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Lowell Farms (TSE:LOWL)
:LOWL

Lowell Farms (LOWL) AI Stock Analysis

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Lowell Farms

(LOWL)

Rating:34Underperform
Price Target:
Lowell Farms faces critical financial and operational challenges, with consistent revenue declines and negative profitability metrics. High leverage and negative cash flows exacerbate the risk profile. Despite some strategic expansions and cost-cutting measures, the company struggles with supply chain issues and a weak financial position. Technical indicators are neutral, but the overall financial health remains a significant concern.

Lowell Farms (LOWL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Lowell Farms Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLowell Farms Inc. engages in the cultivation, extraction, manufacturing, sale, marketing, and distribution of cannabis products to retail dispensaries in California. The company provides flowers, vape pens, oils, extracts, chocolate edibles, mints, gummies, topicals, tinctures, and pre-rolls under the Lowell Herb Co., Lowell Smokes, Cypress Reserve, Flavor Extracts, Kaizen, House Weed, Moon, Altai, Humble Flower, Original Pot Company, and CannaStripe brands. It also offers manufacturing, extraction, and distribution services to third-party cannabis and cannabis branding companies. The company was formerly known as Indus Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Lowell Farms Inc. in March 2021. Lowell Farms Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in Salinas, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLowell Farms makes money through the sale of its cannabis products across various segments, including wholesale and retail distribution. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of its branded flower and pre-roll products through retail dispensaries and partnerships with other cannabis retailers. Lowell Farms also generates revenue from its extraction and manufacturing capabilities, producing oils and concentrates that are sold under its own brand or white-labeled for other companies. Significant partnerships with distribution networks and retail chains increase its market reach and contribute to its earnings. The company focuses on maintaining a strong brand presence and product quality to drive sales and business growth.

Lowell Farms Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:May 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reveals a mixed sentiment. While Lowell Farms has made strategic expansions into the California retail market and secured new manufacturing partnerships, they are facing significant revenue declines and gross margin challenges. Supply chain issues and financial position constraints further complicate their outlook. However, cost reduction measures and efficiency improvements provide some optimism for future quarters.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Expansion into California Retail Market
Lowell Farms announced strategic initiatives for entering the California retail market, leveraging brand presence and integrated model to capture critical margins and support financial goals.
Manufacturing Division Partnerships
Onboarded three new brand partnerships in Q3, including TYSON 2.0 35's collaboration and Marigold Sweets, enhancing brand equity and revenue growth.
Efficiency Improvements in CPG Segment
Achieved a 24% increase in sales for the 35 category, reflecting improved efficiency on the automated packaging line.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Reorganized operations and downsized staffing by 45%, resulting in expected savings of $546,000 in Q4 2024.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Net revenue for Q3 was $3.2 million, down 8% sequentially and 48% year-over-year. CPG revenue decreased 15% sequentially and 21% year-over-year.
Gross Margin Decline
Reported negative 29% gross margin in Q3, attributed to selling through higher cost inventory from the cultivation facility.
Supply Chain Challenges
Revenue for distributed brand partners declined by 22% due to supply chain issues, including harvest yield problems and operational pauses.
Significant Drop in Weights Category
Weights category experienced a 57% revenue decline, primarily due to inventory shortages from third-party partners.
Financial Position
Negative working capital of $1.9 million at the end of the quarter, with cash decreasing to $0.3 million.
Company Guidance
During the Lowell Farms Inc. Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed financial guidance and strategic updates. In Q3 2024, Lowell Farms reported net revenue of $3.2 million, reflecting an 8% sequential decline and a 48% year-over-year decrease. The Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) segment saw a 15% sequential revenue decline to $3.5 million, with Lowell brand revenues contributing $2 million. The company introduced strategic retail initiatives in California, expanded its brand portfolio, and strengthened its manufacturing partnerships, including onboarding three new brands. Operational efficiencies led to a 24% quarter-over-quarter sales increase in the 35 pre-roll category, reaching approximately $844,000. However, the gross margin was reported at negative 29% due to higher cost inventory sales. Operating expenses, impacted by $0.6 million in bad debt, were $1.8 million or 57% of sales, while the net loss stood at $3.6 million. Looking forward, the company aims to improve supply chain resilience and operational efficiency, focusing on strategic partnerships and cost management to drive future growth.

