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Cokal Limited (AU:CKA)
:CKA

Cokal (CKA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CKA

Cokal

(OTC:CKA)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.06
▲(40.00% Upside)
Cokal's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by unprofitability and high leverage. While technical analysis shows bullish momentum, overbought conditions pose risks. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further weigh on the valuation.
Positive Factors
Strategic Location
Being located in Indonesia, a key coal-producing region, provides Cokal with logistical advantages and access to rich coal deposits, supporting long-term operational efficiency and market access.
Revenue Streams
Diverse revenue streams through direct sales and long-term contracts provide Cokal with stable cash flow and reduce dependence on spot market volatility, enhancing financial resilience.
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Improvement in free cash flow indicates better cash management, which can support debt reduction and reinvestment in growth initiatives, aiding long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses significant financial risk, limiting Cokal's ability to invest in growth and making it vulnerable to interest rate increases and economic downturns.
Negative Equity
Negative equity highlights financial distress and potential solvency issues, which could hinder Cokal's ability to secure financing and sustain operations long-term.
Unprofitability
Persistent unprofitability undermines Cokal's ability to generate sustainable earnings, impacting its capacity to invest in growth and return value to shareholders.

Cokal (CKA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Cokal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCokal Limited (CKA) is an Australian-based mining company focused on the exploration and development of coal projects in Indonesia. The company operates primarily in the coal sector, aiming to produce high-quality metallurgical coal for the global market. Cokal holds significant interests in various coal mining licenses and projects, including the Bumi Barito Mineral project, which is designed to exploit the rich coal deposits found in the region.
How the Company Makes MoneyCokal generates revenue primarily through the sale of coal, particularly metallurgical coal used in steel production. The company monetizes its assets by extracting and selling coal to international markets, leveraging its strategic location in Indonesia, which is a major producer of coal. Key revenue streams include direct sales of coal to buyers, long-term supply contracts, and potential joint ventures with larger mining or trading companies. Additionally, Cokal may benefit from partnerships with local and international stakeholders, enhancing its operational capabilities and market reach, which collectively contribute to its overall earnings.

Cokal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cokal's financial performance is severely challenged, with negative gross and net profit margins, declining revenue, high leverage, and negative cash flows. These factors indicate financial instability and significant risk.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Cokal's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative gross and net profit margins indicating unprofitability. The company has experienced declining revenue growth, with a notable drop of 5.53% in the latest year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement suggests financial instability and a need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure, with negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio of -1.99, indicating high leverage. Return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting financial distress. The balance sheet suggests significant financial risk and potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, indicating liquidity challenges. However, there is a positive free cash flow growth rate of 16.21%, suggesting some improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow inefficiencies. Overall, cash flow management remains a critical area for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.46M5.16M5.61M24.58K39.61K4.53K
Gross Profit-2.95M-3.17M908.00K-616.59K-220.58K-213.01K
EBITDA-5.77M-8.73M-8.96M-13.13M-9.52M-3.32M
Net Income-14.56M-11.24M-14.73M-13.78M-9.83M-3.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.97M73.96M67.42M64.78M44.24M35.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments481.81K2.59M2.27M2.23M724.29K414.46K
Total Debt25.50M47.91M38.23M30.83M23.47M5.28M
Total Liabilities53.44M97.99M80.12M62.74M44.28M26.50M
Stockholders Equity-8.47M-24.03M-12.70M2.04M-40.85K8.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.37M-8.56M-7.42M-19.87M-17.15M-2.90M
Operating Cash Flow-1.44M-2.55M-1.44M-8.60M-11.63M-2.36M
Investing Cash Flow-7.43M-6.01M-7.33M-11.27M-5.52M-545.00K
Financing Cash Flow7.57M8.79M7.47M21.34M17.41M2.08M

Cokal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.04
Positive
100DMA
0.04
Positive
200DMA
0.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
56.54
Neutral
STOCH
56.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CKA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, below the 50-day MA of 0.04, and above the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CKA.

Cokal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
AU$61.50M-8.59%25.90%
38
Underperform
AU$8.08M-0.07-4.19%84.70%
38
Underperform
AU$60.41M-53.13-2.71%40.74%
38
Underperform
AU$3.07M-33.3357.14%
33
Underperform
-308.85%
16
Underperform
AU$4.55M-0.10-487.06%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CKA
Cokal
0.05
>-0.01
-14.29%
AU:AQC
Australian Pacific Coal
0.01
-0.09
-90.00%
AU:JAL
Jameson Resources Limited
0.08
0.03
60.00%
AU:REY
Rey Resources Ltd
0.03
-0.01
-25.00%
AU:BCB
Bowen Coking Coal Ltd
0.08
-0.33
-81.25%
AU:NCR
NuCoal Resources Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Cokal Corporate Events

Cokal Limited Addresses ASX Inquiry Amidst Strategic Developments
Dec 5, 2025

Cokal Limited has responded to an ASX inquiry regarding a significant increase in the price and volume of its securities, stating that there is no undisclosed information that could explain the trading activity. The company highlighted recent operational announcements, including a strategic partnership with PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk for infrastructure development, a market update on coal prices, the appointment of a new mining contractor, and a recent coal shipment at improved pricing. These developments are aimed at supporting Cokal’s growth objectives and enhancing its operational capabilities.

