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Altaley Mining Corporation (TSE:LUCA)
:LUCA
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Altaley Mining Corporation (LUCA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:LUCA

Altaley Mining Corporation

(LUCA)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.50
▲(4.90% Upside)
The overall stock score of 44 reflects significant challenges in profitability and valuation, despite strong revenue growth and improved cash flow. The bearish technical indicators further weigh on the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's strong revenue growth indicates successful expansion and increased market demand for its products, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Cash Flow Generation
Improved cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Leverage Reduction
Reduced leverage indicates a more stable capital structure, decreasing financial risk and enhancing the company's ability to weather economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative profitability metrics suggest ongoing challenges in achieving operational efficiency, which could hinder long-term financial performance.
Negative Return on Equity
A negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments, potentially limiting future capital raising.
Negative EBITDA Margin
The negative EBITDA margin suggests operational inefficiencies, which could impact the company's ability to sustain profitability and competitive positioning.

Altaley Mining Corporation (LUCA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Altaley Mining Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLuca Mining Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in North America. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits, as well as base and precious metals. It holds 100% interest in the Campo Morado mine that consists of six mining concessions covering an area of approximately 12,090 hectares located in Guerrero state, Mexico; and the Tahuehueto covering an area of approximately 7,492 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Altaley Mining Corporation and changed its name to Luca Mining Corp. in March 2023. Luca Mining Corp. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltaley Mining Corporation generates revenue through the sale of precious metals, primarily gold and silver, extracted from its mining operations. The company’s revenue model is based on mining and processing these minerals, which are then sold in the global commodities market. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of refined metals and possibly contracts for future deliveries at pre-agreed prices. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other mining entities or commodities traders can enhance revenue through joint ventures or off-take agreements, allowing Altaley to secure financing and market access. The company's focus on operational efficiency and cost control further contributes to its profitability.

Altaley Mining Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Altaley Mining Corporation shows strong revenue growth and improved cash flow generation. However, it struggles with profitability and return on equity. The balance sheet reflects a reduction in leverage, indicating financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Altaley Mining Corporation shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced a positive revenue growth rate of 15.16% TTM, indicating a strong upward trajectory in sales. However, profitability metrics such as the net profit margin and EBIT margin are negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The gross profit margin has improved to 25.93% TTM, suggesting some efficiency in cost management, but the negative EBITDA margin highlights issues with operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of Altaley Mining Corporation reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.24 TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage and a more stable capital structure. However, the return on equity remains negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio of 46.02% TTM indicates a reasonable level of equity financing, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows positive developments, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 120.74% TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43 TTM, suggesting that the company is generating cash flow relative to its net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33 TTM, which, while positive, indicates room for improvement in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue141.40M110.38M68.28M59.21M69.68M23.16M
Gross Profit36.67M22.49M1.47M3.01M34.26M-138.00K
EBITDA-12.08M-3.52M-6.43M-4.78M26.72M-6.09M
Net Income-26.23M-14.28M-15.00M-11.61M36.27M-11.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets163.11M194.12M147.06M133.20M108.81M52.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.15M14.68M2.72M1.15M6.96M4.53M
Total Debt18.04M73.13M48.71M52.29M50.05M43.79M
Total Liabilities88.05M125.54M92.18M104.84M78.13M79.64M
Stockholders Equity75.06M68.58M54.88M28.36M30.67M-26.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.29M-880.89K-13.43M-11.19M-13.92M-3.15M
Operating Cash Flow22.15M6.62M-641.00K1.99M4.07M-3.45M
Investing Cash Flow-14.23M-7.50M-12.79M-11.88M-17.99M1.27M
Financing Cash Flow16.23M12.90M13.72M7.62M16.98M2.85M

Altaley Mining Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.43
Price Trends
50DMA
1.38
Negative
100DMA
1.51
Negative
200DMA
1.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
49.45
Neutral
STOCH
63.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LUCA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.26, above the 50-day MA of 1.38, and above the 200-day MA of 1.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:LUCA.

Altaley Mining Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
$964.78M-7.00%7.70%
46
Neutral
$674.87M-1.92%41.98%
46
Neutral
$605.21M-14.90-106.96%0.74%
44
Neutral
C$350.57M-51.85%115.63%-615.54%
42
Neutral
C$384.98M-46.38%19.55%
38
Underperform
C$533.87M-103.13-1.89%-7040.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LUCA
Altaley Mining Corporation
1.28
0.75
141.51%
TSE:TMQ
Trilogy Metals
6.35
4.74
294.41%
TSE:WRN
Western Copper
3.51
1.96
126.45%
TSE:EMO
Emerita Resources
1.39
0.53
61.63%
TSE:PMET
PMET Resources Inc
4.69
2.04
76.98%
TSE:FWZ
Fireweed Zinc
2.75
1.34
95.04%

Altaley Mining Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Luca Mining Expands Drilling Programs Following High-Grade Gold Discoveries
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. has reported significant findings from its drilling programs at the Reforma and Campo Morado deposits, highlighting high-grade gold and silver intercepts. The company has expanded its surface and underground drilling programs due to these promising results, aiming to further define and increase its mineral resources. This expansion is expected to enhance Luca’s operational capabilities and strengthen its position in the mining sector, potentially offering substantial benefits to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Luca Mining Ensures Operational Continuity Post-Inspection at Tahuehueto Mine
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. has confirmed that its operations at the Tahuehueto Gold Project continue without interruption following a routine environmental inspection by Mexico’s PROFEPA. The inspection identified a small inactive area previously used for tailings storage, which does not impact current operations. Luca Mining is working on a remediation plan for this area, emphasizing its commitment to environmental compliance and responsible mining practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Luca Mining Corp. Grants Stock Options and RSUs
Neutral
Sep 18, 2025

Luca Mining Corp., a mining company, has announced the grant of 3,200,000 incentive stock options and 875,000 restricted share units to certain officers and directors as part of its equity incentive plan. This move is subject to approval by the TSX Venture Exchange and reflects the company’s strategy to incentivize its leadership team, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Luca Mining Corp. Reports High-Grade Gold Intercepts at Tahuehueto Mine
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. announced significant high-grade results from its ongoing drilling programs at the Tahuehueto Mine, particularly at the Santiago Deposit, which has not been mined before. The results indicate promising expansion potential, with high-grade gold intercepts exceeding expectations and suggesting new resource opportunities. These developments could enhance Luca’s operational capabilities and strengthen its position in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Luca Mining Expands Tahuehueto Mine with Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. has acquired a 100% interest in the Humaya 3 mining concession, expanding its land position at the Tahuehueto Mine in Durango, Mexico, by over 25%. This strategic acquisition, free from NSR royalties, enhances Luca’s exploration potential, particularly with the Santiago vein extending into the new concession, marking a high-priority drill target. The move aligns with Luca’s growth strategy to increase shareholder value through exploration and discovery.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Luca Mining Unveils Promising Drill Results at Campo Morado
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

Luca Mining Corp. announced promising results from its Phase One exploration drill program at the Campo Morado mine, revealing high-grade gold and silver intercepts. These findings, which exceed historical grades and widths, highlight the mine’s potential for resource expansion and underscore Luca’s strategic focus on precious metals, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Luca Mining Corp Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results Amid Strategic Investments
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

Luca Mining Corp reported strong financial and operational results for Q2 2025, with a 102% increase in revenue compared to Q2 2024, driven by increased gold equivalent production. Despite higher all-in sustaining costs due to significant investments in underground development and exploration, these efforts are expected to enhance future productivity and profitability, positioning Luca for long-term growth as a mid-tier production company.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025