Lowell Farms Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lowell Farms is facing severe financial challenges, characterized by persistent losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. The income statement shows declining revenue and margins, the balance sheet reflects high debt and negative equity, and cash flow metrics indicate significant cash management issues.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Lowell Farms has shown a declining trend in revenue over the years, with the latest TTM revenue being significantly lower than previous years. The company has consistently reported negative gross profit margins and net profit margins, indicating operational inefficiencies and sustained losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, further highlighting the unprofitability. The revenue growth rate has been negative, reflecting shrinking sales volumes.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating substantial leverage that may pose financial risks, especially given the negative equity trend. The return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, leading to diminished shareholder value. The equity ratio is low, reflecting a high dependency on debt financing. The declining total assets and stockholders' equity are concerning.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Lowell Farms' cash flow situation is troubling, with negative operating and free cash flows, signaling cash outflows exceeding inflows. The free cash flow growth rate remains negative, demonstrating a lack of improvement in cash generation. Ratios of operating and free cash flow to net income are not meaningful due to negative values, highlighting persistent cash management issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
19.34M28.27M43.53M53.72M42.62M37.05M
Gross Profit
-9.54M-7.44M-1.84M2.48M19.09M-9.23M
EBIT
-17.89M-17.56M-17.12M-20.95M-28.00K-46.40M
EBITDA
-17.63M-14.10M-10.21M-15.60M-15.15M-44.99M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-20.72M-37.34M-24.56M-24.68M-7.62M-50.75M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
13.18K3.44M1.10M7.89M25.75M1.34M
Total Assets
18.11K37.61M118.82M137.38M112.38M69.21M
Total Debt
56.50K17.52M64.39M59.61M54.05M35.26M
Net Debt
43.31K15.21M63.30M51.73M28.30M33.91M
Total Liabilities
193.02K26.14M70.71M67.07M66.26M44.85M
Stockholders Equity
11.48M48.12M70.31M46.12M24.36M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-5.76M-6.18M-10.69M-29.64M-14.60M-49.31M
Operating Cash Flow
-5.68M-6.04M-6.44M-26.05M-7.75M-39.32M
Investing Cash Flow
516.47K-135.00K-4.19M-7.77M-5.61M-10.06M
Financing Cash Flow
-60.38K7.39M3.85M15.96M37.77M40.42M

Lowell Farms Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
12.77
Positive
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LOWL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 12.77 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:LOWL.

Lowell Farms Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$5.34B3.27-45.10%3.30%16.80%0.02%
34
Underperform
C$272.55K-145.29%-35.79%62.59%
C$488.91K
TSGHG
C$485.83K
TSXCX
23
Underperform
C$516.55K5.70%
$514.08K
$230.03K
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LOWL
Lowell Farms
0.02
-0.06
-75.00%
TSE:MLCL
Molecule Holdings
TSE:GHG
Global Hemp
0.02
-0.02
-50.00%
TSE:XCX
Greenrise Global Brands Inc
0.01
0.00
0.00%
TRLFF
Maven Brands Inc.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
TSE:GAIA
Gaia Grow Corp.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Lowell Farms Corporate Events

Lowell Farms Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Dec 20, 2024

Lowell Farms Inc. has appointed Philippe Faraut as the new Chief Financial Officer, bringing a wealth of financial expertise from his previous roles in the cannabis and investment sectors. This strategic move aims to drive growth and innovation as Lowell Farms continues to expand its footprint in the competitive cannabis industry.

Lowell Farms Faces Revenue Dip Amid Expansion
Nov 14, 2024

Lowell Farms Inc. reported a 48% drop in third-quarter net revenue, reaching $3.2 million as compared to the previous year, amid a challenging California cannabis market. Despite the decline, the company is optimistic about its strategic expansion into retail dispensary management, aiming to strengthen its brand presence and promote sustainable growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.