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Orvana Minerals (TSE:ORV)
:ORV
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Orvana Minerals (ORV) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ORV

Orvana Minerals

(TSX:ORV)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.50
▲(14.50% Upside)
Orvana Minerals' stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. While there is positive revenue growth and technical momentum, significant challenges remain in profitability and valuation, which weigh down the overall score.

Orvana Minerals (ORV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Orvana Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrvana Minerals Corp., a mining and exploration company, engages in the evaluation, development, and mining of precious and base metal deposits. It owns and operates the gold, copper, and silver El Valle Mine and Carlés Mine located in the Rio Narcea Gold Belt, northern Spain. The company also owns gold and copper concessions in the Don Mario Mine situated in Don Mario district, southeastern Bolivia. In addition, it owns interest in Taguas property located in San Juan, Argentina. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Orvana Minerals Corp. is a subsidiary of Fabulosa Mines Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrvana Minerals generates revenue through the extraction and sale of precious metals, primarily gold and silver, as well as base metals like copper. The company's revenue model is based on the production output from its mining operations, where it processes ore to extract these valuable commodities. Orvana sells the extracted metals on the open market, often engaging in forward sales contracts to hedge price volatility. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its mining capabilities and access new resources. The fluctuation of global metal prices, operational efficiency, and strategic resource management are key factors influencing Orvana's earnings.

Orvana Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orvana Minerals shows revenue growth and improved gross profit margins, but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is stable, though increasing leverage could pose risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Orvana Minerals has shown a significant improvement in its gross profit margin, increasing from 12.84% in 2024 to 27.50% in TTM 2025. The net profit margin has also improved, although it remains negative, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. Revenue growth is strong at 15.16% in TTM 2025, suggesting a positive trajectory. However, the company still faces profitability issues, as evidenced by the negative net income.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly to 0.72 in TTM 2025, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity has improved but remains low at 4.58%, reflecting limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure, but the increase in debt could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Orvana Minerals has experienced a significant decline in free cash flow, with a growth rate of -144.83% in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.70, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow and its impact on financial flexibility are concerning.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue104.28M90.31M99.12M94.67M105.51M101.99M
Gross Profit29.14M11.60M6.72M-6.20M13.30M-2.11M
EBITDA19.99M16.45M20.36M2.61M19.76M7.22M
Net Income-2.89M-4.95M2.71M-13.72M-1.11M-1.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets142.71M138.57M123.25M128.78M144.94M150.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.07M31.20M8.33M6.54M11.33M15.57M
Total Debt39.62M37.19M16.14M20.22M14.71M22.02M
Total Liabilities85.89M84.64M66.69M74.60M75.07M79.97M
Stockholders Equity56.83M53.93M56.56M54.18M69.87M70.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.58M5.86M9.37M-12.91M2.42M2.75M
Operating Cash Flow22.92M16.48M21.04M7.17M16.57M11.44M
Investing Cash Flow-26.52M-13.18M-11.55M-18.73M-12.88M-7.56M
Financing Cash Flow27.68M19.64M-8.06M4.98M-7.71M-404.00K

Orvana Minerals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.31
Price Trends
50DMA
0.76
Positive
100DMA
0.67
Positive
200DMA
0.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
62.54
Neutral
STOCH
31.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.76, and above the 200-day MA of 0.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ORV.

Orvana Minerals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
C$177.61M-5.13%17.55%-475.00%
50
Neutral
C$197.12M-1.38%96.42%
44
Neutral
C$160.48M-13.34%-46.46%
38
Underperform
C$159.59M-1.66%44.49%
37
Underperform
C$152.85M-84.25%-24.10%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ORV
Orvana Minerals
1.25
0.85
212.50%
TSE:CKG
Chesapeake Gold
2.42
0.22
10.00%
TSE:OCG
Outcrop Gold Corp
0.30
-0.02
-6.25%
TSE:SSV
Southern Silver Exploration
0.36
0.05
16.13%
TSE:SM
Sierra Madre Gold & Silver Ltd.
1.34
0.69
106.15%
TSE:ARK
Arras Minerals Corp
0.83
0.53
176.67%

Orvana Minerals Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Orvana Minerals Reacquires Royalty Interest to Boost Taguas Project
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

Orvana Minerals has strengthened its position in the Taguas Property in Argentina by reacquiring a 1% net smelter return royalty. This move is expected to improve project economics by reducing future royalty obligations, enhancing potential cash flows, and increasing flexibility for future partnerships or financing. The company plans to conduct a geophysical survey and deep drilling to explore the property’s gold-copper porphyry potential, aiming to advance its strategic options and capitalize on potential metal price increases.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orvana Minerals Reports Q4 FY2025 Results and Strategic Developments
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Orvana Minerals Corp. reported its Q4 FY2025 production and exploration results from its operations in Orovalle, Spain. The company produced 7,587 gold equivalent ounces in the quarter, with a notable decrease in gold and copper production compared to the previous quarter due to planned maintenance and ore sourcing changes. Despite the production challenges, the company highlighted successful exploration efforts, including significant drilling results at El Valle Boinás, which support its strategy to extend mine life by increasing resource inventory. The ramp-up of operations at Carlés is expected to further reduce operational risks by providing access to ore from two independent deposits.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Orvana Minerals to Participate in Munich Mining Conference 2025
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

Orvana Minerals Corp. announced its participation in the Munich Mining Conference 2025, with key representatives including the CFO and Director of Exploration presenting company operations and properties. This engagement highlights Orvana’s commitment to maintaining its industry presence and potentially expanding its market reach through strategic presentations and networking opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Orvana Minerals to Present at Mining Forum and Expand Taguas Exploration
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

Orvana Minerals Corp. announced its participation in the Mining Forum Americas 2025 in Colorado Springs, where it will present updates on its operations and properties. The company is expanding its exploration strategy at the Taguas Project in Argentina to include sulfide resources and deep copper-gold porphyry potential. This involves geological modeling, a geophysical survey, and deep drilling initiatives, with results expected to be evaluated by the third quarter of fiscal 2026. These efforts aim to enhance the company’s understanding of the Taguas mineral system and assess its strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Orvana Minerals Achieves Full Placement of EMIPA Bonds on Opening Day
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

Orvana Minerals Corp. announced the successful full placement of its US$24.98 million EMIPA Bonds II on the first day of trading in Bolivia, reflecting strong market confidence in the Don Mario Oxides Stockpile Project. The proceeds will be used to advance the construction process, with the goal of restarting production at Don Mario in early 2026, though additional funding will be required to fully finance the project.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Orvana’s Bolivian Subsidiary Secures Approval for US$25M Bond Issuance
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

Orvana Minerals Corp.’s Bolivian subsidiary, Empresa Minera Paitití S.A., has received approval for a US$25 million bond issuance to advance the Oxides Stockpile Project at the Don Mario property. This initiative is crucial for restarting operations at Don Mario and aligns with Orvana’s broader growth strategy. The bond offering, set to commence in September 2025, will provide the necessary funding to develop the project, with the goal of resuming operations by early 2026. This move is significant for Orvana’s strategic positioning in the Bolivian market and its efforts to generate cash flow from its Bolivian assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Orvana Minerals Reports Q3 2025 Results and Key Project Progress
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

Orvana Minerals Corp. reported its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, highlighting significant progress in its key growth projects. The expansion of the Don Mario Plant in Bolivia is on track for an early 2026 restart, with substantial construction and financing efforts underway, including a second bond program in Bolivia. In Spain, operational improvements at Orovalle have led to a 19% increase in gold equivalent production, enhancing cash flow and supporting the company’s strategic objectives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025