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i-80 Gold Corp (TSE:IAU)
:IAU

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) AI Stock Analysis

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i-80 Gold Corp

(TSX:IAU)

48Neutral
i-80 Gold Corp's overall score reflects significant financial and operational challenges, with negative profitability and cash flow issues weighing heavily. While recent capital raises and an ambitious development plan provide some positive prospects, the company's current financial instability and market momentum present substantial risks, resulting in a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Company Strategy
Management has initiated a two-phase recapitalization plan to generate free cash flow and reschedule or refinance existing debt obligations.
Leadership
Richard Young brings extensive financial, development, and operational expertise to i-80.
Negative Factors
Asset Value
The company's NAV has decreased by 30% to $2.16/sh, indicating a significant drop in asset value.
Funding Challenges
The biggest risk to this new plan is the outside capital required, with $300m needed to support ongoing and planned development activities as well as service debt obligations.
Production Challenges
Gold sales of 3.063koz fell below the estimate due to underground water issues.

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

i-80 Gold Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptioni-80 Gold Corp., a mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and silver mineral deposits in the United States. It holds a 100% interest in the Lone Tree property covering an area of approximately 12,000 acres located in Battle Mountain-Eureka, Northern Nevada; Ruby Hill property located in Battle Mountain Trend, Northern Nevada; McCoy-Cove project covering 31,000 acres located in Battle Mountain Trend, Nevada; and Buffalo Mountain property located in Battle Mountain Trend, Northern Nevada as well as controls Granite Creek Project located in Getchell Trend, Northern Nevada. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.
How the Company Makes Moneyi-80 Gold Corp generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and other precious metals. The company's revenue model revolves around mining operations where it explores and develops mineral-rich properties. Once the gold is extracted, it is processed and sold at market prices, which can fluctuate based on global demand and supply dynamics. Key revenue streams include the sale of mined gold and any by-products obtained during the mining process. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other mining companies or stakeholders may also contribute to its revenue by enhancing operational capabilities and expanding market reach.

i-80 Gold Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
i-80 Gold Corp faces significant profitability challenges with persistent negative margins across income statement metrics. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage but negative returns, while cash flow issues suggest potential liquidity concerns. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash generation to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown negative profitability with a declining gross profit margin and net profit margin in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth is volatile, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting some level of financial leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting lack of profitability. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow from operations is negative, indicating potential liquidity challenges. Free cash flow has improved marginally but remains negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio reflects weak cash flow generation relative to reported losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
52.94M54.91M36.96M0.000.0010.46M
Gross Profit
-13.90M-5.14M3.57M-387.00K-314.00K4.96M
EBIT
-68.97M-68.80M-68.67M111.03M-6.29M-3.89M
EBITDA
-79.61M-35.97M-62.48M-24.07M-6.06M-3.24M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-122.53M-65.20M-79.20M88.22M-12.49M-8.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
16.28M48.28M87.66M26.21M
Total Assets
723.69M641.96M656.35M162.25M
Total Debt
70.60M180.27M115.88M41.44M70.60M70.68M
Net Debt
70.60M164.00M67.60M-46.22M70.60M44.47M
Total Liabilities
159.77M297.43M308.55M249.37M159.77M176.36M
Stockholders Equity
426.26M333.41M406.98M-14.11M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-82.54M-94.13M-96.06M-19.02M-2.97M22.60M
Operating Cash Flow
-63.27M-54.62M-45.84M-13.01M4.62M55.53M
Investing Cash Flow
-14.76M-42.51M-54.73M-137.59M-9.38M-31.69M
Financing Cash Flow
61.39M65.16M61.43M222.90M-6.22M-4.55M

i-80 Gold Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.80
Price Trends
50DMA
0.95
Negative
100DMA
0.87
Negative
200DMA
1.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
35.04
Neutral
STOCH
7.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IAU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.93, below the 50-day MA of 0.95, and below the 200-day MA of 1.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:IAU.

i-80 Gold Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAEM
80
Outperform
C$76.86B29.429.42%1.47%26.99%-6.63%
TSNGD
66
Neutral
$3.96B28.4311.14%18.32%
TSBTO
54
Neutral
$5.44B-18.54%4.81%-4.17%-318.18%
TSIAU
48
Neutral
C$316.48M-30.52%31.32%8.28%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-3.21-21.68%3.30%4.19%-30.23%
TSG
33
Underperform
$89.37M-23.87%-199.24%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IAU
i-80 Gold Corp
0.75
-0.88
-53.99%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
4.27
1.88
78.66%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
3.78
0.08
2.30%
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
141.46
60.03
73.72%
TSE:G
Augusta Gold
0.95
-0.24
-20.17%

