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Energy One Limited (AU:EOL)
ASX:EOL

Energy One Limited (EOL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:EOL

Energy One Limited

(Sydney:EOL)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
AU$13.50
▼(-12.56% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/10/26
The score is supported by solid profitability and a conservative balance sheet, but is pulled down by weakening cash flow trends, clear technical weakness (below key moving averages with negative MACD), and a high P/E that leaves little room for execution risk.
Positive Factors
Recurring SaaS model
EOL’s revenue mix emphasizes subscription/software fees and ongoing support, creating recurring revenue and customer stickiness. For 2–6 months this underpins predictable cashflows, supports multi-year client relationships, and enables repeatable upsell of modules and services.
Healthy profitability and margins
Sustained gross and EBITDA margins indicate solid pricing power and operational efficiency in a niche energy-software market. These margins provide a durable earnings buffer, fund R&D and support long-term product development while helping absorb cyclical softness in demand.
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a strong equity base give EOL financial flexibility to invest organically or through M&A without increasing risk materially. This conservatism supports stability, lowers refinancing risk, and preserves capacity for strategic spending over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Falling free cash flow growth
A double-digit drop in free cash flow growth is a durable warning sign: it constrains internal funding for product enhancements and customer implementation projects, may force higher external financing, and reduces buffer for strategic investments over coming quarters.
Slowing revenue growth
A deceleration in top-line growth suggests the company may be approaching market saturation or facing increased competition. Over 2–6 months this reduces operating leverage, may require higher sales/marketing spend to regain momentum, and limits scalability benefits.
ROE has softened
A declining ROE signals a modest deterioration in capital efficiency. If the trend persists it could reflect weaker profit reinvestment returns or margin pressure, limiting long-term shareholder return potential and making growth more reliant on new capital deployment.

Energy One Limited (EOL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Energy One Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy One Limited provides various software products and services to wholesale energy, environmental, and carbon trading markets in the Australasia, the United Kingdom, and Europe. The company offers EnergyFlow, a platform for automating and managing business processes, and for integrating systems; EnergyOffer, a bidding, offering, dispatch, and logistics solution; EOT that offers front, middle, and backoffice solutions; NemSight, a real time presentation and historical analysis tool, which offers screens displaying live prices, demand, constraints, generation, bidstacks, and temperatures; and pypIT, a gas pipeline contracts management and scheduling platform. It also provides SimEnergy, an energy trading and risk management (ETRM) solution that offers deal capture, settlements, and risk capability for traders, large customers, retailers, and generators; enTrader, an ETRM solution for energy trading; envoy, a communications framework for passing power and gas industry data to and from market and system operators; eZ-Ops, a web trading solution; and enPrice, egssPort Gas, egssPort Power, and Cosmos solutions. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy One Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software products and services, which include licensing fees, subscription models, and consulting services. The company has established key revenue streams from its core offerings, such as its trading and risk management software, which is crucial for energy market participants. Additionally, EOL earns income from maintenance and support contracts associated with its software solutions, ensuring ongoing customer engagement and satisfaction. Strategic partnerships with industry players and regulatory bodies further enhance its market presence and contribute to its revenue by expanding its client base and providing comprehensive solutions tailored to market needs.

Energy One Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: good profitability (net margin 9.64%, EBITDA margin 26.42%) and low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.22). Offsetting this, revenue growth has slowed and free cash flow growth declined (-12.30%), which raises quality and reinvestment-risk concerns.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Energy One Limited has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a 9.5% increase in the latest year. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 30.96% and a net profit margin of 9.64%, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 15.70% and 26.42%, respectively, reflecting efficient operational management. However, the revenue growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, which could be a concern if this trend continues.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is reasonable at 9.25%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 62.42%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to total assets. While the company has improved its debt position over the years, the return on equity has seen a slight decline, which may warrant attention.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 12.30%, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, indicating that a significant portion of net income is backed by cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59, showing that the company generates adequate free cash flow relative to its net income. Despite these strengths, the negative free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue67.01M61.12M52.18M44.73M32.15M27.64M
Gross Profit21.97M18.92M14.37M14.46M10.71M9.15M
EBITDA17.97M16.15M9.84M10.84M8.32M8.01M
Net Income7.43M5.89M1.44M2.95M3.58M3.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets103.55M101.95M92.46M91.06M87.17M39.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.59M3.97M1.97M951.00K3.35M5.57M
Total Debt18.16M13.79M19.38M24.12M30.65M2.85M
Total Liabilities37.62M38.31M39.34M44.01M52.93M16.09M
Stockholders Equity65.93M63.64M53.12M47.06M34.24M23.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.91M8.52M1.91M1.24M1.99M4.53M
Operating Cash Flow17.68M14.53M7.00M6.67M6.62M8.11M
Investing Cash Flow-7.05M-6.01M-5.06M-10.53M-35.64M-5.22M
Financing Cash Flow-8.55M-6.52M-893.00K1.46M26.95M-1.01M

Energy One Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.44
Price Trends
50DMA
16.05
Negative
100DMA
17.08
Negative
200DMA
15.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Negative
RSI
52.92
Neutral
STOCH
76.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EOL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.64, below the 50-day MA of 16.05, and below the 200-day MA of 15.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:EOL.

