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Provenance Gold Corp.
(PAU)
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Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.17
▼(-35.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance typical of a pre-revenue explorer—widening losses and ongoing negative cash flow—despite low leverage. Technicals add modest downside bias with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation remains challenged by losses (negative P/E) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / stronger capitalization
Very low debt and a materially larger equity base provide durable solvency protection for an explorer. This structural capital cushion reduces bankruptcy risk, improves optionality to pursue targets, and increases ability to raise incremental financing without immediate distress over a 2–6 month horizon.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue profile with widening losses
A sustained pre-revenue model with increasing net losses is a structural profitability challenge. Without operating income, the company cannot self-fund growth; persistent widening losses increase financing frequency and dilution risk and raise the threshold for project returns to justify further investment.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / stronger capitalization
Very low debt and a materially larger equity base provide durable solvency protection for an explorer. This structural capital cushion reduces bankruptcy risk, improves optionality to pursue targets, and increases ability to raise incremental financing without immediate distress over a 2–6 month horizon.
Read all positive factors
Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$32.61M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)653.27K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.19
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS Growth-18.55%
CountryCA
EmployeesN/A
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryOther Precious Metals
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)>-0.01
Shares Outstanding186,318,530
10 Day Avg. Volume865,374
30 Day Avg. Volume653,274
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.18
Price to Book (P/B)3.01
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio-24.65
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Provenance Gold Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Provenance Gold Corp. is an emerging exploration firm dedicated to identifying, acquiring, and developing mineral resources throughout North America, with a primary focus on gold and silver deposits. The company's significant holdings include seve...
How the Company Makes Money
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Provenance Gold Corp. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gross Profit | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.86K |
| EBITDA | -2.35M | -847.00K | -512.00K | -361.00K | -339.00K |
| Net Income | -2.35M | -1.47M | -1.18M | -1.05M | -882.00K |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 13.07M | 6.86M | 3.00M | 2.71M | 2.98M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.97M | 2.57M | 263.21K | 385.86K | 551.08K |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 47.50K | 47.50K | 47.50K | 47.50K |
| Total Liabilities | 393.65K | 719.70K | 121.23K | 96.02K | 124.17K |
| Stockholders Equity | 12.68M | 6.14M | 2.88M | 2.61M | 2.86M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.55M | -2.02M | -1.34M | -939.40K | -2.45M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -1.55M | -705.49K | -510.93K | -517.31K | -807.07K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -5.00M | -1.31M | -832.39K | -447.92K | -1.66M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 7.95M | 4.32M | 1.22M | 800.00K | 2.98M |
Provenance Gold Corp. Technical Analysis
Neutral
0.26
Price Trends
0.19
Negative
0.23
Negative
0.25
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Negative
49.85
Neutral
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, above the 50-day MA of 0.19, and above the 200-day MA of 0.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:PAU.
Provenance Gold Corp. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
51 Neutral | C$62.37M | -169.23 | -1.55% | ― | ― | -166.67% | |
50 Neutral | C$24.58M | -4.63 | -162.44% | ― | ― | -29.34% | |
46 Neutral | C$50.46M | -4.24 | -54.11% | ― | ― | 42.45% | |
44 Neutral | C$36.83M | -5.75 | -36.26% | ― | ― | 46.77% | |
43 Neutral | C$32.61M | -12.24 | -28.01% | ― | ― | -18.55% | |
42 Neutral | C$27.91M | -4.86 | -1239.88% | ― | ― | 52.92% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
TSE:PAU
Provenance Gold Corp.
0.18
-0.05
-22.22%
TSE:BBB
Brixton Metals
0.68
-0.42
-38.18%
TSE:WEX
Western Exploration Inc
0.59
-0.07
-10.61%
TSE:MRZ
Mirasol Resources
0.32
-0.07
-17.11%
TSE:RK
Rockhaven Resources
0.21
0.15
255.00%
TSE:TSLV
Tier One Silver
0.10
<0.01
5.56%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.