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Rubicon Water Limited (AU:RWL)
ASX:RWL
Australian Market

Rubicon Water Limited (RWL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:RWL

Rubicon Water Limited

(Sydney:RWL)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.18
▲(21.33% Upside)
Rubicon Water Limited's overall score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which shows strong revenue growth but significant profitability challenges. Technical analysis provides a slightly positive outlook, while valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings and lack of dividends.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates increasing demand for Rubicon Water's solutions, suggesting successful market penetration and product adoption.
Cash Flow Improvements
Improved cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling Rubicon Water to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Leverage Management
Better leverage management reduces financial risk, supporting long-term stability and the ability to fund strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Profitability Issues
Ongoing profitability challenges could hinder Rubicon Water's ability to reinvest in its business and sustain growth over time.
Operational Inefficiencies
Inefficiencies in converting income into cash may limit Rubicon Water's operational agility and ability to respond to market changes.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments, impacting investor confidence.

Rubicon Water Limited (RWL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Rubicon Water Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRubicon Water Limited designs, manufactures, installs, and maintains irrigation automation software and hardware in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and internationally. The company offers network control solutions, such as total channel control, low energy pipeline, site management, and water and energy efficiency solutions; flow, water level, and climate measurement solutions; and operations software solutions. It also provides surface irrigation, irrigation automation, and precise irrigation scheduling solutions. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hawthorn East, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRubicon Water generates revenue primarily through the sale and subscription of its technology solutions. Key revenue streams include the sale of hardware systems, software licenses, and ongoing subscription fees for its data analytics services. The company may also earn income from consulting services related to water management optimization. Additionally, strategic partnerships with agricultural organizations and government agencies can lead to collaborative projects, further contributing to RWL's income by providing tailored solutions that meet specific market needs.

Rubicon Water Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rubicon Water Limited shows promising revenue growth but struggles with profitability. The balance sheet indicates improved leverage, yet negative returns on equity persist. Cash flow improvements are evident, but operational inefficiencies remain a concern.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rubicon Water Limited has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a significant revenue growth rate of 20.99% in the most recent year, indicating a positive trajectory. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin is relatively stable but not sufficient to offset the negative net income.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of Rubicon Water Limited shows moderate stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting a solid asset base relative to equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals some improvements but also significant challenges. The company has achieved a substantial free cash flow growth rate, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high, suggesting that the company is managing to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.07M69.07M58.40M55.22M65.29M81.53M
Gross Profit28.48M28.48M23.46M-2.00M27.06M14.38M
EBITDA-6.82M-6.82M-6.45M-7.99M2.28M10.55M
Net Income-6.79M-6.79M-10.71M-10.93M-438.00K8.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets103.94M103.94M106.40M111.58M125.81M106.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.51M5.51M1.69M8.49M11.23M9.03M
Total Debt23.13M23.13M37.13M30.69M29.50M32.69M
Total Liabilities39.98M39.98M51.54M45.78M49.66M57.80M
Stockholders Equity64.42M64.42M55.13M65.75M75.86M48.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.70M4.70M-9.13M-3.92M-20.48M-12.06M
Operating Cash Flow5.45M5.45M-6.95M-1.36M-16.81M-10.45M
Investing Cash Flow-2.44M-2.44M-2.10M-2.60M-3.38M-2.87M
Financing Cash Flow1.04M1.04M1.28M1.09M26.18M-4.20M

Rubicon Water Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.15
Price Trends
50DMA
0.19
Negative
100DMA
0.18
Negative
200DMA
0.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
33.33
Neutral
STOCH
2.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RWL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.18, below the 50-day MA of 0.19, and below the 200-day MA of 0.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:RWL.

Rubicon Water Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
58
Neutral
AU$178.63M18.667.04%2.95%4.52%-31.16%
54
Neutral
AU$91.32M18.5510.86%13.51%5.08%
47
Neutral
AU$36.12M-5.19-11.36%18.27%53.69%
46
Neutral
AU$26.09M-10.00-11.34%-8.52%13.51%
45
Neutral
AU$19.18M-5.44-38.32%2.69%-273.87%
41
Neutral
AU$23.13M-2.36-129.44%-29.97%-284.16%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:RWL
Rubicon Water Limited
0.15
-0.14
-48.28%
AU:CCE
Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd
0.06
0.03
72.97%
AU:EGL
Environmental Group Limited
0.23
-0.07
-23.33%
AU:WAT
Waterco Limited
5.08
-2.60
-33.85%
AU:DEL
Delorean Corporation Ltd
0.10
-0.06
-37.50%
AU:LPE
Locality Planning Energy Holdings Limited
0.10
-0.04
-28.57%

Rubicon Water Limited Corporate Events

Rubicon Water Limited Cancels Erroneous Securities Quotation
Dec 4, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited announced the cancellation of a previous securities quotation application due to an error, as no new shares were issued or should be listed. This correction ensures accurate representation of the company’s securities status, maintaining transparency with stakeholders and aligning with regulatory requirements.

