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Mustera Property Group Ltd. (AU:MPX)
ASX:MPX
Australian Market
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Mustera Property Group Ltd. (MPX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MPX

Mustera Property Group Ltd.

(Sydney:MPX)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.11
▼(-22.86% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:03/24/26
The score is primarily held back by volatile financial performance—FY2025 saw a sharp revenue decline and a return to losses—despite improved leverage and recently positive cash flow. Technical indicators also lean weak (negative MACD and price below longer-term averages). Valuation signals are not supportive due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage and balance-sheet health
Material deleveraging to ~0.6x D/E is a durable improvement for a developer: it lowers refinancing and liquidity risk, increases capacity to fund new projects or weather downturns, and provides more financial flexibility for strategic JV activity without immediate capital raises.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue decline and top-line volatility
An ~83% revenue drop in one year indicates high susceptibility to project timing and market demand. Persistent top-line volatility undermines forecasting, limits scalable overhead absorption, and increases the chance of repeated profit swings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage and balance-sheet health
Material deleveraging to ~0.6x D/E is a durable improvement for a developer: it lowers refinancing and liquidity risk, increases capacity to fund new projects or weather downturns, and provides more financial flexibility for strategic JV activity without immediate capital raises.
Read all positive factors

Mustera Property Group Ltd. (MPX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mustera Property Group Limited, along with its associated entities, functions as an Australian enterprise focused on property investment and development. The company's activities are organized into two primary divisions: property investment and pr...
How the Company Makes Money
Mustera Property Group Ltd. generates revenue primarily through property development and investment activities. The company earns income from the sale of residential and commercial real estate properties developed by its team and through the renta...

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial results are highly volatile: FY2025 revenue fell sharply (~83% YoY) and profitability swung from profit in FY2024 (net margin ~12%) to a loss in FY2025 (net margin ~-21%). A key offset is improved leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.6x in FY2025 from ~4.4x in FY2023) and recently positive operating/free cash flow, but inconsistency and periodic losses keep risk elevated.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.39M68.76M2.25M3.73M5.35M
Gross Profit12.39M14.35M476.00K644.66K284.61K
EBITDA153.25K13.85M-2.04M-182.94K-1.30M
Net Income-2.60M8.31M-5.75M-2.23M-2.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.18M58.60M81.25M53.64M42.03M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments686.67K6.73M1.09M894.67K421.45K
Total Debt10.78M30.55M58.05M31.04M21.58M
Total Liabilities26.02M37.84M68.19M35.95M28.51M
Stockholders Equity18.16M20.76M13.06M17.70M13.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.82M33.48M-25.18M-13.47M956.73K
Operating Cash Flow6.82M33.85M-25.18M-13.47M1.16M
Investing Cash Flow-10.24K-507.63K-550.16K-2.14M-2.35M
Financing Cash Flow-12.85M-27.69M25.92M16.08M1.32M

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.14
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Negative
100DMA
0.13
Negative
200DMA
0.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
44.16
Neutral
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MPX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.12, above the 50-day MA of 0.13, and below the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MPX.

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
53
Neutral
AU$32.73M10.474.84%-8.01%843.48%
46
Neutral
AU$17.62M-7.87-14.04%-79.84%-115.74%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MPX
Mustera Property Group Ltd.
0.12
-0.10
-45.45%
AU:DGH
Desane Group Holdings Ltd
0.80
0.02
2.56%

Mustera Property Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Mustera advances Verse on McCabe as Forbes Residences nears full sell‑down
Apr 30, 2026
Mustera Property Group advanced its Verse on McCabe project in North Fremantle during the March 2026 quarter, appointing Thomas Building as the construction contractor and targeting a second-quarter 2026 start with a 28‑month build program. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026