iCetana Ltd. (ICE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$20.74M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 208.90K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): -0.02
• Revenue Growth: -48.98%
• EPS Growth: -12.82%
• Country: AU
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): >-0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 531,825,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 190,116
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 208,895
• PEG Ratio: -0.49
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.80
• Price to Sales (P/S): 9.70
• P/FCF Ratio: -7.43
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 41 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.04 ▼(-26.00% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/13/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/13/26

The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, negative margins, ongoing losses, and negative cash flows). Technicals remain bearish despite oversold readings, and valuation signals are limited by negative earnings and no dividend support.

Positive Factors

Recurring SaaS revenue model

iCetana's core business is recurring software licensing and subscription fees plus implementation and support services. That recurring SaaS/service mix creates durable revenue streams, higher customer lifetime value, and predictable renewal-driven cash inflows versus one-time sales.

Low financial leverage

Very low debt reduces fixed financing costs and gives management flexibility to fund operations or restructure without immediate interest pressure. This balance sheet conservatism supports runway during loss-making periods and enables capital allocation choices over months.

Improving free cash flow trend

Although cash flows remain negative, improving free cash flow growth and cash-to-income ratios above 1 indicate operational cash conversion is trending better. Continued improvement could materially extend runway and reduce external funding needs over the medium term.

Negative Factors

Revenue decline & negative margins

A steep revenue decline combined with negative gross margins signals weak unit economics: costs to deliver services exceed revenue. This undermines scalability and long-term profitability unless pricing, cost structure, or product mix are materially improved.

Persistent negative cash flow

Sustained negative operating and free cash flow drains liquidity and forces reliance on external financing or equity dilution. Over months this constrains investment in sales, R&D, and channel expansion, impeding the firm's ability to arrest revenue decline.

Ongoing unprofitability and negative ROE

Persistent net losses and negative return on equity indicate the company is not generating returns for shareholders. This structural profitability deficit makes raising capital harder and pressures strategic shifts to restore positive ROE over the medium term.

iCetana Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

iCetana Ltd. (ICE) is a technology company specializing in advanced video analytics solutions aimed at enhancing security and surveillance systems. Operating primarily in the public safety and security sectors, iCetana leverages artificial intelligence to provide real-time insights and alerting capabilities that significantly improve the efficiency of monitoring environments. The company's core products include intelligent video monitoring software that can detect and analyze unusual activities, enabling organizations to respond promptly to potential incidents.

How the Company Makes Money

iCetana makes money primarily by licensing its AI video analytics software to customers (generally on a recurring subscription/SaaS or term license basis) and charging for associated implementation and support services. Key revenue streams include: (1) recurring software license/subscription fees for the iCetana AI platform deployed to monitor a defined number of cameras/sites and/or compute capacity; (2) professional services revenue from deployment activities such as configuration, integration with existing video management systems (VMS), tuning, training, and project management; and (3) ongoing maintenance and customer support fees, which may be bundled with subscriptions or contracted separately depending on the customer. Partnerships or channel relationships (e.g., with security integrators and VMS ecosystem participants) can contribute to earnings by enabling sales to end customers via integrators and facilitating deployments that sit on top of installed surveillance infrastructure; specific partnership terms and revenue share details: null.

iCetana Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak fundamentals: revenue declined sharply (-24.67%), gross margin is negative (costs exceed revenue), and net losses persist. Balance sheet leverage is low (debt-to-equity 0.02), but negative ROE and negative operating/free cash flow keep overall financial quality poor.

Income Statement

iCetana Ltd. has experienced a significant decline in revenue with a negative growth rate of -24.67% in the most recent year. The company consistently reports negative gross profit margins, indicating that costs are exceeding revenues. Net profit margins are also deeply negative, reflecting ongoing losses. These factors suggest substantial challenges in achieving profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.02, indicating minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative, showing that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the negative ROE highlights profitability issues.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, although there is a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The ratios of cash flow to net income are above 1, indicating that cash flows are slightly better than net income, but the overall negative cash flow situation remains a concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.90M	1.89M	3.70M	1.74M	1.71M	1.49M
Gross Profit	-2.55M	-1.95M	2.13M	-1.91M	-2.47M	-1.76M
EBITDA	-4.05M	-3.35M	-2.38M	-2.68M	-3.54M	-2.71M
Net Income	-3.53M	-2.91M	-1.95M	-2.06M	-3.04M	-2.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.18M	5.37M	2.68M	2.39M	3.13M	2.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.19M	3.90M	1.48M	994.15K	2.02M	1.74M
Total Debt	151.74K	75.67K	83.55K	83.07K	76.34K	43.09K
Total Liabilities	1.73M	2.21M	1.82M	1.98M	1.70M	1.42M
Stockholders Equity	1.44M	3.16M	1.14M	729.45K	1.63M	1.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-2.84M	-2.47M	-1.58M	-1.56M	-1.93M	-1.07M
Operating Cash Flow	-2.78M	-2.42M	-1.54M	-1.39M	-1.91M	-1.03M
Investing Cash Flow	-59.84K	-50.43K	-40.39K	-164.13K	-20.06K	-26.01K
Financing Cash Flow	4.34M	4.92M	2.07M	629.76K	2.44M	-91.18K

iCetana Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.05
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ICE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ICE.

