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Academies Australasia Group Limited (AU:AKG)
ASX:AKG
Australian Market

Academies Australasia Group Limited (AKG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AKG

Academies Australasia Group Limited

(Sydney:AKG)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.10
▼(-7.27% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and high leverage—despite better gross margins and improving free cash flow. Technicals add further pressure as the stock trades below major moving averages with subdued momentum. Valuation is also limited by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
High gross margin
A sustained gross margin above 50% indicates solid pricing power or effective course-cost control across delivery channels. Over the next 2-6 months this margin cushion helps absorb enrollment volatility, funds reinvestment in programs, and creates a clearer path to operational breakeven as scale improves.
Improving free cash flow
Near-100% conversion of accounting earnings into free cash flow shows the business is translating reported results into real liquidity. Durable FCF strength reduces reliance on external funding, supports debt servicing or strategic investment, and materially improves financial flexibility over coming quarters.
Stable tuition-based revenue model
A tuition-fee business with multiple colleges and VET/higher-education offerings provides recurring, cohort-driven revenue. This structural model yields predictable cash inflows, benefits from steady demand for vocational skills, and supports long-term planning and program investment even if growth is gradual.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio above 2x is a durable financial constraint: it raises refinancing and interest-rate risk, limits strategic flexibility, and forces prioritization of cash to servicing debt rather than growth. In a cyclical enrollment environment this leverage amplifies downside risk over months ahead.
Negative profitability
A persistent negative net margin and negative ROE signal the company is not yet generating shareholder returns. Even with gross margin improvements, ongoing losses constrain retained earnings, make equity weaker, and require sustained operational or revenue improvements to achieve durable profitability.
Weak/sluggish revenue growth
Near-flat revenue limits operating leverage that would convert healthy gross margins into strong EBITDA and net profits. Slow top-line growth also magnifies sensitivity to enrollment cycles and policy changes for domestic/international students, making margin recovery and debt reduction harder to sustain.

Academies Australasia Group Limited (AKG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Academies Australasia Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAcademies Australasia Group Limited provides training and education services in Australia and Singapore. The company offers English language, senior high school, Singapore government school preparatory certificate, diploma, advanced diploma, and bachelor degree courses. It operates 18 licensed colleges and offers approximately 150 qualifications. The company was formerly known as Garratt's Limited. Academies Australasia Group Limited was incorporated in 1908 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAKG primarily makes money by charging tuition and course-related fees to students enrolled in its higher education and vocational education and training (VET) programs. Revenue is earned as students commence and progress through programs delivered by the group’s colleges/training entities, including fees for accredited diplomas, degrees and other structured education offerings. Additional income can be generated from ancillary student-related charges that are tied to delivering education services (for example, administrative/enrolment-related charges and other course delivery fees where applicable). Material, specific details about the split of revenue by segment (e.g., higher education vs VET), the proportion of domestic vs international tuition, or named significant partnerships and commission-based arrangements are null.

Academies Australasia Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Modest revenue growth (1.7%) and improved gross margin (52.3%) are positives, but overall profitability is weak with a negative net margin (-2.7%). High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) and negative ROE add financial risk, partly offset by improved free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown a slight revenue growth of 1.7% in the latest year, but profitability remains a concern with a negative net profit margin of -2.7%. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 52.3%, indicating better cost management. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, suggesting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 2.46, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Free cash flow has grown substantially, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not strong relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that most of the net income is being converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.64M47.03M46.37M46.51M36.04M42.62M
Gross Profit14.89M24.59M2.07M3.82M2.94M2.49M
EBITDA1.13M1.40M-4.09M5.77M4.51M7.18M
Net Income-1.07M-1.27M-9.78M-2.76M-1.30M-1.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.35M73.77M83.86M93.39M85.07M87.03M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.02M2.71M5.83M8.05M15.96M12.37M
Total Debt62.06M39.90M46.17M41.70M29.83M37.07M
Total Liabilities54.87M57.58M66.20M65.98M57.07M57.31M
Stockholders Equity15.48M16.20M17.66M26.84M27.59M29.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.71M3.75M164.00K-25.00K8.76M3.44M
Operating Cash Flow5.72M3.82M441.00K420.00K9.32M3.79M
Investing Cash Flow-285.00K-345.00K-263.00K-445.00K-920.00K-433.00K
Financing Cash Flow-6.66M-6.73M-1.16M-5.38M-4.82M-7.89M

Academies Australasia Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.11
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Negative
100DMA
0.12
Negative
200DMA
0.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
25.60
Positive
STOCH
<0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AKG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, below the 50-day MA of 0.13, and below the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.60 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of <0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AKG.

Academies Australasia Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$82.49M8.0971.63%1.17%120.57%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
AU$73.68M119.490.87%-1.08%
48
Neutral
AU$29.24M4.70-22.15%1.67%-2.81%-503.02%
45
Neutral
AU$13.92M-4.84-6.74%1.42%86.97%
42
Neutral
AU$38.01M-25.24-34.51%-13.91%53.37%
41
Neutral
AU$13.96M-2.37-111.42%-14.55%70.98%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AKG
Academies Australasia Group Limited
0.11
<0.01
5.00%
AU:EDU
EDU Holdings Limited
0.66
0.52
381.62%
AU:NXD
iCollege Ltd.
0.17
0.01
6.25%
AU:CLU
Cluey Ltd
0.03
-0.05
-60.47%
AU:3PL
3P Learning Ltd.
0.27
-0.51
-65.38%
AU:KME
Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited
0.53
0.09
19.64%

Academies Australasia Group Limited Corporate Events

Academies Australasia Narrows Half-Year Loss, Boosted by Adjusted Profit and Capital Restructuring
Feb 23, 2026

Academies Australasia Group Limited reported a 6% decline in half-year revenue to $22.5 million for the period to 31 December 2025, but narrowed its after-tax loss attributable to members to $754,000, reflecting a 21% improvement year on year. Adjusted profit before tax rose to $141,000 and adjusted EBITDA reached $3.2 million, supported by lower student refund outflows and a write-back on impaired employee loan assets, although the group again paid no dividends.

The company’s balance sheet shows cash declining to $5.6 million while reliance on director funding increased, with unsecured loans from directors rising to $6.2 million and generating $245,000 in interest over the half. Post period-end, the board approved the buy-back and cancellation of 5 million employee incentive plan shares and the associated non-recourse loans, a move that will modestly reduce shares on issue and simplify the capital structure while removing ongoing valuation adjustments tied to those loans.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AKG) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Academies Australasia Group Limited stock, see the AU:AKG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026