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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO)
NASDAQ:GO
Earnings Data
Report Date
May 12, 2026After Close (Confirmed)
Period Ending
2026 (Q1)Consensus EPS Forecast
0.02Last Year’s EPS
0.13Same Quarter Last Year
Based on 14 Analysts Ratings
Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Sentiment|Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: material near-term challenges and one‑time impairments drove a sizeable GAAP net loss and prompted a disciplined portfolio reset (36 store closures) and promotional investment that will weigh on near‑term results. At the same time, management outlined concrete operational fixes (merchandising, DC capacity, forecasting, unified buying), reported stronger cash generation, improving opportunistic mix (circa +200 bps mix, +150 bps shipments) and early comp improvement after promotions. Management framed losses and closures as corrective steps and provided tighter underwriting and IRR targets for new stores, but comps and UPT remain under pressure and several costs will suppress short‑term profitability. Overall, the positives and negatives are roughly balanced: tangible operational progress and credible plans exist, but significant headwinds and large noncash charges mean recovery will take time.Company Guidance
Top-Line Growth (Including 53rd Week)
Fourth quarter net sales increased 10.7% to $1.22 billion, including $82.4 million from a 53rd week; excluding the extra week, net revenue rose 3.2% year-over-year.
Gross Profit and Margin Expansion
Gross profit increased 11.5% to $361.0 million and gross margin expanded 20 basis points year-over-year to 29.7% in Q4.
Adjusted Profitability Improvements
Adjusted net income rose 28.8% to $18.7 million ($0.19 per share) and adjusted EBITDA increased to $68.0 million from $57.2 million a year ago; adjusted EBITDA margin improved ~40 basis points to 5.6% (partly aided by the 53rd week).
Stronger Operating Cash Flow and Liquidity
Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $110.0 million to $222.1 million for 2025; ended the year with $69.6 million cash and approximately $175 million available on the revolver; net leverage ~1.7x adjusted EBITDA.
Early Commercial Recovery Signals
Operational actions drove early signs of recovery: roughly a 200 basis point increase in opportunistic sales mix, ~150 basis point increase in opportunistic shipment volume, and a ~100 basis point month‑over‑month comp improvement in February versus January after promotional investments.
Store Refresh Program Showing Positive Early Results
Expanded store refresh rollout with a target of 150 refreshed stores by year-end; refreshed stores have shown encouraging comp lifts versus control stores, supporting confidence in the program.
Disciplined Growth and Store Underwriting
Company plans 30–33 net new stores in 2026 with tighter underwriting: '26 cohort IRR projected ~25% and '27 cohort up to ~30%, reflecting more disciplined, capital-efficient growth.
Operational and Organizational Changes to Restore Value
Merchandising and purchasing unified under experienced leader; added DC capacity, improved forecasting and internal planning horizon, and embedded item-level inventory management in order guide for produce and meat to support opportunistic flow and operator execution.
GO Earnings History
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed
GO Earnings-Related Price Changes
Report Date | Price 1 Day Before | Price 1 Day After | Percentage Change |
|---|---|---|---|
Mar 04, 2026 | $8.79 | $6.34 | -27.87% |
Nov 04, 2025 | $14.17 | $13.03 | -8.05% |
Aug 05, 2025 | $13.02 | $18.58 | +42.70% |
May 06, 2025 | $16.33 | $15.33 | -6.12% |
Earnings announcements can affect a stock’s price. This table shows the stock's price the day before and the day after recent earnings reports, including the percentage change.
FAQ
When does Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) report earnings?
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) is schdueled to report earning on May 12, 2026, After Close (Confirmed).
What is Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) earnings time?
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) earnings time is at May 12, 2026, After Close (Confirmed).
Where can I see when companies are reporting earnings?
You can see which companies are reporting today on our designated earnings calendar.
What companies are reporting earnings today?
You can see a list of the companies which are reporting today on TipRanks earnings calendar.
What is GO EPS forecast?
GO EPS forecast for the fiscal quarter 2026 (Q1) is 0.02.