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Codan Limited (AU:CDA)
ASX:CDA
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Codan Limited (CDA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CDA

Codan Limited

(Sydney:CDA)

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Outperform 83 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
AU$49.00
▲(44.24% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth, profitability, and improving free cash flow) and bullish technical trend signals (price well above key moving averages with positive momentum). The earnings call further supports the outlook with strong H1 results and upbeat guidance, while valuation is fair but tempered by the low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Robust revenue and profit growth
Sustained double-digit top-line growth with outsized operating leverage indicates durable demand and effective cost absorption. The strong H1 results, aided by the Kagwerks acquisition, expand revenue base, improve margins and increase visibility for multi-quarter growth and cash generation.
Negative Factors
Rising operating expenses
Elevated operating cost base from integration, launches and incentive pay can compress margins if revenue growth slows. These investments are strategic but may take multiple quarters to fully translate into scale benefits, creating sustained near-term pressure on profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust revenue and profit growth
Sustained double-digit top-line growth with outsized operating leverage indicates durable demand and effective cost absorption. The strong H1 results, aided by the Kagwerks acquisition, expand revenue base, improve margins and increase visibility for multi-quarter growth and cash generation.
Read all positive factors

Codan Limited (CDA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Codan Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Codan Limited develops technology solutions for United Nations organizations, mining companies, security and military groups, government departments, individuals, and small-scale miners. It operates through Communications and Metal Detection segme...
How the Company Makes Money
Codan makes money mainly by selling specialist hardware and related solutions across its two operating segments. 1) Metal detection (Minelab): A significant portion of Codan’s revenue is generated from the sale of metal detectors and associated a...

Codan Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong set of H1 results with material top-line and profit growth (revenue +29%, EBIT +52%, NPAT +55%) driven by both Communications and an exceptional Minelab performance (revenue +46%, margin 45%). Product-led momentum, a sizable orderbook (+19% to $294m) and large engineering spend (9% of revenue) underpin confidence and growth visibility. Key near-term challenges include elevated operating expenses, a temporary slowdown in Zetron Americas procurement, a modest rise in net debt and a higher effective tax rate (~25%). Management remains confident on FY '26 guidance (Communications 15–20% growth range; Minelab H2 at least in line with H1) and retains balance sheet flexibility for disciplined M&A. On balance, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Group Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased 29% to $394 million, driven by strong organic growth and a full first-half contribution from the Kagwerks acquisition.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose due to targeted investments in shared services, higher performance-linked pay, product launch costs and Kagwerks integration, pressuring short-term expense base.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Group Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased 29% to $394 million, driven by strong organic growth and a full first-half contribution from the Kagwerks acquisition.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that Communications is on track for FY‑26 revenue growth of 15–20% (H1 Communications revenue $222m; H1 segment profit $58m; current margin ~26% with a target of 30% by FY‑27) and that Minelab’s H2 revenue is expected to be at least in line with H1 (H1 Minelab revenue $168m, +46% YoY, segment margin 45%); group H1 actuals were revenue $394m (+29%), EBIT +52% and NPAT $71m (+55%), and the Board declared a fully franked interim dividend of $0.195/share (+56%). Management reiterated ongoing investment (engineering spend of $36m in H1, ~9% of revenue), a tax rate around 25%, FX hedges covering ~50% of expected USD H2 exposure, and balance sheet capacity (net debt $88m, up $10m vs June, leverage 0.4x EBITDA, undrawn facility $140m plus $150m accordion) with an order book of $294m (+19% at 31 Dec) and unmanned revenue of $73m (+68%) supporting the outlook.

Codan Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals: revenue grew 14.25% with healthy profitability (gross margin 56.18%, net margin 15.35%, EBIT margin 21.74%). Cash generation is robust with free cash flow up 45.34% and solid earnings-to-cash conversion. Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 0.31, ROE 19.76%), though rising debt and slight EBITDA margin pressure warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue762.12M674.23M550.46M456.47M506.14M437.05M
Gross Profit412.57M378.75M305.23M218.59M253.06M216.90M
EBITDA185.43M155.64M147.10M120.64M162.65M159.32M
Net Income128.62M103.49M81.39M67.77M100.74M90.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets912.27M904.80M768.71M693.30M590.93M502.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.78M39.73M19.70M23.66M22.61M22.36M
Total Debt184.06M160.74M141.05M125.39M82.24M56.12M
Total Liabilities354.38M380.98M321.78M286.97M222.98M199.24M
Stockholders Equity557.89M523.83M447.39M406.70M368.28M303.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.20M138.02M55.67M30.51M17.56M108.35M
Operating Cash Flow53.98M146.64M106.45M79.88M51.72M131.30M
Investing Cash Flow-30.66M-98.06M-87.96M-53.93M-19.75M-182.72M
Financing Cash Flow-40.77M-28.66M-22.43M-25.45M-32.68M-19.00M

Codan Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.97
Price Trends
50DMA
34.50
Negative
100DMA
33.51
Positive
200DMA
30.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
50.22
Neutral
STOCH
50.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.43, below the 50-day MA of 34.50, and above the 200-day MA of 30.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CDA.