Rubicon Water Limited Issues New Securities Under Employee Share Scheme
Dec 4, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited has announced the issuance of 100,000 ordinary fully paid securities to be quoted on the ASX, as part of the Rubicon Employee Share Scheme. This move is likely to enhance employee engagement and align interests with shareholders, potentially strengthening the company’s market position.

Rubicon Water Limited Issues New Securities in Compliance with Corporations Act
Dec 3, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited has issued fully paid ordinary shares and/or options without disclosure to investors, in compliance with the Corporations Act. This strategic move reflects the company’s adherence to regulatory requirements and aims to strengthen its financial position, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder interests.

Rubicon Water Limited Issues Performance Rights to Boost Employee Incentives
Dec 3, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited has announced the issuance of 2,116,076 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at motivating employees and aligning their interests with the company’s growth objectives, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning positively.

Rubicon Water Announces Director’s Interest Update
Dec 2, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Bruce Rodgerson. The update details the acquisition of 1,275,355 Performance Rights and 43,742 ordinary shares through the conversion of Performance Rights, as part of the company’s Long-Term Incentive Plan. This change reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align management interests with long-term strategic goals, potentially impacting shareholder value and company performance.

Rubicon Water Limited Passes All AGM Resolutions
Nov 19, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited announced that all resolutions presented at their Annual General Meeting were passed successfully. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and is likely to positively impact the company’s governance and strategic initiatives, reinforcing its position in the water technology industry.

Rubicon Water Limited Reports Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic Asian Expansion
Nov 19, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited reported its strongest revenue since listing on the ASX, achieving $69 million in FY25, with a notable 42% increase in its Rest of World segment. The company narrowed its net loss and generated positive operating cash flow, while strategically transitioning in the Asian market through a new joint venture in China, positioning itself for future growth and addressing global water security challenges.

Rubicon Water Expands Italian Operations with New Contract
Nov 10, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited has secured a new contract worth approximately A$1.3 million in Italy’s Torinese region, marking its fifth significant project in the country for FY26. This contract contributes to a total of A$4.5 million in Italian projects, reinforcing Italy’s role as a key growth area for Rubicon in the EMEA region. The company’s technology is increasingly adopted across northern Italy, delivering substantial water savings and cost reductions, which bolsters its market position and supports further expansion.

Rubicon Water Secures Key Contracts in US and Italy, Boosting Global Growth
Oct 23, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited has secured contracts totaling A$8.3 million, marking significant progress in its strategic projects pipeline. The company announced a notable A$2.3 million contract in the United States for the Glenn-Colusa Irrigation District, funded by a private entity under sustainability commitments, and a A$1.4 million project in Italy with Consorzio Canale Emiliano Romagnolo. These contracts, along with others, highlight Rubicon’s growing influence in global irrigation markets and its potential for business growth through private funding initiatives.

Rubicon Water Limited to Hold Virtual 2025 AGM
Oct 20, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) will be held virtually on November 19, 2025, allowing shareholders to participate online. The meeting will cover various agenda items, including the adoption of the remuneration report, with directors recommending shareholders vote in favor of all resolutions. This virtual format reflects a modern approach to shareholder engagement, potentially increasing accessibility and participation.

Rubicon Water Limited Corrects Director’s Interest Notice
Sep 22, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited has issued a correction notice regarding a change in the director’s interest, specifically for Anthony Thomas Morganti. The correction clarifies that 140,000 shares were acquired, not 130,000 as previously reported. This update ensures accurate reporting of director interests, which is crucial for maintaining transparency and trust with stakeholders.

Rubicon Water Limited Announces Director’s Change in Securities Interest
Sep 9, 2025

Rubicon Water Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest in securities, specifically involving Anthony Thomas Morganti. On September 4, 2025, Morganti acquired 130,000 ordinary shares through an on-market trade, increasing his indirect holdings. This change reflects a strategic move in the company’s stock management, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions and the company’s market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025