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ASX Limited (AU:ASX)
ASX:ASX
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ASX (ASX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ASX

ASX

(Sydney:ASX)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
AU$76.00
▲(21.33% Upside)
ASX Limited demonstrates strong financial performance and a solid earnings outlook, driven by record revenues and effective expense management. Despite slightly negative technical indicators and a high P/E ratio suggesting potential overvaluation, the company's strategic focus on technology and moderate dividend yield provide positive aspects. Regulatory challenges and limited cash flow growth visibility are areas of concern.

ASX (ASX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

ASX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASX Limited operates as a multi-asset class and integrated exchange company in Australia and internationally. It operates markets for a range of asset classes, including equities, fixed income, commodities, and energy. The company provides listings, trading, clearing, settlement, registry, technical and information, and other post-trade services; securities and derivatives exchange, and ancillary services; and central counterparty clearing services. It is also involved in the depository, and settlement activities, as well as delivery-versus-payment clearing of financial products; and provision of data and technology services to intermediaries, banks, information vendors, and software developers to enable them to make decisions, offer services to their clients, and connect with one another. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyASX generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is transaction fees charged on the trading of securities and derivatives. These fees are collected from market participants who execute trades on the platform. Additionally, ASX earns revenue from listing fees, which are paid by companies to list their securities on the exchange. Another significant revenue stream is the provision of market data and information services to financial institutions, traders, and other market participants. ASX also charges fees for clearing and settlement services, which ensure the safe and efficient transfer of traded securities. Furthermore, ASX has strategic partnerships and collaborations that contribute to its earnings by enhancing its service offerings and expanding market reach.

ASX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong financial performance and revenue growth across several business segments, alongside significant challenges related to operational risk management, regulatory inquiries, and technology modernization delays. While financial metrics and market growth were positive, the pressure from regulatory scrutiny and operational issues dampened the overall outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
ASX reported operating revenue of $1.11 billion, an increase of 7% compared to last year. Underlying net profit after tax increased by 7.5%, and statutory profit was up by 6%.
Dividend and Return on Equity
The Board determined a fully franked final dividend of $1.121 per share, up 7.4% from last year, with a payout ratio of 85%. Underlying return on equity increased by 60 basis points to 13.6%.
Market Growth
Strong revenue growth in Markets, Technology & Data, and Securities & Payments businesses. Total new capital quoted for the year was $90 billion, up 10.1%, and net new capital quoted was $35.6 billion, up 27.9%.
Technology & Data Business Growth
Revenue increased by 8% to $275.6 million, driven by strong demand for data across equities and derivatives markets.
Operational Efficiency
Total expenses for the year were $460.3 million, below the mid-point of guidance, reflecting cost optimization actions.
Negative Updates
ASIC Inquiry and Financial Impact
ASX is undergoing an ASIC compliance assessment and inquiry, with expected additional operating expenses of $25 million to $35 million in FY '26.
Operational Risk Management Challenges
ASX is not where it wants to be in terms of operational risk management and resilience, prompting the implementation of the Accelerate program to address these issues.
Technology Modernization Delays
While progress is being made, there are inherent delivery risks in the technology modernization program that may impact future guidance.
Sympli Operating Loss
ASX's share of Sympli's operating loss was $11 million, compared to a loss of $10.8 million in FY '24, with ongoing uncertainty around e-conveyancing platform interoperability.
TPG Telecom Incident
ASX acknowledged an error in ticker cross-referencing, which was disruptive and required apologies and corrective actions.
Company Guidance
In the ASX results briefing for the financial year ending June 2025, CEO Helen Lofthouse and CFO Andrew Tobin provided comprehensive guidance and financial metrics. ASX reported a 7% increase in operating revenue, reaching $1.11 billion, and a 7.5% rise in underlying net profit after tax, driven by growth in net interest income. The statutory profit increased by 6%, and the Board declared a fully franked final dividend of $1.121 per share, resulting in a total dividend of $2.233 per share, up 7.4%. The EBITDA margin improved by 70 basis points to 62.8%, while the underlying return on equity rose by 60 basis points to 13.6%. Key business segments such as Markets, Technology & Data, and Securities & Payments showed strong revenue growth, with the Listings segment remaining stable. ASX's capital expenditure for FY '25 was $176 million, within the guidance range, and future CapEx for FY '26 and FY '27 is expected to be between $170 million and $180 million and $160 million and $180 million, respectively. The Accelerate program remains a priority, aiming to enhance operational risk management and resilience, with the company preparing to address the ASIC inquiry with a projected cost of $25 million to $35 million in FY '26.

