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Aethlon Medical Inc (AEMD)
NASDAQ:AEMD

Aethlon Medical (AEMD) AI Stock Analysis

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AEMD

Aethlon Medical

(NASDAQ:AEMD)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-10.71% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is primarily constrained by very weak financial performance (persistent losses and cash burn) and a still-negative longer-term technical trend (below key moving averages, negative MACD). Earnings-call updates provide some offset via encouraging early clinical safety signals and cost discipline year-to-date, but limited cash runway and dilution-related corporate actions keep overall risk elevated.
Positive Factors
Clinical safety progress
Clear safety signals in the Australian oncology trial reduce clinical and regulatory execution risk, supporting continued enrollment and DSMB progression. Durable safety data increase the probability of later-stage trials, partnership interest, and broader clinical adoption if efficacy signals follow.
Platform multi‑indication potential
A platform capable of removing disease-associated EVs/particles across indications increases long-term addressable market and strategic optionality. Multiple preclinical publications and planned disease‑plasma studies create durable R&D assets that can drive partnerships, licensing, and diversified commercial pathways.
Potential simplified delivery (SLAMB)
If Hemopurifier compatibility with a simplified catheter/pump is achieved, it materially reduces operational complexity and broadens deployment beyond dialysis units. This structural change could lower treatment costs, expand sites of care, and improve commercial viability in oncology and infusion centers over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Persistently negative operating and free cash flows indicate the company relies on external financing to sustain development. Limited internal cash generation constrains strategic flexibility, increases dilution risk, and may force funding-driven timeline shifts that affect R&D cadence and partner negotiations over the next several quarters.
No meaningful commercial revenue
The lack of recurring product revenue and ongoing operating losses mean the business is pre‑commercial and dependent on clinical progress and financings. This structural revenue gap prolongs the path to self-sustaining operations and makes sustained investment and commercialization contingent on successful trials and regulatory outcomes.
Expanded share authorization (dilution risk)
A major rise in authorized shares and recent warrant amendments materially increase the company's capacity to issue equity. This structural change improves fundraising flexibility but raises persistent dilution risk for existing holders and can affect incentives, making future financing less costly to execute but more dilutive over time.

Aethlon Medical (AEMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aethlon Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAethlon Medical, Inc., a medical technology company, focuses on developing products to diagnose and treat life and organ threatening diseases in the United States. The company develops Aethlon Hemopurifier, a clinical-stage immunotherapeutic device that removes tumor-derived exosomes and life-threatening viruses from the human circulatory system, including removal of COVID-19 virus, associated variants, and related exosomes. Aethlon Medical, Inc. has a collaboration with the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Hillman Cancer Center for studies related to head and neck cancer. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAethlon Medical has historically generated limited recurring commercial revenue because its core product candidates (including the Hemopurifier) are generally in development and clinical evaluation rather than broadly marketed for routine clinical use. As a result, the company’s ability to generate revenue has primarily depended on (1) financing activities such as issuing equity and other capital-raising transactions to fund operations, and (2) where applicable, payments tied to collaborations, grants, or contracted research arrangements related to development and clinical studies. Specific, current breakdowns of product sales, service revenue, licensing/royalty income, or material partnership-driven revenues are null.

