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Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. (AU:BRE)
ASX:BRE
US Market

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. (BRE) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BRE

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd.

(Sydney:BRE)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$4.00
▲(1.01% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by pre-revenue operations with large losses and significant ongoing cash burn, despite the improved balance sheet with zero debt. Technical signals are mixed and do not indicate strong momentum, while valuation metrics are unattractive/less informative due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Debt-free Balance Sheet
A debt-free balance sheet with ~81.8M equity materially reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund exploration and evaluation. This runway supports multi-stage project advancement without immediate borrowing over the next several months.
Strategic REE Exposure
Operating in rare earth elements ties the business to structural, long-term demand from high-technology and clean-energy supply chains. Ownership of REE exploration assets in Brazil positions the company to benefit from secular shortages and decarbonization trends that persist beyond short-term cycles.
Balance Sheet Turnaround
The shift from negative equity and higher debt in 2022 to a stronger, de-levered 2024 balance sheet reflects successful recapitalization and reduces solvency risk. This demonstrates management’s ability to secure capital and restore financial stability, improving strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue and Large Losses
The company remains effectively pre-revenue with a deeply negative net loss (-46.1M in 2024), meaning value depends on future exploration success and long development timelines. Persistent losses increase execution risk and heighten the probability of future dilution or value impairment.
Persistent Cash Burn
Operating cash flow has been negative annually and worsened to ~-41.9M in 2024, with free cash flow about -42.3M. Continued cash outflows will deplete equity over time absent new capital, forcing potentially dilutive financings or project slowdowns that impair long-term development plans.
Negative Returns Risk
Reported 2024 ROE of roughly -0.56 indicates capital is not generating returns and ongoing losses can erode the strengthened equity base. This structural underperformance undermines long-term shareholder value and may restrict access to favorable capital on future funding rounds.

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. (BRE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrazilian Rare Earths Limited focuses on exploring for rare earth elements and other critical minerals in the state of Bahia, Brazil. It holds interests in approximately 1,410 km² of exploration permits within the Rocha da Rocha Rare Earths Province. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Fortitude Valley, Australia.
How the Company Makes Money

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect an early-stage, pre-revenue company with persistent and sizable losses and accelerating cash burn (operating cash flow about -41.9M and free cash flow about -42.3M in 2024). The key positive is a much stronger 2024 balance sheet with ~81.8M equity and zero debt, reducing solvency risk, but ongoing negative returns mean the capital base can erode if losses continue.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company is still pre-revenue (revenue is effectively zero across recent annual periods), while losses have widened materially. Net income deteriorated from -0.2M (2021) to -7.9M (2022) to -69.1M (2023) and remained deeply negative at -46.1M (2024), indicating heavy spending without an offsetting revenue base. Reported margins are not meaningful given minimal/zero revenue, so the key takeaway is persistent, large operating and net losses.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet improved significantly in 2024, with stockholders’ equity rising to ~81.8M and total debt at 0, reducing financial leverage risk versus prior years. This is a notable turnaround from 2022 when equity was negative and debt was elevated. The main weakness is that returns remain negative (2024 return on equity is about -0.56), reflecting ongoing losses that can erode the stronger capital base if not addressed.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation remains weak, with operating cash flow negative every year and worsening to about -41.9M in 2024 (vs. -18.5M in 2023). Free cash flow is also consistently negative and declined to about -42.3M in 2024, implying continued cash burn to fund operations and investment needs. While the free cash flow loss was smaller than the net loss in 2024 (free cash flow to net income around 1.01), the overall pattern is persistent outflows and higher cash usage year-over-year.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.0015.67K0.00
Gross Profit-4.06K-4.75K-97.85K0.00-986.00
EBITDA-9.18M-46.05M-37.82M-7.63M-207.67K
Net Income-9.19M-46.07M-69.08M-7.90M-208.66K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.27M86.09M15.51M20.04M104.84K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.83M81.69M48.84M18.43M50.06K
Total Debt0.000.0010.74M17.53M0.00
Total Liabilities856.66K4.30M26.32M21.57M5.24K
Stockholders Equity19.41M81.79M35.82M-1.53M99.60K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.10M-42.29M-20.21M-6.02M-197.87K
Operating Cash Flow-6.81M-41.86M-18.54M-5.58M-180.41K
Investing Cash Flow-297.13K-120.06K-503.42K-84.38K-51.75K
Financing Cash Flow-2.44M21.18M15.28M6.75M282.55K