Energy One Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
€1.08B16.5211.92%1.85%11.15%105.20%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
AU$486.26M65.2310.18%0.43%17.12%311.38%
56
Neutral
AU$641.06M52.04-3.19%0.40%-280.65%
48
Neutral
AU$31.35M-6.80-31.01%-3.43%-40.65%
43
Neutral
AU$110.19M-14.98-140.76%-41.24%75.68%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EOL
Energy One Limited
15.44
5.19
50.66%
AU:HSN
Hansen Technologies Limited
5.30
0.33
6.73%
AU:YOJ
Yojee Ltd.
0.31
0.17
121.43%
AU:AMX
Aerometrex Ltd.
0.33
0.01
3.13%
AU:NXL
Nuix Ltd.
1.92
-1.77
-47.96%

Energy One Limited Corporate Events

Energy One lifts profit, cuts debt as CEO transition begins
Feb 25, 2026

Energy One reported strong first-half FY26 results, with revenue rising 21% to $34.8 million and annual recurring revenue up 20% to $64 million, underscoring the success of its growth strategy in energy trading software and services. Underlying cash EBITDA jumped 63% to $7.3 million with margins improving to 21%, underlying NPAT climbed 56% to $4.5 million, and net debt fell by $7.2 million to $5.8 million, signalling expanding profitability and a stronger balance sheet.

The company also announced a leadership transition, with long-serving CEO Shaun Ankers delivering his final results before handing over to CEO designate Ben Tranier, who has pledged to continue Energy One’s established growth trajectory. The combination of accelerating earnings, reduced leverage and an orderly change at the top suggests continued operational momentum and strategic continuity for investors and clients in a competitive energy software market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One outlines FY26 half-year results with strong caution on forward-looking statements
Feb 25, 2026

Energy One Limited has released its half-year financial results for FY26, covering the period ended 31 December 2025, in a presentation led by its CEO, CEO-designate, and CFO. The document is positioned strictly as informational, explicitly stating that it is not an offer of securities or investment advice, and that any investment decisions should not be based solely on its contents.

The company emphasises that the presentation contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations, which are inherently subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Energy One distances itself from any obligation to update these statements, disclaims liability for their accuracy or completeness, and cautions stakeholders that actual outcomes may differ materially from those implied, underscoring a conservative stance on guidance and disclosure risk.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Schedules Investor Briefing on FY2026 Half-Year Results
Feb 10, 2026

Energy One Limited has scheduled a teleconference investor briefing to discuss its half-year FY2026 financial results, with the CEO, CEO Designate, and CFO set to present. The briefing will be held via Microsoft Teams at 10:00 a.m. Sydney time on Wednesday, 25 February 2026, allowing investors to view both video and presentation materials.

The company is encouraging participants to join a few minutes early to ensure their technology is functioning, and it will record the session for later reference. Investors who prefer not to have their video or voice captured, or who encounter technical issues, are invited to submit questions or seek assistance via email, signalling an emphasis on accessibility and investor engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Issues 1,400 Unquoted Share Rights Under Employee Scheme
Jan 22, 2026

Energy One Limited has issued 1,400 unquoted share rights under its employee incentive scheme, effective 22 January 2026. The securities, identified under code EOLAA, are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until those restrictions expire, signalling the company’s continued use of equity-based remuneration to align staff interests with shareholder value without immediately diluting the publicly tradable float.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Buy with a A$20.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Corrects Director Ian Ferrier Share Sale Attribution Without Changing Overall Holding
Jan 19, 2026

Energy One has disclosed a correction to an earlier notice regarding a share sale by director Ian Ferrier, clarifying that 326,039 shares sold on 1 December 2025 at $16.50 per share were disposed of by Polding Pty Ltd as trustee for Polding Trust No. 2 rather than by Polding Pty Ltd directly. The amendment does not alter Ferrier’s overall holding of 5 million shares across his direct and indirect interests and confirms that the transaction occurred outside a closed trading period, limiting any governance or market impact to an administrative clarification rather than a change in his economic exposure to the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Buy with a A$20.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Seeks ASX Quotation for New Employee Incentive Shares
Jan 13, 2026

Energy One Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 10,216 new ordinary fully paid shares, which have been issued under the company’s employee incentive scheme. The modest-sized issuance, dated 13 January 2026, reflects an ongoing use of equity-based remuneration, slightly increasing the company’s free float and aligning staff interests more closely with shareholders without materially altering the capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Buy with a A$20.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Seeks ASX Quotation for New Shares Issued Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Dec 19, 2025

Energy One Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 6,585 new ordinary fully paid shares, issued on 19 December 2025 under an employee incentive scheme. The modest increase in quoted securities reflects the company’s ongoing use of equity-based remuneration to align staff interests with shareholders, a common practice among ASX-listed technology and energy-market service providers, and indicates continued emphasis on employee retention and incentive structures without materially altering the company’s capital base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Buy with a A$20.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Limited Director Sells Shares, Alters Stake
Dec 2, 2025

Energy One Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Ian Ferrier selling 326,039 fully paid ordinary shares at $16.50 per share, reducing his total holdings to 5,000,000 shares. This transaction, executed as part of a previously flagged announcement, may influence the company’s stock market dynamics and stakeholder perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Buy with a A$22.94 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 1, 2025

Energy One Limited has announced the application for the quotation of 2,880 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). These securities are issued under an employee incentive scheme and are not subject to transfer restrictions, indicating a move to incentivize employees and potentially enhance company performance and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Director Sells Shares for Home Purchase
Dec 1, 2025

Energy One Limited announced that Mr. Ian Ferrier, a director of the company, has sold a portion of his shares and plans to sell an additional 315,000 shares to finance a home purchase. Despite this sale, Mr. Ferrier has no immediate plans to sell any of his remaining 5 million shares, indicating a continued commitment to the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Energy One Limited Achieves ISO 27001 Certification
Nov 28, 2025

Energy One Limited has achieved ISO/IEC 27001 certification, marking a significant milestone in its commitment to information security and privacy protection. This certification, recognized as the gold standard in the industry, underscores the company’s dedication to safeguarding data and is expected to enhance its competitive edge and support its revenue growth ambitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EOL) stock is a Hold with a A$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy One Limited stock, see the AU:EOL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026