tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Energy One Limited (AU:EOL)
ASX:EOL

Energy One Limited (EOL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
14 Followers

Top Page

AU:EOL

Energy One Limited

(Sydney:EOL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
AU$14.00
▲(3.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/10/26
The score is supported by solid profitability and a conservative balance sheet, but is pulled down by weakening cash flow trends, clear technical weakness (below key moving averages with negative MACD), and a high P/E that leaves little room for execution risk.
Positive Factors
Profitability margins
Energy One's strong margins (net 9.64%, EBITDA 26.42%) reflect durable pricing power and an efficient cost base for a software provider. High margins support internal cash generation, fund product development and services, and provide resilience if top-line growth softens over the next several months.
Conservative balance sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio (0.22) and a 62.42% equity ratio indicate low leverage and a strong capital base. This financial conservatism provides flexibility to invest in product development, absorb sector shocks, or pursue M&A without stressing liquidity or interest coverage in the medium term.
Recurring, sticky revenue model
EOL's revenue mix—software subscriptions, support and services—centers on mission-critical energy trading systems with high switching costs. This creates sticky, recurring cashflows and high customer lifetime value, underpinning multi-period revenue stability and predictable renewal-driven growth.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow growth
Free cash flow growth falling by 12.30% reduces the company's internal funding available for reinvestment, product roadmap execution, or shareholder returns. If this trend persists, it can constrain strategic flexibility and raise execution risk over the next several quarters.
Slowing revenue growth trend
Management commentary and income statement notes indicate revenue growth has decelerated (latest year +9.5%). Slower top-line expansion limits operating leverage, may pressure future margin improvement, and forces greater reliance on cross-sell or higher-cost sales efforts to sustain growth.
Slightly weakening ROE
ROE of ~9.25% with a noted slight decline signals diminishing efficiency in deploying shareholder capital. If the trend continues, it could reflect tougher competitive dynamics or lower returns from new investments, reducing long-term shareholder value creation potential.

Energy One Limited (EOL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Energy One Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy One Limited provides various software products and services to wholesale energy, environmental, and carbon trading markets in the Australasia, the United Kingdom, and Europe. The company offers EnergyFlow, a platform for automating and managing business processes, and for integrating systems; EnergyOffer, a bidding, offering, dispatch, and logistics solution; EOT that offers front, middle, and backoffice solutions; NemSight, a real time presentation and historical analysis tool, which offers screens displaying live prices, demand, constraints, generation, bidstacks, and temperatures; and pypIT, a gas pipeline contracts management and scheduling platform. It also provides SimEnergy, an energy trading and risk management (ETRM) solution that offers deal capture, settlements, and risk capability for traders, large customers, retailers, and generators; enTrader, an ETRM solution for energy trading; envoy, a communications framework for passing power and gas industry data to and from market and system operators; eZ-Ops, a web trading solution; and enPrice, egssPort Gas, egssPort Power, and Cosmos solutions. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEOL makes money primarily by selling access to its energy-market software products and associated services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Software fees: recurring charges for software licences and/or subscriptions to its trading and risk management and workflow platforms (often structured as periodic recurring revenue, with pricing that may vary by user count, modules, or enterprise scope). (2) Implementation and professional services: one-off or project-based fees for deploying the software, configuration, integration with client systems, data migration, and user training. (3) Support and maintenance: ongoing fees for customer support, updates, and maintenance (where sold separately from subscriptions/licences). (4) Other services: where applicable, additional consulting or managed services related to operating and optimising the client’s use of EOL’s platforms. Revenue is supported by long-term customer relationships in the energy trading ecosystem, where mission-critical systems tend to have high switching costs and generate repeat recurring income; specific material partnerships or customer arrangements are null.

