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Ascent Solar Technologies (ASTI)
NASDAQ:ASTI

Ascent Solar Technologies (ASTI) AI Stock Analysis

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ASTI

Ascent Solar Technologies

(NASDAQ:ASTI)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(18.20% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (deep losses, negative gross profitability, and sustained cash burn). Technicals are a meaningful offset with strong trend and positive momentum signals, while valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings. Corporate events modestly support the outlook via added liquidity and leadership continuity.
Positive Factors
Leadership Continuity
Renewing CEO, COO and CFO employment agreements preserves executive continuity and reduces leadership turnover risk. For a small, capital-constrained tech firm, consistent management supports strategy execution, partner relationships and fundraising credibility over coming quarters.
Added Near-Term Liquidity
The December private placement generated roughly $1.7M net proceeds (with potential additional warrant proceeds), materially extending near-term runway. For a company with negative cash flow, this financing provides durable working capital relief while management pursues commercialization and sales expansion.
Moderate Leverage & Positive Equity
Debt-to-equity near 0.61 and restored positive equity (~$2.7M) mark improved solvency versus years of negative equity. Moderate leverage lowers near-term default risk and gives management more time to execute commercialization and scaling plans, though equity remains modest versus losses.
Negative Factors
Deep Unprofitability
Negative gross profit and a TTM net margin near -1,245% show the company's core product economics are not covering direct costs. Structural negative margins imply the business cannot sustain operations without material cost reductions, pricing changes, or significant scale improvements.
Persistent Cash Burn
Operating cash flow and free cash flow both deeply negative indicate the company is not self-funding operations. Persistent cash burn forces repeated external financing, limits investment in production or R&D, and raises dilution and liquidity risk over the medium term.
Very Small Revenue Base
Revenue rose but remains only about $61K TTM, a tiny base that prevents absorbing fixed costs or achieving scale economics. This makes margins highly sensitive to individual contracts and limits visibility on a sustainable, profitable business model absent material revenue expansion.

Ascent Solar Technologies (ASTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ascent Solar Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAscent Solar Technologies, Inc. (ASTI) is a leading manufacturer of innovative photovoltaic (PV) solar panels and related technologies. Specializing in lightweight, flexible solar solutions, the company primarily operates in the renewable energy sector, targeting applications in consumer electronics, aerospace, and military markets. ASTI's core products include its CIGS (Copper Indium Gallium Selenide) solar cells, which are designed to meet the growing demand for efficient and versatile energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyAscent Solar Technologies generates revenue through the sale of its photovoltaic solar panels and related technologies. The company primarily focuses on B2B sales to various sectors, including defense, aerospace, and consumer electronics, where their flexible and lightweight solar solutions are in high demand. Key revenue streams include direct sales of solar products to manufacturers and partnerships with companies that integrate ASTI's technology into their products. Additionally, ASTI may generate income through licensing agreements and collaborations with other firms in the renewable energy space, leveraging its proprietary technology to expand its market reach and create additional revenue opportunities.

Ascent Solar Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ascent Solar Technologies faces significant financial headwinds across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow. Persistent losses, high debt levels, and negative cash flows highlight the company's ongoing struggles to achieve sustainable profitability and financial stability. While there are slight improvements in equity and financing activities, the overall financial health remains weak, with a pressing need for strategic interventions to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow generation.
Income Statement
The income statement reveals substantial financial challenges for Ascent Solar Technologies. The company has consistently reported negative gross and net profit margins, indicating an inability to cover costs with current revenue levels. Revenue has decreased significantly over the years, with a negative growth trajectory. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins are deeply negative, reflecting ongoing operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a precarious financial position, with a negative equity balance in several years, signifying that liabilities far exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning due to negative equity, and the return on equity is negative, highlighting unprofitable operations. However, there has been some improvement in stockholders' equity in recent years, suggesting a slight positive trajectory.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows significant challenges, with consistent negative operating cash flow and free cash flow figures, indicating that the company is burning cash and heavily reliant on external financing to sustain operations. Free cash flow growth remains negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests poor cash conversion. Financing activities provide temporary relief but do not address underlying cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.13K41.89K458.26K1.22M607.78K66.61K
Gross Profit-665.43K-106.48K-1.43M-788.67K-1.29M-107.97K
EBITDA-6.83M-7.91M-14.13M-16.28M-4.21M5.46M
Net Income-7.22M-9.13M-17.07M-19.75M-6.00M1.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.77M7.15M6.91M18.68M12.85M7.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.09M3.17M1.05M11.48M5.96M167.72K
Total Debt1.62M2.06M4.23M10.08M14.15M19.42M
Total Liabilities3.12M3.77M8.44M14.09M15.68M27.56M
Stockholders Equity2.65M3.38M-1.53M4.59M-2.83M-20.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.68M-8.42M-13.41M-10.69M-9.68M-2.88M
Operating Cash Flow-6.65M-8.42M-9.54M-10.51M-9.40M-2.88M
Investing Cash Flow-107.02K-421.00-3.88M-265.47K-301.52K254.44K
Financing Cash Flow5.13M10.55M2.96M16.29M15.50M2.80M

Ascent Solar Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.23
Price Trends
50DMA
2.74
Positive
100DMA
2.43
Positive
200DMA
2.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Positive
RSI
57.66
Neutral
STOCH
33.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASTI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.14, above the 50-day MA of 2.74, and above the 200-day MA of 2.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASTI.

Ascent Solar Technologies Risk Analysis

Ascent Solar Technologies disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ascent Solar Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ascent Solar Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$91.93M-3.68-18.23%37.59%72.94%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$12.12M-6.26-99.17%-5.74%54.80%
52
Neutral
$21.20M-1.17-241.51%36.85%98.78%
42
Neutral
$42.36M-4.0576.60%70.94%
40
Neutral
$31.40M-0.94-80.33%-54.56%-133.60%
38
Underperform
$42.65M-0.41-51.35%-103.78%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASTI
Ascent Solar Technologies
4.62
2.03
78.38%
VVPR
VivoPower International
2.69
1.48
122.31%
BEEM
Beam Global
1.78
-1.19
-40.07%
SPRU
Spruce Power Holding
5.05
2.31
84.31%
TURB
Turbo Energy, S.A. Sponsored ADR
1.16
-1.26
-52.07%
SMXT
SolarMax Technology, Inc.
0.81
-0.57
-41.38%

Ascent Solar Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ascent Solar Renews Executive Leadership Employment Agreements
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

On December 31, 2025, Ascent Solar Technologies renewed its senior leadership contracts by entering into new employment agreements with Chief Executive Officer Paul Warley, Chief Operations Officer Bobby Gulati and Chief Financial Officer Jin Jo, replacing their prior agreements that expired the same day. The new contracts, which are summarized but not fully detailed in the company’s disclosure, signal a decision to maintain continuity in the executive team, a move that may provide stability for the company’s ongoing operations and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASTI) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ascent Solar Technologies stock, see the ASTI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ascent Solar Raises $1.7M Through Private Placement
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Ascent Solar Technologies entered into a securities purchase agreement with institutional and accredited investors for a private placement of shares and warrants, raising approximately $1.7 million in net proceeds. The company plans to use these funds for working capital purposes, and the transaction is expected to enhance its financial flexibility. The private placement, which closed on December 8, 2025, involves the issuance of common stock and warrants, with potential additional proceeds of approximately $3.5 million if the warrants are fully exercised. H.C. Wainwright & Co. acted as the exclusive placement agent for the offering.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASTI) stock is a Sell with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ascent Solar Technologies stock, see the ASTI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026