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Aptiv PLC (APTV)
NYSE:APTV

Aptiv (APTV) AI Stock Analysis

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APTV

Aptiv

(NYSE:APTV)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$74.00
▲(0.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/06/26
APTV’s score is held back primarily by sharply weaker TTM profitability (major margin/ROE compression) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Support comes from solid operating/free cash flow and manageable leverage, plus a generally constructive earnings-call outlook around the planned spin and bookings/capital deployment. Valuation is a notable risk given the very high P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent multi‑billion operating cash flow and positive free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capex, R&D, spin costs, debt paydown and buybacks. Strong cash conversion vs. net income supports financial flexibility through industry cycles and strategic execution.
Manageable leverage
Improved debt-to-equity and a sizable equity base leave room to fund the Versigent spin, retire maturities, and absorb temporary working capital swings. Moderated leverage supports credit flexibility and reduces refinancing risk over the medium term as operations stabilize post‑spin.
Robust bookings and technology pipeline
Large, durable backlog and expanding pipeline give multi‑period revenue visibility and reflect competitive wins across geographies and non‑auto markets. Combined with technology leadership (ADAS, radar, connectors), this supports sustained content per vehicle and recurring program revenues.
Negative Factors
Profitability compression
A sharp drop in net margin and ROE reflects structural pressure on operating efficiency and/or cost pass‑through. Lower profitability reduces retained earnings, hampers return generation on equity, and limits long‑term reinvestment capacity absent margin recovery.
FX and commodity headwinds
Sustained volatility in foreign exchange and commodity inputs (copper, semiconductors) can erode gross margins and lengthen payback on engineering investments. Even with pass‑through mechanisms, timing mismatches and competitive pricing pressure leave margins exposed for multiple quarters.
Separation/inventory cash drag
Spin‑related stranded and separation cash costs plus elevated semiconductor inventory tie up liquidity and depress near‑term free cash flow. These structural outflows reduce capital available for growth or deleveraging until post‑spin normalization occurs.

Aptiv (APTV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aptiv Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAptiv PLC designs, manufacturers, and sells vehicle components worldwide. The company provides electrical, electronic, and safety technology solutions to the automotive and commercial vehicle markets. It operates in two segment, Signal and Power Solutions, and Advanced Safety and User Experience. The Signal and Power Solutions segment designs, manufactures, and assembles vehicle's electrical architecture, including engineered component products, connectors, wiring assemblies and harnesses, cable management products, electrical centers, and hybrid high voltage and safety distribution systems. The Advanced Safety and User Experience segment provides critical components, systems integration, and software development for vehicle safety, security, comfort, and convenience, such as sensing and perception systems, electronic control units, multi-domain controllers, vehicle connectivity systems, application software, and autonomous driving technologies. The company was formerly known as Delphi Automotive PLC and changed its name to Aptiv PLC in December 2017. Aptiv PLC was founded in 2011 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAptiv generates revenue primarily through the sale of its automotive components and systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and Tier 1 suppliers. Key revenue streams include Signal and Power Solutions, which encompasses wiring harnesses, connectors, and electrical distribution systems, and Advanced Safety and User Experience, which includes software and hardware solutions for vehicle safety and connectivity. The company benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, enabling it to secure consistent orders. Additionally, Aptiv invests in research and development to innovate and provide cutting-edge solutions in autonomous driving and electric vehicles, further diversifying its revenue potential.

