie Joint Venture, with gas sales expected to commence soon. This marks the end of a successful two-well drilling campaign that has been completed on time and under budget. The Mereenie field’s production capacity is expected to exceed 30TJ/d, supporting a long-term Gas Sales Agreement with the Northern Territory Government. Andrew Jefferies, Chief Executive of Central Petroleum, praised the campaign as a potential game changer for Mereenie, highlighting the collaborative effort of the Joint Venture and the drilling contractor Ventia.

Horizon Oil Boosts Gas Supply with Mereenie Development Success
Feb 19, 2025

Horizon Oil Limited announced the successful completion of the WM30 well, part of the Mereenie Development Program. This achievement, along with the WM29 well, is anticipated to enhance gas supply capabilities under the Northern Territory Government Gas Sales Agreement. The completion supports the company’s strategic positioning in the energy market and highlights its operational efficiency, as the drilling was finished on time and within budget.

Central Petroleum Successfully Completes Mereenie Well Program Under Budget
Feb 19, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has completed the drilling and completion of its second Mereenie production well, WM30, with the Ventia Rig 101 released on February 19, 2025. The well was drilled to a depth of 1,620 meters and is expected to be tied into the Mereenie production facilities in early March. The first well, WM29, exceeded expectations with a production rate of 5 TJ/d, and WM30 is anticipated to perform similarly. The drilling program was completed ahead of schedule and under budget, positioning Central Petroleum favorably in the tight gas market as it seeks to enhance production capabilities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.