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Parkland (TSE:PKI)
TSX:PKI

Parkland (PKI) AI Stock Analysis

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Parkland

(TSX:PKI)

65Neutral
Parkland's overall stock score reflects a company with strong operational performance and strategic initiatives, but facing challenges in profitability and valuation. Financial stability is supported by robust cash flows, while technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. Corporate developments offer potential upside, but strategic challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Dividends
PKI announced a modest 3% bump in its quarterly dividend to $0.36/share, offering a ~4% annualized yield.
Free Cash Flow
The company's free cash flow yield remains strong at over 10%, which underpins the Outperform rating.
Valuation
Longer-term upside is believed to lie in its shares, particularly given its compressed valuation.
Negative Factors
Earnings
PKI reported softer Q4/24 results due in part to weaker refinery margins.
Refinery Operations
Unexpected refinery downtime trims the Q4/24 outlook.
Refining Margins
PKI’s 3Q24 results reflected lower-than-expected refining margins due to depressed crack spreads and lower capture rates.

Parkland (PKI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Parkland Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParkland Corporation (PKI) is an established player in the energy sector, primarily engaged in the marketing, distribution, and retailing of petroleum products and related services. The company operates across various segments, including retail, commercial, and wholesale, serving customers in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean. Parkland's core products include gasoline, diesel, propane, lubricants, and other petroleum products, which are delivered through an extensive network of service stations, terminals, and distribution points.
How the Company Makes MoneyParkland Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of fuel and petroleum products across its retail, commercial, and wholesale channels. In the retail segment, Parkland operates a vast network of branded service stations under various banners, offering fuel and convenience store products directly to consumers. The commercial segment serves businesses and industries with bulk fuel deliveries, while the wholesale segment supplies fuel to resellers and other distributors. Additionally, the company benefits from its lubricants and propane sales, which contribute to its diversified revenue streams. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships also play a crucial role in expanding Parkland's market reach and enhancing its supply chain capabilities, thereby supporting revenue growth.

Parkland Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Parkland's financial performance reflects strong operational cash flow and healthy margins, though profitability is challenged by high debt levels and fluctuating net income. The company needs to focus on improving net income and managing debt levels to enhance financial resilience.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Parkland has demonstrated moderate revenue stability in the fossil fuels industry, with fluctuations in total revenue over the years. The gross profit margin has been consistent, indicating cost management efficiency. However, the net profit margin has decreased significantly in the most recent year, reflecting challenges in profitability. The EBITDA margin remains healthy, suggesting strong operational performance despite revenue volatility.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderately high, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. Return on equity has been variable, but the recent decrease in net income has impacted this metric. The equity ratio indicates a stable asset base, providing some financial stability even with high liabilities.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Parkland has shown strong operating cash flow relative to net income, indicating effective cash generation from operations. Though free cash flow is positive, growth has been inconsistent, potentially due to fluctuating capital expenditures. The company maintains a good balance of cash flow management, supporting its financial health.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
28.30B32.45B35.46B21.47B14.01B
Gross Profit
2.89B3.15B3.28B2.34B1.73B
EBIT
0.00930.00M1.25B788.00M394.00M
EBITDA
1.30B1.70B1.47B1.08B1.02B
Net Income Common Stockholders
127.00M471.00M310.00M97.00M112.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
385.00M387.00M653.00M284.00M262.00M
Total Assets
14.04B13.87B14.29B11.55B9.09B
Total Debt
6.64B6.36B6.97B5.56B4.16B
Net Debt
6.26B5.97B6.32B5.27B3.90B
Total Liabilities
10.88B10.69B11.25B9.22B6.83B
Stockholders Equity
3.17B3.18B3.04B1.97B1.92B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
960.00M1.30B823.00M508.00M589.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.53B1.78B1.33B904.00M934.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-524.00M-516.00M-1.23B-1.51B-515.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.04B-1.57B276.00M655.00M-367.00M

Parkland Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price34.32
Price Trends
50DMA
35.14
Negative
100DMA
34.41
Negative
200DMA
34.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
52.51
Neutral
STOCH
93.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PKI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 34.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.37, below the 50-day MA of 35.14, and below the 200-day MA of 34.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:PKI.

