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Codan Limited (AU:CDA)
ASX:CDA

Codan Limited (CDA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CDA

Codan Limited

(Sydney:CDA)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
AU$41.00
▲(11.14% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth, profitability, and cash generation). Technicals remain supportive due to a clear uptrend, but overbought indicators raise near-term risk. Valuation is the main drag given the very high P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent 14.25% top-line growth indicates durable demand across Communications, Tracking and Metal Detection divisions. Sustained revenue expansion supports scale advantages, continued R&D investment and stronger contract competitiveness, bolstering multi-quarter resilience.
Profitability / Margins
High gross margin (56.18%) and healthy net margin (15.35%) reflect differentiated products and pricing power in niche markets. Strong margins provide a buffer versus cost shocks, fund reinvestment and support durable return on capital if product leadership and mix persist.
Cash Generation
Robust free cash flow growth (+45.34%) and near-par conversion (FCF/net income ~0.94) show efficient conversion of earnings to cash. Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility for capex, R&D and debt servicing, reducing reliance on external funding over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt / Leverage
Although D/E of 0.31 is moderate, the reported increase in total debt reduces financial headroom. Continued debt growth would amplify interest and refinancing exposure, constrain capital allocation and increase vulnerability to rate or margin shocks over several quarters.
Margin Pressure
A slight decline in EBITDA margin alongside emerging cost and financing pressures signals potential structural margin headwinds. If input costs or pricing pressure persist, sustained margin erosion would depress free cash flow and limit reinvestment and shareholder return capacity.
Customer / Contract Concentration
Heavy reliance on defense and government contracts concentrates revenue and ties sales to procurement cycles and public budgets. This creates cyclicality and longer sales timelines, making medium-term revenue visibility sensitive to policy, budget shifts and geopolitical changes.

Codan Limited (CDA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Codan Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCodan Limited develops technology solutions for United Nations organizations, mining companies, security and military groups, government departments, individuals, and small-scale miners. It operates through Communications and Metal Detection segments. The Communications segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets communication equipment that consists of MIMO MESH; DTC radio solutions for the wireless transmission of video and other data applications; and Zetron communications solutions. The Metal Detection segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets metal detection equipment, such as handheld metal detecting technologies for recreational, gold mining, demining, and military markets. The company sells its products through a network of dealers, distributors, and agents in Australia, Canada, Denmark, the United Kingdom, the United States, Brazil, India, Ireland, Mexico, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. Codan Limited was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Mawson Lakes, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCodan Limited generates revenue through multiple key streams, including the sale of its communication systems, tracking solutions, and metal detection equipment. The Communications division, which includes tactical radio systems for defense and public safety agencies, represents a significant portion of the company's revenue, often enhanced by government contracts and international sales. The Tracking division offers asset tracking solutions for various industries, contributing to recurring revenue through service and maintenance agreements. Additionally, the Metal Detection division, popular among recreational and professional gold prospectors, generates income from both product sales and aftermarket services. Codan also benefits from strategic partnerships with government agencies and private sector clients, which help secure long-term contracts and projects. Overall, the combination of product sales, service agreements, and strategic collaborations underpins Codan's financial performance.

Codan Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Codan Limited exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage, and cash flow generation is robust, supporting future growth and stability. Minor concerns include cost pressures and increasing debt.
Income Statement
Codan Limited has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 14.25% increase in the latest year, indicating robust demand for its products. The company maintains healthy profitability with a gross profit margin of 56.18% and a net profit margin of 15.35%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 21.74% and 23.08%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in EBITDA margin compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Codan Limited is stable, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity stands at 19.76%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years requires monitoring to ensure it remains sustainable.
Cash Flow
Codan Limited's cash flow is robust, with a significant 45.34% growth in free cash flow, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.76 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 indicate efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The company has improved its free cash flow position significantly, which is a positive sign for future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue674.23M674.23M550.46M456.47M506.14M437.05M
Gross Profit378.75M378.75M305.23M218.59M253.06M216.90M
EBITDA155.64M155.64M147.10M120.64M162.65M159.32M
Net Income103.49M103.49M81.39M67.77M100.74M90.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets904.80M904.80M768.71M693.30M590.93M502.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.73M39.73M19.70M23.66M22.61M22.36M
Total Debt160.74M160.74M141.05M125.39M82.24M56.12M
Total Liabilities380.98M380.98M321.78M286.97M222.98M199.24M
Stockholders Equity523.83M523.83M447.39M406.70M368.28M303.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.43M138.02M55.67M30.51M17.56M108.35M
Operating Cash Flow40.24M146.64M106.45M79.88M51.72M131.30M
Investing Cash Flow-64.27M-98.06M-87.96M-53.93M-19.75M-182.72M
Financing Cash Flow31.50M-28.66M-22.43M-25.45M-32.68M-19.00M

Codan Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.89
Price Trends
50DMA
31.36
Positive
100DMA
31.13
Positive
200DMA
24.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
78.25
Negative
STOCH
89.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.84, above the 50-day MA of 31.36, and above the 200-day MA of 24.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.25 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CDA.

