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Bailador Technology Investments Ltd (AU:BTI)
ASX:BTI
Australian Market

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd (BTI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BTI

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd

(Sydney:BTI)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(22.95% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:12/30/25
The score is supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and a constructive technical trend (price above key moving averages). Offsetting this, financial performance is tempered by weak cash flow quality and historically volatile results despite strong recent profitability and a debt-free balance sheet.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet (zero debt)
Zero total debt and sizable equity give the company durable financial flexibility to support follow‑on funding, withstand delayed exits, and avoid refinancing risk. This conservatism reduces insolvency risk and preserves optionality to back portfolio companies or seize new investments over months.
Recent strong profitability and margins
Sustained high margins and year‑over‑year revenue growth through 2025 indicate the portfolio and valuation mechanics recently delivered meaningful returns. Durable margin strength over multiple reporting periods can support retained earnings, dividends, and reinvestment capacity over the next several quarters.
Specialized growth‑capital investment model
A focused strategy on later‑stage internet and software firms plus active strategic support is a structural advantage: specialization improves sourcing, due diligence, and value‑add capabilities, raising the likelihood of successful exits and persistent relative performance versus undifferentiated investors.
Negative Factors
Weak and volatile operating cash flow
Consistent negative operating cash flow forces reliance on balance sheet liquidity or asset sales to fund operations and follow‑on investments. Over a multi‑month horizon this weak cash generation heightens execution risk, constrains distributions, and can pressure strategic flexibility if exits stall.
Historical earnings and revenue volatility
A pattern of large swings in revenue and margins undermines predictability of future returns and makes capital planning harder. For an investment vehicle, volatility in underlying realizations increases uncertainty over near‑term liquidity and complicates reliable dividend or NAV guidance.
Dependence on exits and fair‑value swings
Business results and cash generation are structurally tied to timing of exits and fair‑value marks, making earnings and liquidity lumpy. Over 2–6 months, delayed M&A or IPO windows can materially reduce realizations and cash inflows, constraining returns despite strong underlying assets.

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd (BTI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBailador Technology Investments Limited is a venture capital firm specializing in investments in mid venture, late venture and PIPESs and expansion capital in companies which have advanced through the start-up phase. The firm prefers to invest in IT, software & services, health technology, the Internet with a focus on e-commerce and subscription-based internet businesses, software, high value data, online education, telecommunications applications and services, and new media and marketing. It does not invest in start-ups or biotechnology sector. The firm seeks investments in Australia and New Zealand. It makes investments through Balance Sheet and prefers to take minority stake and board seats in portfolio companies. The firm makes equity investment between A$5 million ($3.34 million) to A$20 million ($13.35 million) in companies with sales value between A$5 million ($3.34 million) to A$100 million ($66.76 million) and enterprise value between A$25 million ($16.69 million) to A$300 million ($200.28 million). Bailador Technology Investments Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBailador Technology Investments Ltd generates revenue primarily through the returns on its investments in private technology companies. The company makes money by acquiring equity stakes in these businesses and then realizing value through various exit strategies such as public listings, trade sales, or share buybacks. BTI's earnings are significantly influenced by the performance of its investee companies, the valuation of its portfolio, and the successful execution of exit events. Additionally, the company may receive dividends or interest from its investments, contributing to its revenue streams.

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent profitability (2025 revenue up 18.53% and net margin near 49%) and a very conservative balance sheet (zero debt) are positives. However, recurring negative operating cash flow (e.g., -18.4M in 2025 and -43.9M in 2023) and historical volatility in results reduce confidence in earnings quality and stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Recent profitability is strong, with 2025 revenue up 18.53% and net profit margin near 49% (following ~51% in 2024), indicating healthy earnings power in the last two annual periods. However, results are less consistent over the full history: earlier years show unusual swings including negative revenue in 2020–2022 and highly volatile margins, which reduces confidence in the stability and repeatability of reported performance.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with zero total debt and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0 across all reported years, providing strong financial flexibility. Equity and assets are sizable (2025 equity of 244.2M vs. assets of 280.4M). The main weakness is moderate returns on equity recently (about 7.9% in 2025 and 8.9% in 2024), down from higher levels in 2021–2022, suggesting capital is not currently being converted into returns as efficiently as before.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation is a key concern: operating cash flow was negative in 2025 (-18.4M) and also deeply negative in several prior years (including -43.9M in 2023), despite positive reported net income in most periods. 2024 showed a small positive operating cash flow (0.2M), but overall cash flow volatility and frequent cash burn weaken the quality of earnings and increase dependence on balance-sheet liquidity and investment realizations.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.73M39.12M40.55M2.88M-5.58M-853.00K
Gross Profit-3.11M39.12M40.06M-3.48M-20.83M-11.53M
EBITDA32.22M27.07M27.98M8.28M48.61M39.40M
Net Income25.00M19.25M20.67M5.42M33.97M27.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets308.98M280.43M267.46M237.03M277.63M236.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.05M19.92M151.46M112.69M211.78M61.31M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities45.46M36.23M34.34M17.02M52.95M44.45M
Stockholders Equity263.51M244.20M233.12M220.01M224.69M191.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.02M-18.38M192.00K-43.92M-13.19M-4.40M
Operating Cash Flow-18.02M-18.38M192.00K-43.92M-13.19M-4.40M
Investing Cash Flow8.15M-20.49M11.58M-31.99M114.67M19.86M
Financing Cash Flow-8.19M-8.17M-7.57M-10.12M-1.24M23.47M

