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Medicure Inc (TSE:MPH)
:MPH

Medicure (MPH) AI Stock Analysis

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Medicure

(MPH)

49Neutral
Medicure's overall stock score is 49, reflecting significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow generation. While the balance sheet is strong, the negative return on equity and declining revenues are concerning. The company's strategic focus on drug development and recent improvements in certain revenue streams are positive, but the technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. Continued efforts to improve cost management and enhance revenue generation are necessary for a more favorable outlook.

Medicure (MPH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Medicure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedicure (MPH) is a pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapeutic solutions. Operating primarily within the healthcare and pharmaceutical sectors, Medicure specializes in cardiovascular medicine, offering a range of prescription drugs designed to improve patient outcomes. The company's core products include branded pharmaceutical offerings that are utilized by healthcare professionals to treat various heart-related conditions.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedicure makes money through the sale of its pharmaceutical products to healthcare providers, pharmacies, and hospitals. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the direct sale of its branded cardiovascular medications. Key revenue streams include product sales in North America, particularly in the United States where it has established a significant market presence. Additionally, Medicure engages in strategic partnerships and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies to expand its product distribution and enhance its market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Medicure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medicure is experiencing significant profitability challenges with negative EBIT and net income, as well as declining revenues. The balance sheet is a relative strength due to low leverage and a strong equity position, but the negative return on equity and poor cash flow highlight inefficiencies that need addressing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement indicates challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and net income across the recent periods. Despite a gross profit margin of 56.4% for TTM, the net profit margin is negative at -9.65%. Revenue has also declined by 2.81% compared to the previous year. These factors highlight potential issues in cost management and revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 70.14% for TTM, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.046, indicating limited leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -10.18%, which raises concerns about the company’s ability to generate profit from its equity base.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning picture, with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, aligning with the profitability challenges. There is a significant decline in free cash flow growth rate, suggesting challenges in cash generation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.08M21.69M23.07M21.74M11.61M20.17M
Gross Profit
11.90M13.99M16.07M12.71M5.13M12.90M
EBIT
-3.83M-854.00K1.31M-574.00K-7.29M-10.73M
EBITDA
-1.59M1.27M3.44M2.39M-4.04M-17.72M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-2.03M-922.00K1.36M-727.00K-6.84M-19.79M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
71.89M6.37M4.86M3.69M2.72M12.96M
Total Assets
103.76M28.06M29.90M28.41M34.05M42.28M
Total Debt
0.00544.00K849.00K1.17M1.45M1.09M
Net Debt
-24.14M-5.83M-4.01M-2.52M-1.27M-11.88M
Total Liabilities
20.17M8.16M8.89M10.00M14.91M15.34M
Stockholders Equity
83.59M19.90M21.00M18.41M19.15M26.94M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-424.00K1.81M1.52M3.17M-2.24M-28.49M
Operating Cash Flow
-5.00K2.08M1.83M3.99M-2.24M-14.64M
Investing Cash Flow
-419.00K-270.00K-310.00K-2.69M-7.24M34.28M
Financing Cash Flow
-322.00K-297.00K-355.00K-316.00K-766.00K-30.26M

Medicure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.68
Price Trends
50DMA
0.80
Negative
100DMA
0.86
Negative
200DMA
0.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
43.70
Neutral
STOCH
41.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MPH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.83, below the 50-day MA of 0.80, and below the 200-day MA of 0.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MPH.

Medicure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSGUD
70
Outperform
$583.17M133.180.53%13.13%
TSHLS
52
Neutral
C$135.76M-23.20%-8.80%26.77%
TSMPH
49
Neutral
C$7.10M-9.72%-8.09%-285.97%
48
Neutral
$6.36B1.14-49.01%2.63%17.12%1.49%
TSTH
45
Neutral
$101.16M
6.07%80.33%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MPH
Medicure
0.68
-0.47
-40.87%
TSE:GUD
Knight Therapeutics
5.86
0.32
5.78%
TSE:TH
Theratechnologies
2.20
0.27
13.99%
TSE:HLS
HLS Therapeutics Inc
4.27
-0.77
-15.28%

Medicure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 25, 2024 | % Change Since: -24.44% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with notable improvements in net income and revenue growth for ZYPITAMAG and Marley Drug, offset by declines in AGGRASTAT revenue and a negative adjusted EBITDA. The company's strategic focus on new drug development and legal settlement income is promising, despite challenges in pricing competition and insurance coverage.
Highlights
Net Income Improvement
The net income for Q3 2024 was $680,000 or $0.07 per share, compared to a loss in the previous quarter and a net income of $84,000 in Q3 of the previous year. This improvement was largely due to a settlement payment.
Increase in ZYPITAMAG Revenue
Net revenues from ZYPITAMAG increased to $553,000 from $398,000 in the previous year, attributed to greater utilization through insurance formularies, specifically Medicare Part D.
Growth in Marley Drug Revenue
Marley Drug's net revenue increased to $2.7 million, up from $2.2 million the prior year, driven by a change in product mix and increased sales of ZYPITAMAG.
Successful Legal Settlement
The company recorded other income of $1.9 million due to a legal settlement with its contract development and manufacturing organization.
Launch of New Drug Development Initiatives
Medicure announced the development of a novel drug related to MC-1 with significant market potential and the acquisition of patents for new chemical entities.
Lowlights
Decrease in AGGRASTAT Revenue
Net revenues from AGGRASTAT decreased to $1.9 million from $2.4 million the previous year, primarily due to pricing pressures from increased competition.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2024 was negative $467,000, compared to $429,000 positive in the previous year, driven by higher Marley Drug cost of goods sold, lower AGGRASTAT revenue, and increased R&D expenses.
Foreign Exchange Loss
The company recorded a foreign exchange loss of $46,000, up from a loss of $17,000 in the prior year, due to unfavorable changes in the U.S. dollar exchange rate.
Challenges with ZYPITAMAG Insurance Coverage
Patients experienced challenges accessing ZYPITAMAG through insurance coverage, impacting revenue through insured channels.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Medicure Inc., the company reported net revenue of $5.2 million, consistent with the previous quarter. The net income for the quarter was $680,000, or $0.07 per share, which marked a significant improvement compared to a loss in the prior quarter and a net income of $84,000 in Q3 2023. This improvement was largely attributed to a settlement payment of EUR 1.5 million. The call highlighted a decrease in AGGRASTAT revenue to $1.9 million due to pricing pressures from generic competition, while ZYPITAMAG and Marley Drug experienced revenue increases to $553,000 and $2.7 million, respectively. The company also reported an increase in research and development expenses to $795,000, primarily due to ongoing clinical trials for MC-1. Additionally, Medicure emphasized its strategic focuses, including maintaining AGGRASTAT sales, expanding ZYPITAMAG and Marley Drug sales, developing MC-1 for PNPO deficiency, and advancing new chemical entities with significant market potential. Despite a negative adjusted EBITDA of $467,000, the company remained debt-free, with cash reserves of approximately $4.9 million as of September 30, 2024.

Medicure Corporate Events

Medicure Sees Revenue Growth in Q3 2024
Nov 25, 2024

Medicure Inc. reported a slight increase in total net revenue for Q3 2024, reaching $5.2 million compared to $5.0 million in the same quarter last year. Despite a drop in AGGRASTAT sales, the company experienced growth in revenue from its Marley Drug business, contributing to a notable rise in net income to $680,000 from the previous year’s $84,000.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.