Austral Gold (AGD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$99.38M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 788.92K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.68
• Revenue Growth: -22.17%
• EPS Growth: -274.86%
• Country: AU
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 621,125,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,778,243
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 788,918
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.58
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.37
• P/FCF Ratio: -1.70
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.11 ▼(-41.11% Downside)

Austral Gold's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance and poor valuation metrics. While technical analysis shows some positive momentum, the company's financial health and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors did not influence the score.

Positive Factors

Strategic Alliances

Strategic alliances and off-take agreements can secure pricing and demand for products, providing stability and potential growth in revenue.

Revenue Increase

A recent increase in revenue suggests potential recovery and improved market conditions, which could enhance future financial performance.

Liquidity Cushion

Maintaining cash and short-term investments provides a liquidity cushion, supporting operational needs and financial stability during downturns.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenues

Persistent revenue decline over several years indicates challenges in maintaining market share and operational efficiency, impacting long-term growth.

High Leverage

High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Negative Cash Flow

Negative cash flow indicates operational inefficiencies and sustainability concerns, necessitating improved cash management and operational strategies.

Austral Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Austral Gold Limited (AGD) is a mining company focused on the exploration and development of gold and silver properties in South America, particularly in Chile and Argentina. The company is engaged in the production of precious metals, operating its flagship asset, the Guanaco gold mine, alongside other exploration projects in the region. Austral Gold aims to enhance shareholder value through the advancement of its mining projects and the discovery of new mineral resources.

How the Company Makes Money

Austral Gold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and silver produced at its mining operations. The company operates the Guanaco mine, where it extracts and processes ore to produce bullion, which is then sold on the open market. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of precious metals, as well as potential royalties from joint ventures or partnerships with other mining entities. Additionally, the company may benefit from strategic alliances or off-take agreements that secure pricing and demand for its products, contributing to its overall earnings.

Austral Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Austral Gold is facing financial challenges characterized by declining revenues, operational losses, and a leveraged balance sheet. While there are some signs of potential recovery in revenue and liquidity through financing activities, the company must address operational inefficiencies and reduce leverage to improve its financial health.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a challenging financial performance with declining revenues from 2019 to 2024 and consistent net losses over recent years. Gross profit margin and EBIT margin are negative for the latest period, indicating operational difficulties. However, there was a notable revenue increase in the latest year compared to the previous year, suggesting potential recovery.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage that could pose financial risks. Stockholders' equity has decreased over recent years, which affects the equity ratio negatively. However, the company maintains a reasonable level of cash and short-term investments, which provides some liquidity cushion.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow in recent periods, which is a concern for sustainability. Operating cash flow is also negative, indicating operational cash generation issues. However, the company has managed to raise cash through financing activities, providing temporary relief.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	68.33M	36.79M	47.73M	49.71M	64.39M	88.22M
Gross Profit	10.92M	6.80M	546.00K	10.24M	24.52M	54.15M
EBITDA	11.21M	-25.45M	-948.00K	-1.96M	7.91M	30.53M
Net Income	-10.83M	-27.07M	-7.61M	-8.86M	-7.32M	7.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	111.09M	118.09M	104.28M	107.37M	98.30M	105.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	9.01M	11.27M	5.00M	1.57M	4.05M	12.73M
Total Debt	43.35M	26.59M	18.42M	11.48M	10.48M	8.40M
Total Liabilities	91.29M	94.88M	62.71M	49.11M	40.89M	45.05M
Stockholders Equity	19.80M	23.21M	41.41M	71.72M	56.74M	60.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-9.12M	-7.91M	-7.98M	-1.47M	-4.33M	20.61M
Operating Cash Flow	-3.76M	-6.49M	7.93M	10.61M	10.79M	33.96M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.37M	5.03M	-12.43M	-11.57M	-18.47M	-18.08M
Financing Cash Flow	4.00M	3.81M	4.61M	-441.64K	-2.89M	-12.31M

Austral Gold Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.18
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AGD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.12, above the 50-day MA of 0.10, and above the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.33 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AGD.

