Ardmore Shipping (ASC) Risk Factors

The market supply of tankers is affected by a number of factors, such as demand for energy resources, oil, petroleum and chemical products, as well as the level of global and regional economic growth. If the capacity of new ships delivered exceeds the capacity of tankers being scrapped and lost, tanker capacity will increase. The global newbuilding orderbook for product tankers equaled approximately 10.6% of the global product tanker fleet as of March 14, 2024. If the supply of product or chemical tanker capacity increases and if the demand for such respective tanker capacity does not increase correspondingly, charter rates and vessel values could materially decline. A reduction in charter rates and the value of our vessels may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. In addition, product tankers currently used to transport crude oil and other "dirty" products may be "cleaned up" and reintroduced into the product tanker market, which would increase the available product tanker tonnage, which may affect the supply and demand balance for product tankers. This could have an adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial position.

Our future success depends to a significant extent upon certain members of our senior management team. Our management team includes members who have substantial experience in the product tanker and chemical shipping industries, some of which have worked with us since Ardmore's inception. Our management team is crucial to the execution of our business strategies and to the growth and development of our business. If members of our management team were no longer affiliated with us, we may be unable to recruit other employees with equivalent talent and experience, and our business and financial condition may suffer as a result.

We have entered into spot and time charter contracts, commercial pool agreements, ship management agreements, credit facilities and finance lease arrangements and other commercial arrangements. Such agreements and arrangements subject us to counterparty risks. The ability and willingness of each of our counterparties to perform its obligations under a contract with us will depend on a number of factors that are beyond our control and may include, among other things, general economic conditions, the condition of our industries, the overall financial condition of the counterparty, charter rates received for specific types of vessels, and various expenses. In addition, in depressed market conditions, our charterers and customers may no longer need a vessel that is currently under charter or contract or may be able to obtain a comparable vessel at lower rates. As a result, charterers and customers may seek to renegotiate the terms of their existing charter agreements or avoid their obligations under those contracts. Should a counterparty fail to honor its obligations under agreements with us, we could sustain significant losses, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

We receive insurance coverage for tort liability, including pollution-related liability, from protection and indemnity associations. We may be subject to increased premium payments, or calls, in amounts based on our claim records, the claim records of our manager, as well as the claim records of other members of the protection and indemnity associations. In recent years, the shipping industry has been experiencing significant increases in premiums for coverage by protection and indemnity associations. In addition, our protection and indemnity associations may not have enough resources to cover claims made against them and be required to make calls of their members. Our payment of these calls could result in significant expense to us, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

The International Maritime Organization, the United Nations agency for maritime safety and the prevention of pollution by vessels (the "IMO") has imposed updated guidelines for ballast water management systems specifying the maximum amount of viable organisms allowed to be discharged from a vessel's ballast water. Depending on the date of the International Oil Pollution Prevention renewal survey, existing vessels constructed before September 8, 2017 were required to comply with the updated D-2 standard on or after September 8, 2019. For most vessels, compliance with the D-2 standard will involve installing on-board systems to treat ballast water and eliminate unwanted organisms. Ships constructed on or after September 8, 2017 are required to comply with the D-2 standards on or after September 8, 2017. All of our vessels currently comply with the updated guidelines of compliance. The cost of compliance with these regulations may be substantial and may adversely affect our results of operation and financial condition. Furthermore, United States regulations are currently changing. Although the 2013 Vessel General Permit ("VGP") program and U.S. National Invasive Species Act ("NISA") are currently in effect to regulate ballast discharge, exchange and installation, the Vessel Incidental Discharge Act  ("VIDA"), which was signed into law on December 4, 2018, requires that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA")  develop national standards of performance for approximately 30 discharges, similar to those found in the VGP, within two years. On October 26, 2020, the EPA published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking for Vessel Incidental Discharge National Standards of Performance under VIDA.  On October 18, 2023, the EPA published a supplemental notice of the proposed rule sharing new ballast water data received from the U.S. Coast Guard ("USCG") and providing clarification on the proposed rule.  The public comment period for the proposed rule ended on December 18, 2023. Once EPA finalizes the rule (possibly by the third quarter of 2024), USCG must develop corresponding implementation, compliance and enforcement regulations regarding ballast water within two years. The new regulations could require the installation of new equipment, which may cause us to incur substantial costs.

We expect that our vessels will call on ports where smugglers may attempt to hide drugs and other contraband on vessels, with or without the knowledge of crew members. To the extent our vessels are found with contraband, whether inside or attached to the hull of our vessel and whether with or without the knowledge of any of our crew, we may face governmental or other regulatory claims which could have an adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

We are subject to income and other taxes in certain jurisdictions in which we operate, and our results of operations and financial results may be affected by tax and other initiatives around the world. For instance, there is a high level of uncertainty in today's tax environment stemming from global initiatives put forth by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development's ("OECD") two-pillar base erosion and profit shifting project. In October 2021, members of the OECD put forth two proposals: (i) Pillar One reallocates profit to the market jurisdictions where sales arise versus physical presence; and (ii) Pillar Two compels multinational corporations with €750 million or more in annual revenue to pay a global minimum tax of 15% on income received in each country in which they operate. The reforms aim to level the playing field between countries by discouraging them from reducing their corporate income taxes to attract foreign business investment.  Over 140 countries agreed to enact the two-pillar solution to address the challenges arising from the digitalization of the economy and, in 2024, these guidelines were declared effective and must now be enacted by those OECD member countries. In certain jurisdictions, qualifying international shipping income is exempt from many aspects of this framework if the applicable exemption requirements are met. It is possible that these guidelines, including the global minimum corporate tax rate measure of 15%, could increase the burden and costs of our tax compliance, the amount of taxes we incur in those jurisdictions and our global effective tax rate, which could have a material adverse impact on our results of operations and financial results.

