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Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AU:AVA)
ASX:AVA
Australian Market
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Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Ava Risk Group Ltd.

(Sydney:AVA)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.00
▼(-100.00%Downside)
Ava Risk Group Ltd. is currently experiencing significant financial and operational challenges. The company's negative cash flows and losses are the primary concerns, reflected in a low financial performance score. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics highlight the lack of profitability, leading to an overall low score.

Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAva Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) is a global leader in risk management services and technologies, specializing in the provision of advanced security and safety solutions. The company's core products and services include cutting-edge intrusion detection systems, access control technologies, and specialized risk consulting services, serving sectors such as defense, transportation, energy, and critical infrastructure.
How the Company Makes MoneyAva Risk Group Ltd. generates revenue through the sale and installation of its security and safety technology products, as well as ongoing service and maintenance contracts. The company also earns income from risk consulting services, providing expert advice and solutions to enhance client security profiles. Key revenue streams include product sales to government and commercial clients, service agreements, and licensing of proprietary technologies. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with global security firms and technology providers further bolster Ava's market presence and financial performance.

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ava Risk Group Ltd. faces financial challenges with consecutive net losses and negative profit margins, indicating operational inefficiencies. Despite a strong equity position, cash flow issues are evident, with negative free and operating cash flows highlighting the need for better cash management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ava Risk Group Ltd. has witnessed volatility in its revenue with recent growth driven by a significant rise in revenue from 2022 to 2023. However, the financials show a concerning trend as the company posted a net loss for consecutive years between 2023 and 2024. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies. A declining gross profit margin further adds pressure to improving the bottom line.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a healthy equity ratio and low leverage, as evidenced by a moderate debt-to-equity ratio. However, the company's return on equity has suffered due to recent net losses. On a positive note, the company holds a solid cash position, which provides a cushion against financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow in recent years. Despite a positive financing cash flow indicating successful capital raising, the core operations are struggling to generate cash, resulting in a poor operating cash flow to net income ratio. The significant decline in free cash flow growth highlights the need for improved cash management practices.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.14M28.60M18.62M24.70M46.13M
Gross Profit18.00M5.65M3.95M10.43M9.16M
EBITDA-2.52M1.42M1.36M8.57M7.44M
Net Income-5.20M-1.05M1.22M13.75M4.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.06M37.08M30.41M43.25M33.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.08M5.52M15.23M17.29M7.70M
Total Debt3.02M2.83M284.00K430.00K713.00K
Total Liabilities8.11M7.82M4.46M11.21M8.27M
Stockholders Equity27.95M29.25M25.95M32.04M25.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.26M-4.60M1.09M16.50M4.88M
Operating Cash Flow-535.00K-2.18M2.48M17.58M5.96M
Investing Cash Flow-2.73M-7.94M35.07M-1.08M-1.08M
Financing Cash Flow2.92M-1.34M-39.73M-6.70M-178.00K

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.09
Price Trends
50DMA
0.10
Negative
100DMA
0.10
Negative
200DMA
0.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
31.05
Neutral
STOCH
13.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, below the 50-day MA of 0.10, and below the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVA.

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
€9.39B16.613.99%4.81%2.85%-16.21%
AUAVA
46
Neutral
AU$26.14M-10.45%13.25%13.71%
AUTZL
43
Neutral
AU$15.15M182.50
-14.87%39.44%
AUMSG
39
Underperform
AU$1.19M1.0836.82%-100.00%
AUSP3
39
Underperform
AU$4.44M-244.13%7.28%31.75%
AUDTI
36
Underperform
AU$4.47M-51.77%-28.33%-95.45%
AUSCT
36
Underperform
AU$1.63M
18.59%22.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AVA
Ava Risk Group Ltd.
0.09
-0.04
-30.77%
AU:DTI
DTI Group Ltd
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:TZL
TZ Limited
0.05
0.03
150.00%
AU:SCT
Scout Security Ltd.
0.52
0.00
0.00%
AU:MSG
MCS Services Limited
AU:SP3
Spectur Ltd.
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Ava Risk Group Strengthens Position in Security Technology Market
Jul 14, 2025

Ava Risk Group Ltd. has announced a strong competitive position in the risk management technology industry, leveraging its intellectual property, OEM and distribution relationships, and extensive data for machine learning. The company offers a world-leading portfolio of premium security solutions, with flexible commercial models and growing recurring revenues, positioning itself as a trusted provider for security-conscious customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Reports Q4 FY2025 Trading Update with Delayed Revenue Impact
Jul 14, 2025

Ava Risk Group Ltd. announced its Q4 FY2025 trading update, revealing a sales order intake of $7.1 million, contributing to a full-year intake of $29.9 million. Despite an expected FY2025 revenue of $31.6 million, which falls short of the guidance range due to delayed key orders, the company anticipates these will close in H1 FY2026. The company reported an expected EBITDA of $2.0 million, a significant improvement from the previous year’s loss, and a cash balance increase to $5.4 million. Ava Risk Group continues to make progress in its target sectors, including successful installations and new orders in telecommunications and aviation, indicating a healthy sales pipeline and ongoing momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Director Consolidates Shareholding
Jun 16, 2025

Ava Risk Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Mark Stevens transferring 902,785 fully paid ordinary shares from his indirect holding to his direct holding. This off-market transfer consolidates Stevens’ holdings, increasing his direct ownership to 1,721,181 fully paid ordinary shares, while his indirect holdings through Teenj Pty Ltd ATF Stevens Super Fund are now nil.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Secures A$1.1 Million Contract with Honeywell for ADNOC Project
May 15, 2025

Ava Risk Group has secured a contract valued at A$1.1 million with Honeywell Middle East Company Ltd-AD to supply its Aura Ai-X Distributed Acoustic Sensing technology to the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC). This contract, which will be delivered in the current quarter, strengthens Ava’s long-standing relationship with Honeywell and underscores its position as a preferred technology provider for critical infrastructure protection in the oil and gas sector. The deployment of this technology will help monitor and identify risks to critical infrastructure across a major oil and gas field operated by ADNOC, further demonstrating trust in Ava’s reliable solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Secures Contract with GAIL for Indian Gas Pipeline
May 13, 2025

Ava Risk Group has secured a contract with GAIL (India) Limited to deploy its fibre sensing technology along a critical gas pipeline in India, valued at A$0.9 million. This deployment will enhance the security of the Kochi–Koottanad–Bangalore–Mangalore pipeline, a vital infrastructure project connecting South India to the national gas grid. The contract underscores Ava’s competitive advantage in rapid deployment and strengthens its position as a trusted provider of critical infrastructure protection in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AVA) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ava Risk Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:AVA Stock Forecast page.

Ava Risk Group Reports Q3 FY2025 Trading Update with Strategic Milestones
Apr 30, 2025

Ava Risk Group Ltd. reported a Q3 FY2025 sales order intake of $6.5 million, with a year-to-date total of $22.8 million. Despite a slight dip due to geopolitical instability, the company remains optimistic about Q4, supported by a strong sales pipeline and significant orders expected in the transportation and telecommunications sectors. The company has secured a $0.3 million order from Telstra for its Aura Ai-X system to protect a subsea cable, marking a strategic milestone in expanding its market presence and enhancing its commercial capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 17, 2025