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Largo Resources (TSE:LGO)
TSX:LGO

Largo Resources (LGO) AI Stock Analysis

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Largo Resources

(TSX:LGO)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(8.11%Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily driven by financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and profitability, which are of significant concern. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics highlight further financial weaknesses due to unprofitability. While corporate efforts to improve operations are underway, the impacts remain to be seen.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The firm's commitment to cutting its cost base is highlighted, with operating costs and adjusted cash operating costs excluding royalties decreasing 15% and 27% YoY, respectively.
Joint Venture Opportunities
The formation of a joint venture with Stryten Energy could become a major force in the U.S. domestic vanadium production and supply chain.
Operational Improvements
Operational improvements at the site include a rise in recovery rates to 77.8% compared with 70.5% in the previous year.
Negative Factors
Commodity Market Weakness
Vanadium markets in China and Europe remain weak, with the European average benchmark price per pound declining significantly YoY.
Production Challenges
Unexpected challenges with refractory replacement at the site further impacted production levels.
Revenue Decline
Largo's notable decrease in revenue was driven by a sharp decline in the company's production and further exacerbated by weakness in the market price of vanadium.

Largo Resources (LGO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Largo Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLargo Resources Ltd. (LGO) is a Canadian-based natural resource company primarily focused on the production and supply of vanadium. Operating in the mining sector, Largo Resources is recognized for its Maracás Menchen Mine located in Brazil, which is one of the highest-grade vanadium deposits globally. The company specializes in the extraction and sale of vanadium products, which are critical components in steel manufacturing and emerging applications like energy storage solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyLargo Resources generates revenue primarily through the mining, processing, and sale of vanadium products. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the sale of vanadium pentoxide (V2O5) and other vanadium-based products to global markets, including steel manufacturers and producers of energy storage systems. Largo has strategic partnerships and supply agreements with various industrial and commercial clients, which ensure a stable demand for its products. Additionally, the company is exploring opportunities in the renewable energy sector, particularly in the development and commercialization of vanadium redox flow batteries, which could further diversify its revenue streams.

Largo Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -11.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view with significant achievements in production and cost management but faced challenges due to lower vanadium prices and market demand. While operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives show promise for future growth, current financial performance is still under pressure from external market factors.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Vanadium Production
Largo delivered its highest quarterly vanadium production in 7 quarters, producing 3,072 tonnes, up 42% from Q3 last year.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Operating costs decreased by 31% from $44 million in Q3 2023 to $29.5 million in Q3 2024, and cash operating costs, excluding royalties, were reduced by 43%.
Ilmenite Production Increase
Ilmenite production reached 16,383 tonnes, an increase of 90% over the previous quarter.
Increase in Mineral Reserves and Resources
A 67% increase in mineral reserves and a 64% increase in mineral resources were reported, expanding mine life to 2054.
Successful Ilmenite Sales
Ilmenite sales totaled 19,572 tonnes, a 60% increase over Q2 2024.
Negative Updates
Revenue Impacted by Lower Vanadium Prices
Revenues were $29.9 million, impacted by lower vanadium prices and reduced sales volumes, with the average benchmark price per pound of V205 in Europe down to $5.71 compared to $8.03 in Q3 2023.
Net Loss Reported
A net loss of $10.1 million was reported in Q3 2024, compared to a net loss of $11.9 million in Q3 2023.
Decreased Vanadium Sales Volume
Vanadium sales volume decreased by 18% due to softer spot demand, particularly in Asia and Europe.
Challenges in Vanadium Market
Continued headwinds in the vanadium market, especially within the steel sector, and oversupply in the Chinese market have pressured prices.
Potential Impact on Q4 Production
Q4 production is expected to be impacted by annual kiln maintenance, resulting in lower production levels and higher operating costs.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Largo, the company provided detailed guidance on several operational and financial metrics. They reported their highest quarterly vanadium production in seven quarters, reaching 3,072 tonnes, a 42% increase compared to Q3 2023. Operating costs were reduced by 31%, dropping from $44 million in the previous year to $29.5 million this quarter, with cash operating costs excluding royalties at $3.12 per pound sold, a 43% decrease. Their net loss improved to $10.1 million, including $3.3 million in nonrecurring items, compared to a $11.9 million loss the previous year. Additionally, Largo announced a vanadium supply agreement expected to unlock $23.5 million in liquidity. The company also highlighted a 67% increase in mineral reserves and a 64% increase in mineral resources, projecting a mine life extending to 2054. Despite ongoing challenges in vanadium prices, the strategic initiatives and production efficiencies position Largo to capitalize on future opportunities.