Parkland Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSENB
76
Outperform
$139.49B27.448.63%5.74%24.95%-17.19%
TSATD
76
Outperform
C$68.66B19.2818.66%1.02%11.62%-8.08%
TSSU
75
Outperform
$61.04B10.4413.82%4.50%3.25%-25.69%
TSIMO
74
Outperform
$44.17B9.6121.08%2.63%1.08%6.38%
TSCVE
70
Outperform
$28.83B9.4210.88%4.29%3.97%-22.22%
TSPKI
65
Neutral
C$5.98B47.124.00%4.11%-12.79%-72.79%
55
Neutral
$7.10B3.56-6.61%5.99%-0.03%-51.71%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PKI
Parkland
34.32
-7.06
-17.06%
TSE:CVE
Cenovus Energy
16.74
-11.59
-40.90%
TSE:IMO
Imperial Oil
95.49
0.74
0.79%
TSE:ENB
Enbridge
64.01
17.94
38.95%
TSE:SU
Suncor Energy
49.34
-2.69
-5.16%
TSE:ATD
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
72.42
-4.51
-5.86%

Parkland Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 5, 2025 | % Change Since: -0.64% | Next Earnings Date: May 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in membership growth, cost reductions, and international segment performance. However, these were offset by challenges in share performance, refinery and U.S. segment issues, and negative same-store sales growth. The strategic review aims to address these challenges.
Highlights
JOURNIE Rewards Membership Growth
Increased JOURNIE Rewards membership to more than 6 million members through strategic partnerships and targeted promotions, leading to impressive market share gains in 2024.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Reduced operating and MG&A costs by $50 million compared to 2023, more than offsetting inflationary pressures.
International Segment Growth
International segment delivered adjusted EBITDA of $171 million, up 9% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in Guyana and Suriname.
Dividend Increase
Announced a 3% dividend increase, marking the 13th consecutive annual increase.
Lowlights
Underperformance of Parkland Shares
Parkland shares have underperformed and do not reflect the intrinsic value of the company, leading to a strategic review.
Refinery and U.S. Segment Challenges
Refinery utilization impacted by an unplanned outage and unfavorable North American crack spreads. U.S. business faced unfavorable market conditions and lower demand.
Decline in U.S. Adjusted EBITDA
U.S. segment delivered $32 million in adjusted EBITDA, down $7 million from prior year due to market headwinds, including compressed retail fuel margins and hurricanes.
Negative Same-Store Sales Growth
Same-store sales growth was negative for the quarter, primarily driven by reduced traffic at M&M Food Market and the impact of the Canada Post strike.
Company Guidance
During the Parkland Q4 and Year-End Analyst Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, projecting an adjusted EBITDA of $1.95 billion. The call highlighted that the refined margins environment was more favorable than anticipated, with the Burnaby Refinery expected to operate at 90% to 95% utilization despite a three-week maintenance period in Q1. The company also maintained its commitment to a leverage ratio target range of 2x to 3x and announced a 3% dividend increase, reflecting its 13th consecutive annual dividend growth. Parkland outlined its strategy to reduce operating and MG&A costs by $50 million compared to 2023, exceeding inflationary pressures, and identified approximately 1,500 position reductions through divestments and synergy initiatives. Furthermore, the company noted that the JOURNIE Rewards membership grew to over 6 million, contributing to market share gains in 2024. Despite challenges in the U.S. segment, Parkland remains optimistic about capturing increased volumes and margins as market conditions improve, supported by a diversified business model and resilient execution.

Parkland Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Parkland Corporation Sets Date for Q1 2025 Results and Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

Parkland Corporation has announced the release date for its 2025 first quarter results, which will be shared after market close on May 5, 2025, followed by a webcast and conference call on May 6, 2025. The company will also hold its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on the same day, urging shareholders to vote using the BLUE Proxy for director nominees. This announcement is part of Parkland’s ongoing efforts to engage with stakeholders and maintain transparency in its operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder relations.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PKI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PKI is a Neutral.

Parkland Corporation’s stock score reflects a company with solid operational performance and strategic initiatives but facing challenges in profitability and valuation. The financial stability is underpinned by robust cash flows, yet technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. Corporate developments, including board enhancements and strategic reviews, offer potential upside but are offset by uncertainties such as the control bid from Simpson Oil.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PKI stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Parkland Counters Simpson Oil’s Control Bid, Reaffirms Board’s Leadership
Negative
Apr 22, 2025

Parkland Corporation has published a presentation to counter claims by Simpson Oil Limited, asserting that Parkland’s independent and experienced Board is best suited to lead the company’s Strategic Review and maximize shareholder value. The company criticizes Simpson’s attempt to gain control without offering a premium and highlights the lack of qualifications and independence in Simpson’s proposed board nominees. Parkland emphasizes its commitment to delivering long-term value for all shareholders and accuses Simpson of prioritizing personal financial interests over those of other shareholders.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PKI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PKI is a Neutral.