Aethlon Medical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q3-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed meaningful operational and scientific progress—most notably favorable safety signals in the Australian oncology trial, expansion of EV research with multiple preclinical publications, a potential pathway to simplify delivery (SLAMB), and a sizable 27% reduction in nine-month operating expenses. Offsetting these positives are near-term financial constraints and mixed quarterly financials: a $7.0 million cash balance that may limit runway, a quarterly operating expense increase of 13.6% and higher operating loss, reduced interest income, and program/timing uncertainties (DSMB decisions and SLAMB regulatory/technical work still preliminary). Overall, the update reflects constructive clinical and R&D momentum but with clear near-term financial and operational risks that leave the outlook balanced.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Australian oncology trial advancing with favorable safety signals
Cohort 1 completed (3 participants received a single Hemopurifier treatment) with no device-related serious adverse events or dose-limiting toxicities; directional improvements observed in extracellular vesicle (EV) counts and immune cell numbers. Cohort 2: two participants have completed 2 HP treatments and a third patient is enrolled and expected to be treated by end of February; independent DSMB review targeted for late March to recommend advancement to Cohort 3 or additional patients.
Expanded EV research and potential multi-indication pipeline
Ongoing expansion of extracellular vesicle (EV) research supporting Hemopurifier as a potential multi-indication therapeutic. Published trial design in BMJ Open; Long COVID preclinical data show GNA affinity resin binds EVs and decreases microRNAs linked to immune dysregulation (preprint on bioRxiv); prior data show platelet-derived EV removal (bioRxiv). Company exploring additional EV cargo (e.g., viral particles) and plans disease-plasma studies to broaden indications.
Workstream toward simplified delivery (SLAMB) could expand clinical settings
Under a Material Transfer Agreement with Stavro to study compatibility with SLAMB system (single small-lumen catheter and simplified pump). If compatible, could shift Hemopurifier treatments from dialysis units with large double-lumen catheters and dialysis machines to oncology units or infusion centers using PICC-like catheters, reducing invasiveness and operational complexity.
Meaningful year-to-date operating expense reduction
Consolidated operating expenses for the nine months ended December 31, 2025 decreased to $5.36 million from $7.34 million year-ago, a reduction of $1.98 million or 27%, driven by lower payroll, general & administrative costs and professional fees—reflecting disciplined cost management.
Enrollment momentum via Trialfacts and Dedicated
Contracting marketing and prescreening partners (Trialfacts for online advertising; Dedicated for phone prescreening) has produced an uptick in interested potential participants and a referral pool for investigative sites, providing a queue of candidates that could accelerate enrollment into Cohort 3 once approved by the DSMB.
Negative Updates
Quarterly operating expense increase and higher operating loss
For the three months ended December 31, 2025, consolidated operating expenses were approximately $2.06 million, up $250,000 or 13.6% versus the same period last year. Operating loss for the quarter increased to $2.06 million from $1.81 million in the prior-year period.
Decline in other income (interest)
Other income (primarily interest on cash balances) was $44,000 for the quarter, down from $60,000 in the same quarter last year, reflecting lower interest income.
Modest cash balance could constrain near-term runway
Cash balance of approximately $7.0 million as of December 31, 2025. While not tied to a stated runway in the call, the relatively limited cash position may constrain near-term operational flexibility or require future financing depending on clinical progress and spending.
SLAMB compatibility is preliminary and regulatory path unclear
SLAMB system is not yet FDA approved; compatibility testing is at an early stage (lab/ex vivo). Additional experiments (flow dynamics and EV-capture equivalence) and regulatory submissions would likely be required, meaning SLAMB is not expected to materially impact the current trial or near-term commercialization timelines.
Trial timeline and outcomes remain uncertain pending DSMB
Advancement to Cohort 3 depends on DSMB recommendation after Cohort 2 completes; DSMB could require three additional patients in Cohort 2 before moving forward. Efficacy and optimal dosing (1 vs 2 vs 3 treatments per week) remain unproven and the trial is still a small (9–18 patient) safety/feasibility study.
Decision to suspend India site expansion
Company opted not to pursue re-engagement in India for additional safety trials to avoid distraction and added expense, limiting parallel geographic acceleration options.
Company Guidance
Management reiterated disciplined capital management and program timelines: as of Dec. 31, 2025 the company had approximately $7.0M in cash, Q3 consolidated operating expenses were ~$2.06M (up $250K or 13.6% YoY) with an operating loss of $2.06M versus $1.81M a year ago, other income of $44K (vs. $60K), and 9‑month operating expenses of $5.36M (down $1.98M or 27% from $7.34M). On the clinical side they are advancing a 9–18 patient Australian safety/feasibility dose‑finding trial: Cohort 1 (3 patients, single Hemopurifier treatment) completed with no device‑related SAEs/DLTs; Cohort 2 now has 2 patients treated, a third enrolled and slated for treatment by end of February, and an independent DSMB review targeted for late March (decision expected same or next business day) to either move to Cohort 3 (3 treatments/week) or require 3 additional patients in Cohort 2; Cohort 2 dosing is being given Monday and Friday (Cohort 3 would be M/W/F, informed by prior data suggesting 2–3 treatments/week may be needed). They also noted R&D work on SLAMB compatibility (preclinical/ex‑vivo) that is unlikely to affect current trial timing, a 10‑Q to be filed after the call, and their next earnings call coinciding with the Form 10‑K in June 2026.

