Orvana Minerals (ORV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$306.04M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 293.05K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): -0.36
• Revenue Growth: 12.51%
• EPS Growth: -150.40%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 710
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): -0.12
• Shares Outstanding: 136,623,170
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 261,699
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 293,048
• PEG Ratio: 0.00
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: C$2.00 ▼(-10.71% Downside)

The overall stock score of 51 reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability, and a negative P/E ratio. However, the stock's technical indicators show a positive trend, providing some optimism. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights into the company's future prospects.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Enhanced operational efficiency can lead to better profit margins and long-term sustainability, allowing the company to better weather market fluctuations.

Gross Profit Margin Improvement

An improved gross profit margin indicates better cost control and pricing strategies, which can enhance profitability and shareholder value over time.

Free Cash Flow Growth

Substantial growth in free cash flow suggests potential for reinvestment and debt reduction, supporting long-term financial health and operational expansion.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, potentially impacting future profitability and market share.

Negative Profitability

Sustained negative profitability can erode financial stability, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt effectively.

Increased Leverage

Higher leverage increases financial risk, potentially constraining cash flow and limiting strategic flexibility in adverse market conditions.

Orvana Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orvana Minerals Corp., a mining and exploration company, engages in the evaluation, development, and mining of precious and base metal deposits. It owns and operates the gold, copper, and silver El Valle Mine and Carlés Mine located in the Rio Narcea Gold Belt, northern Spain. The company also owns gold and copper concessions in the Don Mario Mine situated in Don Mario district, southeastern Bolivia. In addition, it owns interest in Taguas property located in San Juan, Argentina. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Orvana Minerals Corp. is a subsidiary of Fabulosa Mines Limited.

How the Company Makes Money

Orvana Minerals generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and copper concentrate produced at its mining operations. The company sells its products to various customers in the mining sector, which include smelters and refiners. Key revenue streams are derived from the extraction and processing of ore from its mines, with gold being the most significant contributor to its earnings. Additionally, Orvana benefits from fluctuating commodity prices, which can significantly impact revenue. The company may also enter into strategic partnerships or joint ventures that can enhance its operational capabilities and financial performance, although specific partnerships may vary over time.

Orvana Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Orvana Minerals faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as evidenced by negative net income and cash flow metrics. The company has increased its leverage, which could pose financial risks. Despite these challenges, there are signs of improved cost management and operational efficiency. The company needs to focus on stabilizing its revenue and improving cash flow generation to enhance its financial health.

Income Statement

Orvana Minerals has experienced a decline in revenue over the past year, with a revenue growth rate of -5.15%. The company also reported a negative net profit margin of -12.44% for the most recent year, indicating challenges in achieving profitability. However, the gross profit margin improved to 25.31% from the previous year, suggesting better cost management. The EBIT margin is relatively strong at 16.93%, but the EBITDA margin is lower at 4.72%, reflecting limited operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased to 1.52, indicating higher leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -27.13%, reflecting losses impacting shareholder value. However, the equity ratio stands at 27.44%, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing. The balance sheet shows a mixed picture with increased debt levels but a stable equity base.

Cash Flow

Orvana Minerals reported a significant increase in free cash flow growth at 356.31%, but the free cash flow remains negative at -16.34 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting difficulties in generating cash from operations.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	98.90M	98.90M	90.31M	99.12M	94.67M	105.51M
Gross Profit	25.04M	25.04M	11.60M	6.72M	-6.20M	13.30M
EBITDA	4.94M	4.67M	16.45M	20.36M	2.61M	19.76M
Net Income	-12.30M	-12.30M	-4.95M	2.71M	-13.72M	-1.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	165.19M	165.19M	138.57M	123.25M	128.78M	144.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	16.86M	16.86M	31.20M	8.33M	6.54M	11.33M
Total Debt	68.72M	68.72M	37.19M	16.14M	20.22M	14.71M
Total Liabilities	119.86M	119.86M	84.64M	66.69M	74.60M	75.07M
Stockholders Equity	45.33M	45.33M	53.93M	56.56M	54.18M	69.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-16.34M	-16.34M	5.86M	9.37M	-12.91M	2.42M
Operating Cash Flow	16.83M	16.83M	16.48M	21.04M	7.17M	16.57M
Investing Cash Flow	-34.05M	-34.05M	-13.18M	-11.55M	-18.73M	-12.88M
Financing Cash Flow	32.63M	32.63M	19.64M	-8.06M	4.98M	-7.71M

Orvana Minerals Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.24
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.88, above the 50-day MA of 1.63, and above the 200-day MA of 0.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.68 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.97 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ORV.

