Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$22.68M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 136.34K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): -0.17
• Revenue Growth: 4.84%
• EPS Growth: -12.12%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 48
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Security & Protection Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 290,765,750
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 173,202
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 136,343
• PEG Ratio: -0.36
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.31
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.92
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.83
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$0.18
• Price Target Upside: 125.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.00 ▼(-100.00% Downside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's financial performance, which shows strong cash flow management but is hindered by poor profitability and return on equity. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, with the stock trading below key moving averages and nearing oversold conditions. Valuation is weak due to negative earnings and lack of dividend yield.

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ava Risk Group Limited provides risk management technologies worldwide. The company operates in Perimeter Security, and Access Control Solutions segments. It manufactures and sells fiber optic intrusion detection and location systems that are used to detect and locate perimeter intrusion, data network tapping and tampering, and oil and gas pipeline third party interference detection, as well as other applications, including health, safety, and traffic monitoring. The company also provides smart card readers and card systems, biometric solutions, and electric locking and access control products. It serves commercial and industrial customers, military, and governments. The company was formerly known as Future Fibre Technologies Limited and changed its name to Ava Risk Group Limited in May 2018. Ava Risk Group Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Mulgrave, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Ava Risk Group Ltd. generates revenue through the sale and installation of its security and safety technology products, as well as ongoing service and maintenance contracts. The company also earns income from risk consulting services, providing expert advice and solutions to enhance client security profiles. Key revenue streams include product sales to government and commercial clients, service agreements, and licensing of proprietary technologies. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with global security firms and technology providers further bolster Ava's market presence and financial performance.

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ava Risk Group Ltd. demonstrates strengths in cash flow management and maintaining a low leverage profile. However, the company faces challenges in profitability and return on equity, which could impact long-term growth. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and profitability is essential for future stability.

Income Statement

Ava Risk Group Ltd. has experienced fluctuating revenue growth, with a recent decline of 4.28%. The gross profit margin has improved to 64.18%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -20.43% and negative EBIT margin. The EBITDA margin is slightly positive at 2.87%, showing some operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -29.12%, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Ava Risk Group Ltd. has shown significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 145.81%, indicating better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.66, suggesting moderate cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.89, highlighting effective conversion of earnings into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	31.60M	31.60M	30.14M	28.60M	18.62M	24.70M
Gross Profit	20.28M	20.28M	18.00M	5.65M	3.95M	10.43M
EBITDA	906.00K	906.00K	-2.52M	1.42M	1.36M	8.57M
Net Income	-6.46M	-6.46M	-5.20M	-1.05M	33.13M	13.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	29.60M	29.60M	36.06M	37.08M	30.41M	43.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	5.59M	5.59M	5.08M	5.52M	15.23M	17.29M
Total Debt	2.80M	2.80M	3.02M	2.83M	284.00K	430.00K
Total Liabilities	7.43M	7.43M	8.11M	7.82M	4.46M	11.21M
Stockholders Equity	22.17M	22.17M	27.95M	29.25M	25.95M	32.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	3.70M	3.70M	-3.26M	-4.60M	1.09M	16.50M
Operating Cash Flow	4.17M	4.17M	-535.00K	-2.18M	2.48M	17.58M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.96M	-2.96M	-2.73M	-7.94M	35.07M	-1.08M
Financing Cash Flow	-719.00K	-719.00K	2.92M	-1.34M	-39.73M	-6.70M

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.08
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.08, and below the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVA.

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
SP3	49 Neutral	AU$8.56M	―	-850.83%	―	6.37%	76.58%
AVA	46 Neutral	AU$22.68M	―	-25.77%	―	4.84%	-12.12%
MSG	39 Underperform	$1.19M	1.08	-61.10%	―	―	51.22%
TZL	39 Underperform	AU$12.15M	182.50	―	―	-25.22%	-3400.00%
DTI	36 Underperform	AU$5.36M	―	-39.15%	―	11.15%	26.53%
SCT	36 Underperform	AU$1.63M	―	―	―	-12.49%	51.70%

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Ava Risk Group Strengthens Position in Security Technology Market

Ava Risk Group Ltd. has announced a strong competitive position in the risk management technology industry, leveraging its intellectual property, OEM and distribution relationships, and extensive data for machine learning. The company offers a world-leading portfolio of premium security solutions, with flexible commercial models and growing recurring revenues, positioning itself as a trusted provider for security-conscious customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Reports Q4 FY2025 Trading Update with Delayed Revenue Impact

Ava Risk Group Ltd. announced its Q4 FY2025 trading update, revealing a sales order intake of $7.1 million, contributing to a full-year intake of $29.9 million. Despite an expected FY2025 revenue of $31.6 million, which falls short of the guidance range due to delayed key orders, the company anticipates these will close in H1 FY2026. The company reported an expected EBITDA of $2.0 million, a significant improvement from the previous year’s loss, and a cash balance increase to $5.4 million. Ava Risk Group continues to make progress in its target sectors, including successful installations and new orders in telecommunications and aviation, indicating a healthy sales pipeline and ongoing momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Director Consolidates Shareholding

Ava Risk Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Mark Stevens transferring 902,785 fully paid ordinary shares from his indirect holding to his direct holding. This off-market transfer consolidates Stevens’ holdings, increasing his direct ownership to 1,721,181 fully paid ordinary shares, while his indirect holdings through Teenj Pty Ltd ATF Stevens Super Fund are now nil.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Secures A$1.1 Million Contract with Honeywell for ADNOC Project

Ava Risk Group has secured a contract valued at A$1.1 million with Honeywell Middle East Company Ltd-AD to supply its Aura Ai-X Distributed Acoustic Sensing technology to the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC). This contract, which will be delivered in the current quarter, strengthens Ava’s long-standing relationship with Honeywell and underscores its position as a preferred technology provider for critical infrastructure protection in the oil and gas sector. The deployment of this technology will help monitor and identify risks to critical infrastructure across a major oil and gas field operated by ADNOC, further demonstrating trust in Ava’s reliable solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Secures Contract with GAIL for Indian Gas Pipeline

Ava Risk Group has secured a contract with GAIL (India) Limited to deploy its fibre sensing technology along a critical gas pipeline in India, valued at A$0.9 million. This deployment will enhance the security of the Kochi–Koottanad–Bangalore–Mangalore pipeline, a vital infrastructure project connecting South India to the national gas grid. The contract underscores Ava’s competitive advantage in rapid deployment and strengthens its position as a trusted provider of critical infrastructure protection in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.