Aptiv Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted Operating Income by Segment
Adjusted Operating Income by Segment
Provides a refined view of segment profitability by excluding one-time items, offering clearer insight into core operational performance and trends.
Chart InsightsAptiv's Signal & Power Solutions segment shows a consistent recovery in operating income since 2020, but the recent drop to zero in 2025 raises concerns. Meanwhile, the Engineered Components Group and Electrical Distribution Systems segments are gaining momentum, reflecting strong demand for advanced technologies. Despite record earnings, the company faces challenges like declining ASUX revenues and macroeconomic uncertainties, including potential tariff impacts. The strategic focus on new business bookings, especially in advanced safety, highlights Aptiv's resilience and adaptability in a volatile market environment.
Data provided by:The Fly

Aptiv Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of strong execution and strategic progress alongside near-term headwinds. Highlights include record quarterly revenue, EPS growth, robust bookings ($27B) and a large pipeline, significant cash generation and disciplined capital deployment (debt paydown and $3.5B of buybacks since 2024), and improved supply-chain resilience and product/market expansion (robotics, non-auto growth, Wind River momentum). Offsetting these positives are meaningful margin pressures from foreign exchange and commodity costs (c.160 bps impact in Q4), segment-level profitability weakness (Intelligent Systems operating income down 17%, EDS margin contraction), China mix-related revenue decline, separation/stranded costs tied to the Versagen spin, and inventory-driven working capital use. Management communicated confidence in passing through semiconductor cost increases, executing the spin, and returning to margin expansion over the 2026–2028 horizon, but near-term results reflect the noted headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q4 Revenue
Reported record fourth-quarter revenue of $5.2 billion, up 5% on a reported basis and up 3% on an adjusted year-over-year basis.
Earnings and Profitability
Adjusted operating income of $607 million in Q4 and adjusted EPS of $1.86, up 6% year over year, supported by flow-through on volume, lower net interest expense, and reduced share count.
Strong Operating Cash Flow and Capital Deployment
Generated $818 million of operating cash flow in Q4 and well north of $2 billion for the full year; deployed capital to retire $1.0 billion of debt in 2025, repurchased ~$400 million of stock in Q3/Q4 (3.9M shares in Q4), and have returned ~$3.5 billion toward buybacks since 2024 (share count reduced ~20%).
Robust New Business Bookings and Pipeline
Full-year new business awards totaled $27 billion with a record second half; notable bookings included ~$5 billion in China (nearly $4B with leading local OEMs), just under $4B with non-China Asian OEMs (up ~20% YoY), >$800M in India, and >$4B in non-automotive bookings; pipeline expected to exceed $30 billion in 2026 (including Versagen).
Segment and Product Momentum
Product/program launches and partnerships across segments including Gen7 radar (4-month time-to-market), smart cameras, interior sensing, high-voltage connectors, modular connector series, high-power distribution systems, and robotics partnerships with Robust AI and Vecna Robotics; Engineered Components operating income increased 8% and margin expanded +60 bps in Q4.
Supply Chain Resiliency Improvements
Enhanced supply-chain visibility (95% to Tier-3, 99% of semiconductor chain to Tier-5) and semiconductor inventory strategy (~12 weeks of coverage) positioning the company to mitigate industry DRAM/semiconductor shortages.
Clear Capital and Spin Strategy
Versagen spin on track for April 1, 2026; pro forma 2026 guidance provided for NuAptiv (revenue $12.8–$13.2B, +4% midpoint; EBITDA margin 18.6%) and Versagen (revenue $9.1–$9.4B; EBITDA margin ~10.7%); plan to use ~ $1.6B Versagen spin dividend to pay down ~$1.9B debt in 2026.
Geographic Strength — North America Outperformance
North America revenue increased 8% in Q4 with double-digit growth in Intelligent Systems and EDS, and continued leadership expected in 2026 regional performance.
Negative Updates
Margin Headwinds from FX and Commodities
Unfavorable foreign exchange and commodity headwinds reduced Q4 margin by ~160 basis points; Varun noted a 120 bps FX/commodity headwind built into Q1 2026 and commodity/Fx pressure continues to be a near-term drag.
Segment Profitability Pressure — Intelligent Systems
Intelligent Systems operating income declined 17% year over year in Q4, driven by investments in non-auto markets, timing of engineering/commercial credits and adverse FX effects; incremental engineering/go-to-market investments expected to continue to weigh on near-term margins.
EDS Margin Contraction
Electrical Distribution Systems (EDS) operating income declined 2% in Q4 and margin contracted ~90 basis points due to significant FX/commodity headwinds and unfavorable labor economics despite manufacturing and material performance improvements.
China Revenue and Mix Headwind
China revenue declined 5% in Q4 due to unfavorable mix; full-year bookings were strong in China ($5B) but 2025 performance was negatively affected by mix and market dynamics.
Bookings Short of Target
Full-year new business awards were $27 billion versus a target of $31 billion — shortfall attributed to timing shifts with certain customer awards moving into 2026.
Operating Cash Flow Drag from Inventory and Separation Costs
Q4 operating cash flow decreased vs prior year due to higher net working capital from semiconductor inventory builds and ~$80 million in Q4 separation costs (YTD separation costs ~$180 million); NuAptiv free cash flow guidance for 2026 factors in ~$250 million of separation costs and ~$200 million semiconductor inventory build.
Higher Input Cost Pass-Through and Tax Rate Increase
Expect higher semiconductor input costs in 2026 (memory purchase value ~$175M; price increases low double-digits) that will be passed through to customers; Q1 2026 effective tax rate for total Aptiv increased to 20.5% (from 17.2%) due to Pillar Two global minimum tax considerations.
Stranded and One-Time Costs Related to Spin
NuAptiv guidance includes ~$50M of stranded costs and ~ $35M of incremental engineering/go-to-market investments in 2026; Versagen has standing standalone costs (Investor Day noted ~ $15M), and separation-related cash costs (~$250M in 2026) will pressure near-term free cash flow.
Company Guidance
Aptiv’s guidance frames the post‑spin NuAptiv outlook at $12.8–$13.2B revenue (≈+4% at midpoint), $2.42B EBITDA and an 18.6% margin (which includes ~ $50M of stranded costs and ~$35M of engineering/go‑to‑market spend; ex‑stranded costs margin +30 bps YoY), EPS $5.70–$6.10 (18.5% ETR) and free cash flow ~$750M midpoint (after ~$250M separation costs and ~$200M semiconductor inventory build); Versagen is guided to $9.1–$9.4B revenue (≈+2% midpoint), ~$990M EBITDA and a 10.7% margin, and ~$250M free cash flow; total‑Aptiv Q1 is guided to $5.05B revenue (~+1% adjusted), $740M EBITDA (14.7% margin) and $1.65 EPS (ETR 20.5%); management also targets 2026 bookings > $30B (2025 bookings $27B), disclosed Q4 revenue $5.2B and Q4 operating cash flow $818M (FY OCF > $2B), plans to use a ~ $1.6B Versagen spin dividend toward ~$1.9B 2026 debt paydown, holds ~12 weeks of semiconductor coverage, budgeted copper at $5.50/lb (vs $4.51 in 2025, ~+$200M top‑line impact for EDS), and noted ~$3.5B of buybacks since 2024 (share count down ~20%).

