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Experience Co Ltd (AU:EXP)
ASX:EXP
US Market

Experience Co Ltd (EXP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:EXP

Experience Co Ltd

(Sydney:EXP)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.12
▼(-8.46% Downside)
Experience Co Ltd's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company shows strong revenue growth but faces significant profitability challenges, impacting its valuation. Technical indicators suggest mixed momentum, with short-term bearish signals and a longer-term positive trend. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line growth provides a durable foundation for Experience Co's business model, signaling consistent demand for adventure tourism. Over 2-6 months this supports capacity utilization, reinvestment in experiences, and market share defense versus peers in the leisure industry.
Operating Cash Generation
Positive and growing operating cash flow indicates the core business is generating real cash independent of accounting profits. This underpins sustainable funding for maintenance capex, working capital, debt servicing and strategic investments without constant reliance on equity raises.
Balance Sheet Stability
A moderate leverage profile and stable equity ratio give the company financial flexibility to withstand cyclical demand in leisure and pursue measured expansion. This reduces refinancing risk and preserves capacity to fund strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Persistently negative net margins and ROE show the company struggles to convert revenue into shareholder returns. Over months this constrains retained earnings, weakens capital allocation, and may limit ability to fund growth or sustain shareholder distributions.
Inconsistent Free Cash Flow
Volatile free cash flow reduces predictability of internal funding for capex, debt repayment and dividends. Structural inconsistency increases reliance on external financing in downturns, raising cost of capital and limiting the company's ability to execute long-term strategic projects reliably.
Fluctuating Operating Margins
Variable EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate underlying cost or pricing pressures and an inability to consistently translate gross profit improvements into net earnings. Over 2-6 months this undermines margin sustainability and complicates planning for investments and margin-enhancing initiatives.

Experience Co Ltd (EXP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Experience Co Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExperience Co Limited engages in adventure tourism and leisure business in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through Skydiving, Adventure Experiences, and Corporate segments. It provides tandem skydive and related products; and reef-based dive and snorkel experiences, as well as rainforest tours. The company also offers island day trips, reef tours, multi-days experiences, and tree ropes and ziplining experiences. In addition, it provides aircraft maintenance services. The company operates 14 skydiving drop zones in Australia and 3 in New Zealand. Experience Co Limited was founded in 1998 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyExperience Co Ltd generates revenue primarily through the sale of adventure tourism experiences and activities. The company offers a diverse range of experiences, including skydiving, scenic flights, and guided tours, which customers can book directly through its website or via third-party travel agencies. Key revenue streams include ticket sales for individual experiences, group bookings, and special packages for events or corporate clients. Additionally, Experience Co Ltd benefits from partnerships with hotels and travel operators, allowing for cross-promotion and bundled services that enhance customer reach and increase sales. Seasonal promotions and marketing campaigns also contribute to revenue growth by attracting more tourists during peak travel periods.

Experience Co Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Experience Co Ltd shows strong revenue growth, but struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and return on equity. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow is inconsistent. Overall, the company needs to enhance profitability and cash flow stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Experience Co Ltd has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in gross profit margin from negative to positive territory. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and fluctuating EBIT and EBITDA margins. The consistent revenue growth is a positive sign, but the company needs to address its profitability issues to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base, but the company needs to improve its profitability to enhance shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has been positive and growing, which is a strength for Experience Co Ltd. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, with recent declines. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash generation is stronger than accounting profits, but the company needs to stabilize its free cash flow to ensure long-term financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue134.31M134.31M127.04M108.60M55.82M44.45M
Gross Profit50.87M53.57M16.84M12.96M-3.99M-3.59M
EBITDA13.06M14.47M12.10M12.79M-6.90M6.22M
Net Income-975.00K-975.00K-71.00K-542.00K-13.58M-4.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets190.49M190.49M192.03M190.80M188.69M116.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.08M11.08M8.24M8.59M18.32M13.32M
Total Debt38.04M38.04M35.58M32.34M33.65M28.29M
Total Liabilities62.84M62.84M63.09M61.83M64.77M42.68M
Stockholders Equity127.64M127.64M128.94M128.96M123.92M73.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.27M3.27M3.57M-3.04M-4.84M1.82M
Operating Cash Flow17.62M17.62M11.51M9.72M3.02M4.53M
Investing Cash Flow-14.93M-14.93M-10.66M-14.70M-46.95M1.79M
Financing Cash Flow154.00K154.00K-1.19M-4.75M48.92M-5.47M

Experience Co Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.13
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Negative
100DMA
0.14
Negative
200DMA
0.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.53
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EXP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.13, above the 50-day MA of 0.13, and above the 200-day MA of 0.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:EXP.

