tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
ASX Limited (AU:ASX)
ASX:ASX
Advertisement

ASX (ASX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
281 Followers

Top Page

AU:ASX

ASX

(Sydney:ASX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
AU$65.00
▲(6.24% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects a mixed outlook. Strong earnings call performance and profitability margins are offset by significant revenue and cash flow declines, bearish technical indicators, and valuation concerns. The ASIC inquiry and operational risk management challenges add further uncertainty.

ASX (ASX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

ASX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASX Limited operates as a multi-asset class and integrated exchange company in Australia and internationally. It operates markets for a range of asset classes, including equities, fixed income, commodities, and energy. The company provides listings, trading, clearing, settlement, registry, technical and information, and other post-trade services; securities and derivatives exchange, and ancillary services; and central counterparty clearing services. It is also involved in the depository, and settlement activities, as well as delivery-versus-payment clearing of financial products; and provision of data and technology services to intermediaries, banks, information vendors, and software developers to enable them to make decisions, offer services to their clients, and connect with one another. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyASX generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is transaction fees charged on the trading of securities and derivatives. These fees are collected from market participants who execute trades on the platform. Additionally, ASX earns revenue from listing fees, which are paid by companies to list their securities on the exchange. Another significant revenue stream is the provision of market data and information services to financial institutions, traders, and other market participants. ASX also charges fees for clearing and settlement services, which ensure the safe and efficient transfer of traded securities. Furthermore, ASX has strategic partnerships and collaborations that contribute to its earnings by enhancing its service offerings and expanding market reach.

ASX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
ASX reported a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth across its segments and successful new product launches. However, the ASIC compliance inquiry and associated costs, along with challenges in operational risk management, present notable concerns. Despite these issues, the strong financial metrics and positive shareholder returns contribute to a balanced outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
ASX delivered operating revenue of $1.11 billion in FY '25, up 7% from the previous year. Underlying net profit after tax increased by 7.5%, and statutory profit was up by 6%.
Improvements in EBITDA Margin
The EBITDA margin increased by 70 basis points to 62.8%, with a target for further margin expansion over the medium term.
Growth in Markets Business
Markets business revenue increased by 10.7% to $349.2 million, driven by a 19.5% increase in futures and options volumes.
Technology & Data Business Success
Technology & Data business revenue rose by 8% to $275.6 million, with strong demand for data across equities and derivatives markets.
Securities & Payments Business Growth
Revenue from Securities & Payments increased by 7.4% to $274.4 million, supported by strong activity in cash markets.
Successful Launch of New Products
ASX launched several new products, including the debt market activity product and ASX Colo OnDemand, contributing to growth in the Technology & Data segment.
Positive Shareholder Returns
The Board declared a fully franked final dividend of $1.121 per share, with a total dividend of $2.233 per share, an increase of 7.4%.
Negative Updates
ASIC Compliance Inquiry
ASIC has initiated a compliance assessment into ASX's governance, capability, and risk management frameworks, with a significant impact on resources and expenses.
Cost Pressures and Expense Growth
Total expenses rose by 7.2% to $460.3 million, with technology expenses and regulatory costs contributing to the increase. FY '26 expenses are expected to grow further due to the ASIC inquiry.
Challenges in Operational Risk Management
ASX acknowledged it is not where it wants to be in terms of operational risk management and resilience, necessitating the Accelerate program to improve these areas.
Sympli Operating Losses
ASX's share of Sympli's operating loss was $11 million, with ongoing uncertainty around the timing of interoperability between e-conveyancing platforms.
Company Guidance
During the ASX's fiscal year 2025 results briefing, key metrics highlighted strong financial performance, with operating revenue reaching $1.11 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year. The underlying net profit after tax rose by 7.5%, and statutory profit increased by 6%. The company declared a fully franked final dividend of $1.121 per share, contributing to a total dividend of $2.233 per share, up 7.4%. The EBITDA margin improved by 70 basis points to 62.8%, while the underlying return on equity rose by 60 basis points to 13.6%. ASX's capital expenditure for FY '25 was $176 million, with future guidance indicating a range of $170 million to $180 million for FY '26. Total expenses rose by 7.2% to $460.3 million, driven by technology and regulatory expenses. The Accelerate program was emphasized as a key initiative for operational risk management and resilience uplift, with further focus on technology modernization and customer-driven growth opportunities.

