Origin Energy Limited (AU:ORG)
ASX:ORG
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ORG Stock Chart & Stats
AU$12.47
AU$0.13(1.18%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
AU$12.47
AU$0.13(1.18%)
Day’s Range― - ―
52-Week RangeAU$10.58 - AU$13.13
Previous CloseN/A
Volume2.30M
Average Volume (3M)3.34M
Market Cap
AU$18.75B
Enterprise ValueAU$23.19B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)AU$852.00M
Total Debt (Recent Filing)AU$4.72B
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.3
Beta0.60
Next Earnings
Aug 13, 2026EPS Estimate
0.36Next Dividend Ex-DateN/A
Dividend Yield5.3%
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.59
Shares Outstanding1,722,747,700
10 Day Avg. Volume3,785,455
30 Day Avg. Volume3,339,156
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.03
Price to Book (P/B)1.87
Price to Sales (P/S)1.08
P/FCF Ratio-17.68
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$12.26Price Target Upside-1.72% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)0.68
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$16.09B
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Revenue & Margin ImprovementOrigin's 90.2% revenue increase alongside improved gross (19.2%) and net (8.7%) margins reflects durable top-line expansion and better cost management across retail, generation and gas. Improved EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate sustainable operating leverage and pricing power, supporting persistent profitability over coming quarters absent major commodity shocks.
Manageable Leverage & Cash CapacityNet debt around $4.59bn and net debt/adjusted EBITDA at ~2x provides durable financial flexibility within the stated 2–3x target. This leverage profile, combined with material APLNG cash distributions and improved adjusted free cash flow, supports ongoing capex for transition projects, steady distributions and downside protection through commodity cycles.
Battery & Storage Program ProgressDeploying 1.7GW/6.3GWh of storage and bringing Eraring Stage 1 online creates durable, asset-backed revenue streams and strengthens Origin's role in grid decarbonisation. Utility-scale storage diversifies earnings away from commodity exposure, secures dispatch value and builds long-term competitive positioning in energy transition infrastructure.
Bears Say
Octopus EBITDA Loss & Investment DragOctopus's $89m EBITDA loss reflects accelerated investment in customer delivery, international growth and a change in capitalization policy. These scaling costs can persistently depress group EBITDA and cash conversion while the international business matures, making near‑term returns and cash flow from this strategic asset uncertain.
Gas Policy & Exploration UncertaintyOngoing gas-market policy reviews and early-stage exploration (Taroom Trough) create structural risk for future gas investments. Policy changes or delayed de‑risking of exploration can raise investment costs, curtail development timing and weaken long‑term gas supply economics, undermining forecast APLNG contributions and project returns.
Battery Revenue Tail RiskManagement warns that battery revenues (ancillary services and capacity premiums) will erode as more capacity enters the market, creating a front‑loaded return profile. This structural tail risk reduces long‑term upside from storage assets and means projected IRRs depend on early‑life market conditions and potential merchant revenue compression over time.
Origin Energy Limited News
ORG FAQ
What was Origin Energy Limited’s price range in the past 12 months?
Origin Energy Limited lowest share price was AU$10.58 and its highest was AU$13.13 in the past 12 months.
What is Origin Energy Limited’s market cap?
Origin Energy Limited’s market cap is AU$18.75B.
When is Origin Energy Limited’s upcoming earnings report date?
Origin Energy Limited’s upcoming earnings report date is Aug 13, 2026 which is in 64 days.
How were Origin Energy Limited’s earnings last quarter?
Origin Energy Limited released its earnings results on Feb 11, 2026. The company reported AU$0.344 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of AU$0.323 by AU$0.021.
Is Origin Energy Limited overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Origin Energy Limited’s price is currently Overvalued.
Does Origin Energy Limited pay dividends?
Origin Energy Limited pays a Semiannually dividend of AU$0.3 which represents an annual dividend yield of 5.3%. See more information on Origin Energy Limited dividends here
What is Origin Energy Limited’s EPS estimate?
Origin Energy Limited’s EPS estimate is 0.36.
How many shares outstanding does Origin Energy Limited have?
Origin Energy Limited has 1,722,747,700 shares outstanding.
What happened to Origin Energy Limited’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Origin Energy Limited reported an EPS of AU$0.344 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of AU$0.323. Following the earnings report the stock price went up 3.89%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Origin Energy Limited?
Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in AU:ORG
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology
Origin Energy Limited Stock Smart Score
Outperform
1
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3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Analyst Consensus
Hold
Average Price Target:
AU$12.26 (-1.72% Downside)
AU$12.26 (-1.72% Downside)
Blogger Sentiment
Bullish
AU:ORG Sentiment 100%
Sector Average 74%
Sector Average 74%
News Sentiment
Very Bullish
Bullish news 100%
Bearish news 0%
Bearish news 0%
Technicals
SMA
Positive
20 days / 200 days
Momentum
20.72%
12-Months-Change
Fundamentals
Return on Equity
10.39%
Trailing 12-Months
Asset Growth
3.97%
Trailing 12-Months
Company Description
Origin Energy Limited
Origin Energy Limited is an integrated energy enterprise operating across Australia and internationally. Its diverse activities encompass the exploration and extraction of natural gas, electricity generation from various sources such as coal, wind, pumped hydro, and solar, as well as the wholesale and retail distribution of electricity and gas. The company also trades liquefied natural gas (LNG) and supplies liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to residential and commercial clients, alongside offering GreenPower and green gas solutions. Its exploration and production ventures include key basins like Bowen and Surat in Queensland, Browse in Western Australia, and Beetaloo in the Northern Territory. Furthermore, Origin Energy provides a range of home energy solutions, from hot water systems to various air conditioning and heating units. Structurally, the company is divided into Energy Markets, Integrated Gas, and Corporate segments. Founded in 1946, its main office is situated in Barangaroo, Australia.
ORG Company Deck
ORG Earnings Call
Q2 2026
0:00 / 0:00
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call emphasizes strong operational and financial performance across core Australian businesses (Energy Markets and APLNG), notable customer growth, cash generation improvements and clear progress on battery/storage programs and strategic assets (Kraken/Octopus). At the same time, there are material near-term headwinds: Octopus EBITDA weakness driven by investment and seasonality, softer LNG prices/volumes and policy/exploration uncertainties for gas projects, plus caution around longer‑term battery revenue compression and a conservative dividend stance. Overall the positives (EBITDA outperformance, upgraded guidance for Energy Markets, robust cash flow and balance sheet strength, and meaningful strategic progress at Kraken/Octopus) outweigh the negatives, which are principally timing, policy and investment‑phase impacts.View all AU:ORG earnings summariesORG Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
AU$12.26
▼(-1.72% Downside)
Technical Analysis
Options Prices
Currently, No data available
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