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Trigon Metals Inc (TSE:TM)
:TM

Trigon Metals Inc (TM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TM

Trigon Metals Inc

(TM)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.43
▲(34.06% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, negative operating cash flow, and negative equity with rising debt). This is partially offset by strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with a positive MACD), while valuation is constrained by loss-making results and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Strategic Asset Sale
The proposed sale of Kombat Mine could provide Trigon with financial flexibility and focus on its copper and silver projects, enhancing growth prospects.
Operational Focus
Focusing resources on projects in Morocco and Namibia post-sale could streamline operations and potentially improve project outcomes.
Capital Raising
Successful capital raising through private placement indicates strong investor interest, providing funds for working capital and corporate purposes.
Negative Factors
Financial Instability
Negative profitability and high leverage highlight financial instability, posing risks to long-term sustainability and operational flexibility.
Operational Disruptions
Operational disruptions and equipment failures can lead to production halts, impacting revenue and increasing operational risks.
Erratic Revenue Growth
Erratic revenue growth reflects challenges in maintaining consistent operational performance, affecting long-term financial planning.

Trigon Metals Inc (TM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Trigon Metals Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrigon Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and maintenance of mines and mineral properties in the African continent. It primarily explores for copper, lead, and silver deposits. The company holds an 80% interest in its flagship project, the Kombat Mine Property, which consists of five mining licenses that covers approximately 1,219 hectares and one prospecting license covering 1,057 hectares located in Northern Namibia. It also holds 100% interest in the Silver Hill Project comprising approximately 16 square kilometers located in the Anti-Atlas region, Morocco. The company was formerly known as Kombat Copper Inc. and changed its name to Trigon Metals Inc. in December 28, 2016. Trigon Metals Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrigon Metals Inc. generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of base metals, particularly copper and silver, from its mining operations. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of extracted ore and refined metals to various industrial customers and metal traders. Trigon may also enter into strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining firms to enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. Additionally, fluctuations in global metal prices and the efficiency of the company's mining operations significantly influence its earnings.

Trigon Metals Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 02, 2024
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant operational achievements and strategic shifts with the potential sale of the Kombat Mine to focus on other projects. However, financial challenges and market misunderstandings about the asset sale terms tempered these positives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Milestone Achievement in Underground Operations
Trigon Metals achieved an average of 980 tonnes per day from underground operation over 30 consecutive days, 13 months ahead of schedule, fulfilling a key agreement with Sprott and significantly derisking operations.
High Copper Recovery Rate
Processed 77,300 tonnes with a copper recovery of 92.1% during the quarter, indicating efficient extraction processes.
Strategic Focus on High-Grade Underground Ore
Shift from open pit mining to high-grade underground ore is yielding positive results by improving overall copper grade and enhancing profitability.
Potential Capital Injection from Asset Sale
Trigon Metals is planning to sell the Kombat Mine, which could raise between USD 30 million to USD 50 million, allowing the company to focus on opportunities in Morocco and the Kalahari project.
Negative Updates
Financial Losses and Challenges
Faced with lower grades, higher lead content, and pump failures, Trigon Metals reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 million and a net loss of $6.2 million, or $0.16 per share.
Wide Range in Asset Sale Valuation
The indicative term sheet for the Kombat Mine sale ranges from USD 30 million to USD 50 million, raising questions about the precise valuation and terms.
Market Misunderstanding and Share Price Drop
Following the announcement, there was a misunderstanding regarding the debt and its association with the asset sale, leading to a drop in share price despite the potential value of the transaction.
Company Guidance
In the Q2 2025 earnings call for Trigon Metals (TM.V), the company provided guidance on several key metrics. They reported processing 77,300 tonnes with a copper recovery rate of 92.1%, achieving an average of 980 tonnes per day from their underground operation, a milestone achieved 13 months ahead of schedule. Despite this progress, they faced challenges including lower grades and pump failures, resulting in a production of 2.14 million pounds of copper at a C1 cash cost of $3.46 per pound. The financial results reflected a negative adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 million and a net loss of $6.2 million, or $0.16 per share. Moving forward, Trigon plans to expand mill capacity to 60,000 tonnes per month to double throughput and reduce costs, with the aim to enhance profitability. Additionally, they announced a strategic decision to sell the Kombat Mine, which is expected to bring in USD 30 million to USD 50 million, with proceeds potentially used for development projects in Morocco and the Kalahari.

