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Close the Loop Ltd. (AU:CLG)
ASX:CLG
Australian Market

Close the Loop Ltd. (CLG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CLG

Close the Loop Ltd.

(Sydney:CLG)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▼(-47.50% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
Overall score is dragged down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, and falling free cash flow) and very bearish technicals (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation metrics provide limited support due to a negative P/E and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Circular-economy business model
Close the Loop’s core business—collection, processing and recycling of consumer and industrial waste—aligns with durable structural demand for circular solutions. Long-term contracts and supply‑chain reintegration can provide steady service revenues and insulation from commodity price swings.
Manageable leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.0 reflects moderate leverage for an asset‑intensive recycling operator. This level supports continued operations and targeted capex without extreme refinancing pressure, preserving financial flexibility over the next several months if operations stabilize.
Positive free cash flow to earnings
Despite weaker cash flow growth, the firm still converts earnings into positive free cash flow relative to net income. That cash conversion provides a foundation to fund working capital, modest reinvestment in recycling capacity and sustain operations while management works to restore revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue
Sustained revenue decline reduces scale economies in collection and processing, constrains margin recovery and limits ability to fund network expansion. If top-line contraction persists it will impair long‑term competitiveness and slow progress toward profitable scale.
Loss-making operations
Negative EBIT and net margins signal the business is not yet operating profitably at current scale. Persistent operating losses erode equity, depress ROE and force reliance on external funding or cost restructuring, making durable margin restoration a critical medium‑term challenge.
Deteriorating free cash flow
A steep drop in free cash flow growth and weak operating cash conversion reduce the company’s ability to self‑fund capex, working capital and strategic initiatives. This heightens dependence on external financing and constrains operational investments needed to reverse revenue and margin trends.

Close the Loop Ltd. (CLG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Close the Loop Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClose the Loop Ltd engages in the collection and recycling of imaging consumables, paper and cartons, and other related activities in Australia, Europe, South Africa, and the United States. It also produces and sells TonerPlas; and provides flexible and carton packaging, flexographic print packaging, seafood packaging, and bulk storage solutions. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Somerton, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyClose the Loop generates revenue through multiple streams, including fees for waste collection and processing services, sales of recycled materials, and partnerships with businesses looking to enhance their sustainability practices. The company often collaborates with manufacturers and retailers to implement closed-loop systems, which not only provides them with a reliable source of recycled content but also helps them meet regulatory requirements and consumer demand for eco-friendly products. Additionally, Close the Loop may benefit from government grants and incentives aimed at promoting recycling and waste reduction initiatives, further contributing to its overall revenue.

Close the Loop Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: revenue growth is negative (-6.64%) with negative EBIT and net profit margins, and free cash flow growth is sharply down (-50.81%). The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity 0.96), but negative ROE reflects ongoing losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Close the Loop Ltd. has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -6.64% in the latest period. The company also faces challenges in profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable, suggesting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting recent losses. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth, down by 50.81%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential cash flow challenges. However, the company maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue188.26M195.14M212.96M135.93M70.13M26.81M
Gross Profit39.44M58.31M80.04M28.62M21.03M8.00M
EBITDA12.62M12.28M44.75M24.26M8.32M6.34M
Net Income-54.24M-22.19M10.95M12.24M4.60M4.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets235.29M276.83M297.00M271.38M92.26M14.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.19M32.34M40.64M49.46M10.33M5.61M
Total Debt132.60M116.42M108.66M110.86M24.23M4.26M
Total Liabilities146.00M155.34M155.47M147.32M39.04M6.69M
Stockholders Equity88.43M120.70M140.91M123.54M52.90M7.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.61M1.52M11.63M6.95M-3.74M5.89M
Operating Cash Flow-2.64M4.83M21.72M22.68M-3.15M6.20M
Investing Cash Flow-2.54M-4.07M-19.60M-85.97M-4.03M-519.00K
Financing Cash Flow-8.44M-9.19M-11.33M103.09M11.22M-1.68M

Close the Loop Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Negative
100DMA
0.04
Negative
200DMA
0.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
4.28
Positive
STOCH
7.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CLG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, above the 50-day MA of 0.03, and below the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 4.28 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CLG.

