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Lion One Metals Ltd (TSE:LIO)
:LIO

Lion One Metals (LIO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:LIO

Lion One Metals

(LIO)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.32
▲(0.00% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, thin gross margin, and negative operating/free cash flow), partially offset by stronger technical momentum with the price above key moving averages and positive MACD. Valuation remains challenging due to a negative P/E and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates successful exploration and development efforts, enhancing long-term potential for monetizing gold assets.
Conservative Leverage
Low leverage provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing the company to navigate industry cycles and invest in growth opportunities.
Experienced Management
An experienced management team enhances strategic decision-making and execution, critical for successful exploration and development in the gold industry.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues indicate challenges in cost management and efficiency, potentially limiting reinvestment and growth capabilities.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flow impacts operational sustainability and limits the ability to fund exploration and development activities without external financing.
Low Gross Margin
A low gross margin suggests inefficiencies in production or high costs, which can hinder profitability and competitive positioning in the market.

Lion One Metals (LIO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Lion One Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLion One Metals Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation of mineral resources in Fiji. Its principal property is the 100% owned Tuvatu Gold project, which comprise four special prospecting licenses covering an area of approximately 13,619 hectares located on the island of Viti Levu in Fiji. The company is headquartered in North Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyLion One Metals generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of its gold assets, with a focus on the Tuvatu Gold Project. The company's revenue model is centered around identifying and proving up gold reserves, which can be monetized through potential future production or partnerships. Key revenue streams may include the sale of gold produced from mining operations, joint venture agreements with other mining companies, and potential financing through strategic partnerships or investments. The success of Lion One's revenue model is also influenced by market conditions for gold prices, exploration successes, and the ability to secure funding for operational activities.

Lion One Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lion One Metals is experiencing revenue growth but faces profitability and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but negative returns highlight the need for operational improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Lion One Metals has shown a significant revenue growth rate of 13.6% in the latest year, indicating positive momentum. However, the company is still experiencing negative net income, resulting in a negative net profit margin. The gross profit margin has improved but remains low, reflecting ongoing challenges in cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects a company in transition, with potential for growth but currently facing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a manageable level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is relatively strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. While the company is not highly leveraged, the negative ROE highlights the need for improved profitability to enhance shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Lion One Metals is facing challenges with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash burn. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income to cash. The company needs to focus on improving cash generation to support operations and future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue65.70M57.97M14.75M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit18.85M13.60M-16.50M-145.00K-155.00K-155.00K
EBITDA18.40M15.60M-16.98M-3.46M-2.34M-4.05M
Net Income-1.09M-2.72M-27.34M-2.91M-2.14M-4.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets266.87M240.39M215.89M208.12M131.28M134.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.89M5.10M6.73M45.39M35.75M58.21M
Total Debt3.29M43.38M38.11M25.90M130.61K293.04K
Total Liabilities61.31M56.73M50.66M33.07M1.23M997.65K
Stockholders Equity205.56M183.65M165.23M175.05M130.05M133.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.62M-22.58M-57.96M-46.23M-16.63M-10.57M
Operating Cash Flow-2.90M-5.69M-26.66M-5.62M-2.72M-2.02M
Investing Cash Flow-21.58M-18.76M-21.33M-60.09M-14.57M-20.44M
Financing Cash Flow28.51M22.71M20.95M69.53M-142.50K55.98M

Lion One Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.32
Price Trends
50DMA
0.28
Positive
100DMA
0.28
Positive
200DMA
0.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
59.66
Neutral
STOCH
52.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LIO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.29, above the 50-day MA of 0.28, and above the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:LIO.

Lion One Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$120.33M-36.67-15.41%48.28%
53
Neutral
C$126.90M-73.81-0.57%160.50%96.56%
50
Neutral
C$150.42M-23.68-91.76%16.91%
47
Neutral
C$129.71M-5.16-100.00%-7.21%
44
Neutral
C$99.68M-4.21
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LIO
Lion One Metals
0.31
-0.01
-3.13%
TSE:ABI
Abcourt Mines
0.12
0.07
130.00%
TSE:MGM
Maple Gold Mines Ltd
2.42
1.92
384.00%
TSE:VEIN
Pasofino Gold
0.66
0.16
32.00%
TSE:ACM
DeepRock Minerals
0.74
0.54
270.00%
TSE:SANU
Sanu Gold Corp.
0.28
0.12
71.88%

Lion One Metals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lion One Metals Announces Board Resignation Amid Ongoing Tuvatu Ramp-Up
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026

Lion One Metals has announced the resignation of Tayfun Eldem as an independent member of its board of directors, effective January 6, 2026, with Chairman and President Walter Berukoff publicly thanking him for his service and contributions. While the company did not indicate any immediate strategic changes tied to the departure, the board-level turnover comes as Lion One continues ramping up operations at its Tuvatu gold project in Fiji, a key asset underpinning its growth ambitions in the gold sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LIO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lion One Metals stock, see the TSE:LIO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lion One Metals Announces Sudden CEO Departure Amid Fiji Gold Ramp-Up
Negative
Dec 31, 2025