Trigon Metals Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trigon Metals Inc exhibits financial instability characterized by negative profitability and high leverage. The income statement reveals negative gross and net profit margins with erratic revenue growth, while the balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity. Cash flow management is challenging with negative operating cash flow and reliance on financing activities.
Income Statement
Trigon Metals Inc shows a negative gross profit margin and net profit margin in the TTM, indicating challenges in managing costs relative to revenue. Revenue growth is erratic, with significant fluctuations over the years. EBITDA margins have been negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies. While there is some revenue generation, profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity, pointing to financial instability and potential solvency risks. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting a concerning financial structure with liabilities exceeding assets.
Cash Flow
Cash flow management is challenging, with negative operating cash flow and inconsistent free cash flow trends. The free cash flow has shown some positive movement in recent TTM, but sustainability is uncertain given historical volatility. The reliance on financing activities for cash is evident.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.009.59M949.19K0.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.00-1.15M-454.19K-194.28K-14.59K
EBITDA-3.96M-4.07M1.86M-13.19M-6.54M-6.35M
Net Income-1.72M-7.54M-1.05M-16.47M-6.48M-5.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.19M35.76M38.05M35.67M18.15M3.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.38M1.04M1.42M20.73M319.87K2.65M
Total Debt6.87M1.38M5.13M194.18K3.29M0.00
Total Liabilities47.84M41.91M42.13M42.58M9.27M1.82M
Stockholders Equity-6.93M-729.26K62.07K-4.26M9.78M1.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.28M84.77K-22.34M-13.59M-16.43M-3.10M
Operating Cash Flow-6.48M84.77K-4.08M-8.45M-2.60M-2.28M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.19M-18.26M-5.14M-13.82M-783.92K
Financing Cash Flow5.13M2.73M3.02M34.00M14.07M4.08M

Trigon Metals Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.32
Price Trends
50DMA
0.28
Positive
100DMA
0.26
Positive
200DMA
0.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
68.67
Neutral
STOCH
68.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.33, above the 50-day MA of 0.28, and above the 200-day MA of 0.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TM.

Trigon Metals Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
C$21.09M-5.89-100.00%35.19%
50
Neutral
C$26.24M-22.50-162.83%1.23%
46
Neutral
C$1.69M4.17-2.57%
46
Neutral
C$8.19M-9.68-8.66%31.11%
45
Neutral
C$2.63M-0.12-79.21%-4.86%
44
Neutral
C$10.11M-2.37-84.76%-11.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TM
Trigon Metals Inc
0.43
0.02
6.25%
TSE:WEC
Three Valley Copper Corp
0.02
<0.01
50.00%
TSE:USCU
US Copper Corp
0.18
0.12
200.00%
TSE:BCU
Bell Copper
0.06
0.02
50.00%
TSE:WCU
World Copper
0.01
-0.05
-83.33%
TSE:CPER
CopperCorp Resources, Inc.
0.09
-0.05
-33.33%

Trigon Metals Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Trigon Metals Closes Kombat Mine Sale to Fund Moroccan Copper Push
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

Trigon Metals has closed the sale of its interest in the Kombat Mine and related Namibian assets to Kamino Minerals Limited and its affiliate Horizon Corporation Limited, transferring full operational control of the mine to the buyer. The transaction, completed under a previously signed share purchase agreement, will deliver total cash consideration of US$24 million payable in eight instalments from April 2026, plus a contingent production payment of between US$3.5 million and US$13 million tied to future underground copper production, and a royalty interest on the project. By monetizing Kombat, Trigon significantly strengthens its balance sheet and secures funding for an aggressive exploration program at its Addana copper project in Morocco, marking a strategic pivot in its asset base and future growth focus, subject to final approval by the TSX Venture Exchange.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TM) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trigon Metals Inc stock, see the TSE:TM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Trigon Metals Strengthens Board with Industry Veteran
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Trigon Metals Inc. has appointed Noureddine Mokaddem to its board of directors, enhancing its governance with his extensive experience in the mining industry. Mokaddem’s appointment is expected to bolster Trigon’s exploration efforts in Morocco, particularly at the Addana project, and contribute to the company’s growth and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TM) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trigon Metals Inc stock, see the TSE:TM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Trigon Metals Launches Drilling Campaign at Addana Project
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

Trigon Metals Inc. has announced the start of its first drilling campaign at the Addana Project in southern Morocco, targeting silver-lead polymetallic vein systems. The project aims to confirm the continuity and grade of mineralized veins, with the potential to expand vertically and laterally, enhancing Trigon’s position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TM) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trigon Metals Inc stock, see the TSE:TM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026