ShaMaran Petroleum (SNM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$661.35M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 295.30K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 75.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.98
• Revenue Growth: 46.17%
• EPS Growth: -82.95%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 9
• Sector: General
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 2,875,449,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 232,069
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 295,301
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.06
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.16
• P/FCF Ratio: 2.65
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.02
• Revenue Forecast (FY): C$210.31M

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: C$0.22 ▲(0.91% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/11/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/11/25

ShaMaran Petroleum's stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance, with strengths in operational efficiency but challenges in revenue growth and profitability. Technical analysis shows a stable upward trend, while valuation metrics indicate the stock may be overvalued. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events limits further analysis.

Positive Factors

High operational margins

Sustained gross and EBIT margins near 40% and 28.5% indicate durable operational efficiency in upstream operations. High structural margins provide a buffer through price cycles, support reinvestment in production, and help preserve cash available for debt reduction or capex.

Strong cash conversion

A very strong operating cash flow to net income ratio (5.31) and positive free cash flow conversion show the business reliably turns earnings into cash. That durability supports capex funding, debt servicing and operational resilience without frequent external financing.

Improved leverage and balanced capital structure

Reduction in leverage to a 0.64 debt/equity ratio and a 53% equity ratio indicate a more conservative capital structure. This enhances financial flexibility, lowers default risk in oil-price downturns, and leaves headroom for opportunistic investment or smoothing payouts.

Negative Factors

Falling revenue momentum

A material TTM revenue growth decline (~36%) signals weakening top-line momentum which can persist if production, offtake or pricing issues remain. Continued revenue contraction constrains scale economies, squeezes reinvestment capacity and pressures future margin preservation.

Low returns on equity

ROE near 5.5% reflects limited profit generation from shareholder capital. Persistently low ROE can indicate inefficient capital allocation or underutilized assets, making it harder to attract equity funding and limiting organic growth without issuing additional capital.

Concentration in Kurdistan operations and PSC exposure

Heavy operational and contractual concentration in the Kurdistan Region and reliance on KRG production-sharing contracts create structural geopolitical and counterparty risks. Long-term cash flows can be affected by regional instability, policy shifts, or payment disputes under PSC terms.

ShaMaran Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ShaMaran Petroleum Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of oil and gas. The company holds a 27.6% interest in the Atrush Block production sharing contract, which covers an area of 269 square kilometers located in the Kurdistan region of Iraq. It also provides technical and administration services. ShaMaran Petroleum Corp. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

ShaMaran Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil produced from its operations in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The company operates production-sharing contracts (PSCs) with the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), which allows it to share in the revenues generated from oil sales after recouping its capital and operational expenditures. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil to various buyers, which may include local refineries and international markets. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships that enhance its operational capabilities and financial position, as well as potential future income from natural gas production and other hydrocarbons. Factors contributing to its earnings include oil market prices, production levels, and the efficiency of its extraction processes.

ShaMaran Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ShaMaran Petroleum shows operational efficiency with decent gross and EBIT margins. However, declining revenue growth and low net profit margin are concerns. The balance sheet reflects improved leverage but low ROE, while cash flow generation is strong despite declining free cash flow growth.

Income Statement

ShaMaran Petroleum's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a significant decline in revenue growth rate by 36.1%, indicating challenges in maintaining revenue momentum. However, the company maintains a decent gross profit margin of 39.7% and an EBIT margin of 28.5%, suggesting operational efficiency. The net profit margin of 9.2% is relatively low, reflecting pressure on net earnings. Overall, while there are strengths in operational margins, the declining revenue growth is a concern.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of ShaMaran Petroleum indicates a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.64 in the TTM, showing a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity (ROE) is low at 5.5%, indicating limited profitability from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 53.1%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company has made strides in reducing leverage, the low ROE highlights challenges in generating returns.