Lion One Metals has announced the immediate departure of Chief Executive Officer Ian Berzins, marking a significant leadership change at the Canadian gold producer as it continues to ramp up operations at its Tuvatu Alkaline Gold Project in Fiji. The move comes at a sensitive stage of the company’s transition from development to production, placing renewed focus on board leadership under President and Chairman Walter Berukoff as the company advances both its mining operations and regional exploration program.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LIO) stock is a Buy with a C$0.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lion One Metals stock, see the TSE:LIO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Lion One Secures $15 Million Strategic Investment and Operating Partnership for Fiji Gold Mine
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

Lion One Metals has entered into a strategic financing and operating partnership with Arete Capital Advisory, under which Arete’s syndicate will invest approximately $15.1 million via a non-brokered private placement of 44.3 million units at a premium to market, each unit comprising one common share and one warrant. The deal will give Arete a 9.9% equity stake on a pro forma basis and board representation, while a five-year master services agreement will see Arete assume operator responsibilities for the Tuvatu Gold Mine in Fiji, bringing technical, operational and financial expertise aimed at optimizing the mine, scaling production and supporting exploration-led growth; proceeds from the financing will be used for general corporate purposes and debt restructuring, potentially strengthening Lion One’s balance sheet and advancing Tuvatu’s path toward becoming a prominent underground gold operation in the Asia-Pacific region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LIO) stock is a Buy with a C$0.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lion One Metals stock, see the TSE:LIO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Lion One Metals Reports High-Grade Gold Intercepts at Tuvatu Mine, Strengthening Exploration Potential
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Lion One Metals announced high-grade gold discoveries from its underground infill and grade control drilling at the Tuvatu Gold Mine in Fiji, with significant intercepts such as 99.13 g/t gold over 3.3 meters and 218.31 g/t gold over 1.2 meters. The results, which demonstrate strong vertical continuity and proximity to existing mine workings, are expected to be incorporated into the mine plan within the next three to twelve months, enhancing the project’s operational potential and reinforcing its positioning in the gold mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LIO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lion One Metals stock, see the TSE:LIO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Lion One Metals Announces AGM Results and Strategic Approvals
Positive
Dec 13, 2025

Lion One Metals Limited announced the results of its annual and special general meeting, where shareholders re-elected four directors and approved the Omnibus Equity Incentive Compensation Plan. The re-appointment of Davidson & Company LLP as the auditor for the next fiscal year was also confirmed. These developments are expected to strengthen Lion One’s governance and operational strategies as it continues to advance its gold production and exploration activities in Fiji.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LIO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lion One Metals stock, see the TSE:LIO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Lion One Metals Reports High-Grade Gold Intersections at Tuvatu Mine
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

Lion One Metals has announced significant high-grade gold results from its recent underground drilling at the Tuvatu Gold Mine in Fiji. The drilling, which focused on the Zone 5 area, revealed high-grade gold intersections close to existing mine developments, with the potential to be incorporated into the mine plan within the next three to twelve months. These results underscore the potential for expanding the mine’s resources and enhancing its operational output.

Business Operations and Strategy
Lion One Metals Engages Atrium Research to Strengthen Market Position
Positive
Oct 25, 2025

Lion One Metals Limited has engaged Atrium Research Corporation to provide research services, including publishing reports and conducting interviews with the company’s management. This collaboration aims to enhance the investment case for Lion One, with Atrium receiving compensation for its services over an 18-month period. This strategic move is expected to bolster Lion One’s market presence and provide stakeholders with valuable insights into the company’s operations and growth potential.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lion One Metals Secures $33.63 Million to Boost Tuvatu Gold Project
Positive
Oct 24, 2025

Lion One Metals Limited has successfully closed its upsized non-brokered sidecar private placement, raising gross proceeds of $8.31 million. Combined with a previous offering, the company has raised a total of $33.63 million, which will be used to enhance mine development and production at the Tuvatu Gold Project, repay loans, and fund working capital. The successful fundraising reflects strong investor confidence and will enable the company to accelerate its operations and increase gold recoveries, positioning it well in the current gold market.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lion One Metals Closes $25M LIFE Offering, Upsizes Private Placement
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

Lion One Metals Limited has successfully closed the second tranche of its upsized non-brokered private placement, raising $25 million through the LIFE Offering. The company has also increased its Sidecar Private Placement from $7 million to $9 million due to high investor demand. The funds raised will be used to advance the Tuvatu Gold Project, repay loans, and for working capital. This move strengthens Lion One’s financial position and supports its strategic focus on gold production, potentially enhancing its market presence and value for stakeholders.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lion One Metals Boosts Gold Production and Strengthens Board with ESG Expertise
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Lion One Metals Limited reported a significant increase in gold production at its Tuvatu Gold Mine in Fiji, with a 31% rise in output to 4,200 ounces for the quarter ending September 30, 2025. The company achieved record gold recovery rates and underground mine development, highlighting successful operational improvements and the completion of its first shrinkage stope. Additionally, the company announced a change in its board of directors, appointing Todd Romaine, an expert in Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG), as an Independent Director, indicating a strategic focus on sustainability and governance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025