Experience Co Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
AU$110.87M145.681.90%1.58%-65.09%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
AU$110.97M11.4712.77%7.43%-7.21%-14.55%
58
Neutral
AU$159.65M30.924.75%30.36%47.61%
57
Neutral
AU$116.88M209.090.21%7.14%4.44%-90.57%
51
Neutral
AU$217.59M-622.22-0.05%10.76%95.79%
48
Neutral
AU$90.49M-92.31-0.76%1.92%5.73%-1200.00%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EXP
Experience Co Ltd
0.12
0.00
0.00%
AU:ABY
Adore Beauty Group Ltd.
1.18
0.28
31.11%
AU:SHJ
Shine Justice Ltd.
0.69
-0.03
-4.17%
AU:VVA
Viva Leisure Ltd.
1.62
0.22
15.71%
AU:GLB
Globe International Limited
2.71
-0.39
-12.58%
AU:CEH
Ardent Leisure Group Ltd
0.56
0.09
17.89%

Experience Co Ltd Corporate Events

Experience Co Cuts Share Count as Performance Rights Lapse and Buy-Back Cancels Stock
Jan 5, 2026

Experience Co Ltd, the ASX-listed adventure tourism operator, has updated the market on changes to its issued capital following the cessation of certain securities. The company reported the lapse of 461,246 performance rights after the relevant conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied, and the cancellation of 1,402,523 fully paid ordinary shares pursuant to an on-market buy-back completed on 31 December 2025. These actions reduce the company’s outstanding equity instruments and share count, signalling ongoing capital management and potential consolidation of value for remaining shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Dec 30, 2025

Experience Co Limited has updated the market on the progress of its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under the code EXP. The company is continuing to repurchase its own securities as part of a previously announced buy-back, with a cumulative total of 2,690,000 shares bought back as at 31 December 2025, including 130,000 shares acquired on the prior trading day, signalling ongoing capital management activity that may support earnings per share and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Continues Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back
Dec 29, 2025

Experience Co Ltd has updated the market on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under the code EXP. The company did not provide additional operational or strategic background in this notice. The latest notification, dated 30 December 2025, confirms Experience Co has repurchased a total of 2,435,931 shares prior to the previous trading day and bought back a further 124,069 shares on the preceding day under its on-market buy-back that commenced on 26 May 2025. The continued daily buy-back activity underscores the company’s ongoing capital management efforts and signals management’s focus on returning value to shareholders and potentially improving earnings per share through a reduced share base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Updates Daily On‑Market Share Buy-Back Activity
Dec 28, 2025

Experience Co Limited has disclosed an update to its on‑market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under code EXP. The company reported that it had repurchased a cumulative 2,276,384 shares prior to the latest trading day and bought back an additional 159,547 shares on the previous day, indicating ongoing execution of a capital management strategy that reduces shares on issue and may support earnings per share and shareholder value over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program
Dec 21, 2025

Experience Co Ltd has provided a daily update on its on-market share buy-back program, confirming that a total of 1,920,745 shares had been repurchased prior to the latest reporting date, with a further 10,600 ordinary fully paid shares bought back on the previous trading day. The ongoing buy-back, first notified in May 2025 and most recently updated on 22 December 2025, underscores the company’s continued use of capital management to reduce its share count, which may support earnings per share over time and signal management’s confidence in the underlying value of the business to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Grants 15 Million Options to Director Under Incentive Plan
Dec 19, 2025

Experience Co Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of director John O’Sullivan, who has been granted 15,000,000 options under the company’s employee incentive plan via his indirect holdings through a superannuation fund and a family trust. Following the grant, O’Sullivan’s indirect interests comprise existing ordinary fully paid shares, 3,000,000 performance rights after the lapse of 2,500,000 rights, and the newly issued options with various exercise prices, underscoring the company’s continued use of equity-based remuneration to incentivise and retain key leadership without any on-market trading during the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-back
Dec 19, 2025

Experience Co Limited has continued its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, providing an updated notification to the ASX as of 19 December 2025. The company reported that a total of 1,715,745 shares had been repurchased prior to the previous trading day, with an additional 205,000 shares bought back on the previous day, indicating an ongoing capital management initiative that reduces the number of shares on issue and may enhance value for remaining shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Limited Updates on Securities Buy-Back
Dec 14, 2025

Experience Co Limited, identified by the ASX code EXP, has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities. As of December 15, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 1,632,977 securities, with an additional 82,768 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Ltd Updates on Share Buy-Back Program
Dec 11, 2025

Experience Co Ltd has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program. As of December 12, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 1,596,477 ordinary fully paid securities, with an additional 36,500 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Limited Updates on Securities Buy-Back
Dec 10, 2025

Experience Co Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing buy-back of ordinary fully paid securities, with a total of 1,467,477 securities bought back before the previous day and an additional 129,000 securities bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Limited Updates on Share Buy-Back Program
Dec 9, 2025

Experience Co Limited has announced an update on its ongoing share buy-back program, which involves the repurchase of ordinary fully paid securities. The company has bought back a total of 1,387,477 securities before the previous day and an additional 80,000 securities on the previous day. This move is part of Experience Co’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Experience Co Limited Reports Strong FY25 Growth and Positive FY26 Outlook
Nov 19, 2025

Experience Co Limited reported significant growth in FY25, with revenue reaching $134.3 million, driven by strong demand in its Skydiving and Adventure Experiences segments. The company expanded its operations with the acquisition of a new vessel, Aquarius II, and plans to enhance its Treetops Adventure Canberra site with new attractions. The company continues to focus on cost control and capital efficiency, supported by a strong balance sheet and a strategic share buy-back program. The outlook for FY26 remains positive, with continued momentum and recovery in inbound leisure tourism.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EXP) stock is a Buy with a A$0.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Experience Co Ltd stock, see the AU:EXP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025