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Provenance Gold Corp. (TSE:PAU)
:PAU
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Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PAU

Provenance Gold Corp.

(PAU)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.20
▼(-21.92% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance typical of a pre-revenue explorer—widening losses and ongoing negative cash flow—despite low leverage. Technicals add modest downside bias with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation remains challenged by losses (negative P/E) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Very low debt and near-zero debt-to-equity materially reduce solvency risk and fixed-cost burden, giving management flexibility to prioritize exploration activity or opportunistic investments without immediate debt servicing pressure. This structural balance-sheet strength supports longer runway for project advancement.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue Profile
No operating revenue means the business model is fully dependent on exploration success and external financing to create value. Over the medium term this raises project risk and creates binary outcomes: value is generated only if exploration converts into economically viable resources or strategic disposals.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage
Very low debt and near-zero debt-to-equity materially reduce solvency risk and fixed-cost burden, giving management flexibility to prioritize exploration activity or opportunistic investments without immediate debt servicing pressure. This structural balance-sheet strength supports longer runway for project advancement.
Read all positive factors

Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Provenance Gold Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Provenance Gold Corp., a junior exploration company, engages in the identification, acquisition, and exploration of mineral interests in North America. It explores for gold and silver. The company holds an option to acquire 100% interests in the S...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Provenance Gold Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue exploration profile with no revenue, persistent and widening net losses (about -$1.47M in 2024 to about -$2.35M in 2025), and consistently negative operating/free cash flow indicating ongoing cash burn and reliance on external funding. Balance sheet is a relative strength due to minimal debt and higher equity/assets by 2025, but continued losses pressure returns and could erode that strength over time.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.00-37.86K
EBITDA-2.35M-847.00K-512.00K-361.00K-339.00K
Net Income-2.35M-1.47M-1.18M-1.05M-882.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.07M6.86M3.00M2.71M2.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.97M2.57M263.21K385.86K551.08K
Total Debt0.0047.50K47.50K47.50K47.50K
Total Liabilities393.65K719.70K121.23K96.02K124.17K
Stockholders Equity12.68M6.14M2.88M2.61M2.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.55M-2.02M-1.34M-939.40K-2.45M
Operating Cash Flow-1.55M-705.49K-510.93K-517.31K-807.07K
Investing Cash Flow-5.00M-1.31M-832.39K-447.92K-1.66M
Financing Cash Flow7.95M4.32M1.22M800.00K2.98M

Provenance Gold Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.26
Price Trends
50DMA
0.23
Negative
100DMA
0.26
Negative
200DMA
0.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
41.21
Neutral
STOCH
20.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.21, above the 50-day MA of 0.23, and above the 200-day MA of 0.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PAU.

Provenance Gold Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
C$58.56M-61.48-1.32%-166.67%
44
Neutral
C$35.76M-11.64-41.78%43.37%
43
Neutral
C$34.22M-16.22-28.01%-18.55%
42
Neutral
C$59.36M-7.58-50.14%50.93%
41
Neutral
C$25.36M-6.74-162.44%31.98%
40
Underperform
C$31.45M-1,187.78-1239.88%38.81%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PAU
Provenance Gold Corp.
0.20
-0.02
-9.30%
TSE:BBB
Brixton Metals
0.80
0.25
45.45%
TSE:WEX
Western Exploration Inc
0.68
-0.17
-20.00%
TSE:MRZ
Mirasol Resources
0.36
-0.04
-8.97%
TSE:RK
Rockhaven Resources
0.20
0.13
185.71%
TSE:TSLV
Tier One Silver
0.10
<0.01
3.16%

Provenance Gold Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Provenance Gold Extends Herman Area Mineralization With Strong Eldorado West Drill Results
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
Provenance Gold Corp. reported strong assay results from the first two diamond drill holes in the Herman Area of its Eldorado West gold project in eastern Oregon, with hole EC-04 intersecting 2.18 g/t gold over 83.82 meters and high-grade interval...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Provenance Gold Starts Metallurgical Program and Reshapes Leadership at Eldorado Project
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
Provenance Gold has launched a multi-phase metallurgical testing program at its Eldorado project in eastern Oregon, aiming to evaluate heap leach viability alongside conventional extraction methods such as carbon-in-leach and gravity-flotation. Th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 17, 2026