Orvana Minerals (ORV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$77.88M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 107.88K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.08
• Revenue Growth: 17.55%
• EPS Growth: -475.00%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 710
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 61
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): -0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 136,623,170
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 181,552
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 107,883
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$0.50
• Price Target Upside: -12.28% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: C$0.50 ▼(-12.28% Downside)

Orvana Minerals' stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows positive revenue growth but significant profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis suggests a lack of strong momentum, and valuation metrics are weak due to a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Strong revenue growth indicates expanding operations and effective market strategies, which can enhance long-term business sustainability and shareholder value.

Gross Profit Margin Improvement

Improved gross profit margins suggest better cost management and operational efficiency, which can lead to enhanced profitability over time.

Stable Balance Sheet

A stable balance sheet with a balanced capital structure provides financial stability and flexibility, supporting long-term strategic initiatives.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Persistent profitability issues can hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and may affect long-term financial health.

Increasing Leverage

Rising leverage could pose risks to financial stability, potentially limiting the company's ability to navigate economic downturns or invest in growth.

Decline in Free Cash Flow

A significant decline in free cash flow reduces financial flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Orvana Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orvana Minerals Corp., a mining and exploration company, engages in the evaluation, development, and mining of precious and base metal deposits. It owns and operates the gold, copper, and silver El Valle Mine and Carlés Mine located in the Rio Narcea Gold Belt, northern Spain. The company also owns gold and copper concessions in the Don Mario Mine situated in Don Mario district, southeastern Bolivia. In addition, it owns interest in Taguas property located in San Juan, Argentina. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Orvana Minerals Corp. is a subsidiary of Fabulosa Mines Limited.

How the Company Makes Money

Orvana Minerals generates revenue through the extraction and sale of precious metals, primarily gold and silver, as well as base metals like copper. The company's revenue model is based on the production output from its mining operations, where it processes ore to extract these valuable commodities. Orvana sells the extracted metals on the open market, often engaging in forward sales contracts to hedge price volatility. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its mining capabilities and access new resources. The fluctuation of global metal prices, operational efficiency, and strategic resource management are key factors influencing Orvana's earnings.

Orvana Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Orvana Minerals shows revenue growth and improved gross profit margins, but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is stable, though increasing leverage could pose risks.

Income Statement

Orvana Minerals has shown a significant improvement in its gross profit margin, increasing from 12.84% in 2024 to 27.50% in TTM 2025. The net profit margin has also improved, although it remains negative, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. Revenue growth is strong at 15.16% in TTM 2025, suggesting a positive trajectory. However, the company still faces profitability issues, as evidenced by the negative net income.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly to 0.72 in TTM 2025, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity has improved but remains low at 4.58%, reflecting limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure, but the increase in debt could pose risks if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Orvana Minerals has experienced a significant decline in free cash flow, with a growth rate of -144.83% in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.70, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow and its impact on financial flexibility are concerning.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	104.28M	90.31M	99.12M	94.67M	105.51M	101.99M
Gross Profit	29.14M	11.60M	6.72M	-6.20M	13.30M	-2.11M
EBITDA	19.99M	16.45M	20.36M	2.61M	19.76M	7.22M
Net Income	-2.89M	-4.95M	2.71M	-13.72M	-1.11M	-1.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	142.71M	138.57M	123.25M	128.78M	144.94M	150.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	19.07M	31.20M	8.33M	6.54M	11.33M	15.57M
Total Debt	39.62M	37.19M	16.14M	20.22M	14.71M	22.02M
Total Liabilities	85.89M	84.64M	66.69M	74.60M	75.07M	79.97M
Stockholders Equity	56.83M	53.93M	56.56M	54.18M	69.87M	70.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-3.58M	5.86M	9.37M	-12.91M	2.42M	2.75M
Operating Cash Flow	22.92M	16.48M	21.04M	7.17M	16.57M	11.44M
Investing Cash Flow	-26.52M	-13.18M	-11.55M	-18.73M	-12.88M	-7.56M
Financing Cash Flow	27.68M	19.64M	-8.06M	4.98M	-7.71M	-404.00K

Orvana Minerals Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.57
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.56, above the 50-day MA of 0.57, and above the 200-day MA of 0.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ORV.

Orvana Minerals Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.29B	7.21	-0.05%	2.89%	2.87%	-36.73%
ORV	55 Neutral	C$77.88M	25.59	-5.13%	―	17.55%	-475.00%
SM	50 Neutral	C$160.41M	―	-1.38%	―	―	96.42%
SSV	44 Neutral	C$96.47M	―	-15.71%	―	―	-45.67%
CKG	38 Underperform	C$139.72M	―	-1.66%	―	―	44.49%
OCG	37 Underperform	C$147.70M	―	-84.25%	―	―	-24.10%
ARK	―	C$110.88M	―	-48.87%	―	―	―

Orvana Minerals Corporate Events

Orvana Minerals Achieves Full Placement of EMIPA Bonds on Opening Day

Orvana Minerals Corp. announced the successful full placement of its US$24.98 million EMIPA Bonds II on the first day of trading in Bolivia, reflecting strong market confidence in the Don Mario Oxides Stockpile Project. The proceeds will be used to advance the construction process, with the goal of restarting production at Don Mario in early 2026, though additional funding will be required to fully finance the project.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Orvana’s Bolivian Subsidiary Secures Approval for US$25M Bond Issuance

Orvana Minerals Corp.’s Bolivian subsidiary, Empresa Minera Paitití S.A., has received approval for a US$25 million bond issuance to advance the Oxides Stockpile Project at the Don Mario property. This initiative is crucial for restarting operations at Don Mario and aligns with Orvana’s broader growth strategy. The bond offering, set to commence in September 2025, will provide the necessary funding to develop the project, with the goal of resuming operations by early 2026. This move is significant for Orvana’s strategic positioning in the Bolivian market and its efforts to generate cash flow from its Bolivian assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Orvana Minerals Reports Q3 2025 Results and Key Project Progress

Orvana Minerals Corp. reported its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, highlighting significant progress in its key growth projects. The expansion of the Don Mario Plant in Bolivia is on track for an early 2026 restart, with substantial construction and financing efforts underway, including a second bond program in Bolivia. In Spain, operational improvements at Orovalle have led to a 19% increase in gold equivalent production, enhancing cash flow and supporting the company’s strategic objectives.

Orvana Minerals Reports Increased Gold Production and Promising Exploration Results in Q3 FY2025

Orvana Minerals Corp. reported a significant increase in gold production for Q3 FY2025, with a 26% rise compared to the previous quarter. The company is preparing to ramp up production at the Carlés mine, which is expected to enhance production levels further. The exploration efforts at Ortosa-Godán have shown promising results, with potential connections to the Carlés deposit being investigated. Copper production has already surpassed the annual guidance, indicating strong operational performance. These developments are likely to strengthen Orvana’s market position and provide positive implications for stakeholders.