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Provenance Gold Corp. (TSE:PAU)
:PAU
Canadian Market

Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PAU

Provenance Gold Corp.

(PAU)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.28
▲(8.46% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/24/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, widening losses, and negative/free cash flow implying ongoing funding dependence). Technicals provide the main support, with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Near-zero debt materially lowers solvency and interest burden, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund exploration through equity or project financing. This reduces short-term default risk and preserves optionality to pursue multi-stage drilling programs without heavy fixed costs.
Negative Factors
No Revenue / Widening Losses
Persistent absence of revenue and increasing net losses indicate the company cannot self-fund operations and remains dependent on external financing. Over a multi-month horizon this raises dilution risk, limits reinvestment capacity, and can delay project timelines if capital access tightens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage
Near-zero debt materially lowers solvency and interest burden, giving management durable financial flexibility to fund exploration through equity or project financing. This reduces short-term default risk and preserves optionality to pursue multi-stage drilling programs without heavy fixed costs.
Read all positive factors

Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Provenance Gold Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Provenance Gold Corp., a junior exploration company, engages in the identification, acquisition, and exploration of mineral interests in North America. It explores for gold and silver. The company holds an option to acquire 100% interests in the S...
How the Company Makes Money
Provenance Gold Corp. generates revenue through the exploration and development of mineral resources, primarily gold. The company's business model involves acquiring promising mining properties, conducting exploration activities to assess the valu...

Provenance Gold Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exploration-stage profile with no revenue and widening TTM net losses. Cash flow is a key weakness with materially negative operating/free cash flow and worsening free cash flow versus 2024, increasing reliance on external funding. Offsetting this, leverage is very low with near-zero debt and a growing equity base, reducing near-term solvency risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.00-37.86K0.00
EBITDA-1.57M-847.00K-512.00K-361.00K-339.00K-432.49K
Net Income-1.86M-1.47M-1.18M-1.05M-882.00K-442.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.76M6.86M3.00M2.71M2.98M416.06K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.65M2.57M263.21K385.86K551.08K34.31K
Total Debt0.0047.50K47.50K47.50K47.50K47.50K
Total Liabilities519.90K719.70K121.23K96.02K124.17K392.00K
Stockholders Equity8.24M6.14M2.88M2.61M2.86M24.06K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.31M-2.02M-1.34M-939.40K-2.45M-388.32K
Operating Cash Flow-1.58M-705.49K-510.93K-517.31K-807.07K-173.35K
Investing Cash Flow-2.98M-1.31M-832.39K-447.92K-1.66M-214.97K
Financing Cash Flow6.05M4.32M1.22M800.00K2.98M399.91K

Provenance Gold Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.26
Price Trends
50DMA
0.28
Negative
100DMA
0.27
Negative
200DMA
0.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
43.93
Neutral
STOCH
42.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.25, below the 50-day MA of 0.28, and above the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PAU.

Provenance Gold Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
55
Neutral
C$42.11M-16.55-27.48%5.07%
52
Neutral
C$78.46M-7.58-50.14%41.84%
52
Neutral
C$33.65M-5.16-51.11%
52
Neutral
C$29.75M-16.04-162.44%44.12%
48
Neutral
C$58.56M-23.79-1.07%-142.86%
44
Neutral
C$43.86M-1,187.78-1239.88%1.38%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PAU
Provenance Gold Corp.
0.24
0.08
50.00%
TSE:BBB
Brixton Metals
1.10
0.50
83.64%
TSE:WEX
Western Exploration Inc
0.64
-0.07
-9.86%
TSE:MRZ
Mirasol Resources
0.50
0.14
37.50%
TSE:RK
Rockhaven Resources
0.20
0.13
185.71%
TSE:TSLV
Tier One Silver
0.12
0.04
43.75%

Provenance Gold Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Provenance Gold Extends Broad Gold Mineralization at Eldorado West’s Tyee Zone
Positive
Jan 7, 2026
Provenance Gold reported assay results from the final seven reverse circulation drill holes at its Eldorado West Project in eastern Oregon, with five holes in the Tyee area’s Zone 4 confirming broad, continuous gold mineralization and higher...
Business Operations and Strategy
Provenance Gold Extends Eldorado West Mineralization With Strong Tyee and Striker Drill Results
Positive
Jan 7, 2026
Provenance Gold Corp. reported assay results from the final seven reverse circulation drill holes at its Eldorado West Project in eastern Oregon, with five holes in the Tyee area confirming broad, continuous gold mineralization, including signific...
Business Operations and Strategy
Provenance Gold Corp. Expands Mineralization at Eldorado Project
Positive
Nov 5, 2025
Provenance Gold Corp. announced the discovery of a new mineralized zone at its Eldorado Gold Project, with significant gold assay results from its step-out drilling in the Herman Area. The drilling results, particularly from Hole ED29, indicate st...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026