Aptiv Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement weakness is the main drag: TTM revenue grew ~2% YoY but net margin fell sharply to ~1.5% (from ~9.1% in 2024), compressing returns (ROE ~3% vs ~20% in 2024). Offsetting this, cash generation remains solid (TTM OCF ~$2.2B; FCF ~$1.5B) and leverage looks manageable with improving debt-to-equity (~0.88 vs ~1.01 in 2024).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue rose about 2% versus the prior year, indicating modest top-line momentum, but profitability weakened materially. Net margin fell to ~1.5% in TTM from ~9.1% in 2024 (and higher in earlier years), alongside lower EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting a meaningful compression in operating efficiency and/or higher costs. Gross margin improved versus 2024, but the sharp drop in bottom-line profitability is the key offset.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage is moderate for the group: total debt of ~$8.0B against equity of ~$9.2B in TTM (debt-to-equity ~0.88), an improvement versus 2024 (~1.01) but higher than 2023 (~0.59). Equity remains sizeable, yet returns have cooled sharply: return on equity is ~3% in TTM versus ~20% in 2024, reflecting the weaker earnings profile. Overall balance sheet risk looks manageable, but profitability-driven balance sheet strength has deteriorated.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation remains a relative bright spot: TTM operating cash flow was ~$2.2B and free cash flow ~$1.5B, both solid in absolute terms. However, free cash flow declined ~14% year over year in TTM, signaling softer conversion versus last year. Free cash flow is still larger than net income (free cash flow to net income ~0.73), which helps quality-of-earnings, but the downward free-cash-flow trend is a near-term watch item.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.40B19.71B20.05B17.49B15.62B
Gross Profit3.90B3.53B3.09B2.50B2.35B
EBITDA2.23B3.45B2.53B1.97B1.83B
Net Income165.00M1.79B2.94B594.00M590.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.41B23.46B24.43B21.88B18.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.85B1.57B1.64B1.53B3.14B
Total Debt8.09B8.89B6.79B6.96B4.46B
Total Liabilities13.91B14.37B12.58B12.79B9.45B
Stockholders Equity9.21B8.80B11.55B8.83B8.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.53B1.62B990.00M419.00M611.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.19B2.45B1.90B1.26B1.22B
Investing Cash Flow-498.00M-507.00M-1.00B-5.18B-729.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.44B-1.97B-807.00M2.36B-191.00M