Aethlon Medical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are very weak: minimal/zero recent revenue, consistently large operating and net losses, and persistent negative operating/free cash flow indicating ongoing cash burn. The balance sheet shows modest leverage in annual data, but sharply negative ROE and inconsistencies between TTM vs. annual figures add risk and reduce confidence in trend assessment.
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
The business shows very weak operating performance. In the annual periods, revenue is either minimal or falls to zero in the most recent year, while operating losses remain consistently large (EBIT and EBITDA deeply negative each year). Profitability is structurally challenged, with net losses persisting across the full history and no clear path to positive margins in the provided data. The only strength is that losses have not shown a steady, accelerating trend every year, but overall earnings power is extremely poor.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Leverage appears modest in the annual reports, with debt-to-equity staying relatively low, which reduces near-term balance sheet risk. However, returns on equity are sharply negative due to recurring losses, indicating the equity base is not generating value. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) balance sheet also looks inconsistent versus the annual figures (much larger debt and equity levels), which raises data comparability concerns and makes balance sheet trend assessment less reliable from the provided figures.
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
Cash generation is very weak: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative across all periods, indicating ongoing cash burn to fund operations. Free cash flow roughly tracks net loss (little evidence of cash earnings quality improvement), and the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash burn is extremely large versus the annual history, suggesting either a step-change in spending/cash use or a reporting comparability issue. A positive is that free cash flow growth is shown as improving in the latest annual period, but absolute cash flow remains meaningfully negative.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.00574.25K294.17K659.10K
Gross Profit-547.23K0.000.00574.25K294.17K659.10K
EBITDA-11.01M-13.04M-12.28M-11.66M-10.30M-7.85M
Net Income-11.52M-13.39M-12.21M-12.03M-10.42M-7.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.06M7.36M8.25M17.51M19.42M10.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.96M5.50M5.44M14.53M17.07M9.86M
Total Debt417.52K649.75K940.32K1.21M729.41K42.54K
Total Liabilities1.34M2.24M2.48M2.44M2.43M1.38M
Stockholders Equity6.71M5.12M5.77M15.06M17.13M9.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.72B-7.65M-10.38M-11.45M-10.12M-6.82M
Operating Cash Flow-1.72B-7.65M-10.13M-10.51M-9.77M-6.76M
Investing Cash Flow-1.65M0.00-250.87K-943.11K-349.19K-59.88K
Financing Cash Flow3.73M7.73M1.29M8.91M17.37M7.13M

Aethlon Medical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.24
Price Trends
50DMA
2.26
Negative
100DMA
3.09
Negative
200DMA
7.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
58.94
Neutral
STOCH
97.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AEMD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.92, below the 50-day MA of 2.26, and below the 200-day MA of 7.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AEMD.

Aethlon Medical Risk Analysis

Aethlon Medical disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aethlon Medical reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aethlon Medical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$2.91M-0.28-191.39%76.53%
45
Neutral
$2.35M-0.37-202.20%-49.63%82.22%
42
Neutral
$2.19M-3.70-173.74%82.96%82.04%
42
Neutral
$1.90M-0.18-145.52%97.70%
40
Underperform
$4.75M-0.38-228.82%63.87%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AEMD
Aethlon Medical
2.21
-32.19
-93.58%
VTAK
Catheter Precision
1.31
-5.77
-81.50%
BJDX
Bluejay Diagnostics
1.95
-13.85
-87.66%
TIVC
Tivic Health Systems
0.93
-2.50
-72.97%
AMIX
Autonomix Medical, Inc.
0.42
-1.77
-81.00%

Aethlon Medical Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Aethlon Medical Completes Pre-Funded Warrant Exercises, Simplifying Equity
Positive
Mar 17, 2026

Aethlon Medical, Inc., a medical technology company, reported that it has 1,569,110 shares of common stock outstanding as of the close of business on March 16, 2026, following recent exercises of certain pre-funded warrants. The company confirmed that all previously outstanding pre-funded warrants have now been exercised, simplifying its capital structure and consolidating investor positions into common equity.

