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ASX Limited (AU:ASX)
ASX:ASX

ASX (ASX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

ASX

(Sydney:ASX)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
AU$76.00
▲(9.32%Upside)
ASX Limited's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, offset by technical indicators showing bearish trends and a high P/E ratio. The focus on technology and expense management provides long-term growth potential, but short-term technical and valuation concerns persist.

ASX (ASX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

ASX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASX Limited (ASX) is a leading Australian securities exchange, providing a comprehensive range of services including listings, trading, clearing, and settlement across a diverse array of asset classes such as equities, derivatives, and fixed income. ASX operates one of the world's top 10 listed exchange groups, offering a robust platform for capital formation and risk management for both Australian and international markets. The company is headquartered in Sydney and plays a critical role in the Australian financial landscape, facilitating the flow of capital and investment.
How the Company Makes MoneyASX Limited generates revenue through multiple streams primarily associated with its core exchange operations. Key revenue sources include listing fees from companies that choose to go public and list their shares on the ASX platform. Transaction fees are another significant revenue stream, collected from the trading of securities on the exchange. Additionally, ASX earns clearing and settlement fees, derived from the processes that ensure the transfer of securities and funds between buyers and sellers. The company also offers market data and information services, providing valuable insights and analytics to participants, which constitutes another important revenue stream. ASX has strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its service offerings, thereby contributing to its overall revenue. The company's diversified revenue model ensures a stable income stream, driven by the vibrant activity within the Australian and global financial markets.

ASX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.82%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a strong financial performance with record operating revenue and effective expense management. However, challenges such as negative capital quoted, regulatory investigations, and specific segment declines present areas of concern. The focus on technology modernization and strategic initiatives suggests a positive outlook, but the mixed results balance the sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Operating Revenue
ASX delivered a record operating revenue of $541.9 million for the first half of FY '25, which was an increase of 5.9% compared to the prior corresponding period.
Strong Financial Performance
Underlying net profit after tax increased by 10.1%, and statutory profit was up by 5.6%. The underlying return on equity increased by 90 basis points to 13.5%.
Expense Management
Total expenses for the period were $220.3 million, which is down 0.2%, reflecting continued focus on expense management.
Growth in Net Interest Income
Net interest income was up by 9.4% to $43.1 million, supported by higher net interest received from ASX's cash balances and collateral balances.
Technology Modernization Progress
ASX made good progress in its major technology projects, with several updates planned to be delivered soon.
Dividend Announcement
The Board determined a fully franked interim dividend of $1.112 per share, reflecting a payout ratio of 85% of underlying NPAT.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Electricity Derivatives
Commodities revenue was down due to lower trading activity in electricity derivatives as a result of less volatility in electricity prices.
Negative Capital Quoted
Total net new capital quoted for the half was negative $9.2 billion, primarily driven by a few large delistings.
CHESS Batch Settlement Incident
ASIC notified ASX of an investigation into a CHESS batch settlement incident, highlighting ongoing regulatory challenges.
Simply Operating Loss
ASX's share of Simply operating loss was $5.3 million, representing a 5.4% reduction compared to the previous half, amidst uncertainty around interoperability.
Company Guidance
During the ASX's results briefing call for the financial year ending December 31, 2024, several key metrics and guidance were highlighted. ASX reported a record operating revenue of $541.9 million for the first half of the fiscal year 2025, marking a 5.9% increase from the prior year. Underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) grew by 10.1%, while statutory profit rose by 5.6%. The Board declared a fully franked interim dividend of $1.112 per share, with a payout ratio of 85% of underlying NPAT. The underlying return on equity increased by 90 basis points to 13.5%. ASX also maintained its guidance for FY '25, expecting total expense growth of 6% to 9% and capital expenditure between $160 million and $180 million annually until FY '27. The company emphasized its focus on technology modernization, expense management, and exploring growth opportunities, notably in the transitional energy ecosystem.

