Austral Gold (AGD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$142.86M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 788.92K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.64
• Revenue Growth: -22.17%
• EPS Growth: -274.86%
• Country: AU
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 621,125,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,778,243
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 788,918
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.58
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.37
• P/FCF Ratio: -1.70
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 53 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.21 ▲(30.00% Upside)

The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (persistent losses, negative cash generation, and leverage concerns). Technical indicators provide a meaningful offset with a strong uptrend and positive momentum signals, but valuation remains a drag due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

Stable Precious Metals Revenue Base

Selling produced gold and silver provides a durable, commodity-driven revenue stream tied to physical output rather than speculative assets. A producing bullion business supports predictable near-term cash inflows and offtake pathways that underpin operations and project funding over months.

Operating Producing Asset (Guanaco)

Having the Guanaco mine as an active producing asset reduces exploration execution risk and establishes baseline production and operational experience. This gives the company a platform to optimize output, reduce unit costs, and pursue incremental resource development over the medium term.

Liquidity Cushion from Cash Holdings

A reasonable cash and short-term investment position offers a near-term liquidity buffer that can fund operations, meet short-term obligations and support project workstreams while management addresses structural profitability and cash generation challenges.

Negative Factors

Persistent Net Losses and Negative Margins

Sustained net losses and negative gross/EBIT margins indicate the core mining operations are not covering costs at current scales or grades. Without lasting margin improvement, the company cannot internally fund growth or capital needs, impairing long-term operational viability.

Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow

Negative operating and free cash flow point to structural cash-generation shortfalls from core operations. This creates reliance on external financing to sustain activity, raising dilution and refinancing risk, and constraining the company's ability to invest in mine optimization or exploration.

Elevated Leverage and Declining Equity

High debt-to-equity and falling shareholders' equity increase financial risk: interest burdens, covenant pressure and reduced capacity to fund capex. In a capital-intensive mining business, elevated leverage limits strategic flexibility and heightens refinancing risk in weaker cycles.

Austral Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Austral Gold Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of gold and silver deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Guanaco/Amancaya gold and silver mine located to the southeast of Antofagasta in Northern Chile. It also holds 100% interests in the Pingüino project situated in Santa Cruz; and the Casposo mine located in San Juan, Argentina. In addition, the company holds a 26.46% interest in the Rawhide mine located in Nevada, the United States; a portfolio of exploration projects situated in the Paleocene Belt, Chile; and interest in the Mercur project located in Utah, the United States. The company was formerly known as Diamond Rose NL and changed its name to Austral Gold Limited in November 2006. Austral Gold Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Sydney, Australia. Austral Gold Limited is a subsidiary of IFISA.

How the Company Makes Money

Austral Gold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and silver produced at its mining operations. The company operates the Guanaco mine, where it extracts and processes ore to produce bullion, which is then sold on the open market. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of precious metals, as well as potential royalties from joint ventures or partnerships with other mining entities. Additionally, the company may benefit from strategic alliances or off-take agreements that secure pricing and demand for its products, contributing to its overall earnings.

Austral Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials remain weak: revenues have generally declined over 2019–2024 with continued net losses and negative gross/EBIT margins in the latest period. Cash flow is stressed with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, and leverage is elevated (high debt-to-equity) alongside declining equity. A recent year-over-year revenue uptick and reasonable cash/short-term investments offer some offset, but overall fundamentals are still challenged.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a challenging financial performance with declining revenues from 2019 to 2024 and consistent net losses over recent years. Gross profit margin and EBIT margin are negative for the latest period, indicating operational difficulties. However, there was a notable revenue increase in the latest year compared to the previous year, suggesting potential recovery.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage that could pose financial risks. Stockholders' equity has decreased over recent years, which affects the equity ratio negatively. However, the company maintains a reasonable level of cash and short-term investments, which provides some liquidity cushion.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow in recent periods, which is a concern for sustainability. Operating cash flow is also negative, indicating operational cash generation issues. However, the company has managed to raise cash through financing activities, providing temporary relief.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	68.33M	36.79M	47.73M	49.71M	64.39M	88.22M
Gross Profit	10.92M	6.80M	546.00K	10.24M	24.52M	54.15M
EBITDA	11.21M	-25.45M	-948.00K	-1.96M	7.91M	30.53M
Net Income	-10.83M	-27.07M	-7.61M	-8.86M	-7.32M	7.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	111.09M	118.09M	104.28M	107.37M	98.30M	105.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	9.01M	11.27M	5.00M	1.57M	4.05M	12.73M
Total Debt	43.35M	26.59M	18.42M	11.48M	10.48M	8.40M
Total Liabilities	91.29M	94.88M	62.71M	49.11M	40.89M	45.05M
Stockholders Equity	19.80M	23.21M	41.41M	71.72M	56.74M	60.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-9.12M	-7.91M	-7.98M	-1.47M	-4.33M	20.61M
Operating Cash Flow	-3.76M	-6.49M	7.93M	10.61M	10.79M	33.96M
Investing Cash Flow	-2.37M	5.03M	-12.43M	-11.57M	-18.47M	-18.08M
Financing Cash Flow	4.00M	3.81M	4.61M	-441.64K	-2.89M	-12.31M

Austral Gold Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.16
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AGD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.18, above the 50-day MA of 0.15, and above the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AGD.

