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AGNC Investment (AGNC)
NASDAQ:AGNC
US Market

AGNC Investment (AGNC) Earnings Dates, Call Summary & Reports

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Earnings Data

Report Date
Apr 27, 2026
After Close (Confirmed)
Period Ending
2026 (Q1)
Consensus EPS Forecast
0.37
Last Year’s EPS
0.44
Same Quarter Last Year
Moderate Buy
Based on 9 Analysts Ratings

Earnings Call Summary

Q4 2025
Earnings Call Date:Jan 26, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call emphasized strong recent performance, robust liquidity, accretive capital issuance in 2025, and favorable technical and macro drivers (Fed accommodation, GSE purchases, lower volatility) that supported exceptional returns. Management is constructive but prudent: spreads have tightened, prepayment risk has risen, and incremental deployment returns are closer to the firm’s cost of capital, prompting measured leverage and opportunistic capital activity. Key upside drivers remain GSE/Treasury actions, improved funding markets and swap-hedge positioning, while downside risks include potential adverse policy reforms and faster-than-expected prepayments.
Company Guidance
AGNC’s guidance painted a constructive 2026 outlook with many quantifiable drivers: current‑coupon spreads are viewed in a new range of ~120–160 bps to swaps (around ~135 today) and ~90–130 bps to Treasuries (around ~110), implying portfolio ROEs in the low‑to‑mid teens (~13–15%); normalized net spread and dollar‑roll income was $0.35–$0.36 per share (incl. $0.01 nonrecurring), which on a tangible book value of $8.88 equates to roughly 16% ROE versus a total cost of capital of ~15.8%. They expect to favor swap‑based hedges (hedge ratio 77%; duration‑dollar allocation to swaps up to 70% from 59%), modestly positive duration gap (~0.25–0.75 years, roughly 0.4–0.5 today), and mid‑7x leverage (Q4 close 7.2x, Q4 average 7.4x) while keeping strong liquidity ($7.6bn cash/unencumbered MBS, 64% of tangible equity). Supply/demand metrics: net new Agency MBS supply ~ $200bn in 2026 (private sector to absorb ~ $400bn when combined with Fed runoff), with GSE purchases potentially consuming about half; firm balance‑sheet stats: assets ~$95bn (up ~$4bn Q/Q), hedge notional ~$59bn, 76% of assets with favorable prepayment attributes, weighted average coupon 5.12%, projected‑life CPR 9.6% (up 100 bps from 8.6%; actual CPR 9.7% vs 8.3% prior quarter). Capital actions: issued $356m of common equity in Q4 (≈$2bn for 2025); ATM issuance will remain opportunistic (no ATM issued quarter‑to‑date).
Strong Quarterly and Annual Returns
Q4 2025 economic return of 11.6% and full-year 2025 economic return of 22.7%; Q4 comprehensive income of $0.89 per common share. Total stock return in 2025 was 34.8% with dividends reinvested, nearly double the S&P 500.
Multi-Quarter and Long‑Term Outperformance
Over the past 9 quarters AGNC generated a 50% economic return comprised of a 10% increase in book value and $3.24 per share of monthly dividends; since inception AGNC has delivered over 11% annualized total stock return with dividends reinvested.
Favorable Market Backdrop and Index Outperformance
Bloomberg Aggregate Agency Index returned 8.6% in 2025 and outperformed the Treasury Index by 2.3 percentage points (36% relative outperformance), driven by lower short-term rates, reduced interest-rate volatility, and large GSE MBS purchases.
Improved Capital Position and Liquidity
Ended Q4 with $7.6 billion of cash and unencumbered Agency MBS, representing 64% of tangible equity; issued $356 million of common equity in Q4 (ATM) and roughly $2 billion of accretive common equity issuances in 2025, delivering book value accretion.
Portfolio Growth and Deployment
Asset portfolio totaled $95 billion at quarter end, up about $4 billion from prior quarter; notional hedge balance increased to $59 billion as capital raised was fully deployed.
Hedge Positioning and Favorable Hedge Mix
Hedge ratio remained at 77% and AGNC opportunistically shifted hedge composition towards swap-based hedges: allocation to swap-based hedges rose from 59% to 70% (an 11 percentage-point increase), positioning the firm to benefit from swap spread moves.
Net Spread and Dollar Roll Income and Dividend Coverage
Net spread and dollar roll income was $0.35 per share in Q4 (unchanged), effectively $0.36 normalized (adjusting for one-time compensation accrual). Management indicates normalized net spread contribution on the existing portfolio implies ROE in the mid-teens (~16% on book value cited) which aligns with the firm’s cost of capital and dividend policy.

AGNC Investment (AGNC) Earnings, Revenues Date & History

The upcoming earnings date is based on a company’s previous reporting, and may be updated when the actual date is announced

AGNC Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Slides
Play Transcript
Apr 27, 2026
2026 (Q1)
0.37 / -
0.44
Jan 26, 2026
2025 (Q4)
0.37 / 0.35
0.37-5.41% (-0.02)
Oct 20, 2025
2025 (Q3)
0.39 / 0.35
0.43-18.60% (-0.08)
Jul 21, 2025
2025 (Q2)
0.41 / 0.38
0.53-28.30% (-0.15)
Apr 21, 2025
2025 (Q1)
0.41 / 0.44
0.58-24.14% (-0.14)
Jan 27, 2025
2024 (Q4)
0.42 / 0.37
0.6-38.33% (-0.23)
Oct 21, 2024
2024 (Q3)
0.50 / 0.43
0.65-33.85% (-0.22)
Jul 22, 2024
2024 (Q2)
0.54 / 0.53
0.67-20.90% (-0.14)
Apr 22, 2024
2024 (Q1)
0.57 / 0.58
0.7-17.14% (-0.12)
Jan 22, 2024
2023 (Q4)
0.59 / 0.60
0.74-18.92% (-0.14)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed

AGNC Earnings-Related Price Changes

Report Date
Price 1 Day Before
Price 1 Day After
Percentage Change
Jan 26, 2026
$11.80$12.17+3.14%
Oct 20, 2025
$9.87$9.82-0.50%
Jul 21, 2025
$8.69$8.82+1.52%
Apr 21, 2025
$7.38$7.64+3.55%
Earnings announcements can affect a stock’s price. This table shows the stock's price the day before and the day after recent earnings reports, including the percentage change.

FAQ

When does AGNC Investment (AGNC) report earnings?
AGNC Investment (AGNC) is schdueled to report earning on Apr 27, 2026, After Close (Confirmed).
    What is AGNC Investment (AGNC) earnings time?
    AGNC Investment (AGNC) earnings time is at Apr 27, 2026, After Close (Confirmed).
      Where can I see when companies are reporting earnings?
      You can see which companies are reporting today on our designated earnings calendar.
        What companies are reporting earnings today?
        You can see a list of the companies which are reporting today on TipRanks earnings calendar.
          What is AGNC EPS forecast?
          AGNC EPS forecast for the fiscal quarter 2026 (Q1) is 0.37.

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