This development may streamline Aethlon Medical’s equity base by eliminating a class of derivative securities tied to its stock. It can also provide greater transparency for shareholders and potential investors regarding the company’s fully diluted share count and current ownership structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEMD) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aethlon Medical stock, see the AEMD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Aethlon Medical Shareholders Approve Share Expansion and Governance
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

On February 19, 2026, Aethlon Medical held its annual meeting virtually, with a quorum of approximately 57% of its 973,213 outstanding common shares represented. Shareholders elected five directors, ratified Haskell & White LLP as independent auditor for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, and approved amendments to the company’s 2020 equity plan.

Investors also approved a major increase in authorized common shares from 6 million to 100 million, significantly expanding Aethlon’s capacity to issue equity. In separate votes tied to Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(d), shareholders authorized the issuance of up to roughly 2 million shares upon exercise of various warrants related to December 5, 2025 financing agreements, reinforcing the company’s flexibility to raise capital despite potential dilution concerns.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEMD) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aethlon Medical stock, see the AEMD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aethlon Medical Posts Q3 Results, Highlights Hemopurifier Progress
Neutral
Feb 12, 2026

On February 12, 2026, Aethlon Medical reported results for its fiscal third quarter ended December 31, 2025, highlighting operational discipline and ongoing clinical and research progress centered on its Hemopurifier device. The company reaffirmed continued compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements, underscoring stability in its market listing while it advances programs aimed at treating cancer and severe infectious diseases.

Clinically, Cohort 2 enrollment and treatment in an Australian oncology trial remained active, following Cohort 1 data that indicated favorable trends in extracellular vesicles and immune cell measures alongside acceptable safety and tolerability. Aethlon also advanced preclinical work on its extracellular vesicle research platform, including Long COVID data showing its GNA affinity resin can bind EVs and reduce microRNAs linked to immune dysregulation.

The company continued evaluating Hemopurifier compatibility with Stavro’s simplified SLAMB blood treatment system under a material transfer agreement, which could eventually broaden clinical use in oncology units and infusion centers without dialysis machines or nephrologist oversight. Additional preclinical plans include extending prior evidence of platelet-derived EV removal in healthy plasma to patient samples across diseases such as autoimmune disorders, cardiovascular disease, sepsis and ALS.

From an operational standpoint, Aethlon emphasized cost control, with operating expenses for the nine months ended December 31, 2025 declining 26.9% to about $5.36 million versus the prior-year period, even as clinical and R&D programs advanced. However, quarterly operating expenses rose 13.6% year over year to roughly $2.06 million, driven mainly by higher payroll, leading to an increased operating loss of $2.06 million for the quarter.

As of December 31, 2025, Aethlon held approximately $7.0 million in cash, providing a limited but tangible financial runway as it pursues its oncology and infectious disease strategy. Other income, largely from interest on cash balances, fell to $44,000 in the quarter, modestly offsetting operating losses but highlighting the company’s continued dependence on external capital and successful pipeline execution for long-term sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEMD) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aethlon Medical stock, see the AEMD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aethlon Medical Amends Warrants to Allow Immediate Exercise
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Aethlon Medical, Inc. and an institutional investor amended a December 5, 2025 Securities Purchase Agreement to remove a requirement that the company obtain shareholder approval under Nasdaq Rule 5635 before pre-funded warrants could be exercised, making those warrants immediately exercisable while leaving all other terms of the agreement unchanged. On the same date, the parties also amended a December 8, 2025 pre-funded common stock purchase warrant on identical terms, a move that accelerates the potential conversion of these instruments into common stock and could impact Aethlon Medical’s capital structure and existing shareholders’ dilution profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEMD) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aethlon Medical stock, see the AEMD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026