ASX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The financial performance is mixed. Strong profitability margins are overshadowed by a significant decline in revenue and free cash flow growth, raising concerns about future growth prospects. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but the cash flow situation needs improvement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a significant decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -65.14% in the latest period. Despite this, the company maintains strong profitability margins, with a net profit margin of 86.05% and an EBIT margin of 207.77%. However, the drastic revenue drop is a major concern, overshadowing the strong margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating low leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio is healthy, and the company has a strong equity base. However, the return on equity is not available for the latest period, which limits the assessment of profitability from shareholders' perspective.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning decline in free cash flow growth at -78.98%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.02, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. While the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, the overall cash flow position is weak due to the significant decline in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue584.10M584.10M1.05B1.02B1.04B962.30M
Gross Profit89.70M89.70M1.05B976.80M989.30M906.70M
EBITDA1.28B1.26B1.18B819.40M796.50M757.40M
Net Income502.60M502.60M474.20M317.30M508.50M480.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.57B17.57B16.89B16.83B18.24B16.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.90B13.90B13.42B13.51B14.46B13.38B
Total Debt310.90M310.90M334.30M78.60M67.60M72.40M
Total Liabilities13.70B13.70B13.16B13.19B14.43B12.86B
Stockholders Equity3.87B3.87B3.72B3.64B3.81B3.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow849.70M302.90M544.40M-3.51B97.60M4.99B
Operating Cash Flow1.02B302.90M682.20M-3.40B203.40M5.09B
Investing Cash Flow-132.80M-132.80M-93.00M-121.30M-126.90M-125.40M
Financing Cash Flow-408.30M-408.30M-149.60M-447.20M-450.80M-464.40M

ASX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price61.18
Price Trends
50DMA
65.16
Negative
100DMA
67.42
Negative
200DMA
65.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.13
Negative
RSI
37.80
Neutral
STOCH
30.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ASX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.83, below the 50-day MA of 65.16, and below the 200-day MA of 65.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ASX.

ASX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
365.45M27.0312.11%2.94%24.56%59.32%
59
Neutral
7.49B64.0658.51%1.26%28.29%39.39%
55
Neutral
$11.82B23.4812.95%3.67%7.63%5.81%
49
Neutral
8.19B102.3915.00%0.56%24.44%68.80%
45
Neutral
19.63M-4.430.00%37.46%7.37%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ASX
ASX
61.18
-0.60
-0.98%
DE:FSB
HUB24 Limited
58.00
23.63
68.75%
AU:NSX
NSX Limited
0.04
0.02
100.00%
AU:PPS
Praemium Ltd
0.76
0.28
58.33%
AU:NWL
Netwealth Group Ltd.
30.98
7.77
33.48%

ASX Corporate Events

ASX Limited Announces 2025 Full-Year Results Schedule and Key Dates
Jul 29, 2025

ASX Limited has announced the schedule for its 2025 full-year financial results, which will be released on August 14, 2025, before market opening. The announcement includes key dates for the final dividend and the annual general meeting, highlighting the company’s commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement. The webcast of the results briefing will be available for stakeholders, ensuring accessibility to important financial information.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

State Street Global Advisors Updates Substantial Holding in ASX Limited
Jul 15, 2025

State Street Global Advisors has reported a change in its substantial holding in ASX Limited, reflecting its ongoing role as an investment manager with significant voting power. This update highlights State Street’s strategic position in managing and controlling voting rights within the company, impacting its influence over corporate decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Reports Strong Capital Raising Growth in June 2025
Jul 3, 2025

ASX Limited, a prominent player in the financial market infrastructure sector, has reported significant growth in its capital raising activities for June 2025. The total new capital quoted reached $11.0 billion, marking a 35% increase compared to the previous corresponding period. The net new capital quoted also saw a substantial rise, totaling $10.8 billion, which is a notable improvement from the $5.3 billion recorded in the same period last year. This growth in capital raising activities indicates a robust market environment and reflects positively on ASX’s operational performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