Energy One Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: good profitability (net margin 9.64%, EBITDA margin 26.42%) and low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.22). Offsetting this, revenue growth has slowed and free cash flow growth declined (-12.30%), which raises quality and reinvestment-risk concerns.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Energy One Limited has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a 9.5% increase in the latest year. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 30.96% and a net profit margin of 9.64%, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 15.70% and 26.42%, respectively, reflecting efficient operational management. However, the revenue growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, which could be a concern if this trend continues.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is reasonable at 9.25%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 62.42%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to total assets. While the company has improved its debt position over the years, the return on equity has seen a slight decline, which may warrant attention.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 12.30%, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, indicating that a significant portion of net income is backed by cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59, showing that the company generates adequate free cash flow relative to its net income. Despite these strengths, the negative free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue67.01M61.12M52.18M44.73M32.15M27.64M
Gross Profit21.97M18.92M14.37M14.46M10.71M9.15M
EBITDA17.97M16.15M9.84M10.84M8.32M8.01M
Net Income7.43M5.89M1.44M2.95M3.58M3.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets103.55M101.95M92.46M91.06M87.17M39.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.59M3.97M1.97M951.00K3.35M5.57M
Total Debt18.16M13.79M19.38M24.12M30.65M2.85M
Total Liabilities37.62M38.31M39.34M44.01M52.93M16.09M
Stockholders Equity65.93M63.64M53.12M47.06M34.24M23.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.91M8.52M1.91M1.24M1.99M4.53M
Operating Cash Flow17.68M14.53M7.00M6.67M6.62M8.11M
Investing Cash Flow-7.05M-6.01M-5.06M-10.53M-35.64M-5.22M
Financing Cash Flow-8.55M-6.52M-893.00K1.46M26.95M-1.01M

Energy One Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.53
Price Trends
50DMA
15.15
Negative
100DMA
16.36
Negative
200DMA
15.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Positive
RSI
42.04
Neutral
STOCH
19.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EOL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.12, below the 50-day MA of 15.15, and below the 200-day MA of 15.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:EOL.

Energy One Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$968.95M12.1917.13%1.85%11.15%105.20%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
AU$418.86M34.0610.18%0.43%17.12%311.38%
56
Neutral
AU$436.86M13.57-3.19%0.40%-280.65%
48
Neutral
AU$20.42M-3.90-27.05%-3.43%-40.65%
43
Neutral
AU$90.64M-12.17-105.39%-41.24%75.68%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EOL
Energy One Limited
13.30
2.94
28.42%
AU:HSN
Hansen Technologies Limited
4.76
-0.12
-2.40%
AU:YOJ
Yojee Ltd.
0.26
0.10
59.38%
AU:AMX
Aerometrex Ltd.
0.22
-0.02
-10.42%
AU:NXL
Nuix Ltd.
1.31
-1.87
-58.83%

Energy One Limited Corporate Events

Energy One reports lapse of 16,785 conditional share rights
Mar 5, 2026

Energy One Limited has notified the market that 16,785 share rights, trading under the ASX security code EOLAA, have lapsed. These rights were conditional and have ceased because the specified conditions were not met or can no longer be satisfied as of 5 March 2026.

The cessation of these securities reduces the company’s potential future issued capital, which may slightly lessen prospective dilution for existing shareholders. The announcement clarifies the updated status of Energy One’s equity instruments, improving transparency around its capital management and incentive structures.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One chairman trims stake with small on-market share sale
Mar 5, 2026

Energy One Limited has disclosed that its chairman, Andrew Bonwick, sold 15,000 fully paid ordinary shares on market. The sale, conducted on 5 March 2026 at an average price of $14.54 per share, was described by the company as a small parcel representing about 2.6% of Bonwick’s total holdings, undertaken to meet tax obligations and for personal reasons.

Following the transaction, Bonwick’s direct and indirect interest in Energy One stands at 561,833 shares, held in his own name and through May James Consulting Pty Ltd. The modest scale of the disposal and the stated rationale suggest the move is not a signal of broader strategic change at the company, but investors may nonetheless note the adjustment in insider ownership levels.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One ex-CEO trims small portion of shareholding
Mar 4, 2026

Energy One Limited has disclosed that former chief executive Shaun Ankers has sold 17,000 shares in the company on market, representing about 1.5% of his total holding. The sale, executed on 27 February 2026 at an average price of $15.31 per share, was described by the company as a small parcel sold for personal reasons and leaves Ankers with more than 1.1 million shares plus existing share rights, suggesting no significant change in his overall exposure to the company.

The transaction, notified via a change of director’s interest notice, indicates that Ankers retains a substantial stake in Energy One through a combination of direct holdings, joint holdings with family members, and a superannuation fund. For investors, the modest scale of the sale and the explanation provided may help temper concerns that the move signals a shift in sentiment toward the company’s outlook or governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Names New Director, Discloses Initial Equity Interests
Mar 3, 2026

Energy One Limited has appointed Ben Tranier as a director effective 3 March 2026, and filed an Initial Director’s Interest Notice detailing his holdings. The disclosure shows Tranier holds 109,286 Energy One Limited share rights, giving investors clarity over his equity-linked interests as he joins the board.