Austral Gold Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
AGD	52 Neutral	AU$99.38M	-2.61	―	―	-22.17%	-274.86%
HMX	48 Neutral	AU$24.10M	-9.39	-8.32%	―	-100.00%	-146.48%
MKR	43 Neutral	AU$106.75M	-3.54	-174.83%	―	-100.00%	24.82%
SPD	42 Neutral	AU$287.94M	-46.48	-17.70%	―	―	29.91%
BDM	38 Underperform	AU$24.16M	-0.12	-151.97%	―	-28.16%	-1569.00%

Austral Gold Corporate Events

Austral Gold Projects Strong Production Growth for 2026

Austral Gold Limited has announced its production guidance for the fiscal year 2026, forecasting a consolidated production of 26,000 to 30,000 gold-equivalent ounces from its Guanaco Mine in Chile and Casposo Mine in Argentina. The Guanaco Mine is expected to produce 15,000–17,000 GEOs mainly from heap-reprocessing, while the Casposo Mine is set to produce 11,000–13,000 GEOs, with operations split between Casposo-owned ore and Hualilan ore processed under a toll-processing agreement with Challenger Gold. This announcement reflects a positive outlook for Austral Gold, highlighting stabilized operations and a strategic restart at Casposo, which may enhance its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Austral Gold Issues Over One Million Shares to Bolster Growth

Austral Gold Limited has issued over one million fully paid ordinary shares without disclosure to investors, in compliance with the Corporations Act. This move is part of the company’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and support its growth ambitions in the gold and silver mining sector.

Austral Gold Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation

Austral Gold Limited announced the quotation of 1,025,077 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as part of a previously announced transaction. This move is expected to enhance the company’s market presence and provide additional capital to support its operational and strategic goals.

Austral Gold Updates on Proposed Securities Issuance

Austral Gold Limited announced an update regarding the proposed issuance of securities, following approval to issue shares and an updated proposed issue date. This development is part of the company’s strategic financial maneuvers to potentially enhance its capital structure and market positioning, which may have implications for its stakeholders and future operations.

Austral Gold Secures TSXV Approval for Share Issuance

Austral Gold Limited has received approval from the TSX Venture Exchange to issue 1,025,077 fully paid ordinary shares to an investor as repayment of accrued interest under previously issued convertible notes. This move is part of Austral Gold’s strategy to convert notes into shares, reflecting its ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position and support its growth strategy in the mining industry.

Austral Gold Reports Q3 2025 Production Decline Amid Operational Challenges

Austral Gold Limited has filed its Q3 2025 Quarterly Activity Report, highlighting a 22% decrease in production to 2,244 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) due to a temporary suspension of the agitation leach circuit following a fatal accident and power outages. Despite these challenges, the company saw a 4.4% increase in realized gold prices, although operating costs rose significantly, with cash costs and all-in sustaining costs increasing by over 36% compared to the previous quarter.

Austral Gold Updates Mineral Reserves for Casposo Mine

Austral Gold Limited has announced an updated Mineral Reserve and Resource Estimate for its Casposo Mine in Argentina, marking a significant step towards renewed production. The updated estimates, which show substantial reserves and resources, reinforce the company’s strategy to advance the project and capitalize on strong market fundamentals for gold and silver, potentially delivering significant value to shareholders.

Austral Gold Director Increases Shareholding

Austral Gold Limited has announced a change in the shareholding interest of its director, Ben Jarvis. The director has increased his indirect shareholding by acquiring 150,000 ordinary fully paid shares through an on-market trade, bringing his total holdings to 1,000,000 shares. This change in shareholding reflects the director’s increased investment in the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

Austral Gold Director Increases Shareholding

Austral Gold Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Ben Jarvis acquiring an additional 250,000 ordinary fully paid shares through an on-market trade, increasing his total holdings to 850,000 shares. This acquisition reflects a strategic move by the director, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which may have implications for investor sentiment and market perception.

Austral Gold Completes Loan Repayment with Unico Silver Shares

Austral Gold Limited has announced the full repayment of a US$2,000,000 loan plus accrued interest to Inversiones Financieras del Sur SA (IFISA) through the transfer of Unico Silver shares. This transaction, which extinguishes the loan and releases collateral obligations, reflects Austral Gold’s strategic financial management and strengthens its operational stability, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.