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Finbar Group Limited (AU:FRI)
ASX:FRI
Australian Market

Finbar Group Limited (FRI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:FRI

Finbar Group Limited

(Sydney:FRI)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.83
▼(-0.83% Downside)
Finbar Group Limited's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and an attractive dividend yield, despite challenges in financial performance due to declining revenue and profit margins. The stock's valuation is appealing, but caution is advised due to near overbought technical signals.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20 and a strong equity position provide durable financial flexibility for a developer. This reduces refinancing risk, supports project financing or land acquisitions without urgent external borrowing, and helps the company withstand cyclical real estate volatility over months.
Improved operating cash flow and FCF conversion
Operating cash flow turning positive and a free cash flow to net income ratio near 1 indicate the business can convert earnings into cash. Durable cash generation strengthens funding for construction, working capital and distributions, lowering reliance on external capital in the medium term if maintained.
Specialized focus on medium- to high-density residential
A clear focus on medium- to high-density residential development concentrates expertise and relationships in urban apartment markets. This specialization supports repeatable project pipelines, operational know-how and alignment with long-term urban housing demand trends that remain relevant over several months.
Negative Factors
Significant revenue decline and margin pressure
A near 30% revenue decline paired with falling gross and net margins materially reduces operating leverage and robustness of earnings. For a developer, this can compress project returns and limit reinvestment capacity, making recovery of profitability a multi-quarter challenge if sales pipelines remain weak.
Negative free cash flow growth
Negative free cash flow growth signals the recent cash conversion gains may not be durable. If FCF deteriorates, the company could face constrained funding for new projects or dividends, increasing reliance on external financing or asset sales and weakening medium-term operational flexibility.
Declining return on equity
A falling return on equity indicates the company is generating lower returns on shareholders' capital, suggesting project margins or pricing have weakened. Sustained ROE decline undermines reinvestment effectiveness and can erode shareholder value if not reversed over upcoming reporting periods.

Finbar Group Limited (FRI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Finbar Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFinbar Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties in Australia. It engages in the development of medium to high density residential buildings and commercial properties, as well as rents its properties. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in East Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFinbar Group Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, including apartments and mixed-use developments. The company earns income by developing properties and then selling them to individual buyers or investors. Key revenue streams include pre-sales and final sales of residential units, with income recognized upon settlement. Additionally, Finbar may derive revenue from joint ventures and partnerships with other developers and investors, which can enhance project financing and mitigate risks. The company’s focus on sustainable and innovative designs attracts buyers and investors, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Finbar Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Finbar Group Limited faces a mixed financial outlook. The income statement shows declining revenue and profit margins, but the balance sheet is strong with low leverage. Cash flow improvements are promising but need to be sustained.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Finbar Group Limited's income statement reveals a challenging period with a significant revenue decline of nearly 30% in the latest year. Gross and net profit margins have decreased, indicating pressure on profitability. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT margin, suggesting some operational efficiency despite the revenue drop.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity has decreased, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a substantial improvement in operating cash flow, turning positive after a negative period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, showing effective cash generation relative to profits. However, free cash flow growth is negative, highlighting potential challenges in sustaining cash flow improvements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue284.47M284.47M186.14M33.97M91.11M103.39M
Gross Profit34.34M34.34M20.92M11.50M16.43M17.29M
EBITDA21.99M21.99M22.70M4.36M8.09M8.91M
Net Income14.38M14.38M16.60M3.13M10.91M8.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets360.18M360.18M704.53M444.26M348.13M345.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.40M36.40M220.15M18.18M33.79M52.74M
Total Debt50.33M50.33M388.77M177.14M85.20M71.48M
Total Liabilities111.08M111.08M448.04M204.19M105.40M102.86M
Stockholders Equity249.10M249.10M256.50M240.07M242.73M242.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow179.59M179.59M-15.29M-112.79M-8.70M18.04M
Operating Cash Flow179.63M179.63M-15.13M-112.59M-8.60M18.11M
Investing Cash Flow-20.94M-18.57M6.62M11.11M-14.82M5.26M
Financing Cash Flow-344.81M-344.81M211.66M86.45M4.03M-1.36M

Finbar Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.84
Price Trends
50DMA
0.85
Negative
100DMA
0.85
Negative
200DMA
0.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
38.48
Neutral
STOCH
49.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.82, below the 50-day MA of 0.85, and above the 200-day MA of 0.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:FRI.

