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APA Group (AU:APA)
OTHER OTC:APA

APA Group (APA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:APA

APA Group

(OTC:APA)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
AU$9.50
▲(1.60% Upside)
The overall stock score for APA Group is driven primarily by its operational efficiency and positive technical indicators. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and the company's high leverage poses financial risks. The attractive dividend yield provides some support to the valuation.

APA Group (APA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

APA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAPA Group (APA) is a leading Australian energy infrastructure business that owns and operates one of the country's largest gas transmission networks. The company is primarily engaged in the transportation of natural gas through its extensive pipeline systems, which span across various states and territories in Australia. In addition to gas transmission, APA also invests in power generation and renewable energy projects, offering services that contribute to the energy needs of residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's core products include gas transportation services, storage solutions, and a growing portfolio of renewable energy assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyAPA Group generates revenue primarily through the transportation of natural gas via its pipeline network, which includes long-term contracts with customers in the energy sector. The company earns fees based on the volume of gas transported and the capacity reserved by its clients, providing a steady income stream. Additionally, APA's investments in power generation and renewable energy projects contribute to its earnings, allowing the company to diversify its revenue sources. Significant partnerships with energy producers and retailers further enhance APA's market position, while regulatory frameworks and long-term contracts provide stability to its revenue model. The company's ability to adapt to changing energy demands and invest in sustainable projects also plays a crucial role in its financial performance.

APA Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
APA Group demonstrates operational efficiency with strong EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, challenges include declining net income and revenue growth, coupled with high leverage. While cash flow generation is strong, high debt levels pose a risk to financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
APA Group's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a strong EBIT and EBITDA margin, indicating operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin has significantly declined from the previous year, primarily due to a substantial drop in net income. The revenue growth rate has turned negative, which is a concern for future growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity has decreased, reflecting lower profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth, which is a strong indicator of financial health. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, indicating limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.19B3.14B3.03B2.83B2.69B2.56B
Gross Profit2.04B1.00B2.81B947.00M911.02M923.86M
EBITDA2.00B1.94B2.62B1.70B1.66B1.36B
Net Income99.00M99.00M978.00M263.00M230.56M-42.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.94B19.94B19.56B16.52B16.20B15.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments800.00M800.00M676.00M513.00M940.28M663.04M
Total Debt14.02B14.02B12.99B11.59B10.96B9.99B
Total Liabilities17.27B17.27B16.32B14.61B13.57B12.17B
Stockholders Equity1.92B1.92B3.25B1.91B2.63B2.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow366.00M320.00M60.00M26.00M508.22M618.03M
Operating Cash Flow1.28B1.28B1.16B1.21B1.20B1.05B
Investing Cash Flow-947.00M-947.00M-2.66B-969.00M-1.27B-432.02M
Financing Cash Flow-212.00M-212.00M1.66B-664.00M360.66M-1.14B

APA Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.35
Price Trends
50DMA
9.21
Positive
100DMA
9.01
Positive
200DMA
8.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
56.99
Neutral
STOCH
57.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:APA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.22, above the 50-day MA of 9.21, and above the 200-day MA of 8.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:APA.

APA Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
AU$12.24B121.863.23%6.26%4.61%-90.28%
50
Neutral
$6.29B-64.17-1.75%5.07%5.96%-113.79%
45
Neutral
AU$20.09M-5.70-38.32%2.69%-273.87%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:APA
APA Group
9.31
2.67
40.25%
AU:AGL
AGL Energy
9.35
-1.08
-10.33%
AU:LPE
Locality Planning Energy Holdings Limited
0.11
-0.03
-21.43%

APA Group Corporate Events

APA Group Completes Divestment of Gas Distribution Operations
Dec 1, 2025

APA Group has completed the divestment of its Networks business, which includes gas distribution operations and maintenance services. This move is part of APA’s strategy to simplify its business and focus on key growth platforms, as the divested entities contributed less than 2% to the company’s FY25 Underlying EBITDA. The transition of services and approximately 725 employees has been completed smoothly, with APA providing transitional services for up to 18 months. The sale proceeds are estimated at $29 million, excluding the Tamworth gas distribution network, which is expected to complete in early 2026.

APA Group Partners with CS Energy for Brigalow Peaking Power Plant Development
Nov 30, 2025

APA Group has entered into a Joint Development Agreement with CS Energy to develop the Brigalow Peaking Power Plant, a 400MW gas power station in Queensland. This project, expected to be operational by 2028, will enhance APA’s capabilities in gas-powered generation and support the integration of renewable energy. APA will lead the project and acquire an 80% ownership stake, with CS Energy maintaining a 20% stake and operational responsibilities. The project aligns with APA’s growth strategy and is part of its $2.1 billion organic growth pipeline, aiming to deliver consistent returns and energy security.