Close the Loop Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
AU$5.69B38.825.08%2.32%2.39%
50
Neutral
AU$17.44M7.144.57%4.32%-15.54%-26.61%
42
Neutral
AU$11.21M-0.15-12.78%-8.37%-300.48%
41
Neutral
AU$47.85M-7.05-164.39%15.66%
41
Neutral
AU$9.62M-1.32-0.52%-38.84%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CLG
Close the Loop Ltd.
0.02
-0.08
-78.00%
AU:CWY
Cleanaway Waste Management
2.54
0.08
3.21%
AU:EMB
Embelton Limited
8.08
-0.11
-1.34%
AU:AEI
Aeris Environmental Ltd
0.04
-0.03
-42.86%
AU:ECT
Environmental Clean Technologies Limited
0.10
0.05
100.00%

Close the Loop Ltd. Corporate Events

Close the Loop Flags 1H26 Results Presentation as Informational Only
Feb 22, 2026

Close the Loop Limited has released a 1H26 results presentation accompanied by a comprehensive disclaimer stressing that the document is informational only and not an offer or solicitation to buy or subscribe for securities. The company emphasises that the presentation is not a prospectus or regulated disclosure document, may be incomplete or subject to change, and that recipients must undertake their own due diligence and seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

The disclaimer further notes that Close the Loop and its advisers make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and accept no liability for any loss arising from its use. The company also states it has no obligation to update the material, underlining that any opinions may change without notice and that the presentation should not form the basis of any contract or commitment involving Close the Loop securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Posts Lower Profit Amid Recycling Headwinds, Packaging Growth and Portfolio Shake-Up
Feb 22, 2026

Close the Loop reported first-half FY26 revenue of $92.3 million, up 2% year on year, but saw a sharp drop in profitability, with underlying EBITDA down 23% and underlying NPATA down 61%, and operating cash flow turning more negative as net debt rose to $56.98 million. The resource recovery segment was hit by lower U.S. ITAD processing volumes, an adverse product mix and a $23.2 million impairment to ISP Tek Services’ intangibles, while packaging delivered double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, aided by expansion with Tier-one customers and new corporate wins.

Management continued to reshape the portfolio, divesting non-core units Alliance Paper and O F Flexo, and progressing the ramp-up of the Mexicali facility to improve capacity and labour efficiency. Regionally, U.S. recycling volumes were pressured by tariff-driven uncertainty, Europe extended its multi-vendor collection program and secured new OEM contracts helped by regulatory tailwinds, and South Africa grew orders from existing and new customers without significant extra operating costs, highlighting improving operating leverage across key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Swings to Heavy Half-Year Loss on Intangible Impairment
Feb 22, 2026

Close the Loop Ltd. reported half-year revenue of $92.3 million for the period ended 31 December 2025, an increase of 1.8% on the prior corresponding period, but posted a sharp turnaround to a net loss attributable to members of $32.8 million. The company’s statutory loss was driven by $6.2 million in amortisation of acquired intangibles and a $23.2 million impairment related to its 2023 acquisition of ISP Tek Services, leaving underlying net profit from continuing operations at $2.3 million if these non-cash charges are excluded.

Net tangible assets per share deteriorated to negative 0.63 cents from positive 0.31 cents a year earlier, reflecting the heavy impact of non-cash charges on the balance sheet. The board has again elected not to pay an interim dividend and has no dividend reinvestment plan in place, underscoring a focus on capital preservation as the group absorbs the consequences of acquisition-related accounting adjustments and reassesses the value of its acquired software and customer-related assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Director Converts Performance Rights Into Ordinary Shares
Feb 4, 2026

Close the Loop Limited has disclosed a change in the holdings of director Brendan Yee, involving both his direct and indirect interests in the company’s securities through entities he controls. The transaction reflects the conversion of 100,000 unlisted performance rights into fully paid ordinary shares at nil consideration, following the satisfaction of vesting conditions under the company’s performance rights plan, marginally increasing Yee’s shareholding and reducing his unlisted performance rights balance, a move that aligns director incentives more closely with ordinary shareholders and signals ongoing utilisation of equity-based remuneration structures.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Sell with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Director Converts Performance Rights Into Ordinary Shares
Feb 4, 2026

