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Killam Apartment REIT Un (TSE:KMP.UN)
TSX:KMP.UN
Canadian Market

Killam Apartment REIT Un (KMP.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Killam Apartment REIT Un

(TSX:KMP.UN)

72Outperform
Killam Apartment REIT exhibits a strong financial profile with steady growth in revenue and profits, supported by solid fundamentals and attractive valuation. Technical indicators suggest upward momentum, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Positive earnings call sentiment further supports the stock's outlook, despite some operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
KMP is well-positioned to deliver 5-6% annual earnings growth in 2025 and 2026.
Leasing Performance
Killam continues to capture robust leasing spreads on turnover, with a gap between in-place and market rent remaining wide at 15%.
Valuation
Killam's well-located and high-quality portfolio is seen as attractive value, with the units trading at a 17.3% discount to the NAV estimate.
Negative Factors
Interest Expense
Much of the benefit of raising rental rates to market has been offset by greater interest expense from refinancing debt at higher rates.
Turnover Rates
A slower pace of turnover has limited organic growth as Killam largely operates in rent-controlled markets.
Utility and Fuel Expenses
Utility and fuel expense growth will likely accelerate due to colder weather and higher natural gas pricing in Ontario.

Killam Apartment REIT Un (KMP.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Killam Apartment REIT Un Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKillam Apartment REIT, based in Halifax, Nova Scotia, is one of Canada's largest residential landlords, owning, operating, managing and developing a $3.6 billion portfolio of apartments and manufactured home communities. Killam's strategy to enhance value and profitability focuses on three priorities: 1) increasing earnings from existing operations, 2) expanding the portfolio and diversifying geographically through accretive acquisitions, with an emphasis on newer properties, and 3) developing high-quality properties in its core markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyKillam Apartment REIT generates revenue primarily through the leasing of residential properties. The company's key revenue streams include rental income from its portfolio of apartment buildings and manufactured home communities. This rental income is supplemented by ancillary services provided to tenants, such as parking and laundry facilities. Additionally, Killam may enhance its earnings through strategic acquisitions and property development, which can lead to increased rental income and property value appreciation. The company also focuses on maintaining high occupancy rates and tenant satisfaction to ensure stable cash flow. Partnerships with local developers and municipalities can also play a role in expanding Killam's property portfolio, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Killam Apartment REIT Un Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Killam Apartment REIT displays a strong financial profile with consistent revenue growth, a solid balance sheet, and adequate cash flow. While leverage has increased, the overall financial performance remains robust, making it well-positioned within the REIT sector.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in net income in 2024. Gross profit margins remain strong, although EBIT margin is not available for 2024 which affects overall profitability assessment. The EBITDA margin is robust, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a stable equity position with an increasing stockholders' equity over the years. The debt-to-equity ratio has slightly increased, indicating a higher leverage, which could pose risk if not managed properly. The equity ratio reflects a healthy capital structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The company has demonstrated growth in free cash flow alongside stable operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is satisfactory, supporting dividend sustainability. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests a need for improved operational efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
364.65M349.96M328.85M290.92M261.69M
Gross Profit
240.48M225.85M206.91M183.24M164.66M
EBIT
0.00206.22M206.91M135.79M154.45M
EBITDA
465.50M206.22M193.79M136.36M155.17M
Net Income Common Stockholders
667.84M266.32M122.52M285.51M146.02M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
13.21M14.09M9.15M435.00K2.56M
Total Assets
5.44B5.09B4.86B4.58B3.78B
Total Debt
2.21B2.19B2.21B2.06B1.69B
Net Debt
2.19B2.17B2.20B2.06B1.69B
Total Liabilities
2.35B2.60B2.59B2.47B2.01B
Stockholders Equity
3.09B2.48B2.27B2.11B1.77B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
66.23M41.35M31.41M64.05M53.86M
Operating Cash Flow
160.14M139.73M125.33M140.86M123.51M
Investing Cash Flow
-124.17M-69.92M-277.05M-497.85M-358.15M
Financing Cash Flow
-36.84M-64.88M154.38M354.87M224.40M

Killam Apartment REIT Un Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.09
Price Trends
50DMA
16.66
Negative
100DMA
16.92
Negative
200DMA
17.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
61.05
Neutral
STOCH
42.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KMP.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.02, below the 50-day MA of 16.66, and below the 200-day MA of 17.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:KMP.UN.