APA Group Announces Director’s Interest Change with New Performance Rights Grant
Nov 2, 2025

APA Group has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically regarding Adam Watson, a director of the company. Mr. Watson has been granted 343,014 performance rights as part of the company’s long-term incentive arrangements, which were approved by APA securityholders at the 2025 Annual Meeting. This change reflects APA Group’s commitment to aligning executive incentives with company performance, potentially impacting the company’s operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

APA Group Issues New Performance Rights to Employees
Nov 2, 2025

APA Group has announced the issuance of 1,272,217 performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. These securities are unquoted and not intended to be listed on the ASX, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to incentivize and retain its workforce, which could enhance operational efficiency and stakeholder value.

APA Group Annual Meeting: Key Resolutions Passed, Constitutional Amendment Rejected
Oct 22, 2025

APA Group held its annual meeting where all resolutions, including the adoption of the remuneration report, climate transition plan, and director nominations, were carried by a poll. However, the proposed amendment to the constitution of APA Infrastructure Trust was not carried. These decisions reflect APA’s ongoing commitment to its strategic initiatives and governance, impacting its operational focus and stakeholder engagement.

APA Group Issues Performance Rights to Boost Employee Incentives
Oct 9, 2025

APA Group has announced the issuance of 342,946 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX. This move is part of the company’s strategy to motivate and retain talent, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and competitive positioning in the energy infrastructure industry.

APA Group Enhances Liquidity with Significant Note Buyback
Sep 19, 2025

APA Group has announced a buyback of USD 396.4 million of its Senior Guaranteed Notes, representing a significant portion of the outstanding notes due in July 2027. This move aligns with APA’s capital allocation strategy to enhance securityholder value by reducing cash positions, finance costs, and future refinancing needs, thereby strengthening the company’s balance sheet to support its growth pipeline.

APA Group Announces 2025 Annual Meeting
Sep 17, 2025

APA Group has announced the Notice of its Annual Meeting for 2025, scheduled for October 22. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, reflecting its strategic focus on securing Australia’s energy future through its extensive infrastructure portfolio.

APA Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 16, 2025

APA Group has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Adam Watson. The change involves an off-market transfer of 86,767 ordinary stapled securities from Adam Watson to Baker Watson Investments Pty Ltd. This adjustment in the director’s holdings reflects a strategic realignment of securities, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder interests.

APA Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 12, 2025

APA Group has announced a change in the director’s interest notice involving Rhoda Harrington. The change includes the acquisition of 767 ordinary stapled securities through the APA Distribution Reinvestment Plan, increasing the indirect holdings to 21,622 securities. This adjustment reflects the company’s ongoing engagement with its dividend reinvestment strategy, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions regarding the director’s confidence in the company’s performance.

APA Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 12, 2025

APA Group has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically involving James Fazzino. The change pertains to the acquisition of 1,744 ordinary stapled securities through Stefenna Pty Ltd under the APA Distribution Reinvestment Plan, increasing the total indirect holdings to 49,156 securities. This move reflects ongoing participation in the company’s reinvestment strategies, potentially impacting shareholder value and demonstrating confidence in the company’s financial strategies.

APA Group Announces Director’s Increased Stake Through Reinvestment Plan
Sep 12, 2025

APA Group announced a change in the director’s interest, with Nino Ficca acquiring 1,261 ordinary stapled securities through the company’s Distribution Reinvestment Plan. This acquisition reflects a minor increase in the director’s indirect holdings, indicating continued confidence in the company’s financial strategies and stakeholder value.

APA Group Awaits Final AER Determination on Basslink Revenue Proposal
Sep 12, 2025

APA Group announced that the Australian Energy Regulator (AER) has issued a draft determination on the Basslink revenue proposal, proposing $428.8 million in total revenue for a four-year period starting July 2026. The determination, which follows extensive stakeholder consultation, aims to ensure reliable and efficient operation of Basslink, a critical energy link between Victoria and Tasmania. If the final determination is acceptable, Basslink will transition to a regulated Transmission Network Services Provider by July 2026, impacting APA’s operations and stakeholder engagements.

APA Group Releases 2025 Tax Return Guide for Security Holders
Sep 9, 2025

APA Group has released its 2025 Tax Return Guide to assist security holders in completing their income tax returns for the year ending June 30, 2025. The guide provides details on dividends and trust distributions, emphasizing the need for separate disclosure of APA Infra dividends and APA Invest trust distributions in tax returns. This release is significant for stakeholders as it outlines tax implications and reporting requirements, ensuring compliance and clarity for investors.

APA Group Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Sep 9, 2025

APA Group has announced the quotation of 10,693,508 fully paid units stapled securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective September 10, 2025. This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan and is likely to enhance the company’s liquidity and market presence, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests positively.

APA Group Announces Change of Registered Office Location
Sep 8, 2025

APA Group has announced a change in its registered office and principal place of business to Level 10, 121 Castlereagh Street, Sydney, NSW 2000, effective from 8 September 2025. This relocation does not affect the company’s telephone number or postal address. The change is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to streamline operations and maintain its position as a key player in the energy infrastructure sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025