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Secure Energy Services (TSE:SES)
TSX:SES

Secure Energy Services (SES) AI Stock Analysis

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Secure Energy Services

(TSX:SES)

78Outperform
Secure Energy Services exhibits strong financial performance, strategic investments, and shareholder-friendly initiatives, such as share buybacks and dividends. Despite mixed technical indicators and high debt levels, the stock's undervaluation and solid earnings outlook support a positive investment case.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Secure delivered solid Q4/24 results, capping an impressive year for the company.
Future Guidance
SES reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, with adjusted EBITDA set between $510-540 million, which is up 7-13% year-over-year.
Share Buybacks
SES' strategy of aggressive share buybacks is expected to continue through 2025.
Negative Factors
Comparison with Peers
SES continues to demonstrate many similar qualities with its Waste Management/Midstream peer group, and its outperformance should be rewarded by way of additional multiple expansion in the years to come.

Secure Energy Services (SES) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Secure Energy Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSecure Waste Infrastructure Corp., an energy services company, provides solutions to upstream oil and natural gas companies operating primarily in Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and the United States. It operates through two segments, Midstream Infrastructure, and Environmental and Fluid Management. The company's Midstream Infrastructure segment provides services, such as clean oil terminalling, rail transloading, pipeline transportation, marketing and custom treating of crude oil, produced and waste water disposal, oilfield waste processing, and purchase/resale of oil services through its full service terminals, rail facilities, crude oil pipelines, crude oil terminalling facilities, water disposal facilities, and landfills. The Environmental and Fluid Management segment includes a network of owned, operated, and marketed industrial landfills, hazardous and non-hazardous waste management and disposal, onsite abandonment, and environmental solutions for site remediation and reclamation, bio-remediation, water treatment and recycling, emergency response, rail, and metal recycling services, as well as offers fluid management for drilling, completion, and production operations for oil and gas producers. This segment also designs and implements drilling fluid systems for producers drilling for oil, bitumen, and natural gas; provides naturally occurring radioactive material management services, as well as equipment and chemical solutions that optimize well production. Secure Energy Services Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySecure Energy Services generates revenue through a multifaceted business model centered around its core service offerings. Key revenue streams include waste management services, where SES provides safe and efficient disposal and recycling solutions for the oil and gas industry. The company also earns from water treatment services, which involve treating and recycling wastewater produced during oil and gas extraction, enabling operators to comply with environmental regulations. Additionally, SES offers environmental solutions such as remediation and reclamation services, which help clients manage environmental impacts and restore land. Significant partnerships with oil and gas companies contribute to SES's earnings by ensuring a consistent demand for its services. Furthermore, SES's strategic acquisition of complementary businesses enhances its service capabilities and expands its market reach, thereby driving additional revenue.

Secure Energy Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Secure Energy Services exhibits solid financial health across all verticals, with improvements in revenue, profitability, and cash flow generation. Despite high debt levels posing a potential risk, the company maintains strong operational and financial management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Secure Energy Services demonstrates a robust recovery in revenue growth with a significant increase from previous years, notably from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has improved, and net profit margin has turned positive, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. Strong EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight profitability improvements. However, the gross profit margin is still relatively low compared to industry standards, suggesting room for further cost management enhancements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio, suggesting a strong capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating effective debt management. Return on equity has turned positive and indicates a good return for shareholders compared to previous years' negative returns. However, the company's total debt remains substantial, which could pose a risk in fluctuating economic conditions.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow growth rate and an impressive operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, showcasing the company's ability to convert net income into free cash flow. Continued positive cash flows from operations strengthen the company's liquidity position.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.67B8.24B8.00B3.77B1.82B
Gross Profit
422.00M512.00M493.00M-60.00M-2.57M
EBIT
268.00M353.00M324.00M-210.00M-68.54M
EBITDA
931.00M542.00M527.00M-40.00M60.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
582.00M195.00M184.00M-204.00M-87.19M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
26.00M12.00M12.00M10.00M6.78M
Total Assets
2.28B2.84B2.84B2.94B1.42B
Total Debt
454.00M1.10B1.03B1.32B434.38M
Net Debt
428.00M1.09B1.02B1.31B427.59M
Total Liabilities
1.24B1.66B1.57B1.83B711.08M
Stockholders Equity
1.04B1.19B1.27B1.11B683.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
363.00M227.00M315.00M31.00M77.38M
Operating Cash Flow
497.00M430.00M411.00M74.00M148.72M
Investing Cash Flow
954.00M-155.00M-58.00M-43.00M-60.06M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.44B-272.00M-346.00M-26.00M-89.32M

Secure Energy Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.50
Price Trends
50DMA
14.58
Negative
100DMA
15.26
Negative
200DMA
13.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.35
Negative
RSI
66.60
Neutral
STOCH
59.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SES, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.82, below the 50-day MA of 14.58, and below the 200-day MA of 13.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:SES.

