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Patagonia Gold (TSE:PGDC)
:PGDC
Canadian Market

Patagonia Gold (PGDC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PGDC

Patagonia Gold

(PGDC)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.43
▲(114.00% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance—persistent large losses, ongoing cash burn, and a stressed balance sheet with negative equity and rising debt. Technicals are a meaningful offset with strong momentum (price above major moving averages and positive MACD), but valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Patagonia Gold's revenue growth of 14.89% indicates a positive trend in expanding its market presence and operational output, which could lead to improved financial performance if sustained.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships and joint ventures enhance resource access and operational efficiency, potentially leading to increased production and revenue stability.
Industry Focus
Patagonia Gold's focus on gold and silver mining in resource-rich South America positions it well to capitalize on regional mineral wealth and demand for precious metals.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates liabilities exceed assets, posing a significant risk to financial stability and limiting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flows highlight liquidity issues, which could hinder the company's ability to sustain operations and invest in future growth without external financing.
Profitability Issues
Negative profit margins suggest operational inefficiencies and a need for cost management improvements to achieve sustainable profitability.

Patagonia Gold (PGDC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Patagonia Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPatagonia Gold (PGDC) is a mining company focused on the exploration and development of gold and silver properties in South America, particularly in Argentina and Chile. The company aims to identify and develop high-quality mineral resources, leveraging its expertise in geology and mining operations. Patagonia Gold is engaged in various stages of mining, including exploration, resource estimation, and production, with a commitment to sustainable practices in the mining sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyPatagonia Gold generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and silver. The company's main revenue streams include the sale of dore bars, which are semi-pure alloys of gold and silver, produced at its mining operations. Additionally, revenue is supplemented by strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other mining companies and local stakeholders, which can enhance resource access and operational efficiency. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuating commodity prices, operational efficiency, and successful exploration efforts that lead to new discoveries and the expansion of existing mines.

Patagonia Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Patagonia Gold faces significant financial challenges. The income statement reveals persistent losses and negative margins. The balance sheet indicates high leverage and negative equity, suggesting financial instability. Cash flow analysis shows liquidity issues, necessitating improvements in cash management.
Income Statement
Patagonia Gold's income statement shows significant challenges with negative profit margins across the board. The gross profit margin is negative, indicating that the cost of goods sold exceeds revenue. Net profit margin is also deeply negative, reflecting substantial losses. Despite a high revenue growth rate, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. These factors suggest a need for operational improvements to achieve profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a precarious financial position with a negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is extremely high, suggesting heavy reliance on debt financing, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. Return on equity is positive due to negative equity, but this is misleading as it reflects financial distress rather than profitability. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting the company's insolvency risk.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating and free cash flows, which are concerning for liquidity. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in converting earnings to cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. Overall, the cash flow situation reflects significant financial strain, necessitating improvements in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.42M8.83M8.22M12.34M18.10M19.85M
Gross Profit93.72K-549.00K-2.41M-2.81M4.54M6.60M
EBITDA-5.71M-7.31M-10.17M-13.07M-6.29M3.00M
Net Income-7.97M-11.55M-6.30M-4.22M-11.17M-4.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets124.01M50.96M49.57M54.29M57.74M60.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.35M948.00K185.00K231.00K291.00K819.00K
Total Debt70.61M47.75M37.01M29.35M22.98M24.92M
Total Liabilities80.53M55.89M42.31M41.49M40.04M38.66M
Stockholders Equity-9.01M-2.96M8.87M14.30M19.09M22.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.82M-8.26M-6.19M-5.64M-4.82M-2.45M
Operating Cash Flow-7.19M-5.15M-5.74M-5.33M-591.00K-535.00K
Investing Cash Flow-26.53M-3.07M-294.00K-286.00K-3.89M-1.50M
Financing Cash Flow44.80M8.20M5.55M5.58M3.87M509.00K

Patagonia Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.20
Price Trends
50DMA
0.22
Positive
100DMA
0.17
Positive
200DMA
0.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
64.98
Neutral
STOCH
58.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PGDC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.31, below the 50-day MA of 0.22, and above the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PGDC.

Patagonia Gold Risk Analysis

Patagonia Gold disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Patagonia Gold reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Patagonia Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
C$93.60M-26.32-44.59%-56.33%
56
Neutral
C$78.00M-15.47-27.31%-3.73%
54
Neutral
C$100.37M-33.60-22.72%-5655.56%
53
Neutral
C$96.47M-37.32-4.10%43.20%
49
Neutral
C$193.00M-17.5114.89%-24.08%
48
Neutral
C$78.67M-16.67-41.14%42.42%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PGDC
Patagonia Gold
0.42
0.38
937.50%
TSE:CTM
Canterra Minerals
0.22
0.13
138.89%
TSE:DEF
Defiance Silver
0.27
0.08
39.47%
TSE:MMG
Metallic Minerals
0.37
0.23
164.29%
TSE:TUO
Teuton Resources
1.68
0.74
78.72%
TSE:CUAU
Forte Minerals Corp.
1.30
1.05
420.00%

Patagonia Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Patagonia Gold Advances Construction at Flagship Calcatreu Project in Rio Negro
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

Patagonia Gold Corp. reports that construction of its flagship Calcatreu gold-silver project in Rio Negro, Argentina, is advancing toward initial leaching, targeted for the first quarter of 2026, following the start of construction in early 2025. Mining began in August 2025, with blasting initiated in September and mineralized material now stockpiled ahead of placement on the completed first section of the leach pad in January 2026; the project hosts measured and indicated resources of 9.84 million tonnes grading 2.11 g/t gold and 19.8 g/t silver, for an estimated 669,000 ounces of gold and 6.3 million ounces of silver. Key supporting infrastructure—including an explosives magazine, chemical storage facility, power generation via three 1MW diesel generators, and a camp for up to 192 people—is largely in place, while processing facilities are nearing completion, with interim tolling arrangements for loaded carbon until Calcatreu’s downstream plant components are commissioned about six months after start-up. The operation has hired 135 employees, mainly from nearby communities, marking the first precious metals project in Rio Negro and deepening Patagonia Gold’s operational footprint in the province, and an updated NI 43-101 technical report on mineral resources and reserves is being prepared for planned release in the second quarter of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PGDC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Patagonia Gold stock, see the TSE:PGDC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Patagonia Gold Says No Operational Changes Behind Share Trading Surge
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

Patagonia Gold Corp. stated that its management is unaware of any material change in the company’s operations that would explain a recent increase in trading activity in its shares, following a query from the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization. The clarification aims to reassure investors that no undisclosed operational developments are driving the stock’s recent movement, underscoring regulatory scrutiny of market volatility and the company’s commitment to transparent disclosure for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PGDC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Patagonia Gold stock, see the TSE:PGDC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Patagonia Gold Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and Advances Calcatreu Project
Positive
Nov 27, 2025

Patagonia Gold Corp. reported its Q3 2025 financial results, generating US$3 million in revenue. The company made significant progress on the Calcatreu heap leach facility, completing key infrastructure and advancing earthworks. The relocation and refurbishment of the CIC plant were completed, with installation expected in December 2025. Exploration activities included drilling, trenching, and ground magnetics surveying. These developments position Patagonia Gold to commence heap leaching at Calcatreu in early 2026, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PGDC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Patagonia Gold stock, see the TSE:PGDC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026