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Valeura Energy Inc J (TSE:VLE)
TSX:VLE

Valeura Energy (VLE) AI Stock Analysis

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Valeura Energy

(TSX:VLE)

78Outperform
Valeura Energy's overall score reflects its strong financial performance and technical momentum, supported by a robust earnings call that highlights production growth and strategic restructuring. The attractive valuation further enhances its investment appeal. However, historical financial volatility and market conditions warrant cautious optimism.

Valeura Energy (VLE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Valeura Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionValeura Energy (VLE) is an international upstream oil and gas company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas resources. Primarily focused on expanding its operations in Southeast Asia and Turkey, Valeura seeks to leverage its expertise in conventional and unconventional resources to maximize asset value and growth potential. The company is committed to conducting safe and environmentally responsible operations, striving to deliver energy solutions while generating sustainable returns for its stakeholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyValeura Energy makes money through the exploration, extraction, and sale of oil and natural gas. Its primary revenue streams include the production and sale of crude oil and natural gas to various markets, both domestically and internationally. The company's financial performance is significantly influenced by global oil and gas prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Additionally, Valeura may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its exploration and development capabilities, potentially securing new revenue opportunities. By optimizing its resource portfolio and investing in cost-effective technologies, Valeura aims to boost its production rates and achieve profitability.

Valeura Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Valeura Energy has demonstrated strong financial recovery with a robust improvement in profitability and operational efficiency. The company has low leverage and healthy cash flow metrics, which suggest a solid financial footing. However, historical volatility requires careful monitoring to ensure sustained performance.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Valeura Energy has shown a robust improvement in its financial performance. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM stands at 51.57%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin has improved significantly to 13.30% for TTM, reflecting increased profitability. Revenue growth rate is commendable at 26.18% from the previous year, showing strong upward momentum. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are 19.88% and 70.54%, respectively, suggesting strong operational performance. Despite these strengths, the volatility in historical data suggests a focus on sustaining this growth.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is fairly stable with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.25, indicating low leverage and potential for borrowing if needed. The Return on Equity is strong at 26.34% for TTM, highlighting effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is 46.47%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the high variability in equity and asset levels over the years points to potential risks in maintaining this stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a significant turnaround, with Free Cash Flow turning positive to $71.15 million in TTM. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is substantial, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.67, suggesting strong cash generation relative to profit. However, historical fluctuations in cash flows and capital expenditures point to potential risks in sustaining positive free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
622.55M493.46M352.03K3.13M8.55M10.18M
Gross Profit
321.09M298.07M-5.42M1.18M403.00K1.15M
EBIT
123.78M58.71M-13.80M55.45M9.19M-2.38M
EBITDA
439.02M421.08M-15.71M-82.05M-1.39M2.25M
Net Income Common Stockholders
82.79M245.03M-12.21M-64.55M-19.53M-4.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
45.80M133.87M17.52M40.83M30.14M36.11M
Total Assets
94.21M704.31M64.01M45.22M54.86M81.66M
Total Debt
0.0073.64M11.09M0.000.0069.00K
Net Debt
-45.80M-60.23M-6.43M-40.83M-30.14M-36.04M
Total Liabilities
23.57M420.14M35.55M2.09M12.91M15.35M
Stockholders Equity
70.64M284.18M26.04M43.13M41.95M66.32M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
71.15M-83.30M-17.91M-3.20M-3.27M-1.78M
Operating Cash Flow
221.22M27.48M-17.87M-3.16M-145.00K1.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-134.69M130.35M-16.42M14.05M-5.03M-12.15M
Financing Cash Flow
-54.08M-41.80M11.13M-28.00K-68.00K126.00K

Valeura Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.23
Price Trends
50DMA
7.53
Negative
100DMA
6.56
Positive
200DMA
5.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
50.26
Neutral
STOCH
67.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VLE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.51, below the 50-day MA of 7.53, and above the 200-day MA of 5.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:VLE.

Valeura Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSVLE
78
Outperform
C$771.11M6.6230.86%97.41%-60.04%
TSPOU
73
Outperform
$2.37B6.959.38%11.18%3.08%-30.22%
TSPEY
73
Outperform
C$3.11B10.2311.55%8.44%-14.63%-18.40%
TSBIR
71
Outperform
$1.38B24.320.70%8.30%-8.89%-82.18%
TSCNE
68
Neutral
$124.20M4.166.70%6.97%14.77%-96.89%
TSAAV
60
Neutral
C$1.54B69.441.37%-2.31%-78.23%
57
Neutral
$8.36B5.47-5.51%7.41%0.15%-68.69%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:VLE
Valeura Energy
7.36
3.46
88.72%
TSE:POU
Paramount Resources
16.58
3.26
24.52%
TSE:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
5.30
0.18
3.58%
TSE:CNE
Canacol Energy
3.64
-2.01
-35.58%
TSE:AAV
Advantage Energy
9.51
-0.59
-5.84%
TSE:PEY
Peyto Exploration & Dev
16.26
3.23
24.79%