iCetana Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
AMX	48 Neutral	AU$21.85M	-3.90	-27.05%	―	-3.43%	-40.65%
XF1	43 Neutral	AU$19.81M	-13.76	46.05%	―	7.32%	67.11%
NVU	43 Neutral	AU$68.07M	-9.35	-86.31%	―	―	―
ICE	41 Neutral	AU$20.74M	-3.83	-153.09%	―	-48.98%	-12.82%
FLX	41 Neutral	AU$32.84M	-3.17	-151.85%	―	21.82%	6.83%
DUB	40 Underperform	AU$29.72M	-2.96	-203.17%	―	9.14%	65.30%

iCetana Ltd. Corporate Events

Icetana AI wins $2.1m renewal and expansion deal with key mall customer

Icetana AI has secured a US$1.49m, three-year software-as-a-service renewal and expansion contract with its largest customer, Middle Eastern shopping mall conglomerate Majid Al Futtaim Properties. The deal, covering AI-powered surveillance across 16 malls, reflects the customer’s long-term reliance on icetana’s technology for enhanced security and cost savings on guards.

The expanded camera licence footprint lifts icetana’s annual recurring revenue from this client by US$146,000, a 53% increase to be recognised from 6 March 2026 and paid annually in advance. Management says the win validates its self-learning AI platform and reinforces its strategic focus and reputation in the global large shopping mall segment, underlining growing demand for scalable autonomous security monitoring solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ICE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on iCetana Ltd. stock, see the AU:ICE Stock Forecast page.

icetana AI lifts recurring revenue 43% on strategic partner-led growth

icetana AI reported a strong first half for FY26, with recurring revenue rising 43% to $1.3 million and gross profit increasing 56% to $1.15 million, lifting gross margins to 88%. Cash receipts from customers surged 69% to $1.1 million, although operating cash outflow widened to $1.6 million as the company stepped up spending on sales and marketing to drive growth.

Management attributed the performance to deepening strategic alliances with SoftBank Robotics and Macnica, which are expanding icetana AI’s reach across Japan, APAC and the Middle East and validating its technology in real-world deployments. Product development has focused on improving algorithm quality, explainability, integrations and robotic interoperability, positioning the company to scale its AI-driven security solutions while seeking to retain and grow its existing customer base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ICE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on iCetana Ltd. stock, see the AU:ICE Stock Forecast page.

icetana Lifts Revenue but Loss Widens as Balance Sheet Improves

icetana Limited reported a 43% rise in revenue from ordinary activities to $1.30 million for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, signalling stronger sales momentum in its software operations. Despite the top-line growth, the company posted a higher after-tax loss attributable to owners of $1.80 million, up 51%, and confirmed it will not pay a dividend for the period.

Net tangible assets per share improved to 0.27 cents from a net tangible liabilities position of (0.23) cents in the prior corresponding period, indicating a stronger balance sheet. The interim financial report was reviewed without dispute or qualification by the auditors, and the board formally approved the release, underscoring regulatory compliance and transparency for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ICE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on iCetana Ltd. stock, see the AU:ICE Stock Forecast page.

icetana Posts Quarterly Cash Outflow as Cash Reserves Decline to A$2.2m

icetana Limited reported a net operating cash outflow of A$519,000 for the December 2025 quarter and A$1.65 million for the first half, reflecting higher staff, marketing and operating costs relative to customer receipts, despite receiving A$637,000 in government grants and tax incentives. After modest investing outflows and no new financing, the company’s cash balance declined from A$3.9 million at the start of the half to A$2.19 million at 31 December, highlighting ongoing cash burn and underscoring the importance of continued cost management and revenue growth to support its operations over the medium term.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ICE) stock is a Sell with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on iCetana Ltd. stock, see the AU:ICE Stock Forecast page.

icetana steadies revenue while deepening APAC security partnerships

The December quarter saw icetana hold revenue flat quarter on quarter at $593,000 while lifting ARR 36% year on year to $2.3 million, aided by contract renewals and new partnerships; cash burn narrowed to a $519,000 outflow, leaving $2.2 million on hand, signalling measured progress but highlighting the need to sustain momentum as it leans into domestic retail-security demand and SoftBank-enabled APAC expansion. Strategic distribution deals with SoftBank Robotics in the Gulf and Millennium Services Group in Australia and New Zealand, plus a successful mall proof of concept, strengthen its channel reach and reinforce management’s focus on large shopping centres as a core growth sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ICE) stock is a Sell with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on iCetana Ltd. stock, see the AU:ICE Stock Forecast page.

iCetana Options Lapse, Reducing Potential Future Dilution

iCetana Limited has notified the market of the cessation of several tranches of options on issue, all of which lapsed on 31 December 2025 after the conditions attached to them were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The expired securities include 166,667 options expiring 17 July 2028 with an exercise price of $0.046, 583,333 options expiring 10 March 2030 with an exercise price of $0.032, and 1,750,000 options expiring 10 March 2029 with an exercise price of $0.025, resulting in a reduction in potential future dilution for existing shareholders but no immediate change to the company’s issued share capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ICE) stock is a Sell with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on iCetana Ltd. stock, see the AU:ICE Stock Forecast page.

iCetana Issues 5.9 Million Unquoted ESIP Options Under Employee Incentive Scheme

iCetana Ltd, listed on the ASX under the code ICE, has notified the market of the issue of new unquoted equity securities under its employee incentive framework. The company will issue 5.9 million ESIP options, expiring on 10 December 2029, as part of an employee incentive scheme, a move that increases unquoted securities on issue and is designed to support staff retention and alignment with shareholder interests without immediately impacting the quoted share capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ICE) stock is a Sell with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on iCetana Ltd. stock, see the AU:ICE Stock Forecast page.