Finbar Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
AU$219.06M14.685.69%11.49%47.37%-13.44%
42
Neutral
AU$6.46M-2.22-5.75%-36.70%-2150.00%
40
Underperform
AU$196.21M-9.13-5.60%2.62%-35.85%35.27%
38
Underperform
AU$19.82M-7.58-13.36%-81.98%-131.34%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FRI
Finbar Group Limited
0.81
0.03
4.27%
AU:MPX
Mustera Property Group Ltd.
0.14
-0.13
-48.08%
AU:URF
US Masters Residential Property Fund
0.29
-0.01
-4.68%
AU:CAQ
CAQ Holdings Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Finbar Group Limited Corporate Events

Finbar Secures Strong Presales in Launch of Palmyra West Apartments
Jan 20, 2026

Finbar Group has reported a strong off-the-plan sales launch for its wholly owned Palmyra West Apartments development in Palmyra, with more than 70% of the 130 apartments sold, representing about $67 million in presales and an expected total end sales value of around $98 million. The low-rise, medium-density project, positioned 4 km from Fremantle and offering extensive lifestyle amenities, is set to begin construction in March 2026 and be completed in the first half of FY28, underscoring Finbar’s ability to meet demand in an increasingly affordability-conscious market and reinforcing its brand strength with significant participation from first home buyers and repeat customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Finbar Group Limited stock, see the AU:FRI Stock Forecast page.

Finbar Boosts $1.6bn Pipeline with $16.5m South Perth Site Acquisition
Dec 22, 2025

Finbar Group Limited has agreed to acquire a 4,093sqm development site spanning 18-22 Bowman Street and 19 Labouchere Road in South Perth for $16.5 million via an off-market private sale, with settlement expected in July 2026 subject to due diligence and other conditions. The planned high-density apartment project, located opposite Finbar’s completed Civic Heart development and close to key local amenities, is expected to launch to market in mid-2028 and reach completion in FY2031 or FY2032, with an estimated end value of about $350 million; this acquisition increases Finbar’s development pipeline to more than $1.6 billion, reinforcing its strategic foothold in South Perth and demonstrating its capacity to pursue sizeable projects supported by a strong cash position and disciplined capital allocation, with the company positioning the project as a long-term value creator for shareholders and a source of high-demand housing in a prime amenity-rich suburb.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRI) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Finbar Group Limited stock, see the AU:FRI Stock Forecast page.

Finbar Completes Settlement for South Perth Development Site
Nov 24, 2025

Finbar Group Limited has completed the settlement for a development site at 19–25 Lyall Street, South Perth, which will contribute to its five-year development pipeline valued at over $1.2 billion. The project, with an estimated end value of $187 million, is set to launch in 2026 and complete by mid-2029, strengthening Finbar’s market position and offering substantial growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRI) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Finbar Group Limited stock, see the AU:FRI Stock Forecast page.

Finbar Group: Sustaining Success in WA’s Property Development
Nov 19, 2025

Finbar Group Limited, a prominent player in Western Australia’s property development sector, has consistently delivered successful projects, reinforcing its reputation as a trusted developer. With a focus on enhancing inner-city living, the company continues to shape Perth’s urban landscape, impacting stakeholders positively by maintaining a 100% project delivery success rate and achieving over $4 billion in completed projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRI) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Finbar Group Limited stock, see the AU:FRI Stock Forecast page.

Finbar Group to Participate in Euroz Hartleys Non-Deal Roadshow
Nov 4, 2025

Finbar Group Limited, with its impressive track record in property development, is set to participate in a non-deal roadshow hosted by Euroz Hartleys on November 5-6, 2025. This event underscores Finbar’s commitment to maintaining its leadership in the Western Australian market and its focus on sustainable urban development, which is likely to reinforce its strong position among stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRI) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Finbar Group Limited stock, see the AU:FRI Stock Forecast page.

Finbar Group Secures Approval for $63M Rivervale Apartment Project
Nov 4, 2025

Finbar Group Limited has received development approval for a new $63 million project in Rivervale, Western Australia. The project, a joint venture, will feature a 16-level residential tower with 108 apartments, aimed at the mid-range market. This approval reflects Finbar’s strategic positioning in a supply-constrained market and its commitment to delivering affordable housing solutions. The development is well-located near Perth CBD and other amenities, indicating strong demand from both owner-occupiers and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRI) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Finbar Group Limited stock, see the AU:FRI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025