Chrysos Corp. Ltd. (C79) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$1.16B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 347.84K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.38
• Revenue Growth: -89.69%
• EPS Growth: -658.51%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 200
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 116,476,295
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 301,690
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 347,840
• PEG Ratio: -0.07
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.73
• Price to Sales (P/S): 8.20
• P/FCF Ratio: -9.05
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$9.05
• Price Target Upside: -9.05% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.02
• Revenue Forecast (FY): AU$91.00M

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$10.00 ▲(0.50% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 11/28/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 11/28/25

Chrysos Corp. Ltd.'s overall stock score is primarily impacted by its strong revenue growth and robust gross profit margin. However, significant challenges in profitability, cash flow management, and valuation weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, further influencing the overall assessment.

Positive Factors

Exceptional Gross Margin

A ~99.97% gross margin indicates very strong unit economics and low direct production costs for Chrysos' PPA systems and software. Such margin headroom supports reinvestment in R&D, pricing flexibility, and durable profitability improvement as sales scale and recurring services expand.

Low Financial Leverage

A low debt-to-equity ratio provides balance sheet resilience, reduces financing risk, and preserves capacity to fund growth or navigate cyclical mining capex cycles. This structural strength supports long-term investments and lowers bankruptcy risk during downturns.

Recurring Services & Installed Base Model

Chrysos combines hardware sales with recurring software, monitoring and service contracts plus engineering work. That mix creates an annuity-like revenue stream, higher lifetime customer value, and upgrade/upsell channels that support durable revenue visibility as deployments grow.

Negative Factors

Negative Net Profitability

Sustained negative net margins and weakening EBIT indicate Chrysos has not yet converted high gross margins into operating profitability. Continued losses constrain retained earnings, limit shareholder returns, and may force trade-offs between growth spending and margin improvement.

Weak Cash Flow Conversion

Poor conversion of reported earnings into cash (OCF/net income ~0.20 and negative FCF) reduces internal funding for deployments, maintenance of installed base, and R&D. Reliance on external financing raises dilution and execution risk over the medium term.

Volatile/Uncertain Revenue Growth

A large negative recent revenue-growth reading suggests volatility or a sharp pullback in top-line trends. Such swings impair forecasting, make capital allocation harder, and can hinder scale economics and adoption timelines in mining projects that require multi‑period deployments and proof-of-value.

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chrysos Corporation Limited engages in the development and supply of mining technology. It offers PhotonAssay, a technology for analysis of gold, silver, copper, and other elements. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the provision of its PhotonAssay services to mining companies. The company charges clients on a per-sample basis for its assay services, creating a direct revenue stream that scales with the volume of samples processed. Additionally, Chrysos may enter into strategic partnerships and collaborations with mining companies and industry stakeholders to expand its service offerings and market reach. These partnerships can also lead to long-term contracts, providing a stable income from repeat business. The company's focus on innovation and operational efficiency positions it well to capitalize on the growing demand for accurate and timely mineral analysis, contributing to its overall earnings.

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. shows strong revenue growth and an impressive gross profit margin, but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, yet the company faces challenges in generating shareholder returns.

Income Statement

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with a 19.11% increase in the latest year. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -12.44% and a declining EBIT margin. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 99.97%, indicating strong cost management, but the overall profitability remains a concern.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, indicating low leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative at -4.15%, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. faces challenges with cash flow management, as indicated by negative free cash flow and a high free cash flow to net income ratio of -6.78. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.20, highlighting difficulties in converting income into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	155.00K	66.11M	45.36M	26.82M	571.00K	47.00K
Gross Profit	-60.47M	66.09M	34.42M	25.73M	29.00K	-6.78M
EBITDA	-18.18M	17.34M	11.68M	5.09M	2.16M	-1.03M
Net Income	-4.88M	-8.22M	-704.00K	443.00K	-3.94M	-3.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	286.22M	264.31M	243.26M	163.41M	144.09M	29.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	21.57M	21.52M	61.07M	53.36M	92.10M	5.77M
Total Debt	55.10M	25.41M	6.67M	14.28M	8.82M	3.14M
Total Liabilities	87.85M	66.01M	44.99M	39.18M	21.77M	15.28M
Stockholders Equity	198.38M	198.30M	198.27M	124.23M	122.32M	14.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-47.62M	-59.89M	-56.23M	-42.61M	-25.67M	-7.46M
Operating Cash Flow	7.19M	8.83M	3.63M	4.65M	1.41M	613.00K
Investing Cash Flow	-57.21M	-68.72M	-59.86M	-47.26M	-26.98M	-8.07M
Financing Cash Flow	46.23M	17.28M	64.30M	3.54M	111.52M	-268.00K

