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Duxton Water Ltd. (AU:D2O)
ASX:D2O
Australian Market
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Duxton Water Ltd. (D2O) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:D2O

Duxton Water Ltd.

(Sydney:D2O)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(0.00% Upside)
Duxton Water Ltd. benefits from strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet and attractive valuation metrics. However, the lack of strong market momentum and challenges in cash flow management slightly temper the overall outlook.

Duxton Water Ltd. (D2O) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Duxton Water Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDuxton Water Limited provides water supply solutions through its water entitlements. It supports farmers across the viticulture, nut, citrus, vegetable, olive, dried fruit, dairy, and broadacre cropping industries. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Stirling, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyDuxton Water Ltd. makes money by purchasing, holding, and leasing water entitlements to agricultural and other water-dependent industries. The company earns revenue from leasing these entitlements to farmers and businesses that require water for their operations, providing a flexible and reliable source of water. Additionally, Duxton Water benefits from the appreciation of water entitlements over time, which can lead to capital gains. The company may also be involved in trading water entitlements, generating income through strategic buying and selling based on market conditions.

Duxton Water Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Duxton Water Ltd. shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a solid balance sheet, but faces challenges in cash flow generation and a low return on equity. Improving operational efficiency and cash flow management is crucial for sustained growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Duxton Water Ltd. has shown a consistent increase in revenue from 2019 to 2024, with a notable revenue growth rate of 20.4% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is strong at 98.3% in 2024, indicating effective cost management and pricing strategy. However, the net profit margin has decreased slightly to 37.4% in 2024 from 41.2% in 2023, suggesting a need to manage operational expenses better. Overall, the company demonstrates robust revenue growth and profitability, yet it must control rising costs to improve net margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Duxton Water Ltd. maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 in 2024, reflecting moderate leverage and a solid equity base. The equity ratio stands at 62.4%, indicating strong asset backing by equity. However, the return on equity (ROE) is 4.8%, suggesting the company could improve its ability to convert equity investments into profits. The company is stable financially, but enhancing ROE would maximize shareholder value.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a negative free cash flow in 2024, which has improved from 2023 but remains concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from operations to cover net income. The company needs to improve its cash generation from operations to ensure long-term financial health and operational sustainability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.84M20.75M11.96M20.44M31.58M
Gross Profit24.42M20.36M11.19M6.75M8.23M
EBITDA19.98M15.46M171.00K11.81M16.65M
Net Income9.33M6.33M10.01M8.54M8.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets313.40M324.64M276.65M255.80M258.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments825.00K1.83M1.25M6.22M2.76M
Total Debt116.00M116.50M125.00M106.00M109.30M
Total Liabilities117.64M132.05M131.79M109.76M114.60M
Stockholders Equity195.76M192.59M144.86M146.04M144.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-34.91M-52.42M-26.17M-2.11M-16.45M
Operating Cash Flow-7.10M-7.57M1.28M7.81M-5.43M
Investing Cash Flow12.80M-24.18M-14.07M5.54M-377.00K
Financing Cash Flow-6.71M32.33M7.82M-9.89M7.82M

Duxton Water Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1.51
Negative
100DMA
1.52
Negative
200DMA
1.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
46.33
Neutral
STOCH
56.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:D2O, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.48, below the 50-day MA of 1.51, and above the 200-day MA of 1.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:D2O.

Duxton Water Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
220.13M23.010.00%2.40%6.82%-31.21%
64
Neutral
9.1312.36%4.92%31.10%113.65%
49
Neutral
37.31M-5.360.00%18.27%53.69%
47
Neutral
-7.980.00%>-0.01%31.60%
44
Neutral
3.81M140.000.00%7.44%0.00%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:D2O
Duxton Water Ltd.
1.48
0.20
15.62%
AU:WAT
Waterco Limited
6.26
0.99
18.79%
AU:CNQ
Clean TeQ Water Ltd
0.34
0.00
0.00%
AU:RWL
Rubicon Water Limited
0.16
-0.08
-33.33%
AU:ERG
Eneco Refresh Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Duxton Water Ltd. Corporate Events

