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Avenue Therapeutics Inc (ATXI)
OTHER OTC:ATXI

Avenue Therapeutics (ATXI) AI Stock Analysis

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ATXI

Avenue Therapeutics

(OTC:ATXI)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$0.20
▼(-72.74% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by persistent unprofitability and ongoing negative free cash flow, alongside weak technical momentum with the stock trading below major moving averages. Offsetting these risks are a debt-free balance sheet, improved equity position, and a positive M&A transaction (Baergic Bio sale) that could strengthen the company’s financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
No reported debt materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. A debt-free structure gives management flexibility to fund R&D, pursue partnerships, or absorb milestone timing variability without mandatory interest servicing that could strain scarce cash flows over the next several quarters.
Improving revenue and lower burn
A step-up to ~$1.4M TTM revenue and materially improved cash burn indicate initial commercial traction and tighter cost control. This trajectory, if sustained, can extend runway, validate go-to-market execution, and reduce near-term capital needs as the company attempts to scale revenues further.
Baergic sale strengthens funding optionality
The Baergic/Axsome transaction provides non-dilutive near-term cash and sizeable contingent upside via milestones and royalties. This strategic divestiture reduces execution burden, leverages a larger partner for development, and creates a durable potential revenue stream that can fund pipeline advancement or shore up liquidity.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Continued negative operating and free cash flow forces reliance on external funding or asset sales. Even with improved burn, persistent outflows limit reinvestment capacity, increase dilution risk from financing, and constrain ability to sustainably scale commercial or clinical activities without recurring capital events.
Ongoing operating losses
Substantial operating and net losses show the current revenue base does not cover fixed and development costs. Until the company obtains consistent revenue growth or significant milestone receipts, profitability remains out of reach, pressuring equity returns and necessitating periodic external financing.
Very limited commercial scale and resources
An extremely small employee base and modest revenue imply limited internal capability to commercialize, scale distribution, or manage multiple clinical programs simultaneously. This structural constraint increases dependency on partners and outsourcing, slowing execution and elevating operational risk over the medium term.

Avenue Therapeutics (ATXI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avenue Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvenue Therapeutics (ATXI) is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of therapies for the treatment of central nervous system diseases. The company's core product includes intravenous (IV) tramadol, which is designed to treat moderate to moderately severe postoperative pain. Avenue Therapeutics operates within the healthcare sector, with a focus on pain management solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvenue Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company's key revenue stream is expected to come from the sales of its flagship product, IV tramadol, once it gains regulatory approval and enters the market. Revenue generation is contingent upon successful clinical trials, obtaining necessary regulatory approvals, and effective marketing and distribution strategies. Additionally, Avenue Therapeutics may engage in partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies to enhance the commercialization and distribution of its products, which can contribute to its earnings.

Avenue Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Early commercialization progress is evident with ~$1.4M TTM revenue and substantially reduced losses and cash burn versus prior years. However, profitability remains weak (TTM EBIT about -$3.9M; net loss about -$3.7M) and free cash flow is still negative (about -$1.7M), implying continued funding dependence despite a debt-free balance sheet and improved equity (~$3.6M TTM).
Income Statement
22
Negative
ATXI shows a step-change in top-line performance in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with ~$1.4M of revenue versus $0 in prior annual periods, but profitability remains weak. Operating losses persist (TTM EBIT of about -$3.9M and net loss of about -$3.7M), indicating the revenue base is not yet sufficient to cover the cost structure. Losses have narrowed substantially versus 2023–2024 annual results, which is a positive trajectory, but the company is still meaningfully unprofitable.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet is conservatively levered with no debt reported across periods, which reduces financial risk. Stockholders’ equity has improved to ~$3.6M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from ~$2.8M in 2024, supporting better balance-sheet stability. However, the business is still loss-making, and returns on equity have been volatile over time, reflecting an uneven earnings profile and ongoing dependence on funding discipline.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation remains a clear pressure point: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in all periods shown. The burn rate improved materially in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (operating and free cash flow of about -$1.7M) versus 2024 (about -$9.0M), which is encouraging, but free cash flow growth is sharply down versus the prior comparison and cash flow still does not cover reported losses in a sustainable way. Continued negative free cash flow implies ongoing liquidity/funding reliance until the revenue base scales further.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.40M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit1.40M0.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-3.85M-11.70M4.05M-2.44M7.00K-5.15M
Net Income-3.74M-11.65M-10.38M-3.55M-3.73M-5.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.73M2.67M1.85M6.84M3.96M3.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.71M2.59M1.78M6.71M3.76M3.13M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.42M816.00K1.20M3.58M509.00K886.00K
Stockholders Equity3.56M2.80M1.58M3.90M3.45M2.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.74M-9.03M-12.45M-7.60M-3.75M-5.61M
Operating Cash Flow-1.74M-9.03M-9.45M-7.60M-3.75M-4.61M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.00-3.00M0.000.00-1.00M
Financing Cash Flow2.85M9.84M7.53M10.54M4.38M0.00

Avenue Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.73
Price Trends
50DMA
0.65
Negative
100DMA
0.71
Negative
200DMA
0.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
23.07
Positive
STOCH
0.99
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATXI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.54, above the 50-day MA of 0.65, and above the 200-day MA of 0.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.07 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.99 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ATXI.

Avenue Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Avenue Therapeutics disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avenue Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avenue Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$835.94K-0.08178.82%-4121.10%
47
Neutral
$643.05K-0.14-121.42%89.68%
41
Neutral
$1.10M-0.03-60.37%-100.00%86.75%
29
Underperform
$3.50M-0.05-168.95%90.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATXI
Avenue Therapeutics
0.20
-1.09
-84.34%
BDRX
Biodexa Pharmaceuticals
1.77
-41.33
-95.89%
QCLS
Q/C Technologies
4.19
-68.61
-94.24%
SCNI
Scinai Immunotherapeutics
0.98
-2.54
-72.15%
OGEN
Oragenics
0.84
-7.89
-90.37%

Avenue Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Avenue Therapeutics shareholders elect directors, ratify KPMG auditor
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

At its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders held virtually on December 30, 2025, Avenue Therapeutics, Inc. shareholders elected six directors — including Jay Kranzler, Faith Charles, Neil Herskowitz, Alexandra MacLean, Curtis Oltmans and Lindsay A. Rosenwald — to serve until the 2026 annual meeting, with each nominee receiving strong majority support. Investors also ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as Avenue’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, reinforcing continuity in the company’s governance and audit oversight, with all 3,183,426 outstanding common shares and 250,000 Class A preferred shares eligible to vote under the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATXI) stock is a Hold with a $0.64 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avenue Therapeutics stock, see the ATXI Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Avenue Therapeutics Announces 2025 Annual Meeting Date
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

Avenue Therapeutics, Inc. has announced December 30, 2025, as the date for its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders. Stockholders must submit proposals for inclusion in the proxy statement by November 28, 2025, to be considered timely, and must comply with the company’s bylaws and the Securities Exchange Act requirements.

M&A Transactions
Avenue Therapeutics Sells Baergic Bio to Axsome
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Avenue Therapeutics and its subsidiary Baergic Bio entered into an agreement with Axsome Therapeutics for the acquisition of Baergic. Axsome acquired 100% of Baergic’s equity and global rights to BAER-101, now AXS-17, for an upfront payment and potential milestone payments totaling up to $82 million, along with royalties on future sales. This transaction is expected to accelerate the development of AXS-17 as a treatment for epilepsy, leveraging Axsome’s expertise. The deal also includes equity awards for Avenue’s executives, contingent on the transaction’s completion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026