The filing indicates that Tranier does not currently hold additional indirect interests or interests via contracts, suggesting his exposure is limited to the disclosed share rights at this stage. This transparent declaration aligns with ASX governance requirements and provides stakeholders with an early view of the new director’s financial alignment with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Reports Lapse of 16,637 Conditional Share Rights
Mar 1, 2026

Energy One Limited has reported the lapse of 16,637 share rights (EOLAA) after the conditions attached to these securities were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of 26 February 2026. The cessation of these conditional rights marginally reduces the company’s potential diluted share capital and may indicate that specific performance or service hurdles under an incentive or share-based scheme were not achieved, affecting participating holders but with limited broader impact on overall capital structure.

The notification, lodged as an Appendix 3H with the ASX on 2 March 2026, formalises the removal of these lapsed rights from Energy One’s issued capital profile. While the absolute number of rights is small, the update provides investors with transparency on equity-based remuneration outcomes and ensures the market has accurate information on the company’s outstanding securities and potential dilution over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One lifts profit, cuts debt as CEO transition begins
Feb 25, 2026

Energy One reported strong first-half FY26 results, with revenue rising 21% to $34.8 million and annual recurring revenue up 20% to $64 million, underscoring the success of its growth strategy in energy trading software and services. Underlying cash EBITDA jumped 63% to $7.3 million with margins improving to 21%, underlying NPAT climbed 56% to $4.5 million, and net debt fell by $7.2 million to $5.8 million, signalling expanding profitability and a stronger balance sheet.

The company also announced a leadership transition, with long-serving CEO Shaun Ankers delivering his final results before handing over to CEO designate Ben Tranier, who has pledged to continue Energy One’s established growth trajectory. The combination of accelerating earnings, reduced leverage and an orderly change at the top suggests continued operational momentum and strategic continuity for investors and clients in a competitive energy software market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One outlines FY26 half-year results with strong caution on forward-looking statements
Feb 25, 2026

Energy One Limited has released its half-year financial results for FY26, covering the period ended 31 December 2025, in a presentation led by its CEO, CEO-designate, and CFO. The document is positioned strictly as informational, explicitly stating that it is not an offer of securities or investment advice, and that any investment decisions should not be based solely on its contents.

The company emphasises that the presentation contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations, which are inherently subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Energy One distances itself from any obligation to update these statements, disclaims liability for their accuracy or completeness, and cautions stakeholders that actual outcomes may differ materially from those implied, underscoring a conservative stance on guidance and disclosure risk.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Schedules Investor Briefing on FY2026 Half-Year Results
Feb 10, 2026

Energy One Limited has scheduled a teleconference investor briefing to discuss its half-year FY2026 financial results, with the CEO, CEO Designate, and CFO set to present. The briefing will be held via Microsoft Teams at 10:00 a.m. Sydney time on Wednesday, 25 February 2026, allowing investors to view both video and presentation materials.

The company is encouraging participants to join a few minutes early to ensure their technology is functioning, and it will record the session for later reference. Investors who prefer not to have their video or voice captured, or who encounter technical issues, are invited to submit questions or seek assistance via email, signalling an emphasis on accessibility and investor engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Issues 1,400 Unquoted Share Rights Under Employee Scheme
Jan 22, 2026

Energy One Limited has issued 1,400 unquoted share rights under its employee incentive scheme, effective 22 January 2026. The securities, identified under code EOLAA, are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until those restrictions expire, signalling the company’s continued use of equity-based remuneration to align staff interests with shareholder value without immediately diluting the publicly tradable float.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Buy with a A$20.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Corrects Director Ian Ferrier Share Sale Attribution Without Changing Overall Holding
Jan 19, 2026

Energy One has disclosed a correction to an earlier notice regarding a share sale by director Ian Ferrier, clarifying that 326,039 shares sold on 1 December 2025 at $16.50 per share were disposed of by Polding Pty Ltd as trustee for Polding Trust No. 2 rather than by Polding Pty Ltd directly. The amendment does not alter Ferrier’s overall holding of 5 million shares across his direct and indirect interests and confirms that the transaction occurred outside a closed trading period, limiting any governance or market impact to an administrative clarification rather than a change in his economic exposure to the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Buy with a A$20.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Seeks ASX Quotation for New Employee Incentive Shares
Jan 13, 2026

Energy One Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 10,216 new ordinary fully paid shares, which have been issued under the company’s employee incentive scheme. The modest-sized issuance, dated 13 January 2026, reflects an ongoing use of equity-based remuneration, slightly increasing the company’s free float and aligning staff interests more closely with shareholders without materially altering the capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Buy with a A$20.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026