Luca Mining (TSE:LUCA)
:LUCA
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Luca Mining
(LUCA)
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-34.64% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/11/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals—strong revenue growth, a shift to positive operating profitability, and positive free cash flow in 2025—partly offset by continued net losses and meaningful leverage. Technicals are weak-to-neutral with price below key longer-term averages and a negative MACD, and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained, multi-year revenue growth into 2025 demonstrates expanding production or higher realizations from core mines. Durable top-line improvement supports reinvestment, scale economics, and provides a foundation for margin recovery and longer-term deleveraging if maintained across commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Persisting Net Losses
Despite operating gains, continued net losses mean non-operating costs, interest, depreciation, or one-offs still erode earnings. Persistent deficits limit retained-capital buildup, constrain ROE recovery, and may necessitate external financing or equity issuance to fund growth or service debt over time.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained, multi-year revenue growth into 2025 demonstrates expanding production or higher realizations from core mines. Durable top-line improvement supports reinvestment, scale economics, and provides a foundation for margin recovery and longer-term deleveraging if maintained across commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors
Luca Mining (LUCA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$327.42M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)401.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.34
Revenue Growth123.29%
EPS Growth-70.10%
CountryCA
Employees111
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryIndustrial Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.10
Shares Outstanding275,143,160
10 Day Avg. Volume357,571
30 Day Avg. Volume401,849
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.64
Price to Book (P/B)6.48
Price to Sales (P/S)2.11
P/FCF Ratio45.66
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$3.58Price Target Upside134.20% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.16
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$241.00M
Luca Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Luca Mining Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in North America. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits, as well as base and precious metals. It holds 100% ...
How the Company Makes Money
Luca Mining makes money primarily by producing and selling metal-bearing products generated from its mining operations. Revenue is earned when ore is mined and processed into saleable concentrate and/or doré (depending on the operation), which is ...
Luca Mining Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
51
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Dec 2022 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 179.92M | 110.38M | 68.28M | 59.21M | 69.68M |
| Gross Profit | 48.73M | 22.49M | 1.47M | 3.01M | 34.26M |
| EBITDA | 39.69M | -3.52M | -6.43M | -4.78M | 26.72M |
| Net Income | -21.42M | -14.28M | -15.00M | -11.61M | 36.27M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 183.77M | 194.12M | 147.06M | 133.20M | 108.81M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 25.47M | 14.68M | 2.72M | 1.15M | 6.96M |
| Total Debt | 67.27M | 73.13M | 48.71M | 52.29M | 50.05M |
| Total Liabilities | 125.08M | 125.54M | 92.18M | 104.84M | 78.13M |
| Stockholders Equity | 58.69M | 68.58M | 54.88M | 28.36M | 30.67M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 8.33M | -880.89K | -13.43M | -11.19M | -13.92M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 36.08M | 6.62M | -641.00K | 1.99M | 4.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -27.75M | -7.50M | -12.79M | -11.88M | -17.99M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 6.83M | 12.90M | 13.72M | 7.62M | 16.98M |
Luca Mining Technical Analysis
Negative
1.53
Price Trends
1.38
Negative
1.58
Negative
1.53
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.05
Positive
36.78
Neutral
21.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LUCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.28, above the 50-day MA of 1.38, and above the 200-day MA of 1.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:LUCA.
Luca Mining Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
54 Neutral | C$1.21B | 82.35 | -0.35% | ― | ― | -123.71% | |
51 Neutral | C$327.42M | -15.62 | -28.83% | ― | 123.29% | -70.10% | |
48 Neutral | C$485.86M | -118.64 | -5.64% | ― | ― | 3.45% | |
47 Neutral | C$938.73M | -28.80 | -47.15% | ― | ― | -21.97% | |
46 Neutral | C$513.09M | -31.50 | 13.55% | ― | ― | 7.10% | |
45 Neutral | C$310.59M | -5.39 | -174.98% | ― | 8.44% | -234.26% |
* General Sector Average
TSE:LUCA
Luca Mining
1.19
-0.21
-15.00%
TSE:ETG
Entree Gold
2.46
0.12
5.13%
TSE:OM
Osisko Metals Incorporated
1.63
1.17
254.35%
TSE:NCX
NorthIsle Copper and Gold
2.83
1.98
232.94%
TSE:REG
Regulus Resources
3.87
1.75
82.55%
TSE:TI
Titan Mining Corporation
3.16
2.40
313.07%
Luca Mining Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Luca Mining Bolsters Technical Bench With New COO to Drive Campo Morado Expansion
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
Luca Mining Corp. has strengthened its technical leadership by appointing veteran mining executive Nick Shakesby as Chief Operating Officer effective April 1, 2026, while current COO and Chief Technical Officer Ramón Mendoza transitions to a ...
Business Operations and Strategy
Luca Mining Hits High-Grade Gold at Tahuehueto, Boosts 2026 Drill Budget
Positive
Mar 5, 2026
Luca Mining has reported strong new drill results from its 2026 program at the Tahuehueto mine in Mexico, including a standout intercept of 7.6 metres grading 16.1 g/t gold equivalent and another of 5.4 metres at 16.0 g/t gold equivalent from surf...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.