Cokal Secures Higher Pricing in Latest Coal Shipment to Krakatau Posco
Dec 3, 2025

Cokal Limited has completed a 7,000 MT coal shipment to Krakatau Posco, benefiting from improved market conditions that allowed for higher pricing compared to previous deliveries. This shipment, facilitated by M Resources, reflects market recovery and increased acceptance of Cokal’s BBM coal. The company is in discussions for an additional delivery in December, aiming to maintain sales momentum and capitalize on favorable market trends into 2026.

Cokal Limited Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Nov 21, 2025

Cokal Limited announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were passed by the required majority, as confirmed by a poll. This outcome supports the company’s strategic objectives and governance, reinforcing its position in the metallurgical coal industry and potentially impacting its stakeholders positively.

Cokal Limited Advances BBM Project with Updated Resource and Operational Metrics
Nov 21, 2025

Cokal Limited has announced updates regarding its Bumi Barito Mineral (BBM) Project, highlighting the completion of technical studies and agreements that support the project’s operational metrics. The company has reported a total of 23.01 million tonnes in declared Ore Reserves, with a forecasted life-of-mine production of 18.7 million tonnes. These developments are expected to reduce operating and capital costs, thereby enhancing Cokal’s market positioning and operational efficiency in the coal industry.

Cokal Initiates Contractor-Led Mining Operations at BBM Project
Nov 19, 2025

Cokal Limited has announced the commencement of contractor-led mining operations at its BBM Project in Central Kalimantan, Indonesia, with PT Harapan Mitra Lestari initiating the first overburden cut in Pit 3. This marks a significant step in Cokal’s strategy for progressive production growth, as two mining fleets are now operational, with two more set to start by early December 2025, reflecting a phased ramp-up plan designed to enhance efficiency and meet improving market conditions.

Cokal Limited Advances BBM Project with Contractor Mobilization
Nov 13, 2025

Cokal Limited has announced the mobilization of PT Harapan Mitra Lestari as the mining contractor for its BBM Project, marking a significant step towards full-scale operations. The deployment of equipment and personnel to the site is a crucial milestone in the company’s strategy to increase production in response to improving market conditions for metallurgical coal.

Cokal Limited Resumes Domestic Coal Sales Amid Market Recovery
Oct 31, 2025

Cokal Limited has resumed coal sales to domestic end users, marking a significant step in strengthening its operational foundation amid a recovering metallurgical coal market. The company has advanced several key initiatives, including appointing PT Petrosea Tbk for road development and progressing infrastructure projects, positioning itself for a strong operational ramp-up in the coming quarters.

Cokal Limited Announces Key Resolutions for Upcoming AGM
Oct 22, 2025

Cokal Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting scheduled for November 21, 2025, to be held both in Sydney and virtually. Key agenda items include the consideration of the company’s financial statements, adoption of the remuneration report, re-election of Director Mr. Domenic Martino, and approval of a mandate to issue additional equity securities. These resolutions are significant for shareholders as they address financial reporting, governance, and potential capital expansion, impacting the company’s strategic direction and shareholder value.

Cokal Resumes Mining Operations and Appoints New Contractor to Boost Production
Oct 22, 2025

Cokal Limited has announced the resumption of limited mining operations at its BBM site, producing small quantities of Low Volatile Hard Coking Coal to sustain operations during a period of low market demand. The company has appointed PT Harapan Mitra Lestari as a mining contractor to commence operations in December 2025, under a non-exclusive agreement. This strategic move, along with a new agreement with PT Petrosea to enhance logistics facilities, positions Cokal to scale production as market conditions improve, ensuring operational flow and fulfilling domestic supply commitments.

Cokal Limited Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting and Director Nominations
Oct 15, 2025

Cokal Limited has announced that its Annual General Meeting for the financial year ending 30 June 2025 will be held on 21 November 2025. The company has also opened nominations for the office of Director, which must be submitted by 22 October 2025. This announcement is part of Cokal’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and engage with shareholders, potentially impacting its governance and strategic direction.

Cokal Resumes Coal Sales with Successful Trial Shipments
Oct 7, 2025

Cokal Limited has successfully completed commercial trial coal shipment sales to PT Dexin Steel Indonesia and PT Detian Coking Indonesia, marking the company’s first sales since May 2025 after a period of weak market conditions. Facilitated by M Resources and INTCO, these transactions achieved favorable pricing and signal an improvement in market sentiment, with further sales discussions underway for the fourth quarter, indicating a positive momentum in Cokal’s sales program.

Cokal Limited Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Sep 30, 2025

Cokal Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, confirming adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations. The statement, approved by the board, outlines the company’s compliance with governance practices, including board responsibilities, director appointments, and executive agreements, which are crucial for maintaining transparency and accountability to stakeholders.

Cokal Limited’s 2025 Annual Report Highlights Sustainable Coal Production
Sep 30, 2025

Cokal Limited’s annual report for 2025 emphasizes its commitment to sustainable and respectful production of world-class metallurgical coal. This approach is likely to enhance its operational efficiency and strengthen its position in the industry, potentially benefiting stakeholders through improved environmental and community relations.

Cokal Strengthens Infrastructure with PT Petrindo Partnership
Sep 23, 2025

Cokal Limited has advanced its strategic partnership with Indonesian coal company PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk by entering into a binding term sheet for the development of the BBM Haul Road. This collaboration will see PT Petrindo funding the road’s upgrade to an all-weather standard, facilitating coal transport from both Cokal’s BBM mine and PT Petrindo’s DBK mine. PT Petrosea Tbk has been appointed as the main contractor for the road development, expected to begin in October 2025. This partnership is a significant step in enhancing Cokal’s infrastructure capabilities, which are essential for its production growth and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 05, 2025