Axe Compute Inc (AGPU)
NASDAQ:AGPU
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Axe Compute Inc
(NASDAQ:AGPU)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-2.78% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/27/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (shrinking revenue, large losses, and ongoing cash burn). Partially offsetting this are improving technical momentum and an earnings-call outlook that highlights a large signed contract and pipeline that could materially lift future revenue, though execution and funding risk remain high.
Positive Factors
Large $260M multi-year contract
A contracted 36-month build that will recognize roughly $21M per quarter when live converts future backlog into multi-year, predictable revenue and cash flow. This deal materially reshapes the revenue base and creates amortizable assets that support longer-term scale if deployment executes on schedule.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue contraction
Revenue has collapsed to a negligible base, undermining the company's ability to absorb fixed costs and prove recurring unit economics. Sustained recovery depends entirely on timely deployment and ramp of large contracts; until then, operating leverage and scalable margins remain unproven.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Large $260M multi-year contract
A contracted 36-month build that will recognize roughly $21M per quarter when live converts future backlog into multi-year, predictable revenue and cash flow. This deal materially reshapes the revenue base and creates amortizable assets that support longer-term scale if deployment executes on schedule.
Read all positive factors
Axe Compute Inc (AGPU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$67.94M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)173.82K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.35
Revenue Growth-96.26%
EPS Growth-431.31%
CountryUS
Employees23
SectorHealthcare
Sector Strength45
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-144.81
Shares Outstanding10,404,641
10 Day Avg. Volume72,596
30 Day Avg. Volume173,821
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)2.61
Price to Sales (P/S)994.73
P/FCF Ratio-2.93
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.25
Enterprise Value/Revenue338.87
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit-104.21
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-0.17
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.2
Revenue Forecast (FY)$15.45M
Axe Compute Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Axe Compute Inc., a knowledge and science-driven company, applies artificial intelligence (AI) to support the discovery and development of cancer therapies. It operates through two segments, Pittsburgh and Eagan. The Pittsburgh segment provides se...
Axe Compute Inc Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 18, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a contrast between a weak, transitional Q1 driven by legacy revenue decline, token mark-to-market losses, and higher operating cash use, versus significant forward-looking commercial momentum: a $260 million signed build that will generate roughly $21 million in quarterly revenue when live, a large (>36,000 GPU, $4.3B) advanced pipeline, and a business model that converts deals into owned, amortizable GPU assets. Given management’s emphasis on recent large contract wins, an expanding pipeline and the expectated revenue ramp in subsequent quarters, the positives around future revenue visibility and asset-building appear to materially outweigh the near-term accounting losses and cash burn outlined for Q1.Positive Updates
Landmark $260 million Axe Build Contract
Signed a 36-month agreement in April for 2,304 NVIDIA B300s with 4.8 MW of dedicated N+1 power in a U.S. Tier-3 data center; targeted deployment Q3 2026. When live, revenue recognition from this cluster is ~ $21 million per quarter for the 36-month term and the first financial installment is expected imminently.
Negative Updates
Q1 2026 Revenue Collapse Year-over-Year
Total revenue for Q1 2026 was $35,000 versus $110,000 in Q1 2025, a decline of approximately 68.2% year-over-year, driven by reduced sales in the legacy Drug Discovery Services business and only minimal Compute Services revenue in the quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Landmark $260 million Axe Build Contract
Signed a 36-month agreement in April for 2,304 NVIDIA B300s with 4.8 MW of dedicated N+1 power in a U.S. Tier-3 data center; targeted deployment Q3 2026. When live, revenue recognition from this cluster is ~ $21 million per quarter for the 36-month term and the first financial installment is expected imminently.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that the centerpiece April $260M, 36‑month Axe build (2,304 NVIDIA B300s, 4.8 MW, U.S. Tier 3, targeted deployment Q3 2026) should translate into roughly $21M of revenue per quarter for the 36‑month term once live (first installment expected this month; if the cluster launches in month 2 of the next quarter ~2/3 of that quarter’s $21M would be recognized); leadership reiterated a goal of closing roughly $1B of transactions this year and pointed to a pipeline of ~45 advanced prospects representing >36,000 GPUs (≈72% or ~26,000 Blackwell/Grace Blackwell requests) with total contract value >$4.3B and a majority of commitments at 36‑ and 60‑month terms. Other metrics disclosed: $12M of compute transactions closed in February, Q1 revenue of $35k, Q1 net loss of $7.7M (including a $4.3M noncash Aethir mark‑to‑market; underlying operating loss ≈$3.4M), cash down from $10.8M to $6.9M (operating cash use $3.7M), digital asset holdings fair value $20.2M and digital asset receivable $15.4M (vests through Dec 2028: $9.4M current, $5.9M noncurrent), and contract liabilities up to $786k (≈$650k related to Compute Services).Axe Compute Inc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 125.28K | 1.62M | 1.63M | 1.51M | 1.42M |
