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Altaley Mining Corporation (TSE:LUCA)
:LUCA

Altaley Mining Corporation (LUCA) AI Stock Analysis

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Altaley Mining Corporation

(LUCA)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.50
▲(7.91%Upside)
The overall score is driven by significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and leverage concerns, despite strong corporate events indicating strategic growth and recent operational success. Technical analysis provides a stable outlook, but valuation remains weak due to negative earnings.

Altaley Mining Corporation (LUCA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Altaley Mining Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLuca Mining Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in North America. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits, as well as base and precious metals. It holds 100% interest in the Campo Morado mine that consists of six mining concessions covering an area of approximately 12,090 hectares located in Guerrero state, Mexico; and the Tahuehueto covering an area of approximately 7,492 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Altaley Mining Corporation and changed its name to Luca Mining Corp. in March 2023. Luca Mining Corp. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltaley Mining Corporation generates revenue through the extraction and sale of precious and base metals, primarily gold, silver, lead, and zinc, from its mining operations in Mexico. The company's primary revenue streams are derived from the sale of these metals, which are extracted from its Campo Morado and Tahuehueto projects. By processing the ore extracted from these mines, Altaley Mining produces concentrates containing these valuable metals, which are then sold to smelters and other buyers in the commodities market. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as metal prices, production efficiency, and operational costs. Strategic partnerships and agreements with other mining companies and service providers may also play a role in optimizing its production capabilities and expanding its market reach.

Altaley Mining Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Altaley Mining Corporation is experiencing significant financial challenges, with negative net profit margins indicating inefficiencies, a high debt-to-equity ratio posing leverage risks, and negative free cash flow reflecting cash generation difficulties.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Altaley Mining Corporation has shown a mixed performance in the income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a gross profit margin of 22.47% and a negative net profit margin of -15.95%, indicating inefficiencies in managing costs relative to revenue. Revenue has grown significantly from the previous year, but the company continues to face negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07, suggesting potential financial leverage risks. The return on equity has been negative due to consistent net losses. However, the equity ratio of 35.34% shows a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a challenging scenario, with negative free cash flow and a weak operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow growth rate is also negative, indicating difficulties in generating surplus cash. Despite positive financing cash flow, the reliance on external financing for cash needs could be a concern.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue110.38M68.28M59.21M69.68M23.16M
Gross Profit22.49M1.47M3.01M34.26M-138.00K
EBITDA-3.52M-6.43M-4.54M26.72M-6.09M
Net Income-14.28M-15.00M-11.61M36.27M-11.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets194.12M147.06M133.20M108.81M52.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.68M2.72M1.15M6.96M4.53M
Total Debt73.13M40.89M52.29M50.05M43.79M
Total Liabilities125.54M92.18M104.84M78.13M79.64M
Stockholders Equity68.58M54.88M28.36M30.67M-26.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-880.89K-13.43M-11.19M-13.92M-3.15M
Operating Cash Flow6.62M-641.00K1.99M4.07M-3.45M
Investing Cash Flow-7.50M-12.79M-11.88M-17.99M1.27M
Financing Cash Flow12.90M13.72M7.62M16.98M2.85M

Altaley Mining Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.39
Price Trends
50DMA
1.36
Positive
100DMA
1.28
Positive
200DMA
0.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
54.31
Neutral
STOCH
51.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LUCA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.35, above the 50-day MA of 1.36, and above the 200-day MA of 0.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:LUCA.

Altaley Mining Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$9.96B9.44-0.15%2.99%2.10%-35.27%
57
Neutral
C$365.43M37.31-18.51%100.84%17.40%
TMTMQ
$233.60M-6.43%
WRWRN
$245.38M-3.62%
TSEMO
42
Neutral
C$364.49M-47.70%51.26%
38
Underperform
C$371.60M5,680.00-2.43%-2226.67%
$373.72M-111.91%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LUCA
Altaley Mining Corporation
1.39
0.83
148.21%
TMQ
Trilogy Metals
1.44
0.93
182.35%
WRN
Western Copper
1.23
0.08
6.96%
TSE:EMO
Emerita Resources
1.38
0.78
130.00%
TSE:PMET
Patriot Battery Metals Inc
2.29
-2.91
-55.96%
FWEDF
Fireweed Zinc
1.77
0.93
110.71%

Altaley Mining Corporation Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Luca Mining Corp. Announces Key Leadership Changes
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. has announced significant leadership changes with Mr. Ramon Mendoza assuming the role of permanent Chief Operating Officer, while continuing as Chief Technical Officer. Mr. Mendoza has been instrumental in optimizing operations at Luca’s Mexican mines, enhancing production and market performance. Additionally, Mr. Peter Damouni has been appointed as Chairman of the Board, bringing extensive experience in the natural resources sector. These changes are expected to support Luca’s strategic growth and operational excellence, with Mr. David Rhodes remaining on the board to provide ongoing guidance.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Luca Mining Corp. Reports Robust Q1 2025 Results and Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
May 28, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. reported strong financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025, with net earnings of $4.5 million and record revenues of over $47.4 million, a 117% increase from the previous year. The company achieved significant production growth across its mines, with gold equivalent production increasing by 51% and substantial increases in the output of other metals. The company also reduced its debt and maintained a healthy cash balance, positioning itself for a transformational year. Ongoing exploration efforts at both mines aim to expand resources and test the broader potential of its properties, indicating a strategic focus on long-term growth.

Business Operations and Strategy
Luca Mining Unveils High-Grade Discoveries at Campo Morado
Positive
May 13, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. announced promising drill results from its ongoing exploration program at the Campo Morado mine in Mexico, revealing new high-grade ore zones. These findings suggest untapped mineral potential near existing mine workings, potentially enhancing resource estimates and mine planning. The company’s surface drilling efforts are also expanding to previously unexplored areas, indicating a strategic push to broaden its resource base.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Luca Mining Corp. Strengthens Financial Position and Market Presence
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. has announced a significant increase in its cash balance to USD $21 million, driven by the exercise of share purchase warrants and strong operational cash flow. The company has reduced its debt to USD $8.5 million and expects to generate substantial free cash flow in 2025, positioning itself for exceptional performance amid strong commodity demand. Luca’s inclusion in the Solactive Global Copper Miners Total Return Index further enhances its market presence and potential for growth.

Business Operations and Strategy
Luca Mining Corp. Reports Promising Drilling Results and Safety Milestone at Campo Morado
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. has announced the results of its first underground diamond drilling at the Campo Morado Polymetallic VMS mine in Guerrero State, Mexico, marking the first such exploration since 2014. The company has also achieved a significant safety milestone, with over one million hours worked without a lost-time injury at the Campo Morado operations. The drilling results have revealed new mineralized zones, indicating untapped mineral potential, and the company plans to continue its exploration efforts to expand near-mine resources and test district-wide targets.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Luca Mining Achieves Commercial Production at Tahuehueto and Sets 2025 Guidance
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. has announced the achievement of commercial production at its Tahuehueto mine, marking a significant milestone in its operational development. The company has also provided its 2025 production guidance, projecting substantial increases in gold equivalent output and free cash flow. With a focus on operational excellence and strategic growth, Luca aims to eliminate its debt by 2026 and position itself as a leading mid-tier mining company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2025