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29metals Ltd. (AU:29M)
ASX:29M
Australian Market

29metals Ltd. (29M) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:29M

29metals Ltd.

(Sydney:29M)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.63
▲(4.33% Upside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (losses, negative margins, and negative free cash flow). Technicals are supportive with positive momentum and price above key moving averages, but overbought signals increase near-term risk. Valuation is also pressured due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Copper market exposure
29Metals' core focus on copper concentrates aligns with durable global demand drivers—construction, electronics and renewable energy. Concentrated exposure to a structurally supported commodity and high‑grade Australian deposits supports long‑term revenue potential and strategic relevance.
Long-term offtake arrangements
Established long‑term contracts with smelters and traders provide predictable offtake and revenue visibility, reducing sales volatility. This commercial stability supports medium‑term planning for production, working capital and capital expenditure decisions, improving operational resilience.
Recent top-line and EPS improvement
Reported revenue growth of ~28% and EPS growth near 80% indicate a material operational improvement versus prior periods. If sustained, this trend can restore margins and cash generation capacity, lowering reliance on external funding and supporting project development.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability
Ongoing net losses and negative operating margins reflect structural profitability issues. Continued inability to generate positive operating earnings weakens internal funding for growth, increases financing needs, and raises the risk that operational fixes or cost reductions are required to achieve durable profitability.
Negative free cash flow
Negative free cash flow and volatile operating cash flows constrain the company's ability to fund capex and sustain development projects internally. This structural cash shortfall elevates refinancing or equity issuance risk and limits flexibility for sustaining operations or pursuing new investments.
Eroding equity base
A trend of declining equity and total assets weakens the balance sheet cushion against commodity cycles. Even with manageable debt ratios, a shrinking equity base reduces borrowing headroom, increases leverage sensitivity to shocks, and can impair long‑term financial flexibility.

29metals Ltd. (29M) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

29metals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description29Metals Limited explores, develops, and produces copper focused base and precious metals. The company explores for copper, zinc, gold, and silver deposits. It holds interest in the Golden Grove property located in Western Australia; the Capricorn Copper property situated in Queensland; and the Redhill project located in southern Chile. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes Money29Metals generates revenue primarily through the sale of copper concentrates, which are produced at its mining operations. The company optimizes its revenue model by securing long-term contracts with various customers, including smelters and metal traders, ensuring a steady demand for its products. Additionally, 29M benefits from fluctuations in copper prices, which can significantly impact its earnings. The company also explores strategic partnerships with other industry players for joint ventures in exploration and development projects, further enhancing its revenue opportunities. By focusing on efficient operational practices and sustainable mining, 29Metals aims to maximize profitability while maintaining a commitment to environmental and social governance.

29metals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
29metals Ltd. is facing financial challenges with declining revenue, negative profitability, and inconsistent cash flow. Moderate leverage is a positive, but declining equity and assets are concerning.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
29metals Ltd. has faced significant challenges in maintaining profitability, as indicated by persistent negative net income and gross profit margins in recent years. The company's revenue has shown fluctuations, with a notable decline from 2022 to 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins have been negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has remained manageable, suggesting a moderate level of leverage. However, the declining stockholders' equity and total assets over time indicate potential risks in maintaining financial stability. The equity ratio highlights a reasonable portion of assets financed by equity, but the decreasing trend is concerning.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow from operations has been inconsistent, with recent improvements in 2024 following a negative operating cash flow in 2023. Free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating sufficient cash to cover capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio varies significantly, reflecting volatility in cash generation relative to reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue579.03M551.06M449.75M714.01M600.76M434.45M
Gross Profit43.44M-11.56M-99.22M186.20M134.10M107.30M
EBITDA117.94M42.24M-230.93M144.14M147.18M188.63M
Net Income-33.10M-177.61M-440.46M-47.22M121.01M0.00
Balance Sheet
Total Assets988.40M1.04B981.21M1.29B1.32B1.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments187.08M266.15M174.36M184.46M210.15M150.17M
Total Debt248.12M315.36M271.33M265.48M233.04M247.66M
Total Liabilities532.46M618.79M558.86M577.28M545.64M539.14M
Stockholders Equity455.94M419.28M422.34M715.69M769.54M717.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.52M-57.06M-121.47M28.57M-22.52M39.99M
Operating Cash Flow84.35M59.24M-36.52M142.18M75.10M118.97M
Investing Cash Flow-80.91M-116.30M-84.94M-113.61M-92.55M-78.89M
Financing Cash Flow118.19M145.59M112.74M-72.40M101.88M-45.71M

29metals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.60
Price Trends
50DMA
0.48
Positive
100DMA
0.46
Positive
200DMA
0.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
59.44
Neutral
STOCH
49.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:29M, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.57, above the 50-day MA of 0.48, and above the 200-day MA of 0.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:29M.