Data privacy is subject to frequently changing rules and regulations, which sometimes conflict among the various jurisdictions and countries in which we provide services and continue to develop in ways which we cannot predict. For example, the EU's 2018 General Data Privacy Regulation ("GDPR"), a comprehensive legal framework to govern data collection, processing, use, transfer and sharing and related consumer privacy rights and the People's Republic of China's 2021 Personal Information Protection Law ("PIPL"), containing similar provisions. These  and similar laws include significant penalties for non-compliance. Our failure to adhere to or successfully implement processes in response to changing regulatory requirements in this area, insofar as they may apply to our business operations, could result in legal liability or impairment to our reputation, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

A government could requisition for title or seize our vessels. Requisition for title occurs when a government takes control of a vessel and becomes the owner. Also, a government could requisition our vessels for hire. Requisition for hire occurs when a government takes control of a vessel and effectively becomes the charterer at dictated charter rates. Generally, requisitions occur during a period of war or emergency. Government requisition of one or more of our vessels could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.

As of December 31, 2023 we had $268.0 million in liquidity available, with cash and cash equivalents of $46.8 million and amounts available and undrawn under our revolving credit facilities of $221.2 million. Our short-term liquidity requirements include the payment of operating expenses, drydocking expenditures, debt servicing costs, lease payments, dividends on our shares of preferred stock, dividends on our shares of common stock, scheduled repayments of long-term debt and finance lease obligations, as well as funding our other working capital requirements. Our short-term and spot charters contribute to the volatility of our net operating cash flow, and thus our ability to generate sufficient cash flows to meet our short-term liquidity needs. We expect to manage our near-term liquidity needs from our working capital, together with expected cash flows from operations and availability under credit facilities. Our existing long-term debt facilities and certain of our finance leases require, among other things, that we maintain minimum cash and cash equivalents based on the greater of a set amount per number of vessels owned and 5% of outstanding debt. The required minimum cash balance as of December 31, 2023, was $18.75 million. Should we not meet this financial covenant or other covenants in our debt facilities, whether due to market volatility that reduces our liquidity or other factors, the lenders may declare our obligations under the applicable agreements immediately due and payable, and terminate any further loan commitments, which would significantly affect our short-term liquidity requirements. A default under financing arrangements could also result in foreclosure on any of our vessels and other assets securing the related loans or a loss of our rights as a lessee under our finance leases.

As of March 14, 2024, one of our vessels was employed under a fixed-rate time-charter agreement. To the extent our vessels are subject to medium or long-term time charters at any time, the vessels committed to such time charters may not be available for spot charters during periods of increasing charter hire rates, when spot charters might be more profitable.

The tanker industry is both cyclical and volatile in terms of charter rates and profitability. A prolonged downturn in the tanker industry could adversely affect our ability to charter our vessels or to sell them on the expiration or termination of any charters we may enter into. In addition, the rates payable in respect of any of our vessels operating in a commercial pool, or any renewal or replacement charters that we enter into, may not be sufficient for us to operate our vessels profitably. Fluctuations in charter rates and tanker values result from changes in the supply and demand for tanker capacity and changes in the supply and demand for oil, oil products and chemicals. The factors affecting the supply and demand for tankers are outside of our control, and the nature, timing and degree of changes in industry conditions are unpredictable. Factors that influence demand for tanker capacity include: - supply of and demand for oil, oil products and chemicals;- regional availability of refining capacity;- global and regional economic and political conditions;- the distance oil, oil products and chemicals are to be moved by sea;- changes in seaborne and other transportation patterns;- environmental and other legal and regulatory developments;- weather and natural disasters;- competition from alternative sources of energy; and - international sanctions, embargoes, import and export restrictions, nationalizations and wars. Factors that influence the supply of tanker capacity include: - the number of newbuilding deliveries;- scrapping rates of older vessels;- conversion of tankers to other uses;- the price of steel and other raw materials;- the number of vessels that are out of service; and - environmental concerns and regulations. Historically, the tanker markets have been volatile as a result of a variety of conditions and factors that can affect the price, supply and demand for tanker capacity. Demand for transportation of oil products and chemicals over longer distances was significantly reduced during the last economic downturn. In addition, from 2015 to 2019 high refined product inventory levels, continued supply of new vessels, and oil price volatility and trading levels contributed to low charter rates in the tanker industry. As of March 14, 2024, one of our vessels was on time charter, and 25 of our vessels, including three chartered-in vessels, were operating in the spot market directly. If charter rates decline, we may be unable to achieve a level of charter hire sufficient for us to operate our vessels profitably or we may have to operate our vessels at a loss. The conflict in Ukraine has significantly increased tanker demand and rates by reordering global oil trading patterns, including the rerouting of Russian oil exports away from Europe and the subsequent backfilling of imports into Europe from other more distant sources. Changes in or resolution of the conflict in Ukraine may lead to a reversal of these trading patterns or other effects that could significantly decrease tanker demand and rates. Although the Hamas-Israel war so far has not had a direct material effect on the tanker industry, since mid-December 2023, Houthi rebels in Yemen have carried out numerous attacks on vessels in the Red Sea area. As a result of these attacks, many shipping companies have routed their vessels away from the Red Sea, which has affected trading patterns, rates and expenses. Further escalation, or expansion of hostilities of such crisis could continue to affect the price of crude oil and the oil industry, the tanker industry, demand for our services, and our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.