| Gross Profit | 52.66K | 797.68K | 1.02M | 1.00M | 933.66K |
| EBITDA | -27.74M | -10.24M | -11.87M | -13.95M | -12.13M |
| Net Income | -233.10M | -12.20M | -13.98M | -25.74M | -19.66M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 52.89M | 4.97M | 14.42M | 25.73M | 43.77M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 10.79M | 734.67K | 8.73M | 22.07M | 28.20M |
| Total Debt | 1.67M | 2.13M | 2.73M | 180.32K | 879.33K |
| Total Liabilities | 5.17M | 5.18M | 6.15M | 3.97M | 3.51M |
| Stockholders Equity | 47.72M | -202.61K | 8.27M | 21.77M | 40.27M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -42.49M | -11.97M | -13.21M | -12.85M | -13.17M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -9.96M | -11.96M | -13.19M | -12.37M | -12.21M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -31.99M | 22.49K | -302.37K | -475.70K | -10.61M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 52.01M | 3.94M | 148.90K | 6.72M | 50.34M |
Axe Compute Inc Technical Analysis
Positive
7.20
Price Trends
4.60
Positive
4.06
Positive
7.13
Negative
Market Momentum
0.37
Negative
58.04
Neutral
83.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AGPU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.83, above the 50-day MA of 4.60, and above the 200-day MA of 7.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AGPU.
Axe Compute Inc Risk Analysis
Axe Compute Inc disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axe Compute Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Axe Compute Inc Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
54 Neutral | $67.94M | -0.59 | -9999.00% | ― | -96.26% | -431.31% | |
51 Neutral | $7.86B | -0.30 | -43.30% | 2.27% | 22.53% | -2.21% | |
47 Neutral | $128.10K | ― | ― | ― | ― | ― | |
46 Neutral | $22.83M | -2.04 | -258.08% | ― | 39.88% | 64.70% | |
42 Neutral | $3.99M | -0.06 | ― | ― | ― | 99.39% |
* Healthcare Sector Average
AGPU
Axe Compute Inc
6.64
-6.56
-49.70%
GCTK
GlucoTrack
0.65
-7.13
-91.65%
FEMY
Femasys
0.38
-0.50
-56.93%
WOK
WORK Medical Technology Group LTD
0.10
-8,969.90
-100.00%
Axe Compute Inc Corporate Events
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Axe Compute Expands At-The-Market Equity Offering Capacity
Positive
May 15, 2026
On May 15, 2026, Axe Compute Inc. filed a new prospectus supplement tied to its existing Form S-3 shelf registration to amend its at-the-market equity offering program with H.C. Wainwright Co. as sales agent. The filing reflects that Axe Compute ...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Axe Compute Schedules First-Quarter 2026 Earnings Webcast
Neutral
May 12, 2026
Axe Compute Inc., a virtual neocloud AI infrastructure provider listed on Nasdaq, delivers dedicated enterprise GPU compute capacity worldwide and offers customers flexibility in hardware selection, deployment geography, and speed. The company als...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Axe Compute Secures Record $260 Million AI Infrastructure Deal
Positive
Apr 22, 2026
On April 22, 2026, Axe Compute Inc. announced it has signed a 36‑month enterprise infrastructure contract worth approximately $260 million with an unnamed customer, marking the largest enterprise engagement in its history. Under the agreemen...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Axe Compute Promotes Jeremy Yaukey-Witter to CFO Role
Positive
Apr 16, 2026
On April 10, 2026, Axe Compute Inc. disclosed that Chief Financial Officer Josh Blacher intends to resign effective May 18, 2026, with the company stating his departure is not tied to any disagreement over operations, policies, or practices. On Ap...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Axe Compute Appoints New President Amid Strong Contract Wins
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Axe Compute Inc. appointed former Aethir Chief Technology Officer Kyle Okamoto as president, formalizing his role through an employment agreement that includes a $360,000 base salary, performance-linked bonus eligibility and a lo...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Axe Compute Adds Industry Veterans to Board of Directors
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
On March 3, 2026, Axe Compute Inc. announced the appointment of Dr. Theodore Zhu and Thorston Dirks to its board of directors, adding extensive semiconductor, IoT, and telecom expertise to its governance. Dr. Zhu brings a track record of building ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.