State Street Global Advisors Adjusts Holdings in ASX Limited
Jun 24, 2025

State Street Global Advisors, a prominent investment management firm, has made changes to its substantial holdings in ASX Limited. The announcement details the voting power and relevant interests of State Street and its subsidiaries, indicating a strategic adjustment in their investment portfolio. This change could impact the company’s influence in ASX Limited and reflects its ongoing investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Faces ASIC Inquiry into Compliance and Governance
Jun 16, 2025

ASX Limited has acknowledged the Australian Securities and Investments Commission’s (ASIC) decision to initiate a compliance assessment and inquiry into its market and clearing licensees. This inquiry will examine ASX’s governance, capability, and risk management frameworks, with ASX expressing full cooperation. The inquiry follows ASX’s ongoing transformation strategy aimed at enhancing its operational and technology resilience. The company has also noted that ASIC will discontinue its investigation into a previous incident, incorporating it into the broader inquiry. ASX’s financial guidance for FY26 and FY27 does not currently account for potential costs related to supporting this inquiry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Hosts Investor Forum to Enhance Stakeholder Engagement
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited held an Investor Forum where the CEO, CIO, and CFO presented their speaking notes, which were made available to the public. The event was webcast live, indicating ASX’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement. This forum is part of ASX’s ongoing efforts to maintain strong communication with investors and analysts, showcasing its strategic initiatives and operational updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Hosts Investor Forum with Live Webcast
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited announced that it will be hosting an Investor Forum, with presentation slides available for stakeholders. The event, which will be webcast live, aims to provide insights into the company’s operations and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Highlights Strategic Progress and Financial Guidance at Investor Forum 2025
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited held its Investor Forum 2025, highlighting progress in its five-year strategy, particularly in technology modernization and stakeholder engagement. The company is focusing on operational risk and business resilience through its new Accelerate Program. Financial guidance for FY25 and FY26 includes expected expense growth and capital expenditure, with a focus on expanding EBITDA margins and maintaining a strong dividend payout ratio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Reports Growth in Capital Market Activities for May 2025
Jun 5, 2025

In May 2025, ASX Limited reported a significant increase in total new capital quoted, reaching $6.8 billion compared to $4.6 billion in the previous corresponding period. Despite a decrease in the number of new listed entities, the total net new capital quoted improved, indicating a positive trend in capital market activities. This development suggests a strengthening in ASX’s role as a facilitator of capital raising, which could enhance its market positioning and offer potential benefits to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Hold with a A$58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

UniSuper Reduces Stake in ASX Limited
May 22, 2025

UniSuper Limited, acting as a trustee for UniSuper and UniSuper Management Pty Limited, has reduced its substantial holding in ASX Limited. The voting power of UniSuper has decreased from 10.69% to 8.87%, reflecting a change in the number of shares held. This adjustment in shareholding may impact UniSuper’s influence in shareholder decisions and reflects a strategic shift in their investment portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

UniSuper Reduces Stake in ASX Limited
May 8, 2025

UniSuper Limited, acting as a trustee for UniSuper and UniSuper Management Pty Limited, has reduced its voting power in ASX Limited from 12.40% to 10.69%. This change in substantial holding reflects a decrease in UniSuper’s influence over ASX Limited, potentially impacting its strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

ASX Reports Decline in April 2025 Capital Raisings
May 6, 2025

In April 2025, ASX Limited reported a significant decrease in new capital quoted, totaling $2.1 billion compared to $4.4 billion in the previous corresponding period. The total net new capital quoted also saw a decline to $1.9 billion from $3.1 billion. Despite these decreases, the year-to-date total net new capital quoted showed a slight increase, indicating resilience in the market. The report highlights a challenging environment for capital raisings, with a notable reduction in secondary capital raised and a decrease in the number of new listed entities, reflecting broader market trends and potential impacts on stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025