Aptiv Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price73.39
Price Trends
50DMA
79.55
Negative
100DMA
79.81
Negative
200DMA
76.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.94
Positive
RSI
39.01
Neutral
STOCH
22.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APTV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 73.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.45, below the 50-day MA of 79.55, and below the 200-day MA of 76.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for APTV.

Aptiv Risk Analysis

Aptiv disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aptiv reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aptiv Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$6.23B14.069.21%2.63%-1.90%-13.86%
72
Outperform
$2.48B12.8714.37%0.57%-4.03%-39.51%
71
Outperform
$8.45B12.3730.32%2.60%0.84%26.17%
62
Neutral
$11.21B35.205.05%1.24%0.08%-83.69%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$6.97B-21.61-3.27%7.61%88.66%
54
Neutral
$15.61B101.801.83%2.16%-85.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APTV
Aptiv
72.21
7.07
10.85%
ALV
Autoliv
110.43
16.63
17.72%
BWA
BorgWarner
52.73
23.78
82.11%
LEA
Lear
122.76
29.97
32.30%
VC
Visteon
90.60
4.03
4.65%
MBLY
Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A
8.12
-6.70
-45.21%

Aptiv Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Aptiv Board Approves Spin-Off of Versigent Business
Positive
Mar 5, 2026

On March 5, 2026, Aptiv’s board approved the spin-off of its Electrical Distribution Systems business into a new publicly traded company, Versigent, formalizing the details of a separation first announced earlier. Aptiv shareholders of record as of March 17, 2026 will receive one Versigent share for every three Aptiv shares as a pro rata dividend, with cash in lieu of fractional shares, and will not be required to take any action or pay consideration to receive the distribution.

The distribution of Versigent shares is scheduled to occur before the U.S. market opens on April 1, 2026, with Versigent expected to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker VGNT, trading on a when-issued basis from around March 27, 2026 and regular-way from April 1. The move carves out Aptiv’s electrical distribution operations into a standalone entity, potentially sharpening Aptiv’s strategic focus while giving investors direct exposure to a specialized global vehicle electrical architecture supplier, though completion remains subject to customary conditions tied to the spin-off.