ASX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ASX Limited exhibits strong profitability and cost management with a robust gross profit margin. The low debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial stability. However, challenges include declining EBIT and EBITDA margins and limited visibility in cash flow growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
ASX Limited shows a stable revenue stream with a modest revenue growth rate of 3.45% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is robust at 147.56%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 45.12%, reflecting strong profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased over the years, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 22.06%, showing a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity has declined over recent periods to 12.73%, suggesting moderate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
ASX Limited has demonstrated significant improvement in free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating better cash generation relative to net income. Operating cash flow has also improved substantially from previous negative figures. However, the free cash flow growth rate is not provided, which limits the assessment of cash flow growth dynamics.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.68B1.05B1.02B1.04B962.30M949.00M
Gross Profit1.63B1.05B976.80M989.30M906.70M949.00M
EBITDA1.27B1.18B819.40M796.50M757.40M840.30M
Net Income437.26M474.20M317.30M508.50M480.90M498.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.47B16.89B16.83B18.24B16.60B17.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.81B13.42B13.51B14.46B13.38B13.86B
Total Debt11.69B334.30M78.60M67.60M72.40M12.76B
Total Liabilities12.71B13.16B13.19B14.43B12.86B13.69B
Stockholders Equity3.76B3.72B3.64B3.81B3.74B3.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.44B544.40M-3.51B97.60M4.99B2.32B
Operating Cash Flow1.61B682.20M-3.40B203.40M5.09B2.40B
Investing Cash Flow-180.30M-93.00M-121.30M-126.90M-125.40M-105.80M
Financing Cash Flow-140.90M-149.60M-447.20M-450.80M-464.40M-702.60M

ASX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.52
Price Trends
50DMA
70.74
Negative
100DMA
67.99
Positive
200DMA
66.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Positive
RSI
45.80
Neutral
STOCH
54.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ASX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.63, below the 50-day MA of 70.74, and above the 200-day MA of 66.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ASX.

ASX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUHUB
71
Outperform
€7.05B120.0411.42%0.55%22.81%32.47%
AUASX
67
Neutral
$13.51B27.6613.33%3.20%9.70%2.64%
AUNWL
66
Neutral
AU$8.04B78.8165.17%1.07%24.24%33.94%
64
Neutral
$6.61B10.876.50%5.05%24.88%-1.54%
AUPPS
57
Neutral
AU$303.35M29.269.89%1.57%23.52%7.96%
AURMC
54
Neutral
AU$335.74M12.20
8.23%3.02%-41.58%
AUNSX
45
Neutral
AU$16.61M-794.97%23.28%7.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ASX
ASX
69.52
11.79
20.43%
AU:HUB
HUB24 Limited
87.08
41.33
90.33%
AU:NSX
NSX Limited
0.03
<0.01
50.00%
AU:RMC
Resimac Group Limited
0.85
0.19
28.40%
AU:PPS
Praemium Ltd
0.64
0.16
33.33%
AU:NWL
Netwealth Group Ltd.
32.81
11.46
53.68%

ASX Corporate Events

State Street Global Advisors Adjusts Holdings in ASX Limited
Jun 24, 2025

State Street Global Advisors, a prominent investment management firm, has made changes to its substantial holdings in ASX Limited. The announcement details the voting power and relevant interests of State Street and its subsidiaries, indicating a strategic adjustment in their investment portfolio. This change could impact the company’s influence in ASX Limited and reflects its ongoing investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Faces ASIC Inquiry into Compliance and Governance
Jun 16, 2025

ASX Limited has acknowledged the Australian Securities and Investments Commission’s (ASIC) decision to initiate a compliance assessment and inquiry into its market and clearing licensees. This inquiry will examine ASX’s governance, capability, and risk management frameworks, with ASX expressing full cooperation. The inquiry follows ASX’s ongoing transformation strategy aimed at enhancing its operational and technology resilience. The company has also noted that ASIC will discontinue its investigation into a previous incident, incorporating it into the broader inquiry. ASX’s financial guidance for FY26 and FY27 does not currently account for potential costs related to supporting this inquiry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Hosts Investor Forum to Enhance Stakeholder Engagement
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited held an Investor Forum where the CEO, CIO, and CFO presented their speaking notes, which were made available to the public. The event was webcast live, indicating ASX’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement. This forum is part of ASX’s ongoing efforts to maintain strong communication with investors and analysts, showcasing its strategic initiatives and operational updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Hosts Investor Forum with Live Webcast
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited announced that it will be hosting an Investor Forum, with presentation slides available for stakeholders. The event, which will be webcast live, aims to provide insights into the company’s operations and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Highlights Strategic Progress and Financial Guidance at Investor Forum 2025
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited held its Investor Forum 2025, highlighting progress in its five-year strategy, particularly in technology modernization and stakeholder engagement. The company is focusing on operational risk and business resilience through its new Accelerate Program. Financial guidance for FY25 and FY26 includes expected expense growth and capital expenditure, with a focus on expanding EBITDA margins and maintaining a strong dividend payout ratio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Reports Growth in Capital Market Activities for May 2025
Jun 5, 2025

