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Ava Risk Group Ltd.
(Sydney:AVA)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.04
▼(-53.75% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/01/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak technical trend (price below all major moving averages) and poor profitability (negative margins and ROE). Offsetting these risks are a stronger cash flow profile and conservative leverage, which provide some financial stability but not enough to lift the overall rating materially.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow strength
Ava Risk’s large free cash flow improvement (145.8%) and strong conversion ratios indicate the business is generating real cash despite losses. Durable cash generation supports working capital, R&D or M&A optionality and provides a buffer through near-term operating volatility.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability
Persistent negative net margin and below-zero EBIT indicate the company is not earning returns on operations after overhead and interest. Over months, continued losses will pressure equity, limit reinvestment capacity and require either structural cost cuts or revenue recovery to fix.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow strength
Ava Risk’s large free cash flow improvement (145.8%) and strong conversion ratios indicate the business is generating real cash despite losses. Durable cash generation supports working capital, R&D or M&A optionality and provides a buffer through near-term operating volatility.
Read all positive factors
Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$11.06M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)136.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.55
Revenue Growth-13.33%
EPS Growth-144.86%
CountryAU
Employees48
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustrySecurity & Protection Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.03
Shares Outstanding291,099,100
10 Day Avg. Volume173,202
30 Day Avg. Volume136,343
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.36
Price to Book (P/B)1.31
Price to Sales (P/S)0.92
P/FCF Ratio7.83
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$46.15M
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating globally, Ava Risk Group Limited delivers advanced technologies focused on managing and mitigating various risks. The company's operations are divided into two principal areas: Perimeter Security and Access Control Solutions. Within its ...
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 28.62M | 31.60M | 30.14M | 28.60M | 18.62M | 24.70M |
| Gross Profit | 11.02M | 20.28M | 18.00M | 5.65M | 3.95M | 10.43M |
| EBITDA | 1.68M | 906.00K | -2.52M | 1.42M | 1.36M | 8.57M |
| Net Income | -7.61M | -6.46M | -5.20M | -1.05M | 33.13M | 13.75M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 27.64M | 29.60M | 36.06M | 37.08M | 30.41M | 43.25M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.74M | 5.59M | 5.08M | 5.52M | 15.23M | 17.29M |
| Total Debt | 3.66M | 2.80M | 3.02M | 2.83M | 284.00K | 430.00K |
| Total Liabilities | 7.59M | 7.43M | 8.11M | 7.82M | 4.46M | 11.21M |
| Stockholders Equity | 20.05M | 22.17M | 27.95M | 29.25M | 25.95M | 32.04M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.35M | 3.70M | -3.26M | -4.60M | 1.09M | 16.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.77M | 4.17M | -535.00K | -2.18M | 2.48M | 17.58M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.24M | -2.96M | -2.73M | -7.94M | 35.07M | -1.08M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -834.00K | -719.00K | 2.92M | -1.34M | -39.73M | -6.70M |
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Technical Analysis
Neutral
0.08
Price Trends
0.05
Negative
0.05
Negative
0.06
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Negative
47.77
Neutral
104.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.05, and above the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 104.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:AVA.
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | AU$39.34M | 7.91 | 43.16% | 6.25% | 4.39% | -26.91% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
54 Neutral | AU$2.12B | 594.07 | 1.08% | ― | 276.41% | ― | |
52 Neutral | AU$1.99B | 87.19 | 7.19% | ― | -27.25% | ― | |
47 Neutral | AU$11.06M | -1.45 | -36.07% | ― | -13.33% | -144.86% | |
43 Neutral | AU$259.45M | -20.59 | -24.44% | ― | 30.71% | -73.88% | |
40 Underperform | AU$5.81M | -10.00 | -71.80% | ― | -3.46% | 69.77% |
* Industrials Sector Average
AU:AVA
Ava Risk Group Ltd.
0.04
-0.07
-63.81%
AU:DRO
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AU:SP3
Spectur Ltd.
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0.00%
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Corporate Events
Ava Risk Group Secures Growth Funding as Q3 Orders Lag but Pipeline Remains Strong
Apr 30, 2026
Ava Risk Group reported Q3 FY2026 sales order intake of $6.1 million, taking year-to-date orders to $21.7 million and leaving an order backlog of $6.2 million, including contracted recurring revenue. The company reaffirmed full-year revenue guidan...
Ava Risk Group taps retired U.S. Rear Admiral McKnight as non-executive director to drive North American growth
Apr 28, 2026
Ava Risk Group has proposed appointing retired U.S. Navy Rear Admiral Terence “Terry” McKnight as a non-executive director, pending completion of standard onboarding requirements. McKnight, nominated by strategic investor Hale Capital ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.