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.22
Price Trends
50DMA
1.16
Negative
100DMA
1.16
Negative
200DMA
1.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
35.48
Neutral
STOCH
14.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BTI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.12, above the 50-day MA of 1.16, and above the 200-day MA of 1.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BTI.

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
1.948.07%5.99%-66.52%-8.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
AU$1.08B15.0760.59%3.02%5.82%11.11%
57
Neutral
AU$123.65M4.040.21%7.14%4.44%-90.57%
44
Neutral
AU$37.54M-2.15-27.06%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BTI
Bailador Technology Investments Ltd
1.06
-0.03
-2.57%
AU:SHJ
Shine Justice Ltd.
0.73
0.09
14.06%
AU:DTL
Data#3 Limited.
6.96
-0.63
-8.29%
AU:AI1
DC Two Ltd.
0.05
-0.02
-30.77%

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd Corporate Events

Bailador Seeks ASX Quotation for 1.35 Million New Shares
Mar 5, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 1,354,130 ordinary fully paid shares, to be traded under its existing code BTI. The new securities, issued under a dividend or distribution plan, modestly increase the company’s listed share capital and provide existing investors with additional liquidity in its technology-focused investment vehicle.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador Updates Dividend Reinvestment Price for Interim Distribution
Feb 20, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments has updated its previously announced interim dividend for the six months to 31 December 2025, specifically revising the price used for its Dividend Reinvestment Plan. The distribution remains tied to the same reporting period and key dates, but the change signals an administrative adjustment that may alter the terms under which shareholders can reinvest their dividends into additional ordinary fully paid BTI shares.

The record date for determining eligible shareholders was set at 16 February 2026, with the ex-dividend date on 13 February 2026, and these timetable details remain unchanged despite the DRP price update. The refinement to the dividend reinvestment parameters may affect the number of shares issued under the plan and could subtly influence shareholder participation and the company’s capital management outcomes for the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador Backs Rosterfy’s Global Growth as Fund Delivers Solid Returns
Feb 10, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments reported a post-tax net tangible asset value of $1.72 per share at 31 January 2026 and highlighted steady medium-term returns, supported by a consistent, fully franked dividend stream that translates into an attractive grossed-up yield for shareholders. The update focused on portfolio company Rosterfy, a global volunteer workforce management platform, where Bailador has progressively increased its total investment to support rapid international ARR growth, expansion of sales and marketing teams, and enhanced data and AI product capabilities, underscoring Bailador’s strategy of backing scalable tech platforms with strong offshore momentum.

Rosterfy now manages more than three million volunteers across over 75 countries, has powered more than 160 million volunteer hours, and earns over 70% of its recurring revenue from outside Australia, mainly in the U.S., U.K. and Europe. The company’s ARR has grown about 170% since Bailador’s initial 2023 investment, and new capital committed in late 2025 and early 2026 is intended to accelerate product development and strengthen its competitive positioning in the global volunteer management software market, potentially enhancing long-term value for Bailador investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador Corrects Base Date in HY26 Shareholder Value Chart
Feb 10, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments has issued a correction to its HY26 half-yearly presentation, clarifying that a chart illustrating growth in shareholder value should have used June 2020, rather than December 2020, as the base period. The company has released a corrected version of the graphic, aiming to ensure accurate historical performance disclosure and maintain transparency for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador lifts HY26 profit, boosts NTA and declares higher-yield interim dividend
Feb 9, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments reported a net profit after tax of $23.2m for the half year to 31 December 2025, up from $17.5m a year earlier, and lifted its post-tax NTA per share to $1.76. The fund highlighted strong gains across both public and private holdings, including a 37.2% rise in SiteMinder’s share price and double-digit valuation increases in Updoc, PropHero and Hapana.

