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Tocvan Ventures Corp. (TSE:TOC)
:TOC

Tocvan Ventures Corp. (TOC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TOC

Tocvan Ventures Corp.

(TOC)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-12.28% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, continuing losses, and ongoing cash burn). Technicals provide a partial offset with a positive multi-timeframe uptrend and moderate momentum. Valuation remains a headwind due to negative earnings (negative P/E) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Zero reported debt materially reduces solvency and financial distress risk, preserving flexibility to fund multi-stage exploration. For a capital-intensive explorer, low leverage sustains runway, enables orderly program pacing, and improves the company’s ability to raise capital on better terms over months.
Equity Capital Cushion
A materially larger equity base provides a stronger capital cushion to finance drilling and geophysical work without immediate revenue. This reduces short-term solvency pressures, supports multi-phase exploration programs, and gives management capacity to advance targets toward value-creating milestones over the medium term.
Focused Exploration Model
A clear, asset-focused business model emphasizing gold/silver exploration and systematic geological programs creates a repeatable path to de-risk projects. Discipline in technical work (mapping, sampling, geophysics, drilling) is a durable driver of discovery potential and long-term value creation if exploration success follows.
Negative Factors
No Revenue / Ongoing Losses
Persistent zero revenue and recurring operating losses mean the business cannot self-sustain operations from cash generation. Over a multi-month horizon this heightens execution risk, limits reinvestment capacity, and forces dependence on external financing until projects produce demonstrable asset value or commercial revenue.
Negative Cash Flow
Consistently negative operating and free cash flows erode cash reserves and compel recurring capital raises. For exploration firms, this raises dilution risk and can disrupt planned drilling schedules if market access tightens, thereby constraining the company’s ability to advance targets reliably over the medium term.
Negative Returns on Equity
A negative ROE shows that despite equity injections the company has not converted capital into profitable outcomes. This structural profitability gap signals that exploration spending has yet to yield value-driving results and may persist absent successful discoveries or a clear path to commercialization.

Tocvan Ventures Corp. (TOC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tocvan Ventures Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTocvan is a well-structured exploration development company. Tocvan was created in order to take advantage of the prolonged downturn the junior mining exploration sector, by identifying and negotiating interest in opportunities where management feels they can build upon previous success. Tocvan has approximately 32 million shares outstanding and is earning 100% into two exciting opportunities in Sonora, Mexico: the Pilar Gold-Silver project and the El Picacho Gold-Silver project. Management feels both projects represent tremendous opportunity to create shareholder value.
How the Company Makes MoneyTocvan Ventures Corp. generates revenue through the exploration and development of mineral properties, primarily focusing on gold and silver. The company makes money by increasing the value of its mineral assets through successful exploration and project development, which can lead to profitable sale or joint ventures with larger mining companies. Additionally, Tocvan may enter into option agreements where they earn revenue by selling or leasing exploration rights to other companies. Key revenue streams include capital raised from investors and potential profits from the sale or partnership of mineral properties once they have been sufficiently advanced. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships with other mining companies that can provide financial support and expertise to further develop its projects.

Tocvan Ventures Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak due to no reported revenue and ongoing losses (TTM EBIT -2.8M; net loss -1.0M) alongside persistent negative operating and free cash flow (~-2.3M TTM). The main offset is a stronger balance sheet with zero debt and higher equity (~14.3M TTM), which lowers solvency risk but does not yet translate into positive returns (negative ROE).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across the annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), while operating losses persist (TTM EBIT of -2.8M and net loss of -1.0M). Profitability is consistently negative and there is no visible top-line trajectory to absorb fixed costs, which keeps overall earnings quality weak. A modest improvement in net loss versus some prior years is a positive, but the business is still firmly loss-making.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Leverage is currently very low with total debt at 0 in the latest annual period and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), which materially reduces financial risk. Equity has grown meaningfully over the period (from ~2.8M in 2021 to ~13.1M in 2025 annual; ~14.3M in TTM), supporting a stronger capital cushion. The key weakness is returns: negative profitability drives negative returns on equity (TTM about -7.9%), indicating the balance sheet strength is not yet translating into shareholder value creation.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation remains a major issue: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative, including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow of about -2.3M and free cash flow of about -2.3M. While free cash flow shows a large positive growth rate in TTM (reflecting a change from a more negative prior base), the company is still burning cash and appears reliant on financing rather than self-funding operations. Cash flow deficits broadly align with ongoing net losses, offering limited evidence of near-term cash break-even.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-789.98K-1.13M-1.70M-434.88K-1.44M
Net Income-803.89K-1.17M-1.76M-3.09M-1.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.51M10.17M7.90M7.64M2.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.04M780.03K1.38M1.92M149.86K
Total Debt0.00775.21K1.96M1.92M0.00
Total Liabilities2.43M2.26M3.62M4.05M82.39K
Stockholders Equity13.09M7.91M4.28M3.59M2.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.78M-1.26M-1.08M-1.86M-2.47M
Operating Cash Flow-1.78M-1.26M-1.08M-912.84K-1.23M
Investing Cash Flow-1.39M-1.55M-951.44K-943.41K-1.24M
Financing Cash Flow3.97M2.89M1.96M1.79M1.73M

Tocvan Ventures Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.14
Price Trends
50DMA
1.07
Positive
100DMA
0.99
Positive
200DMA
0.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
55.88
Neutral
STOCH
69.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TOC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, above the 50-day MA of 1.07, and above the 200-day MA of 0.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TOC.