Duxton Water Announces Dividend and Proposed Name Change
Sep 15, 2025

Duxton Water Limited has declared an interim dividend of 3.72 cents per share, marking its 17th consecutive and increasing dividend. The company’s net asset value increased by 1 cent in August due to strategic trades and improved allocation prices. The permanent water market saw mixed price movements, while allocation prices rose significantly. The company is well-positioned to meet irrigator demand with a diversified portfolio. An Extraordinary General Meeting is scheduled to approve a name change to Rivco Australia Limited, reflecting its long-term strategy and independence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Limited Releases 2025 Half-Year Results
Sep 9, 2025

Duxton Water Limited has released its 2025 half-year results presentation, highlighting its financial performance and market outlook. The announcement underscores the company’s strategic positioning in the water industry, with potential implications for stakeholders regarding investment risks and market trends.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Announces Extraordinary General Meeting for October 2025
Sep 2, 2025

Duxton Water Limited has announced an Extraordinary General Meeting to be held on October 2, 2025, at HLB Mann Judd in Dulwich, South Australia. Shareholders are invited to vote in person or by proxy on the business items, with the chair intending to vote undirected proxies in favor. This meeting is significant for stakeholders as it may influence future company decisions and strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Announces New Dividend Distribution
Aug 29, 2025

Duxton Water Limited has announced a new dividend distribution of AUD 0.0372 per share for its ordinary fully paid security, with the payment scheduled for October 31, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may positively impact its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Declares 17th Consecutive Dividend with Adjusted DRP Terms
Aug 29, 2025

Duxton Water Limited has announced a fully franked dividend of 3.72 cents per share, marking its 17th consecutive dividend payment. The company has decided to pause the discount on its Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) due to recent debt repayment and aims for disciplined capital management. The DRP pricing window has been adjusted to reflect post-dividend market prices, ensuring fairness across the shareholder base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Ltd. Releases June 2025 Half-Year Report
Aug 29, 2025

Duxton Water Ltd. has released its half-year report for June 2025, highlighting its ongoing commitment to supporting Australian irrigators and farmers. The report includes key financial statements and declarations, reflecting the company’s financial health and operational performance over the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Ltd. Reports Strong Half-Year Financial Performance
Aug 29, 2025

Duxton Water Ltd. reported a substantial increase in its financial performance for the half-year ending 30 June 2025, with revenue up by 75% and net profit after tax rising by 197% compared to the previous year. The company also realized significant capital gains from entitlement sales and paid a fully franked dividend. The net asset value per share increased, reflecting strong market positioning and effective management of water entitlements, which are crucial for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Issues Unquoted Management Performance Rights
Aug 22, 2025

Duxton Water Limited has announced the issuance of 200,000 unquoted Management Performance Rights, divided equally into Class A and Class B, as part of a transaction previously disclosed to the market. This issuance is not intended to be quoted on the ASX and reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its equity securities and incentivize management, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Navigates High Allocation Prices and Strategic Acquisitions
Aug 15, 2025

Duxton Water Limited reported that the 2025-2026 water year began with high allocation prices in the lower Murray, which later eased. The company has leased 52% of its entitlement portfolio, achieving its highest weighted average lease expiry since inception. Despite increased rainfall, major storages are at their lowest levels since 2020, affecting allocation determinations. Duxton Water has secured forward contracts to hedge against spot market volatility and acquired new entitlements at favorable prices. The release of the 2025 Murray-Darling Basin Evaluation Report highlighted ongoing water recovery efforts, with Duxton Water noting the efficiency of water buybacks over infrastructure projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Buy with a A$2.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Issues Performance Rights to Portfolio Managers
Aug 15, 2025

Duxton Water Limited has announced the issuance of 100,000 Performance Rights each to Portfolio Managers Lachlan Campbell and Lachlan Beech as a sign-on bonus following the internalisation of the company’s management. These Performance Rights are subject to vesting conditions based on continued employment and are intended to align the interests of the managers with the company’s long-term goals, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:D2O) stock is a Buy with a A$2.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:D2O Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025