The board declared a fully franked interim dividend of 3.9 cents per share, equating to an annualised grossed-up yield of 8.9% and aligned with its policy of distributing 4% of pre-tax NTA annually. Bailador also realised $25m via a partial sale of SiteMinder and confirmed its dividend reinvestment plan will operate at a 2.5% discount, underscoring its emphasis on providing a stable income stream while recycling capital within a high-growth tech portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador Declares Half-Year Distribution of AUD 0.039 Per Share
Feb 9, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments Limited has declared a fully paid ordinary share distribution of AUD 0.039 per share, relating to the six-month period ended 31 December 2025. The distribution will trade ex-dividend on 13 February 2026, with a record date of 16 February 2026 and payment scheduled for 5 March 2026, while shareholders may elect to participate in the dividend reinvestment plan until 19 February 2026.

The announcement confirms the timetable for the half-year distribution, providing income visibility and reinforcing Bailador’s pattern of periodic returns to shareholders. The detailed schedule allows investors to plan around key dates for eligibility and cash flow, underscoring the company’s ongoing commitment to distributing returns from its technology investment portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador lifts half-year profit and NTA, declares higher interim dividend
Feb 9, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments reported a strong first half to 31 December 2025, with gains on financial assets rising 27% to $41.7m and profit after tax attributable to members up 33% to $23.2m, reflecting solid portfolio performance. Net tangible assets per share also increased year-on-year, both pre-tax and post-tax, underscoring growth in the company’s underlying investment value.

The board declared a fully franked interim dividend of 3.9 cents per share, equivalent to 2% of pre-tax NTA as at 31 December 2025, consistent with Bailador’s policy of paying 4% of pre-tax NTA per year via semi-annual dividends. Together with the 3.6 cent fully franked dividend paid in September 2025, this payout profile highlights the company’s strategy of converting investment gains into regular income for shareholders while retaining profit to grow retained earnings and net assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador Lifts NTA and Crystallises Strong Gains on Tech Portfolio in First Half FY26
Jan 8, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments reported a 10% increase in post-tax net tangible assets per share, including dividends, in the first half of FY26, supported by a 17.7% annualised return from its private company portfolio and an NTA per share of $1.95 pre-tax and $1.76 post-tax as at 31 December 2025. The period was marked by substantial valuation uplifts across several holdings—most notably Updoc, PropHero, Hapana, DASH and Access Telehealth—and the partial realisation of its SiteMinder position for $25 million at a significant premium, delivering a 36.9% IRR and crystallising strong gains. Bailador also received debt repayment from DASH, collected dividends from Updoc, and made a follow-on investment in Rosterfy, underscoring active portfolio management and capital recycling that support its fully franked dividend stream and reinforce its positioning as a technology-focused growth and income vehicle for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador lifts Hapana valuation after institutional funding round
Jan 7, 2026

Bailador Technology Investments has marked a 17% uplift in the carrying value of its portfolio company Hapana after the fitness software provider completed a capital raise from institutional investors, increasing Bailador’s holding from $11.6m to $13.6m and adding $0.013 per share to its pre-tax net tangible assets. The latest revaluation, which follows earlier valuation increases for portfolio companies Updoc and PropHero and builds on a 50% uplift in Hapana’s value announced in mid-2025, means Hapana’s value has risen 76% since Bailador’s initial investment in August 2024, translating to an internal rate of return of around 50% and underscoring the fund’s recent momentum in extracting value from its technology portfolio ahead of its forthcoming December 2025 shareholder update.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BTI) stock is a Buy with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bailador Technology Investments Ltd stock, see the AU:BTI Stock Forecast page.

Bailador Technology Investments Reports Portfolio Valuation Growth
Dec 17, 2025

Bailador Technology Investments Ltd announced significant increases to the valuations of two portfolio companies, Updoc and PropHero, reflecting strong revenue growth and operational performance. The value of Updoc rose by 20.5%, demonstrating continued profitability and scale, while PropHero saw an impressive rise of 45.6%, attributed to material valuation gains in under a year since Bailador’s initial investment. These uplifts collectively boosted Bailador’s net tangible assets (NTA) per share, underscoring the company’s effective portfolio strategy and strengthening their industry positioning.

Soul Patts Ceases Substantial Holding in Bailador Technology Investments
Dec 8, 2025

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited (Soul Patts) and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders in Bailador Technology Investments Ltd as of December 4, 2025. This change in holdings could impact Bailador’s shareholder composition and influence, potentially affecting its strategic direction and market perception.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025