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
AU$891.15M-427.78-1.99%42.55%
53
Neutral
AU$469.05M1,075.000.41%
53
Neutral
AU$763.50M-24.46-90.88%
51
Neutral
AU$838.70M-9.04-8.58%28.45%79.93%
51
Neutral
AU$486.95M-86.08-6.04%-76.36%
44
Neutral
AU$1.08B-49,132.95-40.12%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BRE
Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd.
4.25
2.11
98.60%
AU:STK
Strickland Metals Ltd
0.22
0.15
207.14%
AU:29M
29metals Ltd.
0.52
0.30
142.92%
AU:LRV
Larvotto Resources Limited
1.48
0.84
129.46%
AU:AZY
Antipa Minerals Limited
0.84
0.50
153.03%
AU:SMI
Santana Minerals Ltd.
1.16
0.68
140.63%

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. Corporate Events

Brazilian Rare Earths Director Increases Indirect Shareholding via Option Conversion
Jan 29, 2026

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has disclosed a change in director Todd Hannigan’s relevant interest in the company’s securities, reflecting the conversion of a portion of his options into fully paid ordinary shares. Through DITM Holdings Pty Ltd as trustee for the DITM Family Trust, Hannigan acquired 1,185,313 shares at nil consideration via the conversion of 1,147,475 options and 37,838 FY2024 STI options, which were correspondingly cancelled, modestly increasing his indirect equity stake and slightly reducing his outstanding option-based exposure in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Advances Low‑Cost Amargosa Bauxite Project and Secures Strategic Rare Earth Partnership
Jan 29, 2026

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd reported strong progress for the December 2025 quarter, anchored by a scoping study confirming its Amargosa Bauxite-Gallium Project in Bahia as a large-scale, low-cost direct-ship-bauxite operation with a 568 Mt JORC resource, robust economics, and positioning in the first quartile of the global seaborne bauxite cost curve. The company also advanced a proposed de-merger and ASX listing of Amargosa to unlock value, secured a long-term technical and offtake partnership with French rare earth specialist Carester to support heavy rare earth processing and supply, strengthened its leadership team with the appointment of an experienced CFO, and bolstered its A$162.4 million cash balance via a sizeable equity placement to fast-track its Brazilian rare earth projects and planned separation refinery, reinforcing its growth trajectory in the critical minerals sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Investor Sells $17m Stake, Ceases to Be Substantial Holder
Jan 22, 2026

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd has disclosed that investor Anastasios Arima has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in the company following an off-market sale of 4 million ordinary shares for A$17 million on 21 January 2026. The change reduces concentrated ownership in the stock and may modestly increase the company’s free float and trading liquidity, although it does not alter control of the company or indicate any change to its stated operations or strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Updates Securities Trading Policy to Strengthen Insider Trading Controls
Jan 5, 2026

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has released an updated securities trading policy to comply with ASX Listing Rule 12.10 and formalise when key management personnel and employees may trade in the company’s securities and in securities of other entities. The policy is designed to reduce the risk and appearance of insider trading by aligning trading windows with the timing of material information releases, such as project plans, study results, and corporate activities, reflecting the company’s current development stage and reinforcing governance standards for all stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Hold with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Strengthens Finance Team With New CFO Appointment
Jan 5, 2026

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has appointed John Vander Ploeg as Chief Financial Officer, effective immediately, bringing in a seasoned finance executive with more than two decades of experience in listed-company reporting, complex corporate transactions and cross-border finance integration. Vander Ploeg’s background includes leading key accounting and reporting workstreams for Arcadium Lithium’s US$10 billion merger with Livent, senior technical accounting roles at Google, and advisory work at PwC on equity, debt and M&A transactions, a profile that signals Brazilian Rare Earths’ intent to strengthen its financial leadership as it navigates capital markets activity and potential growth initiatives in the rare earths sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Hold with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Issues New Shares Under Disclosure Exemption
Dec 28, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd has issued 127,400 fully paid ordinary shares on 24 December 2025 without a prospectus or other disclosure document, relying on provisions of the Corporations Act that permit such an issue. The company stated it remains compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations and confirmed there is no additional material information that must be disclosed, signalling that the small share issue is administrative in nature and not associated with any undisclosed change in its operations or strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for New Incentive Shares
Dec 28, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 127,400 new fully paid ordinary shares issued on 24 December 2025 under an employee incentive scheme. The move modestly increases the company’s quoted capital base and reflects the ongoing use of equity-based remuneration to align staff incentives with shareholder interests, though the scale of the issuance suggests limited immediate impact on its overall capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Major Shareholder Exits Substantial Holding in Brazilian Rare Earths
Dec 23, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd has disclosed that shareholders Kirk Kileff, Sarah-Anne Kileff and Kitabella Pty Ltd as trustee for the Kitabella Trust have ceased to be substantial holders in the company. According to the notice, Kitabella Pty Ltd executed two off-market share sales on 14 October 2025 and 23 December 2025, disposing of a combined 3,307,364 ordinary shares for more than A$13.5 million, reducing their holding below the substantial shareholder threshold and signalling a significant reshaping of the company’s share register.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Flags Exit of Substantial Shareholder After $12.4m Block Trade
Dec 23, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd., listed on the ASX, is a company focused on the exploration and development of rare earth elements in Brazil, supplying critical materials used in high-tech, green energy and industrial applications.

