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Akoya Biosciences (AKYA)
NASDAQ:AKYA
US Market

Akoya Biosciences (AKYA) AI Stock Analysis

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Akoya Biosciences

(NASDAQ:AKYA)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(12.78%Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's financial instability and valuation concerns. While the technical analysis provides a slightly more positive outlook, the amended merger agreement with Quanterix offers a notable opportunity for strategic value creation.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Akoya Biosciences is an established leader in the rapidly advancing spatial biology market.
Merger Synergies
The merger is expected to yield approximately $40 million in annual cost synergies by the end of 2026.
Negative Factors
Funding Uncertainty
NIH funding uncertainty will likely negatively impact Akoya's U.S. academic research business.
Market Skepticism
The deal is facing shareholder opposition, valuation concerns, and general market skepticism.
Revenue Performance
Revenue decreased about 10% y/y to $16.6 million in 1Q25, missing both estimates and consensus.

Akoya Biosciences (AKYA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Akoya Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAkoya Biosciences, Inc., a life sciences technology company, provides spatial biology solutions focused on transforming discovery and clinical research in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers PhenoCycler instrument, a compact bench-top fluidics system that integrates with a companion microscope to automate image acquisition; and PhenoImager platform that enables researchers to visualize, analyze, quantify, and phenotype cells in situ, in fresh frozen or FFPE tissue sections, and tissue microarrays utilizing an automated and high-throughput workflow. It also provides PhenoCycler and PhenoImager reagents; and biopharma services. In addition, the company offers Proxima, a cloud-based platform to store, analyze, and share spatial data; inForm Tissue, an automated image analysis software package for accurately visualizing and quantifying biomarkers in tissue sections; Phenoptr, which provides functions that consolidate and analyze output tables created by inForm software; and phenoptrReports, a software that generates shareable reports and visualizations based on the phenoptr output in an intuitive front-end GUI. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyAkoya Biosciences generates revenue primarily through the sale of its imaging platforms, reagents, and related services. The company's revenue streams include the direct sale of its Phenoptics and CODEX platforms to research institutions, pharmaceutical companies, and academic entities. In addition, Akoya earns money from the sale of consumables and reagents required for the operation of its platforms, as well as from service contracts and support agreements. Key partnerships with leading research organizations and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies also contribute to its revenue by expanding its market reach and facilitating the adoption of its technologies in drug development and precision medicine research.

Akoya Biosciences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 14.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging quarter for Akoya Biosciences, with significant revenue declines and underperformance in instrument sales due to market constraints. However, improvements in operational efficiencies and strategic advancements in the clinical pipeline provide a positive outlook for long-term growth.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 62.3% from 60.6% in the prior year period, driven by operational efficiencies and the manufacturing center of excellence.
Operational Restructuring Success
Operating expenses decreased by 25% year-over-year to $20.1 million, improving the loss from operations by 28%.
Reagent Revenue Growth
Reagent revenue increased by 11% year-over-year, totaling $6.3 million, indicating strong demand and utilization.
Expansion in Clinical Pipeline
Significant progress in clinical business with promising partnerships, including Acrivon Therapeutics and NeraCare, positioning for future growth.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the third quarter was $18.8 million, a 25% year-over-year decrease due to capital equipment purchase constraints.
Instrument Sales Underperformance
Instrument revenue fell by 53% year-over-year to $5.7 million, with only 35 instruments placed in the quarter, impacted by extended sales cycles and funding issues.
Reduced Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Full-year revenue guidance was revised down to $80 million to $85 million from a previous range of $96 million to $104 million.
Challenges in Market Dynamics
Extended sales cycles and conversion rate volatility, particularly in North America and academic markets, affecting predictability and performance.
Company Guidance
During the AKYA Q3 2024 earnings call, executives provided guidance indicating a challenging year, with full-year revenue now expected to range between $80 million and $85 million, a revision from the previous estimate of $96 million to $104 million. The company reported a Q3 revenue of $18.8 million, a 25% decrease year-over-year, with instrument sales particularly impacted, totaling $5.7 million, a 53% decline from the previous year. Despite these challenges, Akoya highlighted operational efficiencies, achieving a gross margin of 62.3%, up from 60.6% last year, and a notable reduction in operating expenses by 25%, lowering the loss from operations by 28% to $8.3 million. The company remains optimistic about the long-term growth prospects, driven by advancements in their reagent and companion diagnostic pipeline, and emphasized a commitment to strategic alternatives to sustain growth and profitability.