ASX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ASX Limited exhibits strong profitability and cost management with a robust gross profit margin. The low debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial stability. However, challenges include declining EBIT and EBITDA margins and limited visibility in cash flow growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
ASX Limited shows a stable revenue stream with a modest revenue growth rate of 3.45% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is robust at 147.56%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 45.12%, reflecting strong profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased over the years, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 22.06%, showing a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity has declined over recent periods to 12.73%, suggesting moderate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
ASX Limited has demonstrated significant improvement in free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating better cash generation relative to net income. Operating cash flow has also improved substantially from previous negative figures. However, the free cash flow growth rate is not provided, which limits the assessment of cash flow growth dynamics.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.68B1.05B1.02B1.04B962.30M949.00M
Gross Profit1.63B1.05B976.80M989.30M906.70M949.00M
EBITDA1.27B1.18B819.40M796.50M757.40M840.30M
Net Income437.26M474.20M317.30M508.50M480.90M498.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.47B16.89B16.83B18.24B16.60B17.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.81B13.42B13.51B14.46B13.38B13.86B
Total Debt11.69B334.30M78.60M67.60M72.40M12.76B
Total Liabilities12.71B13.16B13.19B14.43B12.86B13.69B
Stockholders Equity3.76B3.72B3.64B3.81B3.74B3.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.44B544.40M-3.51B97.60M4.99B2.32B
Operating Cash Flow1.61B682.20M-3.40B203.40M5.09B2.40B
Investing Cash Flow-180.30M-93.00M-121.30M-126.90M-125.40M-105.80M
Financing Cash Flow-140.90M-149.60M-447.20M-450.80M-464.40M-702.60M

ASX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price62.64
Price Trends
50DMA
69.40
Negative
100DMA
69.42
Negative
200DMA
67.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.88
Positive
RSI
26.65
Positive
STOCH
11.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ASX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 62.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.09, below the 50-day MA of 69.40, and below the 200-day MA of 67.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.65 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ASX.

ASX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$12.17B24.1812.95%3.48%7.63%5.81%
62
Neutral
AU$10.38B9.5413.11%4.80%32.34%39.86%
€4.91B136.7511.42%
70
Outperform
AU$322.46M31.119.89%1.48%23.52%7.96%
66
Neutral
AU$9.10B89.2165.17%0.85%24.24%33.94%
45
Neutral
AU$19.63M-794.97%23.28%7.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ASX
ASX
62.64
0.87
1.41%
DE:FSB
HUB24 Limited
60.50
29.92
97.84%
DE:HM3
Resimac Group Limited
AU:NSX
NSX Limited
0.04
0.03
300.00%
AU:PPS
Praemium Ltd
0.68
0.28
70.00%
AU:NWL
Netwealth Group Ltd.
37.14
14.59
64.70%

ASX Corporate Events

ASX Limited Announces 2025 Full-Year Results Schedule and Key Dates
Jul 29, 2025

ASX Limited has announced the schedule for its 2025 full-year financial results, which will be released on August 14, 2025, before market opening. The announcement includes key dates for the final dividend and the annual general meeting, highlighting the company’s commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement. The webcast of the results briefing will be available for stakeholders, ensuring accessibility to important financial information.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

State Street Global Advisors Updates Substantial Holding in ASX Limited
Jul 15, 2025

State Street Global Advisors has reported a change in its substantial holding in ASX Limited, reflecting its ongoing role as an investment manager with significant voting power. This update highlights State Street’s strategic position in managing and controlling voting rights within the company, impacting its influence over corporate decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Reports Strong Capital Raising Growth in June 2025
Jul 3, 2025