Parkland’s overall score reflects a company with strong operational performance and strategic initiatives but facing challenges in profitability and valuation. Financial stability is supported by robust cash flows, while technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. Corporate developments and strategic reviews offer potential upside.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PKI stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parkland Announces CEO Succession and Strategic Review Amidst Market Challenges
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

Parkland Corporation announced that Bob Espey will step down as President and CEO, with Michael Jennings appointed as Executive Chair. The company is undergoing a strategic review to maximize shareholder value, considering options like asset divestments and business combinations. Preliminary Q1 2025 results show an expected Adjusted EBITDA of $375 million, with challenges from macroeconomic and regulatory volatility affecting operations, particularly in the U.S. and California.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PKI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PKI is a Neutral.

Parkland’s stock score of 66 reflects a balance of strong operational performance and strategic initiatives against profitability challenges and high debt levels. While technical indicators and corporate events provide moderate encouragement, high valuation poses a risk. Improvements in financial metrics and strategic execution could enhance the stock’s attractiveness.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PKI stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Parkland Announces Board Nominees and CFO Appointment Amid Strategic Review
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

Parkland Corporation, a company involved in the energy sector, has announced the filing of its management information circular for the upcoming annual general meeting of shareholders. The company has added three nominees from Simpson Oil Limited to its board slate, including one on the special committee overseeing a strategic review. This move comes amid Simpson’s attempt to nominate nine directors, which Parkland views as a bid to gain control without a premium. Parkland has also appointed Brad Monaco as the permanent Chief Financial Officer, highlighting his strong leadership and strategic capabilities.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PKI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, (TSE:PKI) is a Neutral.

Parkland’s stock score of 66 reflects a balance of strong operational performance and strategic initiatives against profitability challenges and high debt levels. While technical indicators and corporate events provide moderate encouragement, high valuation poses a risk. Improvements in financial metrics and strategic execution could enhance the stock’s attractiveness.

To see Spark’s full report on (TSE:PKI) stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Parkland Enhances Board with New Independent Directors
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

Parkland Corporation has strengthened its Board of Directors by appointing Felipe Bayon and Sue Gove as independent directors. This move is part of Parkland’s ongoing commitment to strong corporate governance and board renewal. Bayon brings extensive experience from the global energy sector, while Gove offers deep retail sector expertise. Their appointments are expected to provide valuable insights as Parkland undergoes a strategic review aimed at maximizing shareholder value. Over the past two years, Parkland has added six independent directors to ensure a blend of expertise and fresh perspectives.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Parkland Corporation Declares Q1 2025 Dividend
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

Parkland Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.36 per share for the first quarter of 2025, payable on April 15 to shareholders of record as of March 21. This announcement highlights Parkland’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and reflects its stable financial performance. The dividend, classified as an ‘eligible dividend’ for Canadian tax purposes, underscores the company’s robust operational capabilities and strategic positioning in the fuel distribution and convenience retail industry.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parkland Corporation Announces Strategic Review Amid 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

Parkland Corporation reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and year-end 2024, highlighting an adjusted EBITDA of $428 million for the quarter and $1,690 million for the full year. Despite challenges in the refining and USA segments, Parkland’s retail and commercial businesses showed resilience. The company announced a strategic review to explore opportunities for maximizing shareholder value, which may include asset divestments or a sale of the company. This review is driven by the belief that the current share price does not reflect the company’s intrinsic value. Parkland’s liquidity improved significantly by year-end 2024, although its leverage ratio increased due to lower EBITDA and unfavorable currency translations.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parkland Corporation Sets Date for 2024 Year-End Results Announcement
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

Parkland Corporation announced its 2024 fourth quarter and year-end results will be released on March 5, 2025, with a conference call scheduled for the following day. This announcement reflects Parkland’s commitment to transparency and communication with stakeholders, as it continues to leverage its strategic advantages in customer loyalty and supply efficiency to maintain its competitive position in the fuel distribution and convenience retail industry.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Parkland Corporation Responds to Court Decision on Governance Agreement
Neutral
Feb 11, 2025

Parkland Corporation has acknowledged the Ontario Superior Court of Justice’s decision that Simpson Oil Limited is no longer bound by the voting and standstill restrictions in their Governance Agreement, initially established in 2019 to protect Parkland’s shareholders. Despite this change, Parkland remains committed to maximizing shareholder value and executing its long-term strategy while continuing engagement with all stakeholders. The company emphasizes its strong operational foundation and focus on shareholder interests, indicating that Simpson Oil’s representation on its board remains welcome.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.