Killam Apartment REIT Un Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$851.80M8.515.29%4.69%3.79%-40.78%
72
Outperform
C$1.92B2.9523.97%4.42%5.04%151.14%
72
Outperform
C$6.35B22.593.20%3.80%4.45%
70
Outperform
C$1.47B-6.27%3.88%3.85%-266.02%
63
Neutral
C$2.43B-2.29%6.49%-6.92%-296.31%
61
Neutral
$4.21B15.62-3.65%12.27%6.29%-21.37%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
16.09
-0.24
-1.47%
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
39.23
-2.76
-6.57%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
9.13
0.74
8.82%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
10.00
-1.63
-14.02%
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
16.09
1.23
8.28%
BOWFF
Boardwalk REIT
43.73
-7.60
-14.81%

Killam Apartment REIT Un Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.07% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong financial performance, including significant NOI growth and successful corporate restructuring, though tempered by challenges such as increased operating expenses and a slight vacancy uptick.
Highlights
Strong Same Property NOI Growth
Killam achieved an 8.4% same property NOI growth across the portfolio, with 8.5% in the apartment portfolio, 7.5% in the manufactured home community portfolio, and 6.3% in commercial properties.
Increase in Funds from Operations (FFO)
FFO per unit increased by 2.6% from $1.15 in 2023 to $1.18 in 2024.
Successful Corporate Restructuring
Killam completed a strategic corporate restructuring transaction, resulting in a deferred tax recovery of $279 million.
Robust Rental Rate Increases
The same property apartment portfolio achieved a weighted average rental rate increase of 7.0% for the year, with a 19.5% rent growth for new tenants in Q4.
Debt Reduction Achievement
Debt as a percentage of total assets decreased to 40.4%, the lowest in Killam's operating history.
Lowlights
Increased Operating Expenses
Same property operating expenses increased modestly by 1.7% in 2024, with property taxes rising by 5.9%. A 5-7% rise in expenses is expected in 2025.
Vacancy Uptick
There was a 40 basis point increase in vacancy, with same property apartment occupancy at 98.0%, slightly below 2023's 98.4%.
Interest Rate Pressure
Higher interest rates are anticipated on refinancing in 2025 due to the current low rate on maturing apartment mortgages.
Market Rent Softening
A softening of market rent for certain units was observed, and the mark-to-market opportunity spread decreased over the past 6 months.
Company Guidance
During the Killam Apartment REIT Q4 2024 financial results call, the company reported robust growth and financial performance. Key metrics included an 8.4% increase in same property Net Operating Income (NOI), with specific growth of 8.5% in the apartment portfolio, 7.5% in manufactured home communities, and 6.3% in commercial properties. Funds from Operations (FFO) rose to $1.18 per unit, marking a 2.6% increase from 2023. Top-line revenue grew by 4.7% across the total portfolio and 6.0% for the same property portfolio. The company achieved a 7.0% weighted average rental rate increase, despite a slight vacancy uptick. For 2025, Killam anticipates same property NOI growth between 4% and 7% and revenue growth of 5% to 6%. The company also completed $59.2 million in property dispositions and is considering further acquisitions primarily in Western Canada and Ontario.

Killam Apartment REIT Un Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Killam Apartment REIT to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Killam Apartment REIT announced it will release its Q1 2025 financial results on May 7, 2025, after the Toronto Stock Exchange closes. A webcast and conference call to discuss these results and current business initiatives will follow on May 8, 2025. This announcement is part of Killam’s ongoing efforts to enhance transparency and engage with stakeholders, reflecting its strategic focus on growth and profitability.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Killam Apartment REIT Announces March 2025 Distribution
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Killam Apartment REIT announced a monthly distribution of $0.06 per unit for March 2025, payable on April 15, 2025, to unitholders of record by March 31, 2025. The company offers a distribution reinvestment plan allowing eligible unitholders to reinvest their distributions into additional units, with a 3% bonus in units for reinvested amounts. This announcement reflects Killam’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its investors and enhancing its market position through strategic financial offerings.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Killam Apartment REIT Declares February 2025 Distribution
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

Killam Apartment REIT has announced a monthly distribution of $0.06 per unit for February 2025, payable on March 17, 2025, to unitholders of record on February 28, 2025. The REIT also offers a distribution reinvestment plan, allowing eligible unitholders to reinvest their cash distributions in additional units with an additional 3% distribution in units. This announcement underscores Killam’s commitment to providing value to its stakeholders and enhancing its financial strategies.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Killam Apartment REIT Reports Robust 2024 Financial Performance and Strategic Developments
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Killam Apartment REIT reported strong financial performance for Q4 2024 and the full year, highlighted by an 8.4% growth in same property net operating income and a 2.6% increase in funds from operations per unit. The company completed a strategic internal reorganization to enhance cash flow and minimize tax exposure, and it plans to continue capital recycling by increasing non-core asset sales to strengthen its balance sheet and fund future developments.

Killam Apartment REIT Announces January 2025 Distribution and DRIP Benefits
Jan 15, 2025

Killam Apartment REIT has announced a monthly distribution of $0.06 per unit for January 2025, payable on February 18, 2025, to unitholders recorded by January 31, 2025. The company also offers a distribution reinvestment plan (DRIP) that allows eligible unitholders to reinvest cash distributions into additional units, with an added 3% distribution of units, reinforcing its commitment to expanding shareholder value. This announcement underscores Killam’s ongoing strategy to augment shareholder returns and maintain its strong position within the residential real estate sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.