Lion One Metals Ltd (TSE:LIO)
:LIO
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Lion One Metals
(LIO)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.17
▼(-28.26% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/03/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash flow (negative operating and free cash flow) and strong bearish technicals (price below all major moving averages with weak momentum). These risks are partially offset by improving operating performance and a low-leverage balance sheet, plus seemingly cheap valuation based on the low P/E.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage / Balance Sheet Strength
Very low debt (debt-to-equity ~0.02) and a conservatively levered balance sheet provide durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, allowing the company to support exploration/development spending and absorb cash flow volatility while pursuing project milestones.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Generation
Negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow indicate ongoing cash burn and heavy funding needs. Over a multi-month horizon this raises financing and dilution risk, limits self-funding of development, and makes project timelines contingent on external capital availability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage / Balance Sheet Strength
Very low debt (debt-to-equity ~0.02) and a conservatively levered balance sheet provide durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, allowing the company to support exploration/development spending and absorb cash flow volatility while pursuing project milestones.
Read all positive factors
Lion One Metals (LIO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$66.47M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)3.3
Beta (1Y)1.62
Revenue Growth68.41%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryCA
Employees305
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryGold
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.01
Shares Outstanding402,854,400
10 Day Avg. Volume532,516
30 Day Avg. Volume1,070,777
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.32
Price to Book (P/B)0.44
Price to Sales (P/S)1.39
P/FCF Ratio-3.58
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$0.60Price Target Upside160.87% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$97.00M
Lion One Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lion One Metals Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation of mineral resources in Fiji. Its principal property is the 100% owned Tuvatu Gold project, which comprise four special prospecting licenses covering an area of approx...
How the Company Makes Money
null...
Lion One Metals Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 | Jun 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 70.63M | 57.97M | 14.75M | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Gross Profit | 24.18M | 13.60M | -16.50M | -145.00K | -155.00K | -155.00K |
| EBITDA | 27.10M | 15.60M | -16.98M | -3.46M | -2.34M | -4.05M |
| Net Income | 7.69M | -2.72M | -27.34M | -2.91M | -2.14M | -4.23M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 274.60M | 240.39M | 215.89M | 208.12M | 131.28M | 134.29M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 20.45M | 5.10M | 6.73M | 45.39M | 35.75M | 58.21M |
| Total Debt | 40.56M | 43.38M | 38.11M | 25.90M | 130.61K | 293.04K |
| Total Liabilities | 53.76M | 56.73M | 50.66M | 33.07M | 1.23M | 997.65K |
| Stockholders Equity | 220.84M | 183.65M | 165.23M | 175.05M | 130.05M | 133.29M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -22.82M | -22.58M | -57.96M | -46.23M | -16.63M | -10.57M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -874.93K | -5.69M | -26.66M | -5.62M | -2.72M | -2.02M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -23.39M | -18.76M | -21.33M | -60.09M | -14.57M | -20.44M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 33.57M | 22.71M | 20.95M | 69.53M | -142.50K | 55.98M |
Lion One Metals Technical Analysis
Negative
0.23
Price Trends
0.28
Negative
0.29
Negative
0.28
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Negative
41.65
Neutral
0.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, below the 50-day MA of 0.28, and below the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:LIO.
Lion One Metals Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
56 Neutral | C$66.47M | 3.32 | 3.86% | ― | 68.41% | ― | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
50 Neutral | C$245.27M | -4.02 | -107.49% | ― | ― | -25.88% | |
48 Neutral | C$125.12M | -10.34 | -22.31% | ― | ― | -13.56% | |
42 Neutral | C$113.37M | -27.33 | 1090.02% | ― | 48211.75% | -16.28% |
* General Sector Average
TSE:LIO
Lion One Metals
0.17
-0.12
-41.07%
TSE:ABI
Abcourt Mines
0.10
0.05
90.00%
TSE:MGM
Maple Gold Mines Ltd
3.50
2.55
268.42%
TSE:ACM
DeepRock Minerals
1.98
1.77
842.86%
TSE:SANU
Sanu Gold Corp.
0.29
-0.02
-6.45%
Lion One Metals Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Lion One Targets Reliability and Growth at Tuvatu Gold Mine as March Output Tracks Plan
Positive
Apr 9, 2026
Lion One Metals reported that its Tuvatu gold mine in Fiji delivered an average mill feed grade above budget in March 2026, with gold output tracking plan and mine development exceeding targets despite lower-than-planned throughput caused by equip...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Lion One Forms Special Committee, Rejects Shareholder Meeting Request
Neutral
Mar 31, 2026
Lion One Metals has formed a special committee of independent directors and, after consulting its advisors, determined that a March 9, 2026 shareholder request for a meeting is not a valid requisition, deciding it will not convene a meeting in res...
Business Operations and Strategy
Lion One Reaffirms Shrinkage Stoping as Core Method at Tuvatu Gold Mine
Positive
Mar 25, 2026
Lion One Metals moved to clarify market speculation about its mining strategy at the Tuvatu Gold Mine, stressing it has not abandoned shrinkage stoping as a core method. The company reports its first shrinkage stope, completed in 2025 in Zone 2, d...
Business Operations and Strategy
Lion One Starts Production Ramp-Up After Commissioning New Flotation Plant at Tuvatu
Positive
Mar 23, 2026
Lion One Metals has completed commissioning of a new flotation plant at its Tuvatu Alkaline Gold Project in Fiji, marking a key step in adding modern gold recovery capability to the site. The float plant, which uses air, water, and reagents to pro...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Lion One Invests in Permanent Evaporation System to Eliminate Water Discharge at Tuvatu Mine
Positive
Mar 18, 2026
Lion One Metals has approved a US$1.14 million investment in a permanent evaporator system to manage excess process water at the tailings storage facility of its Tuvatu gold mine in Fiji. The system, which includes a dedicated generator and option...
Business Operations and Strategy
Lion One Ramps Up Drilling Capacity at Fiji’s Tuvatu Gold Mine
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
Lion One Metals is overhauling its drilling operations at the Tuvatu Gold Mine, replacing an outdated underground drill fleet with three new high-performance underground rigs and an additional surface rig. The company has already improved the outp...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Lion One’s New CEO Outlines Phase 2 Strategy as Tuvatu Mine Ramps Up Under Budget
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
Lion One Metals’ new CEO, Campbell Olsen, has launched an inaugural monthly report to improve communication with shareholders and set out a “Phase 2” strategy focused on transforming the Tuvatu Gold Mine into a durable, higher-qu...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Lion One Faces Shareholder Requisition Amid Ongoing Governance and Financing Plans
Negative
Mar 13, 2026
Lion One Metals has received a shareholder meeting requisition from Concept Capital Management, which is seeking to remove two directors, fix the board size between nine and eleven members, and elect six of its own nominees. The company is reviewi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Lion One Names New CEO as Lender Declares Default and Arete Investment Awaits Approval
Negative
Feb 25, 2026
Lion One Metals has appointed mining executive and private equity veteran Campbell Olsen as its new Chief Executive Officer and director, expanding a board now chaired by President Walter Berukoff and confirming Olsen as the nominee of strategic i...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.