Tocvan Ventures Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
C$101.35M-2.26-294.20%-97.52%
52
Neutral
C$66.91M-5.27
50
Neutral
C$78.46M-4.63-74.18%42.92%
49
Neutral
C$72.24M-69.9423.78%
46
Neutral
C$15.65M-30.3630.00%
41
Neutral
C$56.03M-50.0047.56%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TOC
Tocvan Ventures Corp.
1.21
0.73
149.48%
TSE:AAN
Aton Resources
0.53
0.35
191.67%
TSE:BVA
Bravada Gold
0.09
0.05
112.50%
TSE:PX
Pelangio Exploration
0.22
0.18
437.50%
TSE:NKG
Nevada King Gold Corp
0.17
-0.12
-42.37%
TSE:RUA
Rua Gold
1.17
0.58
98.31%

Tocvan Ventures Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tocvan Ventures Secures $6 Million Bought-Deal Financing to Advance Sonora Gold Projects
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

Tocvan Ventures Corp. has arranged a $6 million bought-deal private placement with Stifel Canada as sole underwriter and bookrunner, issuing 6 million units at C$1.00 each, with each unit comprising one common share and one warrant exercisable at C$1.40 for 36 months. The financing, which may increase by up to 900,000 additional units under an over-allotment option and will be conducted under the listed issuer financing exemption without a statutory hold period in Canada (excluding Quebec), is intended to fund advancement of Tocvan’s gold projects in Sonora and general working capital, underscoring the company’s push toward project development and potentially strengthening its capital position and market visibility, while providing investors with leveraged exposure through attached warrants.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TOC) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tocvan Ventures Corp. stock, see the TSE:TOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tocvan Confirms New Silver-Rich Discovery at Gran Pilar North Block, Adds Second Drill Rig for Expansion
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

Tocvan Ventures reported the first analytical results from its maiden drill program on the North Block of the Gran Pilar Project in Sonora, Mexico, confirming a new silver-rich polymetallic system distinct from the project’s South Block/Main Zone. Initial drilling from five holes outlined 25 silver-rich intervals, including a standout intercept of 4.58 meters grading 35.7 g/t silver with a 1.5-meter sub-interval at 91.6 g/t silver, supported by elevated copper, lead, zinc, antimony and arsenic, and coinciding with strong epithermal-style alteration hosted in silicified andesitic dikes. With three of five holes returning grades above 1 oz/t silver across targets 1.8 kilometers apart, Tocvan plans aggressive follow-up including step-out drilling, systematic work on shallow polymetallic zones, expanded alteration mapping, 3D modelling and the mobilization of a second drill rig in February, positioning the company to rapidly assess the scale, continuity and growth potential of this emerging discovery for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TOC) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tocvan Ventures Corp. stock, see the TSE:TOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tocvan Adds Veteran Mining Finance Executive to Board as Exploration Progresses in Sonora
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

Tocvan Ventures Corp. has appointed seasoned mining executive Anna Ladd-Kruger as an independent director to its board, adding significant depth in capital markets, financial management, M&A, and ESG governance as the company advances its key gold projects in Sonora toward potential resource definition and production. In conjunction with her appointment, Tocvan granted Ladd-Kruger and certain consultants stock options, while highlighting strong recent drilling and sampling results at its Gran Pilar project, underscoring continued exploration momentum and efforts to scale the company from junior explorer to potential producer.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TOC) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tocvan Ventures Corp. stock, see the TSE:TOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tocvan Marks Breakout 2025 as Gran Pilar Moves From Discovery Toward Pilot Production
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

In 2025 Tocvan marked a pivotal shift at its Gran Pilar project from pure exploration toward development, reporting record high-grade gold and silver intercepts from core and RC drilling, multiple new mineralized target discoveries in both the North and South Blocks, and broader project-scale potential highlighted by airborne and drone magnetic surveys. The company secured key permits for drilling, extraction, and a 10-year, 50,000-tonne pilot heap-leach mine and related infrastructure, while strengthening its corporate team and funding base; these steps collectively advance Gran Pilar toward near-term pilot production and enhance Tocvan’s positioning as an emerging gold-silver developer in Sonora, with potential implications for future partnerships and value creation for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TOC) stock is a Buy with a C$0.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tocvan Ventures Corp. stock, see the TSE:TOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tocvan Starts Trenching and Site Works for Gran Pilar Pilot Mine in Mexico
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Tocvan Ventures has begun trenching and sampling material for pilot mine feed at the South Block of its Gran Pilar gold-silver project in Mexico, after securing local community council approval and starting site preparation for a fully permitted 50,000-tonne heap leach facility. The company is simultaneously advancing mine infrastructure—clearing and leveling for leach pads, containment ponds, processing equipment and access roads—while expanding exploration through channel sampling, ongoing maiden drilling in the North Block, and planned geophysical surveys and drilling, positioning the project for near-term production and further resource definition.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TOC) stock is a Buy with a C$0.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tocvan Ventures Corp. stock, see the TSE:TOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Tocvan Ventures Launches Maiden Drill Program at Gran Pilar Project
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Tocvan Ventures Corp. has commenced its maiden drill program at the North Block of the Gran Pilar Gold-Silver Project in Sonora, Mexico, targeting a 3.2 km by 1.5 km zone with strong mineralization indicators. The project, which includes site preparations and an initial 2,000 meters of drilling, aims to expand resource potential and support near-term production goals. Promising surface results and the identification of new mineralized targets underscore the project’s potential, positioning Tocvan for significant growth in the gold-silver mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TOC) stock is a Buy with a C$0.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tocvan Ventures Corp. stock, see the TSE:TOC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026