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Rio Silver Inc (TSE:RYO)
:RYO
Canadian Market

Rio Silver (RYO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RYO

Rio Silver

(RYO)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.52
ā–¼(-6.36% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue, ongoing operating losses and negative operating cash flow), partially offset by strong technical momentum (price above major moving averages, positive MACD) and generally positive corporate developments (project acquisitions and financing). Valuation is only middling given a ~30.6 P/E without dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
Modest absolute debt and a low debt-to-equity ratio reduce refinancing and interest-rate risk, giving the company structural flexibility to fund exploration and permitting. This healthier leverage profile supports longer-term project optionality and lowers near-term solvency stress.
Project portfolio expansion
Acquiring Maria Norte and expanding the Peru portfolio materially increases the company’s resource optionality and geographic diversification. Larger, diversified project inventory raises the chance of advancing a commercially viable deposit, a durable driver of future revenue if execution and permitting succeed.
Completed financing
A completed $2.2M private placement improves the company’s near-term funding runway and enables continued exploration and permitting work. Structurally, this reduces immediate liquidity pressure and supports milestone-driven value creation, although additional capital may be required to reach production.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue status
No reported revenue means the business remains exploration-stage and has not proven commercial economics. Long-term viability depends on converting projects to producing assets; until then margins, scalability and cash conversion remain untested, raising execution and financing risk.
Negative operating cash flow
Persistent negative operating cash flow consumes capital and forces reliance on external financing for ongoing operations and development. Over a multi-month horizon this increases dilution risk, ties project timelines to access to capital markets, and weakens resilience to funding interruptions.
Unstable capital structure history
Historically negative shareholders’ equity signals prior solvency stress and cumulative losses, which can impair credibility with lenders and investors. Structurally, this raises the cost and difficulty of future financing and may constrain the company’s ability to fund project development without significant dilution.

Rio Silver (RYO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rio Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRio Silver Inc. engages in the acquisition, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in the Americas, Canada, and Peru. It explores for precious and base metal deposits. The company owns 100% interest in NiƱobamba silver and gold project covering an area of 4,490 hectares located in the Department of Ayacucho, Peru. It also holds 100% interest in the Gerow Lake property, a base metal project located in northwestern Ontario, Canada; and Palpa Dorado property located in Moro district of Santa province, Ancash, Peru. The company was formerly known as Escape Gold Inc. and changed its name to Rio Silver Inc. in October 2011. Rio Silver Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRio Silver Inc. generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of mineral properties containing precious metals such as silver and gold. The company finances its exploration activities through equity financing, joint ventures, or partnerships with other mining entities. Once a viable mineral deposit is identified and developed, Rio Silver can monetize the asset through the sale of extracted resources or by selling the developed project to larger mining companies. Additionally, strategic partnerships and joint ventures can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, or royalties, contributing to the company's earnings.

Rio Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile remains early-stage and pre-revenue with persistent negative EBIT and ongoing cash burn (TTM operating cash flow -145k). The latest balance sheet shows low debt and positive equity, but prior periods included negative equity and the recent swing to positive net income appears less durable given continued operating losses.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across the annual periods provided, indicating it is not yet operating at a commercial scale. Profitability is weak: EBIT is consistently negative (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) EBIT of -726k), reflecting ongoing operating losses. A key positive is that TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net income turned positive (314k) versus losses in prior years, but this looks non-operating in nature given continued negative EBIT and should be viewed as less durable until supported by revenue and operating profits.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage appears modest in the latest period with low absolute debt (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) total debt ~15k) and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio (~0.16) alongside positive equity (~94k). However, the capital structure has been unstable historically: stockholders’ equity was negative in multiple years (2020–2024), which is a meaningful balance-sheet risk signal. Total assets increased sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~1.30M) versus 2024 (~343k), suggesting a step-change in the asset base, but without revenue it is difficult to judge the quality and earning power of those assets.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation remains a clear weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative across all periods, including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow of -145k. While free cash flow improved versus prior years (less cash burn than 2021–2023) and the reported free cash flow growth is strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), the business is still consuming cash and likely reliant on external financing until operations scale. The relationship between cash flow and earnings is not reassuring given positive TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net income alongside negative operating cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA379.47K0.00-43.74K-628.75K-795.00K-389.90K
Net Income314.10K-1.96K-553.00K-634.00K-846.00K-390.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30M343.07K72.59K37.24K47.30K37.46K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.01M15.88K48.34K11.92K42.66K34.80K
Total Debt14.99K12.55K13.95K179.72K45.62K12.05K
Total Liabilities1.21M1.05M829.11K870.09K699.12K676.82K
Stockholders Equity93.95K-710.73K-756.52K-832.86K-651.82K-639.36K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-145.01K-32.46K-234.76K-384.83K-364.81K-311.93K
Operating Cash Flow-145.01K-32.46K-234.76K-384.83K-364.81K-311.93K
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow616.00K0.00271.18K354.08K372.68K331.23K