Codan Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
AU$7.88B18.1623.78%0.97%29.14%43.52%
73
Outperform
AU$1.50B52.4028.89%1038.95%
67
Neutral
AU$262.48M13.9217.50%2.31%3.02%11.08%
62
Neutral
AU$1.80B26.245.01%3.78%-9.98%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
50
Neutral
AU$5.27M0.9226.81%-17.34%
45
Neutral
AU$39.62M-17.78-64.64%4.99%-63.89%-609.31%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CDA
Codan Limited
43.33
27.33
170.78%
AU:SEN
Senetas Corporation Limited
2.39
0.58
31.75%
AU:ELS
Elsight Ltd.
6.82
6.32
1264.00%
AU:MAQ
Macquarie Telecom Group Limited
69.80
9.08
14.95%
AU:XRF
XRF Scientific Limited
1.84
0.38
25.68%
AU:BCC
Beam Communications Holdings Limited
0.06
0.03
103.33%

Codan Limited Corporate Events

Codan lifts FY26 outlook as Communications and Minelab outpace expectations
Apr 28, 2026
Codan has delivered a stronger-than-expected second half in FY26, driven by its Communications division and solid momentum at Minelab. The Communications business is now forecast to achieve full-year revenue growth at the top end of its 15% to 20%...
Codan Issues 2,742 Unquoted Performance Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Apr 16, 2026
Codan Limited has notified the ASX of the issue of 2,742 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an issue date of 16 April 2026. These securities, designated as CDAAI performance rights, are subject to transfer restri...
Codan Issues 127,332 Unquoted Performance Rights Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Mar 17, 2026
Codan Limited has notified the market of the issue of 127,332 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an issue date of 18 March 2026. These securities, designated as CDAAI performance rights, are subject to transfer r...
Codan Issues 132,521 Unquoted Performance Rights Under Employee Incentive Plan
Mar 17, 2026
Codan Limited has notified the market of the issue of 132,521 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, effective 18 March 2026. The securities, identified under the code CDAAI, are subject to transfer restrictions and will ...
Codan Reports Lapse of 4,265 Performance Rights After Vesting Conditions Not Met
Mar 2, 2026
Codan Limited has reported a change in its issued capital structure through the lapse of a tranche of performance rights, reflecting adjustments within its equity-based incentive framework. The company disclosed that 4,265 CDAAI performance rights...
Codan Director Adam-Gedge Increases Stake via Share Rights Exercise
Feb 24, 2026
Codan Limited has disclosed a change in director Sarah Adam-Gedge’s holdings following the exercise of non-executive director rights under the company’s share rights plan. Adam-Gedge converted 1,065 NED rights into ordinary shares on 2...
Codan director increases shareholding through exercise of rights
Feb 24, 2026
Codan Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of non-executive director Heith Mackay-Cruise, following the exercise of director share rights. He acquired 2,131 ordinary shares on 24 February 2026 at a price of $29.4561 per share, increasin...
Codan director Kathryn Gramp increases stake through share rights conversion
Feb 24, 2026
Codan Limited has disclosed a change in the equity holdings of non-executive director Kathryn Joy Gramp, following the exercise of rights granted under the company’s share rights plan. Gramp acquired 1,004 ordinary shares at a price of $29.4...
Codan Director Graeme Barclay Increases Shareholding Through Exercise of Rights
Feb 24, 2026
Codan Limited has reported a change in director Graeme Rodger Crawford Barclay’s interests in the company’s securities, following the exercise of non-executive director (NED) rights under the Codan Share Rights Plan. Barclay acquired 2...
Codan Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares
Feb 24, 2026
Codan Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 6,483 new ordinary fully paid shares, to be traded under its existing ticker CDA. The securities, issued on 24 February 2026 following the exercise or conversion of existing instruments, repres...
Codan Sets Date for H1 FY26 Results and Investor Webinar
Feb 5, 2026
Codan Limited has announced that it will release its financial results for the half year ended 31 December 2025 on Thursday, 19 February 2026. The company will host a same-day investor webinar led by CEO and Managing Director Alf Ianniello and CFO...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026