The company has disclosed that Dominic Allen has ceased to be a substantial shareholder following an off‑market sale of 3.1 million ordinary shares on 23 December 2025 for A$12.4 million, reducing his voting power below the substantial holding threshold. The change in ownership trims the register of large individual investors but does not in itself alter the company’s operations, while signalling a notable liquidity event in the stock for market participants monitoring shifts in major holdings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Director Trims Holding in A$25m Off-Market Share Deal
Dec 23, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. has disclosed a change in the shareholding of director Bernardo Da Veiga, reported to the ASX under director interest notification rules. The filing shows Da Veiga transferred 6,372,158 fully paid ordinary shares off-market from his personal holding to a related trust and then completed an off-market sale of those shares for total proceeds of A$25.49 million at A$4.00 per share, reducing his direct shareholding to 12,744,317 shares while leaving his options and award holdings unchanged, a move that adjusts his ownership structure without altering the company’s capital base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Issues 509,600 New Shares Under Disclosure Exemption
Dec 22, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has issued 509,600 fully paid ordinary shares on 22 December 2025 without a prospectus or other formal disclosure document, relying on provisions of the Corporations Act that allow such issuance under certain conditions. The company stated it remains compliant with its continuous disclosure and financial reporting obligations and confirmed there is no excluded information that must be disclosed, signalling that the small capital issuance is routine in nature and not associated with any undisclosed material development for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for New Employee Incentive Shares
Dec 22, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 509,600 new fully paid ordinary shares issued on 22 December 2025 under an employee incentive scheme. The move modestly enlarges the company’s listed free float while reinforcing its use of equity-based incentives to align staff interests with shareholders as it advances its position in the competitive rare earths market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for 135.6m Ordinary Shares
Dec 22, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 135,631,564 ordinary fully paid shares under the code BRE, following the expiry of escrow on restricted securities. The additional quotation of these shares increases the stock freely tradeable on the market, potentially enhancing liquidity for existing holders and broadening access for new investors as the company seeks to strengthen its capital markets profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. Completes Scoping Study for Amargosa Project
Dec 14, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. has announced the completion of a Scoping Study for its Amargosa Bauxite-Gallium Project, which assesses the project’s technical and economic viability. The study indicates that while the project has potential, further detailed studies and additional funding are necessary to proceed with development. The company acknowledges the uncertainties inherent in the study and the need for additional exploration and financial resources to ensure the project’s success.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Unveils Promising Scoping Study for Amargosa Bauxite Project
Dec 10, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has announced the results of a Scoping Study for its Amargosa Bauxite-Gallium Project, indicating the potential for a large-scale, low-cost direct-ship bauxite operation with strong economic returns. The study positions Amargosa as a first-quartile project on the global seaborne bauxite cost curve, leveraging existing infrastructure for efficient operations. The project is expected to generate strong margins and durable free cash flow, with plans for a 2026 de-merger into a new ASX-listed company. However, further studies, approvals, and financing are required, and there is no certainty that the production targets or economic outcomes will be realized.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$6.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths to Release Shares from Escrow
Dec 5, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. announced the release of 135,631,564 fully paid unquoted ordinary shares from escrow, effective 21 December 2025. This move, following a 24-month mandatory restriction period, will allow the company to apply for quotation of these shares, potentially enhancing liquidity and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$6.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Brazilian Rare Earths Appoints New Auditor
Dec 2, 2025

Brazilian Rare Earths Limited has announced the appointment of Ernst & Young as its new external auditor following a competitive tender process, replacing Hall Chadwick WA Audit Pty Ltd. This change is expected to bring a fresh perspective to the company’s financial auditing process and will be subject to shareholder approval at the next Annual General Meeting, potentially impacting the company’s financial transparency and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRE) stock is a Buy with a A$6.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd. stock, see the AU:BRE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026