Rio Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.55
Price Trends
50DMA
0.54
Negative
100DMA
0.39
Positive
200DMA
0.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
39.67
Neutral
STOCH
11.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RYO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.60, above the 50-day MA of 0.54, and above the 200-day MA of 0.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:RYO.

Rio Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$8.48M27.42――――
52
Neutral
C$9.50M28.3322.23%――-78.57%
52
Neutral
C$11.55M-1.55-772.07%――-679.31%
43
Neutral
C$5.48M-1.98-284.00%――-202.42%
25
Underperform
C$13.94M-23.17―――97.93%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RYO
Rio Silver
0.51
0.44
628.57%
TSE:MLY
American CuMo Mining
0.04
0.00
0.00%
TSE:NWX
Newport Exploration
0.09
<0.01
6.25%
TSE:NLR
Northern Lights Resources
0.08
0.06
220.00%
TSE:LGHT
Alerio Gold Corp
0.10
0.09
850.00%
TSE:NUKV
Gold Digger Resources Inc
0.32
-0.03
-7.35%

Rio Silver Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Rio Silver Starts Metallurgical Program to De‑Risk Processing at Maria Norte in Peru
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

Rio Silver has launched a staged metallurgical testing program at its Maria Norte Project in Peru to design a processing flowsheet aimed at optimizing silver recoveries while maintaining a low-capital-intensity development model. Representative samples from the Maria Vein have been sent to specialist firm Asesor Procesos Metalurgicos in Trujillo to characterize silver mineralization, evaluate processing responses and outline a preliminary flowsheet suitable for third‑party toll milling, with subsequent independent verification by Certimin in Lima. Management frames the initiative as a key technical de‑risking step ahead of planned initial processing activities targeted for late 2026 or early 2027, underscoring that robust, independently validated metallurgical results are critical to confirming recovery assumptions, supporting a capital‑efficient processing strategy and enhancing the project’s ability to convert Maria Norte’s geological potential into cash-generating production in a supportive silver price environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RYO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Silver stock, see the TSE:RYO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Rio Silver Targets U.S. Investors With OTC Listing Bid and VRIC 2026 Push
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

Rio Silver Inc. has applied to trade on the U.S. OTC market in a move aimed at broadening access to U.S. institutional and retail investors, increasing liquidity and improving trading efficiency for its shares. Concurrently, the company will ramp up investor outreach at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference 2026, using the high-profile event to highlight its silver projects in Peru and execution-focused milestones. Management views the dual push into the U.S. trading venue and conference engagement as a key step in strengthening market visibility and attracting a wider investor base at a time when it is progressing its silver-dominant assets with a capital-efficient growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RYO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.67 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Silver stock, see the TSE:RYO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rio Silver Moves to Secure Permits for High-Grade Silver Access at Maria Norte
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

