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TSCO Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$64.47
▲(25.43% Upside)
Based on 19 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Tractor Supply in the last 3 months. The average price target is $64.47 with a high forecast of $70.00 and a low forecast of $52.00. The average price target represents a 25.43% change from the last price of $51.40.
Tractor Supply's Strategic Growth Initiatives and Strong Performance Justify Buy RatingWe model 2025E EPS of $2.11 to reflect our 4Q25 comps forecast of 4.0% (vs. guidance of 1% to 5%). We forecast 35.4% gross margin in 4Q (around 20bp margin expansion) as we expect less gross margin expansion in 2H given tariffs and consumables mix pressure. We are modeling a 9.7% EBIT margin for 4Q (down ~20bp) as TSCO continues to invest in direct sales (initiatives should self-fund in 2026 and require no incremental investment). We are modeling $2.11/$2.35/$2.60 EPS for 2025-2027. 2026 a “Normalized” year + Strategic initiatives Strategic initiatives and store growth acceleration (100 new stores next year vs. 90 this year) should support momentum in 2026. Direct sales now cover over 300 stores with weekly sales over $200,000, supported by specialist training cohorts and final mile capabilities.
Tractor Supply's Strategic Growth Initiatives and Strong Performance Justify Buy RatingWe model 2025E EPS of $2.11 to reflect our 4Q25 comps forecast of 4.0% (vs. guidance of 1% to 5%). We forecast 35.4% gross margin in 4Q (around 20bp margin expansion) as we expect less gross margin expansion in 2H given tariffs and consumables mix pressure. We are modeling a 9.7% EBIT margin for 4Q (down ~20bp) as TSCO continues to invest in direct sales (initiatives should self-fund in 2026 and require no incremental investment). We are modeling $2.11/$2.35/$2.60 EPS for 2025-2027. 2026 a “Normalized” year + Strategic initiatives Strategic initiatives and store growth acceleration (100 new stores next year vs. 90 this year) should support momentum in 2026. Direct sales now cover over 300 stores with weekly sales over $200,000, supported by specialist training cohorts and final mile capabilities.
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TSCO Analyst Recommendation Trends
Rating
Aug 25
Sep 25
Oct 25
Nov 25
Dec 25
Strong Buy
0
0
0
0
0
Buy
26
24
23
22
21
Hold
18
16
8
8
9
Sell
2
2
0
0
0
Strong Sell
0
0
0
0
0
total
46
42
31
30
30
In the current month, TSCO has received 21Buy Ratings, 9Hold Ratings, and 0Sell Ratings. TSCO average Analyst price target in the past 3 months is 64.47.
Each month's total comprises the sum of three months' worth of ratings.
TSCO Financial Forecast
TSCO Earnings Forecast
Next quarter’s earnings estimate for TSCO is $0.47 with a range of $0.45 to $0.50. The previous quarter’s EPS was $0.49. TSCO beat its EPS estimate ― of the time in the past 12 months, while its overall industry beat the EPS estimate 59.14% of the time in the same period. In the last calendar year TSCO has Performed in-line its overall industry.
Next quarter’s earnings estimate for TSCO is $0.47 with a range of $0.45 to $0.50. The previous quarter’s EPS was $0.49. TSCO beat its EPS estimate ― of the time in the past 12 months, while its overall industry beat the EPS estimate 59.14% of the time in the same period. In the last calendar year TSCO has Performed in-line its overall industry.
TSCO Sales Forecast
Next quarter’s sales forecast for TSCO is $4.03B with a range of $3.92B to $4.09B. The previous quarter’s sales results were $3.72B. TSCO beat its sales estimates ― of the time in past 12 months, while its overall industry beat sales estimates 57.79% of the time in the same period. In the last calendar year TSCO has Performed in-line its overall industry.
Next quarter’s sales forecast for TSCO is $4.03B with a range of $3.92B to $4.09B. The previous quarter’s sales results were $3.72B. TSCO beat its sales estimates ― of the time in past 12 months, while its overall industry beat sales estimates 57.79% of the time in the same period. In the last calendar year TSCO has Performed in-line its overall industry.
TSCO Stock Forecast FAQ
What is TSCO’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, Tractor Supply’s 12-month average price target is 64.47.
What is TSCO’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
Tractor Supply has 25.43% upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
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Is TSCO a Buy, Sell or Hold?
Tractor Supply has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 12 buy ratings, 7 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.
What is Tractor Supply’s price target?
The average price target for Tractor Supply is 64.47. This is based on 19 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $70.00 ,the lowest forecast is $52.00. The average price target represents 25.43% Increase from the current price of $51.4.
What do analysts say about Tractor Supply?
Tractor Supply’s analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 19 Wall Streets Analysts.
How can I buy shares of TSCO?
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