Close the Loop Limited has disclosed a change in director Avikesh Nair’s interests, involving both direct and indirect holdings in the company’s securities through entities he controls. The change arises from the conversion of 200,000 unlisted performance rights held by AJKS Property Group Pty Ltd, a Nair-controlled entity, into 200,000 fully paid ordinary shares at nil consideration following satisfaction of vesting conditions, increasing his indirect shareholding to 950,000 shares while leaving 1,750,000 unlisted performance rights in AJKS Capital Pty Ltd unchanged; the transaction reflects the operation of the company’s performance rights plan and does not introduce new capital but shifts the mix of Nair’s equity from performance-based instruments to ordinary equity, clarifying his alignment with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Sell with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Seeks Quotation for 1.7 Million New Shares
Feb 4, 2026

Close the Loop Ltd., a recycling and circular-economy services provider listed on the ASX, focuses on recovering materials for reuse across consumer packaging supply chains. The company lodged an Appendix 2A application for quotation of 1.7 million fully paid ordinary shares issued on 30 January 2026, signaling an expanded equity base that could enhance liquidity and support ongoing growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Sell with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Shares Update as 750,000 Performance Rights Lapse
Jan 20, 2026

Close the Loop Ltd. has announced the lapse of 750,000 performance rights, identified under ASX code CLGAC, after the conditions attached to these rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of 20 January 2026. The cessation of these conditional securities slightly reduces the company’s potential future issued capital and may marginally ease prospective dilution for existing shareholders, but does not involve any cash movement or immediate change to the company’s operating activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Sell with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Director Sees 900,000 Performance Rights Lapse After Vesting Conditions Not Met
Jan 20, 2026

Close the Loop Limited has disclosed a change in director Brendan Yee’s interests in the company’s securities, following the lapse and cancellation of 900,000 unlisted performance rights previously held through entities he controls. The performance rights were cancelled at nil consideration after vesting conditions were not met or could no longer be satisfied, leaving Yee’s substantial holdings in fully paid ordinary shares unchanged but reducing his potential performance-based equity exposure, which marginally lowers prospective dilution for existing shareholders and adjusts the structure of his equity incentives without affecting current share capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Sell with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Director Sees 300,000 Performance Rights Lapse After Vesting Test
Jan 19, 2026

Close the Loop Limited has disclosed a change in director Avikesh Nair’s interests, following the lapse and cancellation of 300,000 unlisted performance rights previously issued to AJKS Property Group Pty Ltd, an entity controlled by him. The rights were cancelled at nil consideration after vesting conditions were not satisfied, reducing Nair’s indirect performance rights holding via AJKS Property Group while leaving his direct shareholding and other indirect performance rights largely intact; the update reflects routine equity-based incentive adjustments rather than a cash transaction, with limited immediate implications for the company’s capital structure but signalling that certain performance hurdles under its incentive plan were not met.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Sell with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Reports Lapse of 3.45 Million Performance Rights
Jan 19, 2026

Close the Loop Ltd. has announced the lapse of 3,450,000 performance rights (ASX code CLGAC) after the conditions attached to those rights were not, or could no longer be, satisfied as of 22 December 2025. The cessation of these conditional securities, disclosed in an Appendix 3H to the ASX, effectively reduces the company’s pool of potential equity-based remuneration or incentive securities, which may have implications for dilution expectations and indicates that certain performance hurdles or milestones tied to these rights were not achieved.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Sell with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Ltd. Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 17, 2025

Close the Loop Ltd. has announced a change in its director’s interest in securities, with Avikesh Nair acquiring 1,500,000 unlisted performance rights through AJKS Capital Pty Ltd under a shareholder-approved plan. This adjustment indicates internal strategic movements within the company and showcases its effort to align leadership incentives with company performance, potentially enhancing shareholder value and influencing its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Ltd. Appoints New Director with Significant Shareholding
Dec 5, 2025

Close the Loop Limited has announced the appointment of Brendan Yee as a director, effective December 5, 2025. Brendan Yee holds a significant number of shares in the company, both directly and indirectly through various entities, indicating a substantial vested interest in the company’s future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Close the Loop Appoints Brendan Yee as Executive Director
Dec 5, 2025

Close the Loop Limited has appointed Brendan Yee as an executive director, enhancing the company’s board with his extensive expertise in the packaging industry. This strategic move is expected to strengthen the company’s packaging segment, which contributes significantly to its revenue, and support its ongoing strategic initiatives and business objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CLG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Close the Loop Ltd. stock, see the AU:CLG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026