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Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. (AU:FPC)
ASX:FPC
Australian Market

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. (FPC) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:FPC

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd.

(Sydney:FPC)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(4.17% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mid-range financial quality due to volatile revenue and cash-flow consistency despite improved recent profitability, supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and dividend yield). Technicals are moderately positive with price above key moving averages, but momentum looks somewhat stretched near-term (high Stoch).
Positive Factors
Record NTA Achievement
Achieving a record NTA indicates effective portfolio management and strategic asset allocation, enhancing investor confidence and long-term growth potential.
Strategic Portfolio Adjustments
Strategic adjustments to the portfolio reflect proactive management and adaptation to market trends, potentially driving long-term returns and diversification.
Strong Precious Metals Performance
Strong performance in precious metals enhances portfolio value, leveraging global economic trends and providing a hedge against market volatility.
Negative Factors
Volatile Revenue and Cash Flows
High volatility in revenue and cash flows undermines predictability and stability, potentially impacting long-term financial planning and investor confidence.
Inconsistent Cash Generation
Inconsistent cash generation limits financial flexibility and can hinder the ability to capitalize on investment opportunities or manage liabilities effectively.
Revenue Decline
A significant decline in revenue raises concerns about the sustainability of income sources and challenges in maintaining consistent financial performance.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. (FPC) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Fat Prophets Funds Management Australia Pty. Ltd. The fund invests in public equity markets of across the globe. It seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund primarily invests in stocks using contrarian approach. It also invests in exchange traded funds. The fund employs fundamental analysis along with a combination of bottom-up and top-down stock picking approach to create its portfolios. Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd was formed on October 19, 2016 and is domiciled in Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. makes money primarily through the appreciation of its investment portfolio. By employing a contrarian investment strategy, the company seeks to identify undervalued opportunities in global markets that are poised for recovery or growth. Revenue is generated from capital gains on investments as their value increases. Additionally, the company may earn income through dividends or interest from the securities held in its portfolio. The fund's performance and ability to generate returns are critical in attracting and retaining investors, and management fees may also contribute to its revenue stream. Significant partnerships or market insights from the parent company, Fat Prophets, can enhance the fund's investment strategy and decision-making process.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. demonstrates a volatile financial performance with inconsistent revenue and profit margins, reflecting operational challenges. While recent profitability improvements and a moderate balance sheet offer some optimism, negative free cash flow and volatile cash flow metrics highlight ongoing financial instability and cash generation issues.
Income Statement
The company has shown a volatile revenue trend, with significant negative revenue in some years and a jump in revenue in 2024. Gross profit margin is stable at 100% due to zero cost of goods sold. However, EBIT and net income margins are inconsistent, indicating fluctuating profitability. The net profit margin improved drastically in 2024. Revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is exceptionally high, indicating potential recovery.
Balance Sheet
The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a balanced use of debt. ROE is positive in 2024, showing a return to profitability. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a consistent reliance on equity financing. However, fluctuations in total assets and liabilities suggest potential instability.
Cash Flow
The company shows inconsistent cash flows with negative free cash flow in recent years. Operating cash flow to net income is not calculable due to zero operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.41M3.20M7.00M145.00K2.09M15.53M
Gross Profit14.41M2.16M7.00M179.00K1.12M15.53M
EBITDA13.54M10.11M6.93M-122.52K-26.00M14.48M
Net Income9.34M6.99M4.47M-534.00K-9.19M9.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets109.26M74.14M62.05M46.53M61.81M109.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.26M27.75M16.79M24.86M23.58M47.26M
Total Debt46.20M28.84M24.85M14.17M19.74M46.20M
Total Liabilities51.25M34.42M27.03M14.39M20.11M51.25M
Stockholders Equity58.01M39.73M35.02M32.14M41.71M58.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.60M9.61M-18.52M16.13M-9.19M16.60M
Operating Cash Flow16.60M9.61M-18.52M16.13M-9.19M16.60M
Investing Cash Flow1.13M0.000.000.0018.74M0.00
Financing Cash Flow2.14M-1.11M-1.55M-9.04M-7.11M1.01M

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.44
Price Trends
50DMA
1.41
Positive
100DMA
1.39
Positive
200DMA
1.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
61.76
Neutral
STOCH
94.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.40, above the 50-day MA of 1.41, and above the 200-day MA of 1.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:FPC.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
AU$79.70M11.1732.22%6.39%22.67%19.47%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
AU$35.55M11.206.14%14.29%-0.40%
66
Neutral
5.9018.72%3.47%31.67%64.92%
62
Neutral
AU$23.92M9.6813.13%101.80%355.88%
55
Neutral
AU$11.51M-66.67-2.22%15.52%79.73%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FPC
Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd.
1.47
0.62
72.35%
AU:APL
Contango Asset Management Ltd.
0.20
0.04
25.00%
AU:MAM
Microequities Asset Management Group Ltd.
0.61
0.12
24.49%
AU:PVL
Powerhouse Ventures Ltd.
0.15
0.06
66.67%
AU:SEQ
Sequoia Financial Group Ltd.
0.29
-0.06
-16.91%