Austral Gold Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
SPD	54 Neutral	AU$250.38M	-36.76	-17.70%	―	―	29.91%
AGD	53 Neutral	AU$142.86M	-3.06	―	―	-22.17%	-274.86%
HMX	52 Neutral	AU$36.60M	-12.12	-8.32%	―	-100.00%	-146.48%
MKR	50 Neutral	AU$290.48M	-8.25	-174.83%	―	-100.00%	24.82%
MM1	46 Neutral	AU$145.53M	-38.15	-31.71%	―	―	―
BDM	38 Underperform	AU$24.16M	-0.12	-151.97%	―	-28.16%	-1569.00%

Austral Gold Corporate Events

Austral Gold Lifts Q4 Output and Revenue as Casposo and Guanaco Operations Restart

Austral Gold reported improved operational and financial performance in the December 2025 quarter, underpinned by the restart of commercial production at its Casposo Mine and the resumption of the agitation leaching plant at its Guanaco operation following an earlier workplace fatality. The company delivered total quarterly production of 7,152 gold equivalent ounces, generated sales revenue of US$23.8 million—up 170% from the prior quarter—and strengthened its balance sheet with higher cash, lower net current liabilities and net financial debt of US$16.1 million, while an updated technical report supported a robust after-tax NPV for Casposo, reinforcing the mine’s strategic value within Austral Gold’s portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AGD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Austral Gold stock, see the AU:AGD Stock Forecast page.

Changes in Shareholding Position of Australl Gold Substantial Holder

Eduardo Elsztain and his associated entities have undergone changes in their holdings of voting shares in Austral Gold Limited, reflecting various actions such as share purchase, exercising options, and new share issuances. These updates, which include a slight reduction in voting power to 74.27%, indicate strategic movements in equity positions, potentially influencing shareholder dynamics and the company’s operational governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AGD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Austral Gold stock, see the AU:AGD Stock Forecast page.

Austral Gold Unveils Updated Corporate Strategy for 2026

Austral Gold Limited has released an updated corporate presentation detailing its operations, growth strategy, and outlook for 2026 and beyond. This presentation underscores the company’s commitment to expanding its portfolio in the Americas through strategic production, exploration, and equity investments, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AGD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Austral Gold stock, see the AU:AGD Stock Forecast page.

Austral Gold Projects Strong Production Growth for 2026

Austral Gold Limited has announced its production guidance for the fiscal year 2026, forecasting a consolidated production of 26,000 to 30,000 gold-equivalent ounces from its Guanaco Mine in Chile and Casposo Mine in Argentina. The Guanaco Mine is expected to produce 15,000–17,000 GEOs mainly from heap-reprocessing, while the Casposo Mine is set to produce 11,000–13,000 GEOs, with operations split between Casposo-owned ore and Hualilan ore processed under a toll-processing agreement with Challenger Gold. This announcement reflects a positive outlook for Austral Gold, highlighting stabilized operations and a strategic restart at Casposo, which may enhance its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AGD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Austral Gold stock, see the AU:AGD Stock Forecast page.

Austral Gold Issues Over One Million Shares to Bolster Growth

Austral Gold Limited has issued over one million fully paid ordinary shares without disclosure to investors, in compliance with the Corporations Act. This move is part of the company’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and support its growth ambitions in the gold and silver mining sector.

Austral Gold Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation

Austral Gold Limited announced the quotation of 1,025,077 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as part of a previously announced transaction. This move is expected to enhance the company’s market presence and provide additional capital to support its operational and strategic goals.

Austral Gold Updates on Proposed Securities Issuance

Austral Gold Limited announced an update regarding the proposed issuance of securities, following approval to issue shares and an updated proposed issue date. This development is part of the company’s strategic financial maneuvers to potentially enhance its capital structure and market positioning, which may have implications for its stakeholders and future operations.

Austral Gold Secures TSXV Approval for Share Issuance

Austral Gold Limited has received approval from the TSX Venture Exchange to issue 1,025,077 fully paid ordinary shares to an investor as repayment of accrued interest under previously issued convertible notes. This move is part of Austral Gold’s strategy to convert notes into shares, reflecting its ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position and support its growth strategy in the mining industry.