Secure Energy Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSSES
78
Outperform
C$3.12B5.9152.24%3.24%28.30%227.26%
TSPSI
76
Outperform
C$920.60M7.5926.63%4.83%12.14%26.17%
62
Neutral
$7.67B13.253.04%3.47%3.63%-13.99%
59
Neutral
C$278.16M148.460.49%0.98%-96.29%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SES
Secure Energy Services
13.50
1.98
17.19%
CESDF
CES Energy Solutions
4.64
0.57
14.00%
TSE:PSI
Pason Systems
11.59
-4.62
-28.50%
HGHAF
High Arctic Energy Services
0.62
-0.99
-61.49%
TOLWF
Trican Well Service
3.05
-0.12
-3.79%
TSE:STEP
STEP Energy Services
3.64
-0.48
-11.65%

Secure Energy Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 21, 2025 | % Change Since: -7.09% | Next Earnings Date: May 2, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a robust financial performance with significant strategic investments and strong shareholder returns, despite challenges posed by divestitures and a decline in net income. The company's focus on growth and maintaining a strong balance sheet provides a positive outlook.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA reached $490 million, at the top end of guidance, despite a 17% year-over-year decline, showcasing strong demand and solid execution. The adjusted EBITDA margin averaged 35% of revenue, demonstrating efficiency and disciplined cost management.
Successful Share Buyback Program
SECURE repurchased 57.3 million common shares at an average price of $11.47 per share, reducing total shares outstanding by 19% and enhancing long-term shareholder value.
Revenue Growth
On an annual pro forma basis, revenue increased approximately 11%, driven by the expansion of the Clearwater heavy oil terminal and increased volumes and pricing in the Waste Management segment.
Strategic Investments
Invested $100 million in growth initiatives, including the completion of the initial expansion of the Clearwater heavy oil terminal, growth of the Montney water pipeline system, and a strategic tuck-in acquisition in the metal recycling business.
Metals Recycling Business Expansion
The acquisition of an Edmonton-based metal recycling business enhances the scale and processing capabilities, contributing approximately 10% to the 2025 adjusted EBITDA before corporate costs.
Strong Balance Sheet
Following the Metals acquisition, the total debt-to-EBITDA ratio, excluding leases, stands at approximately 1.1x, well below the targeted range, providing significant financial flexibility.
Lowlights
Impact of Divestitures
Net revenue for Q4 was $332 million, down 26% year-over-year primarily due to divestitures. Adjusted EBITDA declined 28% due to asset sales.
Net Income Decline
Net income for Q4 was $34 million, down 42% from the previous year, primarily due to lower operating profit resulting from divestitures.
Sustaining Capital Expenditure Exceeding Guidance
Incurred $72 million of sustaining capital for the year, above the guidance of $60 million, due to expanded asset integrity programs and facility improvements.
Company Guidance
During the call, SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. provided detailed financial guidance for 2025, projecting adjusted EBITDA to range between $510 million and $540 million, representing a 10% increase at the midpoint from 2024's pro forma results. The company highlighted its strong performance in 2024, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $490 million, and a 35% adjusted EBITDA margin, excluding oil purchased and resold. SECURE executed a $1.15 billion transaction from the sale of 29 Tervita facilities, enhancing their balance sheet and enabling a substantial share buyback program. They repurchased 57.3 million shares at an average price of $11.47, reducing shares outstanding by 19%, while also returning $104 million to shareholders through dividends, offering a 2.7% yield. For 2025, SECURE anticipates discretionary free cash flow between $270 million and $300 million, supported by a low debt-to-EBITDA ratio of approximately 1.1x, post their Edmonton-based metal recycling acquisition. The company plans to invest $85 million in both sustaining and growth capital programs, focused on expanding infrastructure capacity and efficiency, while maintaining strong shareholder returns through opportunistic share repurchases and dividends.

Secure Energy Services Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Secure Energy Services Announces $200 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Secure Energy Services announced a substantial issuer bid to purchase up to $200 million of its outstanding common shares, representing approximately 5.97% to 7.22% of the total shares, depending on the final purchase price. This move, conducted via a modified Dutch auction, aims to optimize the company’s capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, pending necessary regulatory approvals.

Spark’s Take on TSE:SES Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:SES is a Outperform.

Secure Energy Services demonstrates solid financial performance and appears undervalued, with ample liquidity and strategic growth initiatives. While technical indicators are mixed, the company’s robust operational management and strong shareholder returns support a positive outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:SES stock, click here.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
SECURE Announces Quarterly Dividend and Upcoming Financial Results
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. has announced a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per common share, payable on April 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of April 1, 2025. Additionally, the company will release its first quarter financial and operating results for 2025 on May 2, 2025, followed by a conference call to discuss the results. This announcement reflects SECURE’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and transparency in its financial operations.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. Reports Robust 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Growth
Positive
Feb 21, 2025

SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. reported strong financial results for 2024, including an Adjusted EBITDA of $490 million, and returned $761 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The company has made strategic investments in growth projects and acquisitions, such as a metals recycling business, to strengthen its infrastructure network, and has adopted a new name reflecting its core operations.

Financial Disclosures
SECURE to Release 2024 Financial Results and Host Conference Call
Neutral
Jan 31, 2025

SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. announced it will release its fourth quarter and year-end financial and operating results for 2024 on February 21, 2025. The announcement includes a scheduled conference call to discuss the results, indicating the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and communication with its stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.