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. Corporate Events

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Hits Record NTA on Precious Metals Rally
Dec 29, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund reported an estimated pre-tax net tangible asset value of $1.9685 per share as at 24 December 2025, up 4.1% from 30 November and marking the highest level in the company’s history. The year-end strength was driven by record highs in gold, silver and platinum prices, which supported precious metals and PGM mining holdings, as well as gains in Japanese financials following the Bank of Japan’s recent rate increase. The portfolio was also adjusted to add to positions in James Hardie, Chinese technology groups Baidu and GDS Holdings, and EV giant BYD at what the manager considers attractive levels, with the fund maintaining a positive outlook into 2026 amid expectations of a weaker US dollar and continued supply tightness in silver and platinum markets.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Updates On-Market Buy-Back Activity
Dec 22, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. As of the latest notice dated 23 December 2025, the fund has repurchased a cumulative total of 415,245 shares prior to the previous trading day and a further 50,000 shares on the previous day, signalling continued use of capital management to potentially enhance net asset value per share and support the trading price for existing investors.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund NTA Near Year High on Precious Metals Rally
Dec 19, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund has reported an estimated pre-tax net tangible asset (NTA) per share of $1.9106 as at 17 December 2025, up from $1.8907 at 30 November, representing a 1.053% rise with no changes made to the portfolio over the period. The uplift in NTA has been driven by strong gains in gold, silver and platinum, while the manager highlights a supportive macro backdrop, with softer-than-expected US inflation giving the Federal Reserve scope for further rate cuts in 2026 that could pressure the US dollar, and a prospective rate hike in Japan expected to benefit the fund’s Japanese financial holdings, underscoring a positive outlook into year-end and 2026 for investors.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Reports Strong November Performance
Dec 14, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund reported a strong performance in November, driven by a rebound in Chinese technology stocks and precious metals. The fund’s net tangible asset backing increased, with significant contributions from gold, silver, and platinum producers. The company sees potential in the Chinese tech sector and has increased its holdings in major tech companies like Baidu and Alibaba. Additionally, the fund has added exposure to the US housing sector and the leading EV manufacturer BYD, anticipating a cyclical upswing in 2026. The overall market outlook remains positive, with expectations of a strong finish for risk assets by year-end.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Reports Slight Decrease in NTA
Dec 11, 2025

The Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund announced its estimated pre-tax net tangible assets (NTA) per share as of December 10, 2025, showing a slight decrease to $1.8852 from $1.8907 on November 30, 2025. This minor decline of 0.291% in NTA reflects the fund’s performance over the ten-day period, potentially impacting investor sentiment and the fund’s market positioning.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Expands Equity Exposure Amid Optimistic Market Outlook
Dec 5, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund has amended its announcement regarding its estimated pre-tax NTA as of December 3, 2025. The company has increased its equity exposure, investing in James Hardie due to its potential in the US housing market, and BYD & Co, an EV manufacturer expanding into global markets. Additionally, the fund has increased its position in Grab Holdings, a Southeast Asian tech company, following its solid operational results. These strategic investments reflect the company’s optimistic outlook on global markets and potential opportunities in the housing and EV sectors.

Fat Prophets Fund Expands Equity Exposure Amid Positive Market Outlook
Dec 5, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund has increased its equity exposure, reflecting a positive outlook for global markets. The fund has invested in James Hardie, anticipating a recovery in the US housing sector, and sees potential in BYD & Co’s expansion into international markets. Additionally, the fund has increased its stake in Grab Holdings, capitalizing on its operational success and market presence in Southeast Asia. The fund’s pre-tax NTA per share saw a slight increase, indicating a stable financial position.

Fat Prophets Fund Rebounds with Strong Tech and Precious Metals Performance
Nov 27, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund announced a sharp rebound in its estimated pre-tax NTA, driven by strong performance in Chinese technology stocks and precious metals. The fund has fully recovered from its November drawdown, with strategic additions to its portfolio, particularly in Chinese and Southeast Asian tech holdings, indicating a positive outlook for the end of the year and potential growth in the tech sector.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Reports October NTA Decline Amid Market Corrections
Nov 14, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund reported a decrease in its net tangible asset backing for October, attributed to corrections in equities and precious metals, and the strengthening US dollar. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about long-term growth in precious metals and has strategically diversified its portfolio by investing in Chinese technology firms and companies like Grab Holdings and Genius Sports, which are poised for growth in their respective markets.

Fat Prophets Fund Sees Positive NTA Shift Amid Market Rally
Nov 14, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund announced an improvement in its portfolio performance for November, with the Net Tangible Assets (NTA) per share moving back into positive territory. This positive shift was driven by a rally in gold and precious metals, benefiting the company’s significant exposure to mining stocks, and strong performance from Japanese banks reaching twenty-year highs due to solid earnings, buybacks, and increased dividends. The announcement suggests a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan, which could further impact the fund’s positioning and stakeholder interests.

