Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AU:AVA)
ASX:AVA
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Ava Risk Group Ltd.
(Sydney:AVA)
Select Model
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.05
▼(-35.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak profitability and negative shareholder returns despite solid cash flow improvement and low leverage. Technical signals are mostly neutral with limited longer-term trend strength, and valuation is penalized by the negative P/E (loss-making) with no dividend yield data to offset.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow recovery
Ava's strong free cash flow rebound and high FCF-to-net-income ratio indicate improving cash conversion and internal funding capacity. Durable cash generation reduces reliance on external financing, supports continued R&D or sales investment, and strengthens medium-term financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Negative net profitability
Sustained negative net and EBIT margins indicate the company currently fails to convert gross profit into operating profitability. Over the medium term this undermines retained earnings, constrains reinvestment, and may force cost restructuring or additional capital raises if margins don't recover.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow recovery
Ava's strong free cash flow rebound and high FCF-to-net-income ratio indicate improving cash conversion and internal funding capacity. Durable cash generation reduces reliance on external financing, supports continued R&D or sales investment, and strengthens medium-term financial flexibility.
Read all positive factors
Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$15.14M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)136.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.70
Revenue Growth-13.33%
EPS Growth-144.86%
CountryAU
Employees48
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustrySecurity & Protection Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.03
Shares Outstanding291,099,100
10 Day Avg. Volume173,202
30 Day Avg. Volume136,343
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.36
Price to Book (P/B)1.31
Price to Sales (P/S)0.92
P/FCF Ratio7.83
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)<0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$40.32M
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ava Risk Group Limited provides risk management technologies worldwide. The company operates in Perimeter Security, and Access Control Solutions segments. It manufactures and sells fiber optic intrusion detection and location systems that are used...
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 28.62M | 31.60M | 30.14M | 28.60M | 18.62M | 24.70M |
| Gross Profit | 11.02M | 20.28M | 18.00M | 5.65M | 3.95M | 10.43M |
| EBITDA | -1.25M | 906.00K | -2.52M | 1.42M | 1.36M | 8.57M |
| Net Income | -7.61M | -6.46M | -5.20M | -1.05M | 33.13M | 13.75M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 27.64M | 29.60M | 36.06M | 37.08M | 30.41M | 43.25M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.74M | 5.59M | 5.08M | 5.52M | 15.23M | 17.29M |
| Total Debt | 3.66M | 2.80M | 3.02M | 2.83M | 284.00K | 430.00K |
| Total Liabilities | 7.59M | 7.43M | 8.11M | 7.82M | 4.46M | 11.21M |
| Stockholders Equity | 20.05M | 22.17M | 27.95M | 29.25M | 25.95M | 32.04M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.35M | 3.70M | -3.26M | -4.60M | 1.09M | 16.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.77M | 4.17M | -535.00K | -2.18M | 2.48M | 17.58M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.24M | -2.96M | -2.73M | -7.94M | 35.07M | -1.08M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -834.00K | -719.00K | 2.92M | -1.34M | -39.73M | -6.70M |
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
0.08
Price Trends
0.06
Negative
0.06
Negative
0.07
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Positive
35.02
Neutral
58.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.06, and above the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVA.
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
51 Neutral | AU$15.14M | -1.98 | -36.07% | ― | -13.33% | -144.86% | |
44 Neutral | AU$792.40K | 4.51 | 17.10% | ― | ― | -90.32% | |
43 Neutral | AU$10.32M | -1.94 | 75.79% | ― | -5.79% | -269.77% | |
42 Neutral | AU$6.22M | -6.34 | -71.80% | ― | -3.46% | 69.77% | |
40 Underperform | AU$10.73M | -11.42 | -19.88% | ― | 27.90% | 51.16% |
* Industrials Sector Average
AU:AVA
Ava Risk Group Ltd.
0.05
-0.05
-48.00%
AU:DTI
DTI Group Ltd
0.01
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AU:TZL
TZ Limited
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MCS Services Limited
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0.00
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Spectur Ltd.
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Ava Risk Group Ltd. Corporate Events
Ava Risk Group Secures Growth Funding as Q3 Orders Lag but Pipeline Remains Strong
Apr 30, 2026
Ava Risk Group reported Q3 FY2026 sales order intake of $6.1 million, taking year-to-date orders to $21.7 million and leaving an order backlog of $6.2 million, including contracted recurring revenue. The company reaffirmed full-year revenue guidan...
Ava Risk Group taps retired U.S. Rear Admiral McKnight as non-executive director to drive North American growth
Apr 28, 2026
Ava Risk Group has proposed appointing retired U.S. Navy Rear Admiral Terence “Terry” McKnight as a non-executive director, pending completion of standard onboarding requirements. McKnight, nominated by strategic investor Hale Capital ...
AVA Risk Group secures second tranche of Hale Capital convertible note funding
Apr 10, 2026
AVA Risk Group has secured a second tranche of funding under its secured convertible note facility with U.S.-based Hale Capital Management and affiliates, raising an additional $4.02 million through the issue of 4,020,816 unlisted convertible note...
Ava Risk Group Issues New Tranche of Unquoted Convertible Notes
Apr 10, 2026
Ava Risk Group has notified the market of the issue of 4,020,816 unquoted convertible notes with a conversion price of $0.1234 and a maturity of 48 months plus a 12-month option period. The new notes, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX...
Ava Risk Group Shareholders Back Convertible Notes and Warrants at EGM
Mar 29, 2026
Ava Risk Group Limited announced the results of its extraordinary general meeting, where shareholders voted on a series of capital-related resolutions involving convertible notes, warrants, and associated put options. All five ordinary resolutions...
Ava Risk Group Targets Next Growth Phase with Strong Demand and Hale Capital Partnership
Mar 29, 2026
Ava Risk Group, a global provider of advanced security technologies for critical infrastructure, operates through its Detect, Access and Illuminate divisions, offering fibre optic sensing, biometric access control and specialist illumination and i...
Ava Risk Group Wins Key Government Security Trials as Global Order Pipeline Builds
Mar 25, 2026
Ava Risk Group is deepening its presence in Asia Pacific, securing a lead role in Melbourne Airport’s major perimeter intrusion detection trial and winning recognition from Australia’s Department of Home Affairs for its fibre optic sen...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.