Orvana Minerals Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
ORV	51 Neutral	C$306.04M	-18.11	-24.86%	―	12.51%	-150.40%
SM	50 Neutral	C$261.65M	312.07	2.04%	―	694.29%	―
CAPT	48 Neutral	C$237.61M	-151.82	-6.80%	―	―	14.37%
BRC	47 Neutral	C$405.25M	-15.22	-151.33%	―	―	-198.87%
SSV	44 Neutral	C$265.92M	-28.33	-19.63%	―	―	-34.83%
KCP	31 Underperform	C$237.92M	-14.21	-92.85%	―	―	-20.12%

Orvana Minerals Corporate Events

Orvana Minerals Reacquires Royalty Interest to Boost Taguas Project

Orvana Minerals has strengthened its position in the Taguas Property in Argentina by reacquiring a 1% net smelter return royalty. This move is expected to improve project economics by reducing future royalty obligations, enhancing potential cash flows, and increasing flexibility for future partnerships or financing. The company plans to conduct a geophysical survey and deep drilling to explore the property’s gold-copper porphyry potential, aiming to advance its strategic options and capitalize on potential metal price increases.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Orvana Minerals Reports Q4 FY2025 Results and Strategic Developments

Orvana Minerals Corp. reported its Q4 FY2025 production and exploration results from its operations in Orovalle, Spain. The company produced 7,587 gold equivalent ounces in the quarter, with a notable decrease in gold and copper production compared to the previous quarter due to planned maintenance and ore sourcing changes. Despite the production challenges, the company highlighted successful exploration efforts, including significant drilling results at El Valle Boinás, which support its strategy to extend mine life by increasing resource inventory. The ramp-up of operations at Carlés is expected to further reduce operational risks by providing access to ore from two independent deposits.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Orvana Minerals to Participate in Munich Mining Conference 2025

Orvana Minerals Corp. announced its participation in the Munich Mining Conference 2025, with key representatives including the CFO and Director of Exploration presenting company operations and properties. This engagement highlights Orvana’s commitment to maintaining its industry presence and potentially expanding its market reach through strategic presentations and networking opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Orvana Minerals to Present at Mining Forum and Expand Taguas Exploration

Orvana Minerals Corp. announced its participation in the Mining Forum Americas 2025 in Colorado Springs, where it will present updates on its operations and properties. The company is expanding its exploration strategy at the Taguas Project in Argentina to include sulfide resources and deep copper-gold porphyry potential. This involves geological modeling, a geophysical survey, and deep drilling initiatives, with results expected to be evaluated by the third quarter of fiscal 2026. These efforts aim to enhance the company’s understanding of the Taguas mineral system and assess its strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Orvana Minerals Achieves Full Placement of EMIPA Bonds on Opening Day

Orvana Minerals Corp. announced the successful full placement of its US$24.98 million EMIPA Bonds II on the first day of trading in Bolivia, reflecting strong market confidence in the Don Mario Oxides Stockpile Project. The proceeds will be used to advance the construction process, with the goal of restarting production at Don Mario in early 2026, though additional funding will be required to fully finance the project.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Orvana’s Bolivian Subsidiary Secures Approval for US$25M Bond Issuance

Orvana Minerals Corp.’s Bolivian subsidiary, Empresa Minera Paitití S.A., has received approval for a US$25 million bond issuance to advance the Oxides Stockpile Project at the Don Mario property. This initiative is crucial for restarting operations at Don Mario and aligns with Orvana’s broader growth strategy. The bond offering, set to commence in September 2025, will provide the necessary funding to develop the project, with the goal of resuming operations by early 2026. This move is significant for Orvana’s strategic positioning in the Bolivian market and its efforts to generate cash flow from its Bolivian assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORV) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orvana Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORV Stock Forecast page.

Orvana Minerals Reports Q3 2025 Results and Key Project Progress

Orvana Minerals Corp. reported its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, highlighting significant progress in its key growth projects. The expansion of the Don Mario Plant in Bolivia is on track for an early 2026 restart, with substantial construction and financing efforts underway, including a second bond program in Bolivia. In Spain, operational improvements at Orovalle have led to a 19% increase in gold equivalent production, enhancing cash flow and supporting the company’s strategic objectives.