Codan Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
€1.85B22.3133.65%4.29%8.70%3.11%
70
Outperform
AU$6.71B64.6220.83%0.97%22.48%27.07%
67
Neutral
AU$3.67B496.302.19%61.31%-34.15%
67
Neutral
AU$304.57M28.7418.05%2.31%-1.09%14.88%
65
Neutral
AU$1.60B44.8235.71%1.27%5.11%12.91%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
37
Underperform
AU$5.29M-0.76-283.40%-74.76%42.11%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CDA
Codan Limited
36.89
21.58
140.94%
AU:DRO
DroneShield Limited
4.02
3.28
443.24%
AU:DDR
Dicker Data Limited
10.21
2.31
29.24%
AU:XRF
XRF Scientific Limited
2.13
0.40
23.12%
AU:OCL
Objective Corporation Limited
16.66
1.10
7.07%
AU:ZMM
ZIMI Ltd
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Codan Limited Corporate Events

Codan Flags Strong FY26 First-Half on Metal Detection and Communications Growth
Jan 8, 2026

Codan Limited has flagged a strong first half for FY26, guiding to preliminary group revenue of about $394 million, up 29% year on year, and underlying net profit after tax of at least $70 million, a 52% increase, driven by standout performance in metal detection and continued strength in communications. Metal detection revenue is expected to reach roughly $168 million, up around 46% on the back of robust gold detector demand in Africa and double‑digit growth in recreational markets, while the communications segment is set to deliver about $222 million in revenue, a 19% rise that aligns with the upper end of Codan’s targeted growth range, underscoring the company’s momentum across both divisions ahead of its detailed results release in February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Hold with a A$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Codan Limited Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Nov 17, 2025

Codan Limited announced the cessation of 7,244 performance rights due to unmet conditions, impacting its issued capital. This development may affect the company’s financial structuring and stakeholder interests, highlighting a potential reevaluation of performance metrics and conditions for future securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Hold with a A$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Codan Limited Updates Director’s Interest in Securities
Oct 28, 2025

Codan Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically regarding Alfonzo Ianniello’s performance rights. The change involves the issuance of additional performance rights under the Codan Share Rights Plan Rules, increasing his total holdings. This adjustment reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align management incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Hold with a A$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Codan Limited Issues Unquoted Performance Rights to Employees
Oct 28, 2025

Codan Limited has announced the issuance of 33,948 unquoted performance rights under an employee incentive scheme, with restrictions on transfer until a specified period. This move is part of the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain talent, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Hold with a A$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Codan Limited Issues Performance Rights to Employees
Oct 28, 2025

Codan Limited announced the issuance of 33,948 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme, which are unquoted and subject to transfer restrictions. This move is part of Codan’s strategy to incentivize employees, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and aligning employee interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Hold with a A$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Codan Limited Successfully Passes All Resolutions at 2025 AGM
Oct 22, 2025

Codan Limited announced that all resolutions at its 2025 Annual General Meeting were successfully passed, reflecting strong support from shareholders. The approval of key resolutions, including the adoption of the remuneration report and the re-election of a director, indicates continued confidence in the company’s strategic direction and leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Buy with a A$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Codan Limited Reports Strong FY25 Performance and Strategic Growth Initiatives
Oct 22, 2025

Codan Limited reported a successful financial year in FY25, with a 22% growth in group revenues and significant increases in EBIT and NPAT. The Communications business, including Zetron and DTC, saw a 26% rise in revenues, while Minelab achieved a 16% increase in revenue, driven by high gold prices and expanded distribution channels. The company remains committed to its three-pillar strategy focusing on business development, core business strengthening, and capital allocation for growth, highlighted by the acquisition of Kägwerks, enhancing its position in the U.S. defense ecosystem.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CDA) stock is a Buy with a A$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codan Limited stock, see the AU:CDA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026