The most recent analyst rating on (APTV) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aptiv stock, see the APTV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Aptiv’s Versigent Prices Upsized $1.6 Billion Senior Notes
Positive
Mar 5, 2026

On March 4, 2026, Aptiv announced that Versigent subsidiaries Cyprium Corporation and Cyprium Holdings Luxembourg priced an upsized $1.6 billion private offering of senior notes, split into $800 million of 6.125% notes due 2031 and $800 million of 6.375% notes due 2034, increasing the deal size by $100 million from earlier plans. The notes, sold under Rule 144A and Regulation S and expected to close on March 18, 2026, are part of broader financing that also includes an $850 million revolving credit facility and a $500 million term loan, with proceeds and borrowings to fund a dividend to Aptiv and leave Versigent with $400 million in cash post spin-off-related fees, bolstering the capital structure of the planned Electrical Distribution Systems separation and providing liquidity for Versigent’s general corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (APTV) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aptiv stock, see the APTV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Aptiv’s Versigent Spin-Off Announces Major Financing Package
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

On March 4, 2026, Aptiv announced that its spin-off subsidiaries Cyprium Corporation and Cyprium Holdings Luxembourg S.à r.l., which sit under new holding company Versigent Limited, have launched a $1.5 billion private offering of senior notes due 2031 and 2034. In parallel, the co-issuers have secured an $850 million senior secured revolving credit facility and a $500 million senior secured term loan, together forming a substantial financing package for the soon-to-be standalone Electrical Distribution Systems business.

Upon completion of the planned spin-off of Versigent to Aptiv shareholders, the note and term loan proceeds are intended to fund a dividend back to Aptiv while leaving Versigent with $300 million of cash on its balance sheet for general corporate purposes. The note proceeds will be held in escrow until conditions tied to the spin-off are satisfied, underscoring that the overall financing structure is designed both to recapitalize Aptiv and to equip the separated Versigent unit with liquidity and scale as it enters the public markets as an independent provider of vehicle electrical distribution systems.

The most recent analyst rating on (APTV) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aptiv stock, see the APTV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Aptiv Plans Tax-Free Spin-Off of Versigent Limited
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

On February 24, 2026, Aptiv PLC disclosed that it had posted supplemental investor materials detailing the planned separation of its Electrical Distribution Systems business into Versigent Limited, a new independent publicly traded company. The transaction, structured as a tax-free spin-off to Aptiv shareholders and targeted for completion by April 1, 2026, is set to carve out a core legacy unit, potentially reshaping Aptiv’s portfolio focus while giving investors direct exposure to the standalone electrical distribution business.

The separation of this significant business line into Versigent Limited positions Aptiv to streamline its operations and potentially concentrate more on higher-growth or software-oriented automotive technologies. For stakeholders, the move introduces both the prospect of value creation through a pure-play electrical distribution entity and operational realignment within Aptiv’s remaining segments as the company adjusts its strategic focus after the spin-off.

The most recent analyst rating on (APTV) stock is a Buy with a $102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aptiv stock, see the APTV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aptiv Advances Tax-Free Spin-Off of Versigent Unit
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

On February 17, 2026, Aptiv subsidiary Versigent Limited filed an amended preliminary registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as part of Aptiv’s plan to separate its Electrical Distribution Systems business into a new, independent public company via a tax-free spin-off to shareholders. The company aims to complete the separation by April 1, 2026, a move that will carve out its electrical distribution operations into a standalone entity, potentially sharpening Aptiv’s strategic focus while giving investors distinct exposure to the electrical architecture segment of the automotive supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (APTV) stock is a Buy with a $92.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aptiv stock, see the APTV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aptiv Plans Early Redemption of 2029 Senior Notes
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

On February 11, 2026, Aptiv PLC said that its subsidiary Aptiv Swiss Holdings Limited plans to redeem in cash the entire $266 million principal amount of its 4.350% Senior Notes due 2029. The notes will be redeemed at a price that includes a make-whole premium plus accrued and unpaid interest, with the redemption expected to be completed on February 25, 2026.

The move will retire this tranche of debt ahead of its 2029 maturity, signaling an active approach to managing the company’s capital structure and interest expense. This early redemption may improve Aptiv’s financial flexibility and could be viewed positively by creditors and investors monitoring its leverage and balance sheet discipline.

The most recent analyst rating on (APTV) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aptiv stock, see the APTV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026