29metals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
AU$480.49M1,050.000.41%
53
Neutral
AU$440.57M-68.56-6.04%-76.36%
53
Neutral
AU$903.70M-400.00-1.99%42.55%
52
Neutral
AU$830.26M-9.79-8.58%28.45%79.93%
51
Neutral
AU$714.32M-22.81-90.88%
50
Neutral
AU$577.38M-12.37-150.61%-186.15%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:29M
29metals Ltd.
0.61
0.38
168.89%
AU:STK
Strickland Metals Ltd
0.21
0.14
200.00%
AU:MTM
Mt Monger Resources Ltd.
0.92
0.68
275.51%
AU:LRV
Larvotto Resources Limited
1.38
0.75
119.05%
AU:AZY
Antipa Minerals Limited
0.67
0.39
137.50%
AU:SMI
Santana Minerals Ltd.
1.08
0.60
125.00%

29metals Ltd. Corporate Events

29Metals’ Golden Grove drilling points to extended high-grade copper and zinc mine life
Jan 18, 2026

29Metals has reported further high-grade copper and zinc intersections from its 2025 drilling program at the Golden Grove mine, with resource extension and conversion drilling at the Gossan Hill deposits—particularly Tryall, Oizon, Hougoumont Extended and Europa—highlighting significant potential to extend mineral resources and mine life. The $11 million program, nearly triple the prior year’s exploration spend, has delivered notable intercepts such as 16.5 metres at 2.1% copper at Tryall, 42.2 metres at 9.5% zinc at Oizon, and 52.6 metres at 3.6% copper at Europa, which the company says could be integrated into nearer-term mine plans to enhance flexibility while positioning Europa as a longer-dated high-grade copper growth option for Golden Grove.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Buy with a A$0.67 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Sets Date for December Quarter 2025 Results and Investor Call
Dec 19, 2025

29Metals will release its December quarter 2025 report on 29 January 2026 and has scheduled a conference call and webcast the same morning, led by CEO James Palmer and the executive leadership team, to discuss the quarterly results. The move underscores the company’s ongoing engagement with investors and analysts, providing a platform for detailed discussion of recent operational performance and outlook, with a recording to be made available on its website later that day for broader stakeholder access.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Updates Board Charter to Reflect Governance Changes
Dec 15, 2025

29Metals Limited has updated its Board Charter following recent changes in its board structure, as announced earlier. This update reflects the company’s commitment to enhancing governance and aligning its operations with shareholder interests, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Announces Board Changes Amid Strategic Growth Plans
Dec 10, 2025

29Metals Limited announced a significant change in its Board of Directors, with Nick Cernotta appointed as Deputy Chair and set to become Board Chair following the 2026 AGM. This transition is part of the company’s strategy to leverage Cernotta’s extensive experience in mining operations to advance its growth objectives. Additionally, BUMA, a major shareholder, plans to nominate a second Non-executive Director to the board, reflecting its increased commitment to 29Metals. These changes are expected to strengthen the company’s governance and support its operational and strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Buy with a A$0.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Awards $253 Million Gossan Valley Mining Contract to Byrnecut
Nov 20, 2025

29Metals Limited has awarded a four-year underground mining contract to Byrnecut Australia Pty Ltd for the Gossan Valley mine at Golden Grove. This contract, valued at $253 million, is expected to enhance operational synergies and production flexibility by sharing resources across the Golden Grove operations. The Gossan Valley project is anticipated to begin ore production by the end of 2026, providing a higher-grade ore source and potentially extending mineral resource estimates.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Awards Gossan Valley Mining Contract to Byrnecut
Nov 11, 2025

29Metals Limited has awarded a four-year underground mining contract to Byrnecut Australia Pty Ltd for the Gossan Valley mine at Golden Grove. This decision follows a competitive tender process and is expected to create operational and commercial synergies by allowing the sharing of equipment and personnel across Golden Grove operations. The Gossan Valley project is projected to produce its first ore by the end of 2026, enhancing the Golden Grove life-of-mine plan with higher-grade ore and increased production flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Unveils Promising Drilling Results at Golden Grove
Nov 3, 2025

29Metals Limited announced significant results from its 2025 drilling program at Golden Grove, revealing high-grade copper, zinc, and gold intercepts. These findings suggest the potential for extending the mine life of existing deposits and improving mining economics through shared infrastructure. The results also indicate that the Ozion and Hougoumont Extended areas might form a single large mineralized system, enhancing future mining cost efficiencies. The drilling program, with an increased budget of $10 million to $14 million, underscores the company’s commitment to expanding its resource base and optimizing its mining operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29metals Ltd. Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Nov 3, 2025

29metals Ltd. has announced the quotation of 1,000,000 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of November 3, 2025. These securities are issued under an employee incentive scheme and are not subject to transfer restrictions. This move is part of 29metals Ltd.’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence and provide value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Director Increases Stake with Significant Share Acquisition
Oct 28, 2025

29Metals Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically involving Ashish Gupta, who has increased his indirect interest in the company by acquiring an additional 400,000 fully paid ordinary shares, bringing his total to 950,000 shares. This on-market purchase reflects a significant increase in Gupta’s stake, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and could influence stakeholder perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Buy with a A$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Announces Director Departure and Shareholding Details
Oct 23, 2025

29Metals Limited has announced that Tamara Brown has ceased to be a director of the company as of October 24, 2025. The final director’s interest notice reveals that she held 175,704 fully paid ordinary shares. This change in the board may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially affecting stakeholders and market perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Buy with a A$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Appoints New Director with No Initial Securities Interest
Oct 23, 2025

29Metals Limited has announced the appointment of Nick Cernotta as a director, effective October 24, 2025. The Initial Director’s Interest Notice indicates that Mr. Cernotta currently holds no relevant interests in securities, either as a registered holder or through any contracts, which suggests a neutral impact on the company’s operations and stakeholder interests at this time.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Buy with a A$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

29Metals Announces Board Changes with New Director Appointment
Oct 23, 2025

29Metals Ltd. has announced changes to its board with the retirement of Ms. Tamara Brown and the appointment of Mr. Nicholas Cernotta as an Independent Non-executive Director. Mr. Cernotta, with over 40 years of experience in the mining sector, brings extensive operational expertise and has held significant roles in various mining companies. His appointment is expected to strengthen the board’s capabilities, particularly in supporting the company’s strategic operations and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:29M) stock is a Buy with a A$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 29metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:29M Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026