i-80 Gold Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 1, 2025 | % Change Since: -5.88% | Next Earnings Date: May 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive strategic developments, such as new project assessments and financing initiatives, alongside production challenges and financial reporting adjustments. While there are significant positive steps towards future growth, current operational challenges and financial losses present a balanced view.
Highlights
New Development Plan and Economic Assessments
i-80 Gold Corp. announced a new development plan for its portfolio of three underground and two open pit gold projects. Preliminary economic assessments for these projects have been filed, indicating a combined net present value of $1.6 billion at $2,175 per ounce and $4.5 billion at $2,900 per ounce.
Safety and Environmental Compliance
The company achieved a loss time injury frequency rate of 1.27 and maintained a clean environmental record with no violation notices, marking the fourth consecutive year of compliance.
Financing Initiatives
i-80 Gold Corp. entered into new financial arrangements with National Bank of Canada and Aramet International to enhance liquidity and balance sheet flexibility, including a new gold and silver purchase agreement and a working capital facility for up to $12 million.
Production and Future Outlook
For 2025, the company expects to produce between 30,000 and 40,000 ounces of gold, with Granite Creek Underground contributing between 20,000 to 30,000 ounces and heap leach operations contributing approximately 10,000 ounces.
Lowlights
Production Challenges at Granite Creek
Granite Creek Underground mined approximately 38,000 ounces of gold or 71% of the internal target, with production 60% lower than planned due to higher than anticipated water ingress delaying progress on the main decline.
Financial Reporting Adjustments
Transition to US GAAP resulted in adjustments, including a capitalization reversal of $80 million for underground development work, and a reclassification of $13.8 million from equity to noncurrent liabilities.
Net Loss Position
The company concluded both the quarter and the full year in a net loss position due to ongoing development expenditures and lower volumes sold, despite higher average realized gold prices.
Company Guidance
During the 2024 fourth quarter call, i-80 Gold Corp. provided guidance on their development plans and financial outlook. They announced the filing of preliminary economic assessments for five gold projects, with a combined net present value ranging from $1.6 billion at a gold price of $2,175 per ounce to $4.5 billion at $2,900 per ounce. They aim to produce between 30,000 to 40,000 ounces of gold in 2025, with significant contributions expected from the Granite Creek Underground and heap leach operations at Ruby Hill and Lone Tree. The company is advancing feasibility studies and a recapitalization plan, which includes potential senior debt facilities and other financing options. The anticipated capital expenditure for refurbishment of an autoclave is included, reflecting changes in toll milling agreements. Operationally, they achieved a loss time injury frequency rate of 1.27 and maintained a clean environmental record. Financially, i-80 transitioned to US GAAP reporting, with a net loss due to ongoing development activities. They secured new financing arrangements with National Bank of Canada and Aramet International to support near-term liquidity. The company targets producing 400,000 to 500,000 ounces per year by the early 2030s, emphasizing improvements in project economics and strategic planning for continued growth.

i-80 Gold Corp Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. Completes C$22.57 Million Prospectus Offering
Positive
Jan 31, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has successfully closed its upsized prospectus offering, raising approximately C$22.57 million through the issuance of over 28 million common shares. This capital raise is aimed at supporting the company’s strategic objectives, potentially enhancing its position within the gold mining industry and creating value for stakeholders by expanding its operations in Nevada.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Upsizes Share Offering to Bolster Growth
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has filed a prospectus supplement for an upsized offering of common shares, aiming to raise up to C$29 million. This offering, increased from US$10 million to US$20 million, is expected to close by January 31, 2025, and is pending regulatory approvals. Concurrently, a private placement involving key company insiders is set to raise additional funds, with proceeds earmarked for working capital and corporate purposes. This financial maneuver is part of i-80 Gold’s broader strategy to strengthen its operational and market position as it progresses towards becoming a mid-tier Nevada gold producer.

i-80 Gold Corp. Prices Prospectus Offering to Advance Nevada Projects
Jan 17, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has announced the pricing of its prospectus offering of common shares, set at C$0.80, intended to raise US$10,000,000. The proceeds will support the development of the company’s projects in Nevada and facilitate the second phase of its recapitalization plan. The offering is subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, and no commission or finder’s fee will be paid. This move is part of i-80 Gold’s strategy to enhance its positioning in the Nevada gold mining sector as a mid-tier producer.

i-80 Gold Amends Credit Agreement and Launches Financing Initiative
Jan 16, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has successfully amended and restated its convertible credit agreement with Orion Mine Finance, including extending the maturity date and issuing five million common share purchase warrants. This move is part of i-80 Gold’s broader recapitalization plan, which includes a US$10 million financing initiative to fund Nevada project developments and support working capital, with significant participation anticipated from major shareholders.

i-80 Gold Advances Recapitalization with Debenture Amendments
Jan 13, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has reached an agreement with certain convertible debenture holders to amend the terms of its convertible debentures, marking a significant step in the second phase of its recapitalization plan. These amendments, which include adjustments to conversion prices, aim to facilitate the company’s financial restructuring efforts, expected to be completed by the first quarter of 2025, thereby potentially enhancing its operational stability and market positioning.

i-80 Gold Corp’s Strategic Recapitalization Moves
Jan 2, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp has deferred its December gold and January silver deliveries to March 2025 as part of a strategic recapitalization plan. The company is working with financial partners to restructure debt and develop its Nevada gold projects, aiming to become a mid-tier producer. Key developments include planned economic assessments for its projects and an updated mineral resource report.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.