tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Codan Limited (AU:CDA)
ASX:CDA

Codan Limited (CDA) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
42 Followers

Top Page

AU:CDA

Codan Limited

(Sydney:CDA)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
AU$38.00
▲(10.59% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and an upbeat earnings update with clear growth guidance and improving order book visibility. This is partly offset by expensive valuation (high P/E, low yield) and only moderate technical momentum (below the 20-day average with slightly negative MACD).
Positive Factors
Strong top-line and profit growth
Sustained double-digit revenue growth and large operating leverage (EBIT +52%, NPAT +55%) indicate durable product demand and scalable cost structure. This underpins multi-period earnings visibility, supports reinvestment in R&D and channels, and strengthens long-term cash generation.
Robust free cash flow conversion
High free cash flow growth and near‑unity conversion of earnings to cash provide structural financial flexibility. Durable cash generation funds capex, R&D (engineering spend ~9% of revenue), dividends and selective M&A without materially increasing leverage over time.
Conservative leverage and liquidity headroom
Low reported leverage and substantial undrawn facilities give the company durable balance sheet optionality. This supports cyclical resilience, disciplined M&A capability and funding for product development, reducing refinancing and liquidity risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising operating expenses
Elevated operating spend for integration, launches and performance-linked pay can compress margins for multiple quarters. If cost synergies from acquisitions and shared services take longer to realize, profitability expansion may be delayed and cash conversion could be intermittently pressured.
Procurement softness in Zetron Americas
Structural variability in public sector procurement can lengthen sales cycles and create uneven revenue recognition for mission‑critical communications. Prolonged softness would weaken visibility on bookings and limit predictable revenue growth in a key market over several reporting periods.
Communications margin progression risk
The Communications segment's margin shortfall versus the 30% target highlights execution and scale risk. Failure to achieve margin expansion through integration and operational improvements would constrain group profitability gains and reduce the leverage from higher revenue.

Codan Limited (CDA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Codan Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCodan Limited develops technology solutions for United Nations organizations, mining companies, security and military groups, government departments, individuals, and small-scale miners. It operates through Communications and Metal Detection segments. The Communications segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets communication equipment that consists of MIMO MESH; DTC radio solutions for the wireless transmission of video and other data applications; and Zetron communications solutions. The Metal Detection segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets metal detection equipment, such as handheld metal detecting technologies for recreational, gold mining, demining, and military markets. The company sells its products through a network of dealers, distributors, and agents in Australia, Canada, Denmark, the United Kingdom, the United States, Brazil, India, Ireland, Mexico, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. Codan Limited was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Mawson Lakes, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCodan Limited generates revenue through multiple key streams, including the sale of its communication systems, tracking solutions, and metal detection equipment. The Communications division, which includes tactical radio systems for defense and public safety agencies, represents a significant portion of the company's revenue, often enhanced by government contracts and international sales. The Tracking division offers asset tracking solutions for various industries, contributing to recurring revenue through service and maintenance agreements. Additionally, the Metal Detection division, popular among recreational and professional gold prospectors, generates income from both product sales and aftermarket services. Codan also benefits from strategic partnerships with government agencies and private sector clients, which help secure long-term contracts and projects. Overall, the combination of product sales, service agreements, and strategic collaborations underpins Codan's financial performance.

Codan Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong set of H1 results with material top-line and profit growth (revenue +29%, EBIT +52%, NPAT +55%) driven by both Communications and an exceptional Minelab performance (revenue +46%, margin 45%). Product-led momentum, a sizable orderbook (+19% to $294m) and large engineering spend (9% of revenue) underpin confidence and growth visibility. Key near-term challenges include elevated operating expenses, a temporary slowdown in Zetron Americas procurement, a modest rise in net debt and a higher effective tax rate (~25%). Management remains confident on FY '26 guidance (Communications 15–20% growth range; Minelab H2 at least in line with H1) and retains balance sheet flexibility for disciplined M&A. On balance, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Group Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased 29% to $394 million, driven by strong organic growth and a full first-half contribution from the Kagwerks acquisition.
Strong Profitability Expansion
EBIT increased 52% and NPAT increased 55% to $71 million; NPAT margin improved to over 18%, demonstrating operating leverage and improved product mix.
Generous Interim Dividend
Board declared a fully franked interim dividend of $0.195 per share, up 56% on the prior corresponding period, reflecting disciplined capital management.
Communications Growth and Orderbook
Communications revenue rose 19% to $222 million; segment profit increased 17% to $58 million with margins around 26%. Orderbook increased 19% to $294 million, providing strong H2 visibility and the business is targeting 15–20% FY '26 revenue growth.
Unmanned Systems Momentum
Unmanned systems revenue grew 68% to $73 million, with roughly half tied to operational defense applications in conflict zones and the remainder from non-conflict defense/security programs across Asia, U.S. and Europe.
Minelab Exceptional Performance
Minelab revenue rose 46% to $168 million and segment margin expanded to 45%, supported by elevated gold prices, strong Africa demand and high-teens growth in rest-of-world markets.
Product and R&D Investment
Engineering investment was $36 million (≈9% of group revenue) supporting new product launches including the Gold Monster 2000 and upcoming GPZ/GPX updates, with management pointing to product-led sales momentum.
Balance Sheet and Financial Flexibility
Net debt closed at $88 million (up $10 million vs June) with conservative leverage of 0.4x EBITDA and undrawn facilities of $140 million plus a $150 million accordion, preserving capacity for acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose due to targeted investments in shared services, higher performance-linked pay, product launch costs and Kagwerks integration, pressuring short-term expense base.
Zetron Americas Short-Term Softness
Zetron Americas experienced slower procurement cycles among state and local agencies, extending sales cycles and deferring orders in H1, although early H2 indications are improving.
Higher Tax Rate
Tax expense increased to around 25% as a larger share of Minelab profits are taxed in Australia, moving the group's expected tax rate into the mid-20s going forward.
Working Capital and Net Debt Movement
Net debt increased $10 million to $88 million, largely reflecting working capital investment to support growth; seasonal working capital unwind is expected but timing creates near-term cash pressure.
Margin Progression Risk in Communications
Communications margins remained at ~26% in H1 (below the 30% target), with management noting a moderating pace of margin expansion and reliance on integration benefits and scale to reach targets by FY '27.
M&A Market Dynamics and Costs
Management flagged a competitive M&A environment with elevated multiples; the company incurred integration and M&A-related costs and remains selective, which may limit near-term inorganic opportunities.
Company Guidance
Management guided that Communications is on track for FY‑26 revenue growth of 15–20% (H1 Communications revenue $222m; H1 segment profit $58m; current margin ~26% with a target of 30% by FY‑27) and that Minelab’s H2 revenue is expected to be at least in line with H1 (H1 Minelab revenue $168m, +46% YoY, segment margin 45%); group H1 actuals were revenue $394m (+29%), EBIT +52% and NPAT $71m (+55%), and the Board declared a fully franked interim dividend of $0.195/share (+56%). Management reiterated ongoing investment (engineering spend of $36m in H1, ~9% of revenue), a tax rate around 25%, FX hedges covering ~50% of expected USD H2 exposure, and balance sheet capacity (net debt $88m, up $10m vs June, leverage 0.4x EBITDA, undrawn facility $140m plus $150m accordion) with an order book of $294m (+19% at 31 Dec) and unmanned revenue of $73m (+68%) supporting the outlook.

