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Silvercorp Metals Inc (TSE:SVM)
TSX:SVM

Silvercorp Metals (SVM) AI Stock Analysis

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Silvercorp Metals

(TSX:SVM)

77Outperform
Silvercorp Metals exhibits strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and profitability. The technical analysis indicates moderate upward momentum, and the valuation suggests the stock might be undervalued. Positive earnings call highlights further reinforce the company's strong operational and financial standing. However, attention to costs and zinc production is warranted.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Silvercorp reported record revenue, and production costs were slightly below forecast, facilitating increased cash flow from operations.
Operational Efficiency
Silver production rates at Ying increased and further improvement is expected with the operational mill expansion.
Negative Factors
Production Challenges
Silver production in FYQ2 of 1.66Moz was slightly below the 1.84Moz forecast due to lower throughput at Ying and lower silver grade at GC.
Resource Grades
Lead and zinc production of 13.2Mlbs and 5.8Mlbs was impacted by lower grades at both operations and missed estimates by 23% and 29%.

Silvercorp Metals (SVM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Silvercorp Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSilvercorp Metals Inc. is a Canadian mining company that primarily engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and mining of silver, lead, and zinc properties. The company operates several mines in China, positioning itself as a low-cost silver producer with a focus on sustainable mining practices. Silvercorp is committed to delivering value to its shareholders through efficient operations and strategic acquisitions within the precious metals sector.
How the Company Makes MoneySilvercorp Metals generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of silver, lead, and zinc concentrates. The company's key revenue streams include the mining and processing of ore extracted from its properties, followed by the sale of the concentrates to smelters and refineries. This process involves leveraging its operational efficiencies to maintain low production costs and maximize profit margins. Additionally, Silvercorp benefits from fluctuations in global metal prices, which can enhance its revenue when prices rise. The company may also engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other mining entities to explore new opportunities and expand its resource base, further contributing to its earnings.

Silvercorp Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Silvercorp Metals has demonstrated robust financial performance with strong revenue growth, profitability, and effective cost management. While the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics are solid, a slight decrease in gross profit margin could be a concern if it continues.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Silvercorp Metals has shown strong performance in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a significant gross profit margin of 45.8% and a net profit margin of 26.8%. The revenue growth rate from the previous annual report is approximately 23.8%, indicating robust growth. The EBIT margin stands at 42.1%, and the EBITDA margin is 52.5%, reflecting efficient cost management and operational strength. However, the gross profit margin saw a slight decrease compared to the previous year, which may be a point of concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company's financial stability is highlighted by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, indicating conservative financial leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 10.1% for the TTM, suggesting effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio is 63.4%, showcasing a solid equity position relative to total assets. These metrics suggest a well-balanced balance sheet with minimal risk from leverage.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The company's free cash flow growth rate is notable, with an increase from the previous period to $49.64 million in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.66, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. These figures reflect a healthy cash flow position, although the capital expenditures slightly offset the free cash flow growth.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
266.46M215.19M208.13M217.92M192.10M158.83M
Gross Profit
122.19M125.81M70.78M84.30M84.16M59.37M
EBIT
112.07M63.92M33.75M62.56M71.72M59.37M
EBITDA
139.91M99.14M64.80M98.04M97.07M77.36M
Net Income Common Stockholders
71.30M36.31M20.61M30.63M46.38M34.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
94.66M184.89M203.32M212.93M199.09M142.52M
Total Assets
279.45M702.82M676.80M723.54M652.64M512.76M
Total Debt
1.47M1.31M583.00K1.26M1.74M2.07M
Net Debt
-49.15M-151.63M-145.11M-112.04M-116.99M-63.71M
Total Liabilities
42.73M105.81M96.97M103.42M86.91M73.79M
Stockholders Equity
214.99M507.25M489.05M512.40M467.57M368.68M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
49.64M28.10M30.69M40.17M33.71M41.94M
Operating Cash Flow
118.17M91.57M85.64M107.38M85.91M77.25M
Investing Cash Flow
-25.57M-65.71M-26.52M-106.63M-40.97M-70.79M
Financing Cash Flow
111.58M-16.80M-17.98M-7.43M-1.45M-2.93M

Silvercorp Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.25
Price Trends
50DMA
5.27
Negative
100DMA
4.88
Positive
200DMA
5.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
48.91
Neutral
STOCH
49.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SVM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.47, below the 50-day MA of 5.27, and above the 200-day MA of 5.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SVM.