Akoya Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Akoya Biosciences is facing significant financial challenges with decreasing revenue and persistent losses. High debt levels and negative equity reflect financial instability. Effective cost management is crucial to improve profitability and ensure sustainable cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Gross profit margin remains positive, indicating some efficiency in cost management despite decreasing total revenue. However, net profit margin is negative due to substantial net losses, and revenue growth is declining. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, highlighting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The debt-to-equity ratio is very high due to negative equity, which suggests financial instability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Equity ratio also indicates a heavily leveraged position with negative equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The company shows negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating cash outflows from operations. Free cash flow growth rate is negative, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, suggesting some consistency in cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
79.96M81.67M96.63M74.86M54.92M42.44M
Gross Profit
49.37M47.88M56.30M43.39M34.22M25.91M
EBIT
-38.56M-46.73M-57.67M-66.21M-37.23M-11.49M
EBITDA
-31.79M-37.14M-45.63M-58.81M-35.17M-10.13M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-47.53M-55.37M-63.32M-70.64M-42.94M-16.71M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
27.54M35.04M83.13M81.22M113.08M17.01M
Total Assets
112.65M125.00M180.37M176.03M190.91M77.66M
Total Debt
83.72M84.15M85.71M75.78M32.47M34.99M
Net Debt
63.37M72.37M2.58M1.55M-80.61M17.99M
Total Liabilities
118.54M117.41M126.60M117.45M69.56M59.09M
Stockholders Equity
-5.89M7.59M53.77M58.58M121.35M18.57M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-32.34M-46.56M-54.55M-60.86M-41.16M-10.14M
Operating Cash Flow
-30.49M-44.10M-50.90M-53.50M-36.07M-6.84M
Investing Cash Flow
40.81M-24.05M3.35M-14.08M-5.09M6.73M
Financing Cash Flow
-3.01M-3.21M56.84M28.73M137.03M5.49M

Akoya Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.33
Price Trends
50DMA
1.19
Positive
100DMA
1.64
Negative
200DMA
2.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
58.40
Neutral
STOCH
66.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AKYA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, above the 50-day MA of 1.19, and below the 200-day MA of 2.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AKYA.

Akoya Biosciences Risk Analysis

Akoya Biosciences disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Akoya Biosciences reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Akoya Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.40-45.06%3.28%16.75%-0.02%
53
Neutral
$95.64M-78.93%-70.15%
47
Neutral
$66.33M-354.27%-14.55%34.87%
44
Neutral
$108.63M-122.69%20.91%
36
Underperform
$71.48M-55.68%-57.45%
36
Underperform
$40.13M-62.41%10.84%
ANANL
$57.93M
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AKYA
Akoya Biosciences
1.32
-0.88
-40.00%
ABOS
Acumen Pharmaceuticals
1.14
-1.50
-56.82%
TCRX
TScan Therapeutics
1.60
-7.40
-82.22%
IVVD
Invivyd
0.87
-0.83
-48.82%
ACRV
Acrivon Therapeutics, Inc.
1.27
-6.45
-83.55%
ANL
Adlai Nortye Ltd. Sponsored ADR
1.67
-1.71
-50.59%

Akoya Biosciences Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Akoya Biosciences and Quanterix Amend Merger Agreement
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Akoya Biosciences and Quanterix Corporation amended their merger agreement, initially announced on January 9, 2025. Under the revised terms, Quanterix will issue approximately 7.76 million shares and pay $20 million in cash to Akoya shareholders, with each Akoya share receiving $0.38 in cash and 0.1461 shares of Quanterix stock. This adjustment reduces the number of shares issued by Quanterix compared to the original agreement. The merger, expected to close in the second quarter of 2025, aims to create significant value for shareholders and leverage synergies across both organizations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.