Largo Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Largo Resources faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability. The balance sheet provides some stability, but cash flow issues and negative profit margins highlight operational inefficiencies and potential liquidity risks. Strategic changes may be necessary to improve financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue from the previous year, with a significant negative net income leading to unfavorable net profit margins. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period exhibits negative gross profit and EBIT margins, highlighting operational challenges. The EBITDA margin has also deteriorated, indicating reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates some reliance on debt but not overly leveraged. However, the return on equity is negative due to losses, which is concerning. The equity ratio remains relatively healthy, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow growth and a weakened operating cash flow to net income ratio. These factors suggest potential liquidity challenges. However, the company maintains a positive operating cash flow, which provides some operational liquidity, albeit insufficient to cover capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
144.82M198.68M229.25M198.28M119.99M107.18M
Gross Profit
-14.02M23.93M59.53M65.27M31.60M12.38M
EBIT
-46.02M-16.28M16.97M36.97M18.80M
EBITDA
-29.52M3.82M37.71M69.45M35.58M19.69M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-48.86M-30.34M-2.23M22.57M6.76M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.26M42.71M54.47M83.79M79.14M127.14M
Total Assets
54.69M381.62M355.75M313.91M297.81M356.83M
Total Debt
0.0076.53M42.05M17.55M24.79M0.00
Net Debt
-1.26M33.81M-12.42M-66.24M-54.36M-127.14M
Total Liabilities
13.76M125.82M81.20M48.21M50.64M85.40M
Stockholders Equity
40.93M248.65M265.39M265.70M247.16M271.43M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-31.41M-32.51M-42.18M12.38M-77.61M68.05M
Operating Cash Flow
9.26M21.20M3.46M39.78M-59.51M106.63M
Investing Cash Flow
-39.74M-62.88M-60.15M-27.40M-18.11M
Financing Cash Flow
22.22M29.13M26.43M-6.90M30.23M

Largo Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.85
Price Trends
50DMA
2.03
Negative
100DMA
2.32
Negative
200DMA
2.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
43.79
Neutral
STOCH
72.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.89, below the 50-day MA of 2.03, and below the 200-day MA of 2.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:LGO.

Largo Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$2.02B-1.14-21.37%3.64%2.88%-30.57%
TSLGO
45
Neutral
$118.64M-23.26%-37.62%-12.09%
TSMSR
42
Neutral
C$111.34M11.7070.41%
TSFL
42
Neutral
C$120.85M-82.26%25.32%
41
Neutral
C$115.71M18.1211.66%-7.56%
TSAHR
34
Underperform
C$161.52M-516.26%37.82%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LGO
Largo Resources
1.79
-0.88
-32.96%
TSE:AHR
Amarc Resources
0.69
0.55
392.86%
TSE:MSR
Minsud Resources
0.65
-0.37
-36.27%
TSE:FL
Frontier Lithium
0.53
-0.29
-35.37%
TSE:LITH
Lithium Chile Inc
0.57
-0.16
-21.92%

Largo Resources Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Largo Inc. Reports Successful Shareholder Meeting Outcomes
Positive
May 12, 2025

Largo Inc. announced the successful results of its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, with 71.17% of common shares voted. Shareholders approved all matters, including the election of director nominees and the appointment of KPMG LLP as auditors. The Board expressed gratitude for shareholder support, highlighting the company’s strong governance and operational focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:LGO) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Largo Resources stock, see the TSE:LGO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Largo Resources Reports Q1 2025 Results Amid Operational Turnaround Efforts
Negative
Apr 24, 2025

Largo Resources reported a decrease in V2O5 production and sales in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year, attributed to mining lower-grade ore zones and operational adjustments. Despite the short-term impacts on production, the company is focused on its operational turnaround plans, which include increasing mined material and waste movement. The company has revised its annual production and sales guidance to reflect these operational challenges, but remains committed to improving performance and maintaining its market position.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Largo Resources Reports 2024 Financial Results and Announces Turnaround Plan Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Mar 28, 2025

Largo Resources reported a challenging financial year in 2024, with revenues declining by 37% compared to 2023 due to lower vanadium prices and market pressures. Despite these challenges, the company successfully implemented cost reduction measures, resulting in a significant decrease in operating costs and an improvement in adjusted cash operating costs per pound sold. The company also announced an operational turnaround plan to further optimize costs and enhance productivity at its Maracás Menchen Mine. The vanadium market faced downward pressure due to reduced demand and oversupply, impacting Largo’s financial performance. However, the company remains committed to improving its operational efficiency and market positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.