Altaley Mining Corporation (LUCA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$436.86M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 401.85K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.70
• Revenue Growth: 115.63%
• EPS Growth: -615.54%
• Country: CA
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): 0.00
• Shares Outstanding: 269,667,020
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 357,571
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 401,849
• PEG Ratio: 0.15
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.37
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.85
• P/FCF Ratio: -106.92
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$3.00
• Price Target Upside: 85.19% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 50 Neutral
• Price Target: C$1.50 ▼(-7.41% Downside)

The overall stock score of 50 reflects a company with significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and liquidity, despite some revenue growth. Technical analysis indicates short-term positive momentum, but valuation metrics highlight ongoing financial struggles. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth Trajectory

Sustained revenue growth near 12% TTM indicates expanding production or sales execution. Over 2–6 months this supports higher scale, improved utilization of fixed costs and the potential to fund incremental operating improvements that can help drive a path to profitability.

Improved Capital Structure

A lower debt-to-equity ratio (0.26 TTM) materially reduces leverage risk and interest burden. This durable improvement enhances financial flexibility to fund development, withstand commodity volatility, and lowers refinancing risk, supporting medium-term operational plans.

Gross Margin Improvement

A 25.2% gross margin reflects better cost control or higher realized prices at the mine level. Sustained margins provide a structural cushion for operating profitability as volumes increase, improving the odds of converting revenue growth into positive operating results over time.

Negative Factors

Persistent Profitability Deficit

Despite revenue and gross margin gains, continuing negative EBIT and net margins indicate core operations are not yet profitable. Over months this limits retained earnings, undermines reinvestment capacity and forces reliance on external capital to sustain growth.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow reduces the firm's ability to fund capex, pay down debt or return capital. Persisting FCF deficits over the medium term increase the probability of dilution or higher-cost financing and constrain strategic investments in mine development.

Negative Return on Equity

A negative ROE signals that the company is not generating acceptable returns on shareholder capital. Structurally this weakens investor confidence, raises the cost of raising new equity, and suggests operational changes are required to restore long-term value creation.

Altaley Mining Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Luca Mining Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in North America. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits, as well as base and precious metals. It holds 100% interest in the Campo Morado mine that consists of six mining concessions covering an area of approximately 12,090 hectares located in Guerrero state, Mexico; and the Tahuehueto covering an area of approximately 7,492 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Altaley Mining Corporation and changed its name to Luca Mining Corp. in March 2023. Luca Mining Corp. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Altaley Mining Corporation generates revenue through the sale of precious metals, primarily gold and silver, extracted from its mining operations. The company’s revenue model is based on mining and processing these minerals, which are then sold in the global commodities market. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of refined metals and possibly contracts for future deliveries at pre-agreed prices. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other mining entities or commodities traders can enhance revenue through joint ventures or off-take agreements, allowing Altaley to secure financing and market access. The company's focus on operational efficiency and cost control further contributes to its profitability.

Altaley Mining Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Altaley Mining Corporation shows strong revenue growth and improved cash flow generation. However, challenges with profitability and return on equity persist, despite a reduction in leverage.

Income Statement

Altaley Mining Corporation shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced a positive revenue growth rate of 15.16% TTM, indicating a strong upward trajectory in sales. However, profitability metrics such as the net profit margin and EBIT margin are negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The gross profit margin has improved to 25.93% TTM, suggesting some efficiency in cost management, but the negative EBITDA margin highlights issues with operational profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Altaley Mining Corporation reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.24 TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage and a more stable capital structure. However, the return on equity remains negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio of 46.02% TTM indicates a reasonable level of equity financing, providing some stability.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows positive developments, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 120.74% TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43 TTM, suggesting that the company is generating cash flow relative to its net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33 TTM, which, while positive, indicates room for improvement in converting income into free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	158.34M	110.38M	68.28M	59.21M	69.68M	23.16M
Gross Profit	39.91M	22.49M	1.47M	3.01M	34.26M	-138.00K
EBITDA	-21.86M	-3.52M	-6.43M	-4.78M	26.72M	-6.09M
Net Income	-39.75M	-14.28M	-15.00M	-11.61M	36.27M	-11.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	220.60M	194.12M	147.06M	133.20M	108.81M	52.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.93M	14.68M	2.72M	1.15M	6.96M	4.53M
Total Debt	16.30M	73.13M	48.71M	52.29M	50.05M	43.79M
Total Liabilities	95.60M	125.54M	92.18M	104.84M	78.13M	79.64M
Stockholders Equity	62.95M	68.58M	54.88M	28.36M	30.67M	-26.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-2.40M	-880.89K	-13.43M	-11.19M	-13.92M	-3.15M
Operating Cash Flow	22.02M	6.62M	-641.00K	1.99M	4.07M	-3.45M
Investing Cash Flow	-23.79M	-7.50M	-12.79M	-11.88M	-17.99M	1.27M
Financing Cash Flow	6.13M	12.90M	13.72M	7.62M	16.98M	2.85M

Altaley Mining Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1.62
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LUCA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.48, above the 50-day MA of 1.37, and above the 200-day MA of 1.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:LUCA.

Altaley Mining Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TI	66 Neutral	C$512.34M	29.38	1280.38%	―	61.24%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
OM	54 Neutral	C$601.48M	-21.31	-19.38%	―	―	-57.63%
LUCA	50 Neutral	C$436.86M	-8.14	-51.85%	―	115.63%	-615.54%
NCX	49 Neutral	C$878.34M	-87.76	-31.51%	―	―	11.83%
ETG	46 Neutral	C$688.29M	-33.54	―	―	―	-41.18%
REG	37 Underperform	C$568.39M	-130.92	-6.29%	―	―	-67.96%

Altaley Mining Corporation Corporate Events

Luca Mining Hits Wide High-Grade Gold Zones at Campo Morado and Expands Drilling

Luca Mining has reported strong Phase 2 exploration results from its Campo Morado mine, with surface drilling at the Reforma Deposit intersecting wide, high-grade, gold-rich VMS zones, including 55.8 metres grading 5.90 g/t gold equivalent and 25.1 metres at 8.31 g/t gold equivalent. Underground drilling has also identified new copper-bearing mineralization within about 60 metres of current workings, underscoring potential to rapidly convert discoveries into mineable resources and extend mine life with minimal new infrastructure. In response to these results, the company has expanded its exploration program by adding a second surface drill rig, advancing over 7,000 metres of surface and more than 8,000 metres of underground drilling to date, while collecting metallurgical samples from Reforma and El Rey to refine recovery and support inclusion of these zones in the 2026–2028 mine plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Luca Mining Corp. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth and Strategic Investments

In the third quarter of 2025, Luca Mining Corp. reported significant year-over-year growth in production and revenue, driven by increased throughput and higher metal prices. The company achieved a positive net free cash flow of $5.3 million despite substantial investments in development and exploration. Luca’s strategic focus on enhancing mine efficiency and exploration is expected to improve grades, recoveries, and cash flow as it moves into 2026, with a commitment to a major three-year exploration program to unlock new gold resources.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.

Luca Mining Corp. Launches $25 Million Gold Exploration Program

Luca Mining Corp. has announced a three-year, US$25 million exploration program aimed at unlocking significant gold potential at its Campo Morado and Tahuehueto sites in Mexico. The program involves 80,000 metres of diamond drilling and utilizes AI technology to analyze extensive historical geological data, aiming to expand and define high-grade gold resources. This initiative is expected to enhance Luca’s production capabilities and strengthen its position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LUCA) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altaley Mining Corporation stock, see the TSE:LUCA Stock Forecast page.