Valeura Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 13, 2024 | % Change Since: 33.15% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with substantial production increases, cost efficiency, and a strong financial position driven by strategic restructuring. Despite lower Q3 production and oil price challenges, the company demonstrates robust performance and future growth potential.
Highlights
Significant Production Increase
Q4 production expected around 26,000 barrels per day, up more than 35% from Q4 2023, with potential 2025 production exceeding current analyst consensus.
Cost Management and Efficiency Gains
CapEx at the low end of guidance with improved drilling efficiency yielding 22 production wells against an original plan of 16. Operational costs are improving with OpEx per barrel at $26.3.
Corporate Restructuring and Tax Efficiency
Completion of corporate restructuring allows Thai assets to access $400 million in tax losses, significantly enhancing cash flow.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
Ending Q3 with $156 million in cash, highest inventory of 1.2 million barrels, and strong adjusted working capital of $160 million.
Share Buyback Program Initiated
Announcement of a share buyback program with a maximum of 7.3 million shares, reflecting confidence in undervalued share price.
Environmental and Safety Achievements
Expected 15% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions intensity and no lost time incidents or spills reported.
Lowlights
Lower Production in Q3
Q3 production averaged 22,200 barrels, lower compared to the previous quarter, due to mismatch between production and liftings.
Oil Price Decline
Realized oil prices impacted by declining market prices in August and September, affecting revenue generation.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Valeura Energy, several key metrics and guidance were discussed. Production in Q3 slightly exceeded that of Q2, despite challenges with the Wassana field, and is expected to reach around 26,000 barrels per day in Q4, reflecting a more than 35% increase over Q4 2023. For 2025, production is anticipated to surpass current analyst consensus. Operational costs are aligning with guidance, with CapEx at the low end of the forecast. Notably, efficiencies have allowed for 22 production wells against an original plan of 16. Cash flow was robust, ending Q3 with $156 million and a record high inventory of 1.2 million barrels. A significant corporate restructuring was completed, enabling access to $400 million in tax losses, boosting near-term cash flow. Additionally, a share buyback program was initiated, supported by the strong balance sheet and expected accelerated cash flow. Overall, Valeura Energy remains focused on maintaining production levels, optimizing capital allocation, and seeking value-accretive M&A opportunities.

Valeura Energy Corporate Events

Valeura Energy Reports Record Production and Sets Positive 2025 Outlook
Jan 8, 2025

Valeura Energy Inc. reported record oil production in Q4 2024, averaging 26,109 barrels per day, contributing to a full-year average of 22,825 barrels per day. The company sold 2.95 million barrels in Q4, generating $226 million in revenue, with a strong cash position of $259.4 million and no debt. They achieved a 17% reduction in GHG emissions intensity and completed a restructuring of their Thailand subsidiary for tax and operational efficiencies. For 2025, Valeura projects oil production between 23,000 and 25,500 barrels per day, with capital expenditures of $125 to $150 million, indicating a stable growth strategy.

Valeura Energy Boosts Production at Jasmine Field
Nov 27, 2024

Valeura Energy has successfully completed a five-well infill drilling campaign at the Jasmine field in the Gulf of Thailand, boosting oil production by 26% to nearly 10,000 barrels per day. This achievement is expected to support the company’s goal of maintaining a high reserves replacement ratio, enhancing the field’s economic lifespan.

Valeura Energy Reports Strong Q3 and Record Production
Nov 13, 2024

Valeura Energy reported strong Q3 2024 results, with a 66% increase in production from the Nong Yao C field and successful cost management, which led to higher-than-expected drilling activities. The company achieved record production rates in September and October and announced a share buyback program, highlighting its robust financial position.

Valeura Energy Announces Share Buyback Program
Nov 12, 2024

Valeura Energy has announced a share buyback program, approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange, to enhance shareholder value by purchasing and canceling up to 10% of its public float. This move is part of Valeura’s strategy to utilize its cash resources effectively and maintain a strong balance sheet while pursuing growth opportunities.

Valeura Energy Optimizes Thai Assets with Restructuring
Nov 5, 2024

Valeura Energy has successfully restructured its Thailand subsidiary, consolidating its interests in key assets to optimize operational and financial efficiencies. This reorganization is expected to enhance cost management and tax benefits, supporting future investment and growth opportunities. The move marks a strategic milestone following Valeura’s recent acquisitions in the Gulf of Thailand.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.