Silvercorp Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSFVI
79
Outperform
$2.76B15.839.74%28.18%
TSSVM
77
Outperform
$1.14B10.5511.68%0.68%31.23%110.49%
TSMAG
54
Neutral
C$2.15B20.1514.17%61.66%
TSEDR
54
Neutral
$1.43B-7.23%6.18%-515.57%
47
Neutral
$2.49B-2.97-22.93%3.49%4.06%-27.72%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SVM
Silvercorp Metals
5.25
0.20
3.90%
TSE:MAG
MAG Silver
20.82
4.58
28.18%
TSE:FVI
Fortuna Silver Mines
9.01
2.70
42.79%
TSE:EDR
Endeavour Silver
5.46
1.77
47.97%

Silvercorp Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 14.88% | Next Earnings Date: May 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial and operational performance, including record revenue and production, driven by strategic expansions and favorable commodity prices. Although there were some increased costs and a decrease in zinc production, these were outweighed by the significant accomplishments and positive outlook for future growth.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Fiscal Q3 was the strongest quarter ever with record revenue of $84 million, up 43% from the previous year, and record operating cash flow of $45 million, up 90%.
Increased Production and Mill Expansion
Record silver production of 1.9 million ounces, up 16%, with the Ying Mine completing a mill expansion in December, increasing capacity from 2,500 tons to 4,000 tons per day.
Commodity Price Surge
Realized gold and silver prices rose by 35%, zinc by 49%, and lead by 8%, contributing to increased revenue and net income.
Strong Cash Position
Ended 2024 with a healthy cash balance of $355 million, including $143 million from convertible notes.
Operational Success and Future Outlook
Secured necessary permits for the Kuanping project, mobilized contractors at El Domo, and positioned for sustained production growth.
Lowlights
Decreased Zinc Production and Sales
Zinc production decreased by 10% due to lower head grades, and zinc sold decreased by 10% year-over-year.
Increase in Costs
Production costs averaged $78 per ton, up 5% year-over-year, and all-in sustaining production cost increased by 10% to $150 per ton.
One-time Government Payment
A one-time $12 million government payment related to the renewal of the SGX mine license impacted finances.
Company Guidance
In Silvercorp's third quarter fiscal 2025 call, the company reported record revenue of $84 million, a 43% increase from the same period last year, complemented by a 90% rise in operating cash flow to $45 million. Silver production reached a record 1.9 million ounces, up 16%, primarily driven by the Ying Mine's mill expansion. Improved commodity prices also contributed, with silver accounting for 63% of net realized Q3 revenue. Zinc sales fell by 10% due to lower head grades, although gold and lead sales increased by 53% and 5%, respectively. Net income more than doubled to $26 million or $0.12 per share, with adjusted net income at $22 million or $0.10 per share. The company invested $25 million in mine development and repaid $13.25 million to Wheaton Precious Metals. Silvercorp aims to achieve 6.7 to 7.2 million ounces of silver production for fiscal 2025, with production costs averaging $78 per ton, while maintaining an all-in sustaining cost per ounce of silver net of byproduct credits at 12.75%. The company also highlighted progress on growth projects, including the El Domo Copper Gold project in Ecuador, and plans to provide fiscal 2026 capital budget guidance in April.

Silvercorp Metals Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Silvercorp Metals Posts Strong Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results with $22 Million Adjusted Net Income
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Silvercorp Metals reported a strong financial performance for Q3 Fiscal 2025, with an adjusted net income of $22.0 million and operating cash flow of $44.8 million. The company achieved significant production and sales, resulting in revenue of $83.6 million. Key expenses included investments in exploration, development, and infrastructure, as well as repayment obligations and shareholder dividends.

Silvercorp Metals Achieves Record Revenue in Q3 Fiscal 2025
Jan 15, 2025

Silvercorp Metals Inc. reported a record revenue of approximately $83.6 million for Q3 Fiscal 2025, marking a 43% increase from the previous year. The company saw increases in ore mined, ore milled, and silver production, while zinc production decreased. The announcement highlights strong operational performance and suggests potential positive implications for stakeholders due to increased production and sales.

Silvercorp Completes Key Infrastructure Developments at Ying Mine
Jan 14, 2025

Silvercorp Metals Inc. has successfully completed the construction of Tailings Storage Facility No. 3 and a new 1,500 tonne per day mill expansion at its Ying Mine in China. These developments, completed on time and under budget, will enhance the company’s milling capacity to over 1.3 million tonnes per year, supporting its long-term operational goals. The facility is expected to operate efficiently over the next 12 years, and includes advanced features for safety and environmental protection, aligning with local regulatory standards.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.