Fat Prophets Corrects NTA Figures Amid Precious Metals Selloff
Nov 10, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund announced a correction to its previous ASX release, clarifying the pre-tax NTA figures for early November 2025. The fund experienced a drawdown due to a selloff in precious metals, affecting major holdings like Evolution Mining and Sibanye Stillwater. Despite this, the company remains optimistic about the long-term performance of gold and precious metals, anticipating a rebound as the US dollar’s strength wanes and economic conditions potentially lead to further rate cuts.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Faces Early November Drawdown Amid Precious Metals Selloff
Nov 7, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund reported a drawdown in early November due to a selloff in precious metals, affecting major holdings like Evolution Mining and Fresnillo. Despite this, the fund remains optimistic about the long-term performance of precious metals, anticipating a weaker US dollar and potential rate cuts to support future gains.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. Announces AGM Results
Nov 5, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting on November 5, 2025, where key resolutions were passed. The re-election of Director Michael Gallagher was approved, and the adoption of the Remuneration Report received significant support. These outcomes reflect strong shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. Strengthens Board with New Appointments
Nov 4, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. announced changes in its board leadership, highlighting the appointment of Michael Gallagher as the Independent Chairman and Katrina Vanstone as an Independent Director. Gallagher brings over 30 years of investment experience, having co-founded Kima Capital and held significant roles at Rand Merchant Bank and Macquarie Bank. Vanstone offers extensive expertise in financial markets, particularly in foreign exchange, interest rates, and credit markets, with a strong background in trading, sales, and syndication. These appointments are expected to strengthen the company’s strategic direction and enhance its market positioning, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by leveraging the directors’ vast industry experience.

Fat Prophets Fund Navigates Market Corrections and Strategic Investments
Oct 24, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund experienced a recent drawdown due to a correction in precious metals, despite having reduced exposure prior to the selloff. The fund remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of gold and has strategically added positions in Chinese technology companies like Alibaba and Tencent Music, anticipating potential market volatility and opportunities for growth. The fund is also monitoring key risks such as inflation, high valuations of major companies, and US-China trade negotiations, which could impact market dynamics and investor sentiment.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Reports Increase in Pre-Tax NTA
Oct 17, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. announced an estimated pre-tax net tangible asset (NTA) per share of $1.9157 as of October 15, 2025, reflecting a 1.50% increase from September 30, 2025. This positive change in NTA suggests an improvement in the fund’s asset value, potentially enhancing its attractiveness to investors and strengthening its position in the investment management sector.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Reports NTA Increase
Oct 17, 2025

The Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund announced an increase in its estimated pre-tax Net Tangible Assets (NTA) per share to $1.9157 as of October 15, 2025, up from $1.8874 on September 30, 2025. This 1.50% increase in NTA reflects the fund’s effective investment strategies and could positively impact investor confidence and market positioning.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Reports Strong September Performance
Oct 14, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. announced a significant increase in its net tangible asset backing for September, driven by strong performances in precious metals and technology stocks. The fund’s strategic additions to key positions, such as Grab Holdings and Genius Sports, highlight its focus on long-term growth and market opportunities, particularly in Asia and China.

Fat Prophets Fund Hits Record High Amid Strategic Investments
Oct 9, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund announced a record high in its estimated pre-tax NTA per share, driven by gains in precious metals and strategic investments in companies like Grab Holdings and Genius Sports. Despite short-term market fluctuations and challenges, the fund remains optimistic about long-term growth prospects, particularly in sectors like AI and sports betting, with a focus on leveraging data partnerships and market positioning.

Fat Prophets Announces 2025 AGM and Key Resolutions
Oct 3, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2025, in Sydney. The meeting will address key resolutions, including the adoption of the 2025 Remuneration Report and the re-election of Director Michael Gallagher. The Remuneration Report outlines the company’s policies on director and executive compensation, linking it to company performance. Shareholders will have the opportunity to vote on these resolutions, which are advisory and do not bind the company.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Achieves Record High NTA and Share Price
Oct 3, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund announced a record high estimated pre-tax NTA per share of $1.8719 as of October 1, 2025, and a record high closing share price of $1.51. The fund’s recent strategic moves include selling its stake in Dai-Ichi Insurance for a gain and eliminating leverage, positioning itself cautiously amid potential market volatility due to a possible US Government shutdown.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Updates Share Buy-Back Progress
Oct 1, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. announced an update on their ongoing share buy-back program. As of October 2, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 415,245 ordinary fully paid securities, including 60,000 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage capital effectively and potentially enhance shareholder value.

Fat Prophets Director Increases Stake Through DRP
Oct 1, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Katrina Vanstone acquiring 1,217 ordinary fully paid shares through a dividend reinvestment plan. This change reflects a strategic move to increase her stake in the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which could positively impact stakeholder perceptions.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. Updates on Buy-Back Program
Sep 30, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd. has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program. The company reported buying back a total of 30,000 ordinary fully paid securities on the previous day, adding to the cumulative total of 325,245 securities bought back before that day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd Announces Cessation of Securities
Sep 30, 2025

Fat Prophets Global Contrarian Fund Ltd announced the cessation of 360,000 ordinary fully paid securities due to an on-market buy-back as of September 23, 2025. This move is part of the company’s capital management strategy, potentially impacting its market positioning by reducing the number of shares in circulation, which could enhance shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025