Rio Silver Inc. has begun the formal regulatory process in Peru to secure the permits needed to access high‑grade silver mineralization at surface and to develop underground entry at its Maria Norte Project. Working with Peru’s Ministry of Energy and Mines and SUCAMEC, and building on existing community and access agreements, the company aims to obtain approvals for mining activities and explosives use and purchase, which it expects to receive in the second quarter, enabling blasting to expose surface veins, establish a portal and then evaluate strike continuity and depth for potential long‑term exploitation. Independent verification sampling conducted in 2025 under a National Instrument 43‑101 review confirmed high‑grade silver at surface, with assays ranging from 396 g/t to 991 g/t silver and associated lead, zinc and localized gold values, reinforcing Maria Norte’s characterization as a silver‑dominant, low‑sulphidation epithermal vein system and supporting management’s view of the project as a rare primary silver development opportunity in today’s market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RYO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.66 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Silver stock, see the TSE:RYO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Rio Silver Outlines Five-Step Fast-Track Plan for High-Grade Silver Development at Maria Norte
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Rio Silver has laid out a five-step, near-term development plan for its Maria Norte Project in Peru, aiming to rapidly access high-grade silver mineralization exposed at surface and advance into shallow underground workings. The plan hinges on finalizing community agreements for site access, leasing existing camp facilities for quick mobilization, starting extraction from confirmed high-grade surface and near-surface veins, preparing a portal to extend mining along the vein system at depth, and using nearby toll milling facilities to process ore without constructing a standalone plant. Management positions this approach as a proven, low-capital development model common in Peru’s historic silver districts, designed to accelerate the path toward potential cash flow while managing risk and preserving upside as underground access expands and additional high-grade zones are evaluated.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RYO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Silver stock, see the TSE:RYO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Rio Silver Unveils Five-Step, Low-Capex Plan to Advance Maria Norte Toward Production
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Rio Silver has outlined a five-step plan to fast-track development of its Maria Norte Project in Peru, aiming to access high-grade silver exposed at surface and move quickly toward underground mining and potential near-term cash flow. The plan centers on finalizing community access agreements, leasing existing camp infrastructure, initially extracting from confirmed high-grade surface and near-surface veins, preparing a portal for underground access to additional high-grade zones, and trucking mined material to nearby toll-milling facilities. Management argues that this approach, modeled on established practices in Peru’s historic silver districts, should significantly reduce upfront capital needs, compress timelines, and position the company to generate early tonnes while systematically expanding underground, thereby enhancing its operational flexibility and competitive standing in a mature regional milling corridor.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RYO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Silver stock, see the TSE:RYO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Rio Silver Revamps Digital Platform to Highlight High-Grade Silver Growth Strategy
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Rio Silver Inc. has launched a redesigned corporate website and expanded its official presence across multiple social media platforms to better showcase its high-grade silver development portfolio in Peru amid record silver prices. The enhanced digital infrastructure is intended to improve communication with shareholders and investors, provide clearer insight into the company’s strategy and project pipeline—especially its flagship Maria Norte Project—and strengthen transparency and engagement as it positions itself for the next phase of growth in a tightening silver market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RYO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.52 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Silver stock, see the TSE:RYO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Rio Silver Confirms High-Grade Surface Silver at Maria Norte, Clears Path to Near-Term Peru Development
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

Rio Silver reported that recent NI 43-101-compliant verification work at its Maria Norte project in central Peru has confirmed high-grade silver mineralization at surface, with channel samples returning up to 991 g/t silver and 6.26 g/t gold over 0.7 metres, plus strong lead and zinc values. Conducted by independent Qualified Person James A. McCrea, the limited but carefully controlled sampling supports the presence of a robust low-sulphidation epithermal vein system consistent with historical results and other producing mines in the Huachocolpa District, underpinning management’s view that Maria Norte has a clear path toward near-term development supported by favorable geology, metallurgy, existing infrastructure and strong community engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RYO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.64 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Silver stock, see the TSE:RYO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Rio Silver Retires $293,250 in Debt Through Equity and Warrant Issuance
Positive
Jan 1, 2026

Rio Silver Inc. has converted $293,250 of debt into equity and warrants, issuing 1,396,428 common shares at a deemed price of $0.21 per share, including 976,190 shares to non-arm’s length creditors, and 420,238 common share purchase warrants exercisable at $0.28 per share until December 31, 2028. The securities, which are subject to a hold period expiring May 1, 2026, are part of a securities-for-debt transaction that is intended to strengthen the company’s balance sheet by improving its working capital deficiency, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility as it advances its silver-focused portfolio in Peru.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RYO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.64 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Silver stock, see the TSE:RYO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Rio Silver Maps Path to Production at Maria Norte as Record Silver Prices Lift Outlook
Positive
Dec 24, 2025