Codan Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall financial health: solid revenue growth, healthy profitability, and robust free cash flow growth. Balance sheet leverage is manageable, though rising debt and some margin/cost pressure warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Codan Limited has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 14.25% increase in the latest year, indicating robust demand for its products. The company maintains healthy profitability with a gross profit margin of 56.18% and a net profit margin of 15.35%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 21.74% and 23.08%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in EBITDA margin compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Codan Limited is stable, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity stands at 19.76%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years requires monitoring to ensure it remains sustainable.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Codan Limited's cash flow is robust, with a significant 45.34% growth in free cash flow, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.76 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 indicate efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The company has improved its free cash flow position significantly, which is a positive sign for future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue762.12M674.23M550.46M456.47M506.14M437.05M
Gross Profit412.57M378.75M305.23M218.59M253.06M216.90M
EBITDA185.43M155.64M147.10M120.64M162.65M159.32M
Net Income128.62M103.49M81.39M67.77M100.74M90.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets912.27M904.80M768.71M693.30M590.93M502.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.78M39.73M19.70M23.66M22.61M22.36M
Total Debt184.06M160.74M141.05M125.39M82.24M56.12M
Total Liabilities354.38M380.98M321.78M286.97M222.98M199.24M
Stockholders Equity557.89M523.83M447.39M406.70M368.28M303.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.20M138.02M55.67M30.51M17.56M108.35M
Operating Cash Flow53.98M146.64M106.45M79.88M51.72M131.30M
Investing Cash Flow-30.66M-98.06M-87.96M-53.93M-19.75M-182.72M
Financing Cash Flow-40.77M-28.66M-22.43M-25.45M-32.68M-19.00M

Codan Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.36
Price Trends
50DMA
33.90
Positive
100DMA
33.16
Positive
200DMA
27.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
44.89
Neutral
STOCH
47.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.56, above the 50-day MA of 33.90, and above the 200-day MA of 27.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CDA.

Codan Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
AU$1.83B22.1433.65%4.29%8.70%3.11%
71
Outperform
AU$6.29B48.8820.83%0.97%22.48%27.07%
67
Neutral
AU$244.52M22.7418.05%2.31%-1.09%14.88%
65
Neutral
AU$1.24B34.7635.71%1.27%5.11%12.91%
64
Neutral
AU$2.77B847.502.19%61.31%-34.15%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
37
Underperform
AU$4.54M-2.56-283.40%-74.76%42.11%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CDA
Codan Limited
34.36
19.31
128.34%
AU:DRO
DroneShield Limited
3.39
2.54
298.82%
AU:DDR
Dicker Data Limited
10.28
1.99
23.95%
AU:XRF
XRF Scientific Limited
1.74
-0.14
-7.45%
AU:OCL
Objective Corporation Limited
13.87
-2.11
-13.20%
AU:ZMM
ZIMI Ltd
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Codan Limited Corporate Events

Codan Sets Date for H1 FY26 Results and Investor Webinar
Feb 5, 2026

Codan Limited has announced that it will release its financial results for the half year ended 31 December 2025 on Thursday, 19 February 2026. The company will host a same-day investor webinar led by CEO and Managing Director Alf Ianniello and CFO and Company Secretary Michael Barton, providing the market with an opportunity to hear management’s commentary on performance and outlook, underscoring Codan’s ongoing engagement with investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Hold with a A$38.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Codan Flags Strong FY26 First-Half on Metal Detection and Communications Growth
Jan 8, 2026

Codan Limited has flagged a strong first half for FY26, guiding to preliminary group revenue of about $394 million, up 29% year on year, and underlying net profit after tax of at least $70 million, a 52% increase, driven by standout performance in metal detection and continued strength in communications. Metal detection revenue is expected to reach roughly $168 million, up around 46% on the back of robust gold detector demand in Africa and double‑digit growth in recreational markets, while the communications segment is set to deliver about $222 million in revenue, a 19% rise that aligns with the upper end of Codan’s targeted growth range, underscoring the company’s momentum across both divisions ahead of its detailed results release in February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Hold with a A$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026