ASX Limited, a prominent player in the financial market infrastructure sector, has reported significant growth in its capital raising activities for June 2025. The total new capital quoted reached $11.0 billion, marking a 35% increase compared to the previous corresponding period. The net new capital quoted also saw a substantial rise, totaling $10.8 billion, which is a notable improvement from the $5.3 billion recorded in the same period last year. This growth in capital raising activities indicates a robust market environment and reflects positively on ASX’s operational performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

State Street Global Advisors Adjusts Holdings in ASX Limited
Jun 24, 2025

State Street Global Advisors, a prominent investment management firm, has made changes to its substantial holdings in ASX Limited. The announcement details the voting power and relevant interests of State Street and its subsidiaries, indicating a strategic adjustment in their investment portfolio. This change could impact the company’s influence in ASX Limited and reflects its ongoing investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Faces ASIC Inquiry into Compliance and Governance
Jun 16, 2025

ASX Limited has acknowledged the Australian Securities and Investments Commission’s (ASIC) decision to initiate a compliance assessment and inquiry into its market and clearing licensees. This inquiry will examine ASX’s governance, capability, and risk management frameworks, with ASX expressing full cooperation. The inquiry follows ASX’s ongoing transformation strategy aimed at enhancing its operational and technology resilience. The company has also noted that ASIC will discontinue its investigation into a previous incident, incorporating it into the broader inquiry. ASX’s financial guidance for FY26 and FY27 does not currently account for potential costs related to supporting this inquiry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Hosts Investor Forum to Enhance Stakeholder Engagement
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited held an Investor Forum where the CEO, CIO, and CFO presented their speaking notes, which were made available to the public. The event was webcast live, indicating ASX’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement. This forum is part of ASX’s ongoing efforts to maintain strong communication with investors and analysts, showcasing its strategic initiatives and operational updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Hosts Investor Forum with Live Webcast
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited announced that it will be hosting an Investor Forum, with presentation slides available for stakeholders. The event, which will be webcast live, aims to provide insights into the company’s operations and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Limited Highlights Strategic Progress and Financial Guidance at Investor Forum 2025
Jun 11, 2025

ASX Limited held its Investor Forum 2025, highlighting progress in its five-year strategy, particularly in technology modernization and stakeholder engagement. The company is focusing on operational risk and business resilience through its new Accelerate Program. Financial guidance for FY25 and FY26 includes expected expense growth and capital expenditure, with a focus on expanding EBITDA margins and maintaining a strong dividend payout ratio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

ASX Reports Growth in Capital Market Activities for May 2025
Jun 5, 2025

In May 2025, ASX Limited reported a significant increase in total new capital quoted, reaching $6.8 billion compared to $4.6 billion in the previous corresponding period. Despite a decrease in the number of new listed entities, the total net new capital quoted improved, indicating a positive trend in capital market activities. This development suggests a strengthening in ASX’s role as a facilitator of capital raising, which could enhance its market positioning and offer potential benefits to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Hold with a A$58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

UniSuper Reduces Stake in ASX Limited
May 22, 2025

UniSuper Limited, acting as a trustee for UniSuper and UniSuper Management Pty Limited, has reduced its substantial holding in ASX Limited. The voting power of UniSuper has decreased from 10.69% to 8.87%, reflecting a change in the number of shares held. This adjustment in shareholding may impact UniSuper’s influence in shareholder decisions and reflects a strategic shift in their investment portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASX) stock is a Sell with a A$55.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASX stock, see the AU:ASX Stock Forecast page.

UniSuper Reduces Stake in ASX Limited
May 8, 2025

UniSuper Limited, acting as a trustee for UniSuper and UniSuper Management Pty Limited, has reduced its voting power in ASX Limited from 12.40% to 10.69%. This change in substantial holding reflects a decrease in UniSuper’s influence over ASX Limited, potentially impacting its strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

ASX Reports Decline in April 2025 Capital Raisings
May 6, 2025

In April 2025, ASX Limited reported a significant decrease in new capital quoted, totaling $2.1 billion compared to $4.4 billion in the previous corresponding period. The total net new capital quoted also saw a decline to $1.9 billion from $3.1 billion. Despite these decreases, the year-to-date total net new capital quoted showed a slight increase, indicating resilience in the market. The report highlights a challenging environment for capital raisings, with a notable reduction in secondary capital raised and a decrease in the number of new listed entities, reflecting broader market trends and potential impacts on stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025