Rio Silver has issued a year-end shareholder letter highlighting its strategic positioning amid record silver prices and structural deficits in the global silver market, driven by surging industrial demand and its role as a monetary asset. The company underscores the recently approved acquisition of the high-grade Maria Norte project in Peru as a turning point, outlining an active work plan that includes social licensing, site preparation, permitting and underground access to prioritize accessible high-grade mineralization and move toward near-term cash flow. Management also points to district-scale upside from the Santa Rita exploration project in Peru and long-term optionality from its Ring of Fire critical minerals asset in Northern Ontario, supported by policy momentum and community engagement. Together with retained royalties and an equity position in Magma Silver, these assets are presented as building blocks for 2026 to be a defining year in which Rio Silver aims to solidify its development pipeline, enhance financial flexibility and leverage the strong silver price environment for shareholder value creation.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Rio Silver Acquires Maria Norte Project, Boosting Silver Development Amid Global Demand Surge
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

Rio Silver Inc. has completed the acquisition of the Maria Norte Silver-Gold-Lead Project in Peru’s historic Huachocolpa Mining District, marking a significant step toward silver development amid rising global demand driven by AI, electronics, and renewable-energy markets. This acquisition positions Rio Silver to capitalize on the structural global deficit in silver supply, offering investors exposure to a high-impact silver opportunity with district-scale discovery potential, existing infrastructure, and a low-cost development pathway.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Rio Silver Completes Acquisition of Maria Norte Property in Peru
Positive
Dec 13, 2025

Rio Silver Inc. has successfully closed the acquisition of the Maria Norte Property in Central Peru, following regulatory approval. This acquisition involves obtaining 100% of the shares of Mamaniña Exploraciones S.A.C., a Peruvian corporation holding mining rights to the property. As part of the transaction, Rio Silver issued shares to Peruvian Metals Corp. and agreed to a payment plan over five years. This strategic move is expected to enhance Rio Silver’s operational capacity and strengthen its position in the Peruvian mining sector.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Rio Silver Expands Presence in Peru with Santa Rita Acquisition
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Rio Silver Inc. has acquired the Santa Rita Property in Central Peru, a promising silver-lead-zinc project, through a closed-bid auction. This acquisition expands the company’s presence in a prolific mineral belt, enhancing its strategy to become a pure-play silver developer. The Santa Rita project, located near existing operations, offers significant exploration potential with high-grade CRD mineralization, and the company is preparing for initial onsite work. The acquisition aligns with Rio Silver’s disciplined approach, providing 100% ownership without underlying royalties, and positions the company to capitalize on high silver prices and tightening global supply.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Rio Silver Advances High-Grade Silver Development in Peru
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

Rio Silver is advancing its Maria Norte project in Peru, with preparations for high-grade silver production underway. The company has completed a detailed site visit and is ready to launch its development program upon regulatory approval. With strong local support and a well-funded treasury, Rio Silver aims to unlock the potential of the emerging silver district. Additionally, the company holds valuable royalty interests and continues to explore district-scale opportunities, enhancing its financial position and growth potential.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Rio Silver Secures $2.2 Million in Private Placement to Boost Exploration Efforts
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Rio Silver Inc. has successfully closed its non-brokered private placement, raising $2.2 million through the issuance of 22 million units. The funds will be directed towards the exploration and development of its projects in Peru and Northern Ontario, with a portion reserved for general working capital. The announcement highlights the company’s strategic focus on expanding its exploration efforts, although the use of funds for the Maria Norte project is contingent on regulatory approval. This move positions Rio Silver to strengthen its operational capabilities and potentially enhance its market position in the mining sector.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Rio Silver Proposes Debt Settlement via Share Issuance
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Rio Silver Inc. has announced a proposal to settle $293,250 of its debt by issuing 1,396,428 common shares and 420,238 common share purchase warrants, pending approval from the TSX Venture Exchange. This transaction aims to improve the company’s working capital deficiency, potentially strengthening its financial position and operational capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025