In May 2025, ASX Limited reported a significant increase in total new capital quoted, reaching $6.8 billion compared to $4.6 billion in the previous corresponding period. Despite a decrease in the number of new listed entities, the total net new capital quoted improved, indicating a positive trend in capital market activities. This development suggests a strengthening in ASX’s role as a facilitator of capital raising, which could enhance its market positioning and offer potential benefits to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Hold with a A$58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

UniSuper Reduces Stake in ASX Limited
May 22, 2025

UniSuper Limited, acting as a trustee for UniSuper and UniSuper Management Pty Limited, has reduced its substantial holding in ASX Limited. The voting power of UniSuper has decreased from 10.69% to 8.87%, reflecting a change in the number of shares held. This adjustment in shareholding may impact UniSuper’s influence in shareholder decisions and reflects a strategic shift in their investment portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

UniSuper Reduces Stake in ASX Limited
May 8, 2025

UniSuper Limited, acting as a trustee for UniSuper and UniSuper Management Pty Limited, has reduced its voting power in ASX Limited from 12.40% to 10.69%. This change in substantial holding reflects a decrease in UniSuper’s influence over ASX Limited, potentially impacting its strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

ASX Reports Decline in April 2025 Capital Raisings
May 6, 2025

In April 2025, ASX Limited reported a significant decrease in new capital quoted, totaling $2.1 billion compared to $4.4 billion in the previous corresponding period. The total net new capital quoted also saw a decline to $1.9 billion from $3.1 billion. Despite these decreases, the year-to-date total net new capital quoted showed a slight increase, indicating resilience in the market. The report highlights a challenging environment for capital raisings, with a notable reduction in secondary capital raised and a decrease in the number of new listed entities, reflecting broader market trends and potential impacts on stakeholders.

ASX Limited Announces Change of Registry Address
Apr 9, 2025

ASX Limited has announced a change in the registry address for its registry service provider, MUFG Corporate Markets (AU) Limited, effective from April 14, 2025. The new location is at Liberty Place, 161 Castlereagh Street, Sydney, while contact details remain the same. This move is part of ASX’s ongoing efforts to streamline its operations and maintain efficient communication with its stakeholders.

ASX Reports Decline in March 2025 Capital Activity
Apr 3, 2025

The ASX Group’s Monthly Activity Report for March 2025 reveals a significant decline in new capital quoted, totaling $2.5 billion compared to $5.2 billion in the previous corresponding period. The report highlights a negative net new capital quoted of $0.5 billion, a stark contrast to the positive $4.7 billion in the prior year, indicating challenges in capital raising activities. This downturn in capital activity may impact ASX’s market positioning and stakeholder confidence, as the total quoted market capitalization of entities delisted increased to $3.0 billion from $0.5 billion in the previous year.

ASX Limited Addresses Regulatory Actions Following CHESS Settlement Incident
Mar 31, 2025

ASX Limited has received a joint letter from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Australian Securities and Investments Commission regarding regulatory actions following a CHESS settlement incident in December 2024. The incident highlighted issues with the CHESS system’s memory allocation, leading to a failed batch settlement. In response, ASX is implementing an action plan to enhance system resilience and address regulatory concerns, including appointing an expert to review the CHESS system. The company is also advancing its technology modernization strategy, emphasizing the replacement of CHESS with a modern, modular architecture to meet market needs. ASX’s leadership is committed to restoring confidence in its operations and improving risk management and business resilience.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025