Cash Flow

ShaMaran Petroleum's cash flow statement reflects a stable cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 5.31, indicating robust cash flow relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined by 14.5% in the TTM, which could impact future liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Overall, while cash flow generation is solid, the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Mar 2022	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	134.96M	109.39M	82.89M	176.66M	102.32M	56.67M
Gross Profit	53.60M	43.28M	30.52M	105.94M	49.89M	7.11M
EBITDA	83.74M	150.66M	37.19M	198.49M	69.16M	-98.35M
Net Income	12.40M	82.22M	-26.71M	114.96M	13.38M	-144.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	431.18M	494.69M	450.41M	498.69M	368.46M	243.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	54.71M	76.79M	48.88M	69.27M	43.59M	16.97M
Total Debt	145.84M	215.19M	273.98M	285.51M	302.80M	218.96M
Total Liabilities	202.31M	271.49M	310.98M	335.00M	349.93M	239.71M
Stockholders Equity	228.86M	223.20M	139.43M	163.69M	18.54M	3.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	100.12M	89.20M	12.44M	79.44M	49.68M	3.96M
Operating Cash Flow	99.10M	97.97M	40.48M	105.28M	63.90M	12.86M
Investing Cash Flow	9.44M	-4.05M	-22.28M	-123.69M	9.70M	201.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-100.87M	-89.10M	-52.26M	-47.48M	69.75M	-147.00K

ShaMaran Petroleum Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.22
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SNM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, below the 50-day MA of 0.24, and below the 200-day MA of 0.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SNM.

ShaMaran Petroleum Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VLE	82 Outperform	C$1.21B	8.80	58.06%	―	23.77%	198.71%
TNZ	79 Outperform	C$1.57B	5.78	98.62%	―	194.52%	10204.44%
SGY	73 Outperform	C$838.17M	17.02	5.87%	7.59%	-7.36%	―
LGN	68 Neutral	C$482.56M	12.64	10.64%	―	40.83%	26.01%
OBE	62 Neutral	C$792.64M	16.60	-14.96%	―	-11.85%	-307.86%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
SNM	52 Neutral	C$661.35M	75.86	5.65%	―	46.17%	-82.95%

ShaMaran Petroleum Corporate Events

ShaMaran Petroleum Grants Stock Options and RSUs to Key Personnel

ShaMaran Petroleum Corp. has granted 8,300,000 stock options and 11,540,000 Restricted Share Units to certain officers, employees, and eligible persons as part of its long-term incentive plans. This move reflects the company’s commitment to incentivizing its workforce and aligns with its strategic focus on the Kurdistan region, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SNM) stock is a Buy with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ShaMaran Petroleum stock, see the TSE:SNM Stock Forecast page.

ShaMaran Petroleum Completes First Oil Cargo Lifting from Ceyhan Terminal

ShaMaran Petroleum Corp. has announced the successful completion of its first crude oil cargo lifting from the Ceyhan oil terminal in Türkiye, marking a significant milestone under its interim pipeline export agreements. This development is expected to enhance the company’s operational cash flow, with payments anticipated within 30 days and additional liftings planned. The move underscores ShaMaran’s strategic positioning in the oil export market and its ongoing commitment to leveraging its assets in the Kurdistan region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SNM) stock is a Buy with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ShaMaran Petroleum stock, see the TSE:SNM Stock Forecast page.

ShaMaran Petroleum Reports Q3 2025 Results Amid Pipeline Reopening

ShaMaran Petroleum Corp. reported its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting the reopening of the Iraq-Türkiye pipeline, which had been closed for over two years. This resumption allows the company to export oil at international prices, improving revenue potential despite recent operational disruptions from a drone attack. The company is working on long-term agreements to ensure full contractual payments and is addressing outstanding receivables from past sales. Financially, ShaMaran experienced a slight revenue decline due to the drone strike but anticipates improved cash flow with the pipeline’s reopening.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SNM) stock is a Buy with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ShaMaran Petroleum stock, see the TSE:SNM Stock Forecast page.