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 9.95
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:C79, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.12, above the 50-day MA of 7.74, and above the 200-day MA of 6.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.84 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:C79.

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
EOL	58 Neutral	AU$486.26M	65.23	10.18%	0.43%	17.12%	311.38%
NXL	56 Neutral	AU$641.06M	52.04	-3.19%	―	0.40%	-280.65%
C79	48 Neutral	AU$1.16B	-234.67	-4.15%	―	-89.69%	-658.51%
EIQ	46 Neutral	AU$406.36M	-24.70	-89.84%	―	127.89%	-107.34%

Chrysos Corp. Ltd. Corporate Events

Chrysos sets date for half-year results and investor briefing

Chrysos Corporation has scheduled the release of its half-year financial results for the period ended 31 December 2025, with the announcement to be made on 18 February 2026. Following the results, Managing Director and CEO Dirk Treasure and CFO Brett Coventry will brief analysts and investors via a webcast and conference call, underscoring the company’s engagement with capital markets as it continues to expand its mining analysis technology globally.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:C79) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chrysos Corp. Ltd. stock, see the AU:C79 Stock Forecast page.

UBS Group Ceases to Be Substantial Shareholder in Chrysos Corporation

UBS Group AG and its related entities have notified Chrysos Corporation Limited that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company as of 29 January 2026, according to a statutory disclosure lodged in early February. The reduction in UBS’s holding below the substantial shareholder threshold signals a change in the company’s institutional investor base and may alter the balance of large shareholders influencing Chrysos’s governance and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:C79) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chrysos Corp. Ltd. stock, see the AU:C79 Stock Forecast page.

Chrysos Corporation Announces Change in Director Shareholding

Chrysos Corporation Limited announced changes in the shareholding interests of Director Gregory Vincent Holt, reflecting an acquisition of 8,031 fully paid ordinary shares through his indirect interest via the G.V. Holt Family Trust. These changes, achieved via an on-market purchase, bring Mr. Holt’s total indirect holdings to 30,481 shares, showcasing continued confidence and investment in the company’s prospects, which could signal stability and robust engagement at the leadership level.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:C79) stock is a Hold with a A$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chrysos Corp. Ltd. stock, see the AU:C79 Stock Forecast page.

Chrysos Corp. Announces Director’s Change in Securities Interest

Chrysos Corporation Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Dirk Moore Treasure. The change involves the acquisition of 239,919 performance rights, increasing the total to 638,213 performance rights held by the director. This adjustment was made under the company’s Employee Equity Plan with shareholder approval, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning management incentives with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:C79) stock is a Hold with a A$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chrysos Corp. Ltd. stock, see the AU:C79 Stock Forecast page.

Chrysos Corp. Announces Cessation of Performance Rights

Chrysos Corporation Limited announced the cessation of 6,653 performance rights due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s operational and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:C79) stock is a Hold with a A$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chrysos Corp. Ltd. stock, see the AU:C79 Stock Forecast page.

Chrysos Corp. Director Increases Stake Significantly

Chrysos Corporation Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Gregory Vincent Holt acquiring an additional 10,450 fully paid ordinary shares through the GVH Trust. This acquisition increases the total shares held by the trust to 22,450, reflecting a strategic move that may signal confidence in the company’s future prospects and could impact stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:C79) stock is a Hold with a A$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chrysos Corp. Ltd. stock, see the AU:C79 Stock Forecast page.